Córdoba vs Huesca Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Nuevo Arcángel Sun, 31 May - 7:00 PM
La Liga 2
Córdoba Córdoba
1 1
Huesca HUE
Full Time Sun, 31 May 7:00 PM
Round 42 Regular Season
Sergi Guardiola - 52'
Goal
|
Goal
Jordi Escobar - 86'

CONTEXT

Córdoba faced Huesca in a fixture that ended 1-1 after a goalless first half. Córdoba controlled 61 percent of possession while Huesca held 39 percent. The stronger side according to pre-match assessment failed to claim all three points despite the territorial advantage. No red cards were issued to either team across the ninety minutes. A significant deviation of 28.4 percent was recorded for Córdoba relative to baseline expectations. The draw outcome remained consistent with overall market alignment. Efficiency metrics stayed in line with projected patterns and no second-half adjustments produced decisive shifts. Expected goals figures were unavailable for deeper analysis of chance creation.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Córdoba recorded a significant deviation of 28.4 percent from baseline expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency metrics stayed in line with pre-match projections for both sides.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data remained unavailable to assess alignment with the scoreline.
  • Market alignment: The 1-1 draw proved consistent with pre-match market indicators.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals values were supplied to evaluate scoring patterns.
  • Event impact: No decisive events disrupted the match structure or final outcome.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards occurred and therefore produced no match distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Huerta de Aza

Spain 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

?. Carreño Cabrera

1st Assistant

Spain

J. García Urbaneja

2nd Assistant

Spain

D. Clemente Manrique

4th Official

Spain

League averages

La Liga 2 Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 24.77
Yellow cards / match 5.13
Red cards / match 0.27
Penalties / match 0.32
Córdoba I. Ania Cadavieco
I. Ania Cadavieco
VS
Huesca J. Oltra Castañer
J. Oltra Castañer
1.56
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.72
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
SD Eibar Rank: L
Albacete Rank: L
Granada Rank: W
Castellón Rank: W
Sporting Gijón Rank: W
Cultural Leonesa Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Castellón Rank: L
Leganés Rank: D
Real Sociedad II Rank: L
Racing Santander Rank: L
Real Zaragoza Rank: W
SD Eibar Rank: L
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 4 - 8
8

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Córdoba
20.68%
Draw
71.57%
Away Huesca
7.75%

Movement

Changes since opening
Córdoba
-2.55%
Draw
+3.25%
Huesca
-0.7%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
28.55
14.39
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Córdoba
Huesca
Power Score
28.55
14.39
League Position
9
20
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Córdoba Opponent-weighted form score
Huesca Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Córdoba Huesca

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Córdoba

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Huesca

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Córdoba ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Huesca
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
41.89
38.21
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
38.21
41.89
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Córdoba +0.37 Efficiency Index
vs
Huesca -0.37 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Córdoba
Huesca
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Córdoba ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Huesca
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Córdoba Huesca
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Córdoba Huesca
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Córdoba
Huesca
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Córdoba
vs
Huesca
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Córdoba Huesca
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Córdoba Huesca
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Córdoba
Huesca
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • HUE had peak pressure around 89'.
  • Córdoba started the game with stronger pressure.
Córdoba Pressure HUE Pressure
Pressure Index: HUE reached the top pressure at 89' (93.18).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 20 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Córdoba Córdoba Home
20 matches
Huesca HUE Away
Match Record
8
Wins
8
4
Draws
4
8
Losses
8
Goals
26
Goals Scored
31
31
Goals Conceded
26
-5
Goal Difference
+5

Data last updated: 2026-06-01T00:03:01+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
I. Iker
Andorra
1 I. Iker
J. González Rodrigañez
Spain
10 J. González Rodrigañez
C. Albarrán Sanz
Spain
21 (C) C. Albarrán Sanz
J. Alcedo Serrano
Spain
3 J. Alcedo Serrano
I. Vilarrasa Palacios
Spain
2 I. Vilarrasa Palacios
S. Guardiola Navarro
Substitution
Spain
14 S. Guardiola Navarro
I. Ruiz Sánchez
Substitution
Spain
8 I. Ruiz Sánchez
D. Requena Sánchez
Spain
30 D. Requena Sánchez
C. Carracedo García
Spain
23 C. Carracedo García
A. Fuentes González
Substitution
Spain
18 A. Fuentes González
D. Bri Carrazoni
Substitution
Spain
5 D. Bri Carrazoni
Pitch
D. Jiménez López
Spain
13 (C) D. Jiménez López
J. Martín Camuñas
Substitution
Spain
8 J. Martín Camuñas
A. Carrillo Alacid
Spain
4 A. Carrillo Alacid
I. Sebastián Magaña
Spain
5 I. Sebastián Magaña
J. Mier Martínez
Substitution
Spain
6 J. Mier Martínez
F. Portillo Soler
Spain
20 F. Portillo Soler
J. Álvarez Aguado
Spain
16 J. Álvarez Aguado
M. Agbekpornu
Substitution
Ghana
22 M. Agbekpornu
A. Cantero Sánchez
Substitution
Spain
15 A. Cantero Sánchez
E. Rodríguez Heres
Spain
18 E. Rodríguez Heres
D. Ojeda Saranova
Substitution
Spain
21 D. Ojeda Saranova

