Córdoba vs Granada Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Nuevo Arcángel Sun, 10 May - 4:30 PM
La Liga 2
Córdoba Córdoba
1 Winner 0
Granada GRA
Full Time Sun, 10 May 4:30 PM
Round 39 Regular Season
Jacobo González - 85'
Goal
|
Diego Percan 80' Red Card
|

CONTEXT

Córdoba clinched a gritty 1-0 win against Granada in a tense Segunda División encounter at home. The halftime score stood at 0-0, with both teams probing cautiously amid balanced chances. Córdoba held 55% possession, dictating tempo early, while Granada countered effectively on 45%. The second half ignited when Córdoba suffered a red card, leaving them with ten players and shifting dynamics dramatically. Yet, the home side's resolve prevailed; they netted the lone goal through sharp opportunism and repelled Granada's pressure with organized defending. As the stronger team, Córdoba's victory underscored their resilience, registering a significant 43.6% structural deviation. Market perspectives aligned with this result, affirming pre-match favoritism toward the hosts. Efficiency metrics stayed in line, though the red card introduced clear distortion.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Córdoba's 1-0 victory marked a significant 43.6% structural deviation in their favor.
  • Efficiency shift: Both teams' efficiencies remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable prevented alignment assessment with outcome.
  • Market alignment: Final result aligned fully with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations undetermined due to absent data.
  • Event impact: Home red card altered second-half momentum substantially.
  • Red card distortion: Córdoba's red card distorted game structure in the second half.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

S. Muresan

Spain 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

José Bordoy

1st Assistant

Spain

A. Moleon Cuenca

2nd Assistant

Spain

M. Ibáñez Juárez

4th Official

Spain

League averages

La Liga 2 Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 22.96
Yellow cards / match 4.85
Red cards / match 0.28
Penalties / match 0.34
Córdoba I. Ania Cadavieco
I. Ania Cadavieco
VS
Granada J. Rojo Martín
J. Rojo Martín
1.48
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.36
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Castellón Rank: 68 W
Sporting Gijón Rank: 64 W
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 57 W
Real Zaragoza Rank: 57 W
Cádiz Rank: 56 W
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: 70 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Zaragoza Rank: 58 W
Almería Rank: 69 L
Albacete Rank: 64 L
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 56 W
Castellón Rank: 68 L
Las Palmas Rank: 70 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 4 - 7
7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Córdoba
56.42%
Draw
24.05%
Away Granada
19.52%

Movement

Changes since opening
Córdoba
-36.97%
Draw
+17.64%
Granada
+19.33%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.33
64.28
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Córdoba
Granada
Power Score
65.33
64.28
League Position
9
14
Global Rank
325
355

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Córdoba — Opponent-weighted form score
Granada — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Córdoba Granada

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Córdoba

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Granada

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Córdoba ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Granada
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
42.18
16.22
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
16.22
42.18
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Córdoba +2.59 Efficiency Index
vs
Granada -2.59 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Córdoba
Granada
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Córdoba ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Granada
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Córdoba Granada
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Córdoba Granada
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Córdoba
Granada
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Córdoba
vs
Granada
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Córdoba Granada
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Córdoba 0.23
Granada 0.23
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Córdoba Granada
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Córdoba 0.00
Granada 0.01
Córdoba
Granada
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Córdoba had peak pressure around 33'.
  • Córdoba started the game with stronger pressure.
Córdoba Pressure GRA Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Córdoba reached the top pressure at 33' (92.97).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Córdoba Córdoba Home
13 matches
Granada GRA Away
Match Record
2
Wins
7
4
Draws
4
7
Losses
2
Goals
16
Goals Scored
19
19
Goals Conceded
16
-3
Goal Difference
+3