General Information

Date & Time :
May 31, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 42 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio Nuevo Arcángel
Capacity :
21384
Attendance :
7826
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ , Clear
Referees :
Marta Huerta de Aza
Álvaro Yeray Carreño Cabrera
José Unai García Urbaneja
D. Clemente Manrique

Statistics

Possession
Córdoba
58%
HUE
42%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 1
18 Shots 7
71 Dangerous attacks 38
61 Possession 39
9 Corners 4
10 Free kicks 14
2 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

1 Assists 1
14 Goal Attempts 11
75 Ball Safe 78
18 Throwins 13
18 Dribble Attempts 12
39 Successful Dribbles Percentage 42
7 Successful Dribbles 5
0 Hit Woodwork 1
4 Substitutions 5
6 Goal Kicks 13

Attacking

2 Big Chances Missed 1
93 Attacks 71

Possession

33 Successful Long Passes 21
73 Successful Long Passes Percentage 40
397 Successful Passes 237
45 Long Passes 52
452 Passes 294
88 Successful Passes Percentage 81
14 Key Passes 9

Defensive

43 Duels Won 47
17 Tackles 19
7 Interceptions 5
5 Saves 4

Build-up

0 Accurate Crosses 3
16 Total Crosses 9

Discipline

14 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Marta Huerta de Aza

Starting XI

1
Iker Álvarez
Iker Álvarez Goalkeeper
7.52
2
Ignasi Vilarrasa
Ignasi Vilarrasa Defender
7.15
3
Juan María Alcedo
Juan María Alcedo Defender
6.91
10
Jacobo González
Jacobo González Defender
7.27
21
Carlos Albarrán
Carlos Albarrán (C) Defender
6.78
8
Isma Ruiz
Isma Ruiz Midfielder
6.83
7
Théo Zidane
Théo Zidane
Midfielder71'
6.4
14
Sergi Guardiola
Sergi Guardiola Midfielder
7.71
Sergi Guardiola
82'
30
Dani Requena
Dani Requena Midfielder
6.72
5
Diego Bri
Diego Bri Attacker
6.65
6
Diego Percan
Diego Percan
Attacker46'
6.7
18
Adrián Fuentes
Adrián Fuentes Attacker
6.56
11
Kevin Medina
Kevin Medina
Attacker46'
7.25
23
Cristian Carracedo
Cristian Carracedo Attacker
7.52
Referee : Marta Huerta de Aza

Starting XI

13
Dani Jiménez
Dani Jiménez (C) Goalkeeper
7.34
4
Álvaro Carrillo
Álvaro Carrillo Defender
6.4
5
Piña
Piña Defender
6.94
6
Javi Mier
Javi Mier Defender
6.86
34
Marc Aznar
Marc Aznar
Defender46'
6.29
8
Jordi Martín
Jordi Martín Defender
6.23
12
Joaquín Fernández
Joaquín Fernández
Defender62'
6.82
16
Jesús Álvarez
Jesús Álvarez Midfielder
6.76
20
Francisco Portillo
Francisco Portillo Midfielder
7.18
22
Michael Agbekpornu
Michael Agbekpornu Midfielder
7.18
10
Jaime Seoane
Jaime Seoane
Midfielder78'
6.95
15
Álex Cantero
Álex Cantero Attacker
6.67
7
Jordi Escobar
Jordi Escobar
Attacker62'
7.21
18
Enol Rodríguez
Enol Rodríguez Attacker
7.01
21
Dani Ojeda
Dani Ojeda Attacker
6.77
Dani Ojeda
72'

Events

2ND-HALF
86'
Event
Jordi Escobar
Header / 2nd Goal
Event
Javier Antras Santos Sergi Guardiola
9th Substitution
82'
78'
Event
Jaime Seoane Michael Agbekpornu
8th Substitution
76'
Event
Jesús Álvarez
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
72'
Event
Pablo Osan Dani Ojeda
7th Substitution
Event
Théo Zidane Isma Ruiz
6th Substitution
71'
64'
Event
Piña
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
62'
Event
Jordi Escobar Álex Cantero
4th Substitution
62'
Event
Joaquín Fernández Jordi Martín
5th Substitution
Event
Sergi Guardiola
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
52'
Event
Kevin Medina Adrián Fuentes
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Diego Percan Diego Bri
3rd Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Marc Aznar Javi Mier
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Carlos Albarrán
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
45+1'
Event
Dani Requena
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
34'
16'
Event
Jordi Martín
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

89
Attempt Attempt
Carlos Albarran attempts a header but misses the shot.
89
Attempt Attempt
Carlos Albarran attempts a header but misses the shot.
89
Attempt Attempt
Jacobo Gonzalez takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
87
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Villodres takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
86
Update Update
Jordi Escobar scores with a header.
84
Attempt Attempt
A right-footed shot is saved.
82
Update Update
Javier Antras Santos is on, and Sergio Guardiola Navarro is off.
78
Update Update
Jaime Seoane comes on for Michael Agbekpornu.
73
Attempt Attempt
Sergio Guardiola Navarro takes a right-footed shot but misses.
72
Update Update
Paul Osan is on, and Dani Ojeda is off.
71
Update Update
Theo Zidane comes on for Isma Ruiz.
67
Attempt Attempt
Percan takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
67
Attempt Attempt
Joaquin Fernandez Moreno attempts a header but misses the shot.
67
Attempt Attempt
Enol Rodriguez Heres takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
66
Attempt Attempt
Dani Ojeda takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
66
Attempt Attempt
Marc Aznar takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
62
Update Update
Joaquin Fernandez Moreno comes on for Jordi Martin.
62
Update Update
Jordi Escobar comes on for Alejandro Cantero.
56
Attempt Attempt
Jacobo Gonzalez takes a right-footed shot but misses.
54
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Ignasi Vilarrasa with his left foot is saved.
52
Attempt Attempt
Sergio Guardiola Navarro takes a left-footed shot and scores.
52
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Sergio Guardiola Navarro scores to make it 1-0.
52
Attempt Attempt
Percan takes a left-footed shot but misses.
48
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Requena Sanchez takes a left-footed shot but misses.
47
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Villodres takes a right-footed shot but misses.
46
Update Update
Kevin Villodres comes on for Adrian Fuentes.
46
Update Update
On comes Percan, off goes Diego Vicente Bri Carrazoni.
46
Update Update
On comes Percan, off goes Diego Vicente Bri Carrazoni.
45
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Requena Sanchez takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Dani Ojeda takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Carlos Albarran receives a yellow card.
44
Attempt Attempt
Sergio Guardiola Navarro takes a left-footed shot but misses.
44
Attempt Attempt
Cristian Carracedo takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
43
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Ignasi Vilarrasa with his left foot misses the target.
39
Attempt Attempt
Enol Rodriguez Heres takes a right-footed shot but misses.
36
Attempt Attempt
Francisco Portillo Soler takes a right-footed shot but misses.
30
Attempt Attempt
Adrian Fuentes takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
25
Attempt Attempt
Enol Rodriguez Heres takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
20
Attempt Attempt
Michael Agbekpornu takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
18
Attempt Attempt
Jacobo Gonzalez takes a right-footed shot but misses.
17
Attempt Attempt
Isma Ruiz takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
17
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Ignasi Vilarrasa with his left foot is blocked.
15
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jordi Martin receives a yellow card.
11
Attempt Attempt
Alejandro Cantero's right-footed shot is saved.
7
Attempt Attempt
Cristian Carracedo takes a right-footed shot but misses.
1
Attempt Attempt
Isma Ruiz takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Marta Huerta de Aza.

CONCLUSION

The 1-1 result reflected a balanced contest in which Córdoba held clear possession superiority yet could not convert territorial control into a winning margin. Halftime arrived at 0-0 with both teams level and without major incidents. Absence of red cards allowed uninterrupted tactical execution from both benches. Significant deviation for the home side highlighted performance inconsistency against expectations while overall market alignment held true. Efficiency remained steady without notable shifts and missing expected goals data limited deeper insight into chance quality. The draw stands as a factual representation of the evening's events.

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Author

Alfie

Alfie writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.