Data last updated: 2026-05-11T00:05:43+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
I. Iker
Andorra
1 I. Iker
C. Albarrán Sanz
Spain
21 C. Albarrán Sanz
J. Martín Valerón
Spain
4 J. Martín Valerón
R. González Alves
Brazil
16 R. González Alves
I. Vilarrasa Palacios
Spain
2 I. Vilarrasa Palacios
S. Guardiola Navarro
Substitution
Spain
14 S. Guardiola Navarro
A. Del Moral Saelices
Substitution
Spain
20 A. Del Moral Saelices
D. Requena Sánchez
Spain
30 D. Requena Sánchez
C. Carracedo García
Substitution
Spain
23 C. Carracedo García
A. Fuentes González
Substitution
Spain
18 A. Fuentes González
K. Villodres Medina
Substitution
Spain
11 K. Villodres Medina
Pitch
A. Astralaga Aranguren
Spain
13 A. Astralaga Aranguren
B. Diallo
Senegal
22 B. Diallo
L. Ntambue Kayumba
Spain
24 L. Ntambue Kayumba
J. Flores
Spain
36 J. Flores
P. Casadesús Castro
Substitution
Spain
2 P. Casadesús Castro
M. Trigueros Muñoz
Substitution
Spain
14 M. Trigueros Muñoz
R. Alcaraz Jiménez
Spain
4 R. Alcaraz Jiménez
P. Serra
Spain
8 P. Serra
J. Arnáiz Díaz
Spain
11 J. Arnáiz Díaz
R. Zinebi Talbi
Substitution
37 R. Zinebi Talbi
P. Saenz Ezquerra
Substitution
Spain
21 P. Saenz Ezquerra

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 39 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio Nuevo Arcángel
Capacity :
21384
Attendance :
15237
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Sergiu Claudiu Muresan
José Miguel Bordoy Homar
Aitor Moleon Cuenca
Marcelo Ibáñez Juárez

Statistics

Possession
Córdoba
57%
GRA
43%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
3 Big Chances Created 0
7 Shots 4
84 Dangerous attacks 26
55 Possession 45
3 Corners 2
16 Free kicks 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5
48 Successful Dribbles Percentage 8
25 Dribble Attempts 13
2 Hit Woodwork 0
24 Throwins 22
5 Goal Kicks 6
12 Successful Dribbles 1
1 Assists 0
59 Ball Safe 68
2 Injuries 1
5 Goal Attempts 4

Attacking

95 Attacks 75
3 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

85 Successful Passes Percentage 79
331 Successful Passes 250
41 Long Passes 51
51 Successful Long Passes Percentage 41
391 Passes 316
21 Successful Long Passes 21
15 Key Passes 6

Defensive

27 Tackles 22
2 Saves 3
7 Interceptions 8
60 Duels Won 52

Build-up

6 Accurate Crosses 3
22 Total Crosses 12

Discipline

18 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Sergiu Claudiu Muresan

Starting XI ▼

1
Iker Álvarez
Iker Álvarez Goalkeeper
2
Ignasi Vilarrasa
Ignasi Vilarrasa Defender
4
Álex Martín
Álex Martín Defender
16
Rubén Alves
Rubén Alves Defender
21
Carlos Albarrán
Carlos Albarrán Defender
14
Sergi Guardiola
Sergi Guardiola Midfielder
19
Dalisson de Almeida
Dalisson de Almeida
Midfielder79'
20
Alberto del Moral
Alberto del Moral Midfielder
25
Mikel Goti
Mikel Goti
Midfielder53'
30
Dani Requena
Dani Requena Midfielder
11
Kevin Medina
Kevin Medina Attacker
5
Diego Bri
Diego Bri
Attacker78'
18
Adrián Fuentes
Adrián Fuentes Attacker
6
Diego Percan
Diego Percan
Attacker59'
23
Cristian Carracedo
Cristian Carracedo Attacker
10
Jacobo González
Jacobo González
Attacker79'
Referee : Sergiu Claudiu Muresan

Starting XI ▼

13
Ander Astralaga
Ander Astralaga Goalkeeper
2
Pau Casadesús
Pau Casadesús Defender
18
Álvaro Lemos
Álvaro Lemos
Defender59'
22
Baïla Diallo
Baïla Diallo Defender
24
Loïc Williams
Loïc Williams Defender
36
Juanjo Flores
Juanjo Flores Defender
4
Rubén Alcaraz
Rubén Alcaraz Midfielder
8
Pedro Alemañ Serna
Pedro Alemañ Serna Midfielder
14
Manu Trigueros
Manu Trigueros Midfielder
41
Izan González
Izan González
Midfielder66'
11
José Manuel Arnáiz
José Manuel Arnáiz Attacker
21
Pablo Sáenz
Pablo Sáenz Attacker
7
Álex Sola
Álex Sola
Attacker66'
37
Rayan Zinebi Talbi
Rayan Zinebi Talbi Attacker
9
Gonzalo Petit
Gonzalo Petit
Attacker59'

Events

2ND-HALF
90'
Event
Loïc Williams
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Jacobo González
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
85'
Event
Diego Percan
Violent conduct / 1st Redcard
80'
Event
Dalisson de Almeida → Sergi Guardiola
9th Substitution
79'
Event
Jacobo González → Cristian Carracedo
10th Substitution
79'
Event
Diego Bri → Kevin Medina
8th Substitution
78'
Event
Dani Requena
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
77'
72'
Event
Oscar Naasei Oppong → Álvaro Lemos
7th Substitution
66'
Event
Izan González → Manu Trigueros
5th Substitution
66'
Event
Álex Sola → Pablo Sáenz
6th Substitution
Event
Diego Percan → Adrián Fuentes
3rd Substitution
59'
59'
Event
Álvaro Lemos → Pau Casadesús
2nd Substitution
59'
Event
Gonzalo Petit → Rayan Zinebi Talbi
4th Substitution
Event
Mikel Goti → Alberto del Moral
1st Substitution
53'
1ST-HALF
42'
Event
Baïla Diallo
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
32'
Event
Juanjo Flores
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Loic Williams receives a yellow card.
90
Attempt Attempt
Jose Manuel Arnaiz Diaz takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
88
Attempt Attempt
Mikel Goti Lopez takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
85
Attempt Attempt
Jacobo Gonzalez scores with a left-footed shot.
85
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Jacobo Gonzalez scores to make it 1-0.
84
Attempt Attempt
Oscar Naasei Oppong takes a right-footed shot but misses.
79
Update Update
Jacobo Gonzalez comes on for Cristian Carracedo.
79
Update Update
Dalisson de Almeida is on, and Sergio Guardiola Navarro is off.
78
Update Update
Diego Vicente Bri Carrazoni replaces Kevin Villodres.
77
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Daniel Requena Sanchez receives a yellow card.
77
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Villodres takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
75
Attempt Attempt
Percan attempts a header but misses the shot.
75
Attempt Attempt
Alex Sola attempted a header, but it missed the target.
74
Attempt Attempt
Oscar Naasei Oppong takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
72
Update Update
Oscar Naasei Oppong comes on for Alvaro Lemos.
72
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Requena Sanchez takes a right-footed shot but misses.
66
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Alex Sola comes on for Pablo Saenz.
59
Substitution Substitution
Gonzalo Petit is substituted for Rayan Zinebi.
59
Update Update
Alvaro Lemos replaces Pau Casadesus Castro.
59
Update Update
On comes Percan, off goes Adrian Fuentes.
54
Attempt Attempt
Carlos Albarran takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
53
Update Update
Mikel Goti Lopez is on, and Alberto del Moral is off.
48
Attempt Attempt
Jose Manuel Arnaiz Diaz takes a right-footed shot but misses.
47
Attempt Attempt
Pablo Saenz takes a left-footed shot but misses.
44
Attempt Attempt
Carlos Albarran takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
42
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Baila Diallo receives a yellow card.
37
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Requena Sanchez takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
34
Attempt Attempt
Adrian Fuentes attempts a header but misses the shot.
31
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Requena Sanchez takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
31
Attempt Attempt
Adrian Fuentes attempts a header but misses the shot.
28
Attempt Attempt
Adrian Fuentes takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
28
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Villodres takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
26
Attempt Attempt
Jose Alejandro Martin Valeron takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
25
Attempt Attempt
Ignasi Vilarrasa takes a left-footed shot that hits the post.
19
Attempt Attempt
Jose Alejandro Martin Valeron takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
15
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Villodres takes a right-footed shot but misses.
13
Attempt Attempt
Cristian Carracedo takes a shot with his right foot, but it hits the post.
9
Attempt Attempt
Cristian Carracedo takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.

CONCLUSION

Córdoba's 1-0 triumph over Granada exemplifies defensive mastery and mental fortitude, especially after the red card reduced them to ten men. Holding 55% possession and converting limited chances proved decisive against a resilient Granada. This outcome, aligning with their stronger status and market views, signals positive momentum. Efficiency held steady without shifts, though red card distortion tested adaptations. The significant structural deviation highlights Córdoba's overperformance, setting a strong foundation for upcoming fixtures. Granada's inability to capitalize leaves questions over their finishing, but Córdoba's grit earns full praise.

Córdoba vs Granada preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

La Liga 2, Spain View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ

Author

Dan A

Dan A creates clear football match previews built around team form, performance trends, and practical pre-match insights.