Como vs Roma Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia Sun, 15 Mar - 5:00 PM
Serie A
Como COM
2 Winner 1
Roma ROM
Full Time Sun, 15 Mar 5:00 PM
Diego Carlos - 79'
Anastasios Douvikas  - 59'
Goal
|
Goal
Donyell Malen - 7' (P)
|
Second yellow card Wesley 64'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Como 2–0 Roma. The result saw Como take the points. Como showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 66%–34%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Como showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

D. Massa

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

S. Sozza

4th Official

F. Meli

1st Assistant

S. Alassio

2nd Assistant

Como F. Fàbregas i Soler
F. Fàbregas i Soler
VS
Roma G. Gasperini
G. Gasperini
1.73
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fiorentina Rank: 76 L
Atalanta Rank: 86 D
Torino Rank: 73 W
Lazio Rank: 80 W
AC Milan Rank: 87 L
Bologna Rank: 79 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Torino Rank: 73 W
Sassuolo Rank: 73 W
Lecce Rank: 69 W
Atalanta Rank: 86 L
Genoa Rank: 73 W
Juventus Rank: 85 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Como
44.37%
Draw
30.34%
Away Roma
25.29%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
83.92
83.61
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Como
Roma
Power Score
83.92
83.61
League Position
4
6
Global Rank
36
39

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Como — Opponent-weighted form score
Roma — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Como Roma

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Como

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Roma

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Como ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Roma
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
37.12
11.18
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
11.18
37.12
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Como +2.78 Efficiency Index
vs
Roma -2.78 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Como
Roma
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Como ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Roma
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Como Roma
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Como Roma
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Como
Roma
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Como COM Home
3 matches
Roma ROM Away
Match Record
1
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
3
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T02:44:35+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
J. Butez
France
1 J. Butez
J. Naveros
Spain
14 J. Naveros
D. Santos Silva
Brazil
34 D. Santos Silva
M. Kempf
Substitution
Germany
2 M. Kempf
I. Smolčić
Croatia
28 I. Smolčić
L. Da Cunha
Substitution
France
33 (C) L. Da Cunha
S. Roberto Carnicer
Substitution
Spain
8 S. Roberto Carnicer
?. Valle Gómez
Spain
3 ?. Valle Gómez
M. Caqueret
Substitution
France
6 M. Caqueret
M. Baturina
Croatia
20 M. Baturina
N. Paz Martínez
Substitution
Argentina
10 N. Paz Martínez
Pitch
M. Svilar
Serbia
99 M. Svilar
M. Hermoso Canseco
Substitution
Spain
22 M. Hermoso Canseco
G. Mancini
Italy
23 G. Mancini
D. Ghilardi
Italy
87 D. Ghilardi
W. França Lima
Brazil
43 W. França Lima
K. Kone
France
17 K. Kone
B. Cristante
Italy
4 (C) B. Cristante
M. Çelik
Substitution
Turkey
19 M. Çelik
S. El Shaarawy
Substitution
Italy
92 S. El Shaarawy
L. Pellegrini
Substitution
Italy
7 L. Pellegrini
D. Malen
Substitution
Netherlands
14 D. Malen

General Information

Date & Time :
Mar 15, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadium :
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Capacity :
13602
Attendance :
11977
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Simone Sozza
Filippo Meli
Stefano Alassio
Davide Massa

Statistics

Possession
COM
65%
ROM
35%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
4 Big Chances Created 1
22 Shots 3
50 Dangerous attacks 16
66 Possession 34
7 Corners 1
18 Free kicks 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

55 Successful Dribbles Percentage 40
2 Hit Woodwork 0
20 Dribble Attempts 5
11 Successful Dribbles 2
13 Throwins 9
21 Successful Headers 12
0 Penalties 1
67 Ball Safe 55
14 Goal Attempts 1
5 Goal Kicks 9
5 Substitutions 5
1 Assists 0

Attacking

105 Attacks 61
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

548 Passes 276
13 Key Passes 2
50 Long Passes 51
87 Successful Passes Percentage 73
477 Successful Passes 202
52 Successful Long Passes Percentage 27
26 Successful Long Passes 14

Defensive

3 Interceptions 7
0 Saves 5
7 Tackles 20
57 Duels Won 49

Build-up

4 Accurate Crosses 1
19 Total Crosses 6

Discipline

0 Offsides 1
16 Fouls 18

Lineup

Referee : Davide Massa

Starting XI ▼

1
Jean Butez
Jean Butez Goalkeeper
6.49
2
Marc Oliver Kempf
Marc Oliver Kempf Defender
6.28
11
Anastasios Douvikas
Anastasios Douvikas
Attacker46'
7.14
14
Jacobo Ramón
Jacobo Ramón Defender
6.66
34
Diego Carlos
Diego Carlos Defender
6.81
3
Álex Valle
Álex Valle Midfielder
7.69
8
Sergi Roberto
Sergi Roberto Midfielder
6.67
38
Assane Diao
Assane Diao
Attacker46'
7.1
28
Ivan Smolcic
Ivan Smolcic Midfielder
7.25
33
Lucas Da Cunha
Lucas Da Cunha (C) Midfielder
7.26
77
Ignace Van der Brempt
Ignace Van der Brempt
Defender87'
6
Maxence Caqueret
Maxence Caqueret Attacker
6.98
23
Máximo Perrone
Máximo Perrone
Midfielder67'
6.55
10
Nico Paz
Nico Paz Attacker
7.07
17
Jesús Rodríguez
Jesús Rodríguez
Attacker77'
6.66
20
Martin Baturina
Martin Baturina Attacker
7.98
Referee : Davide Massa

Starting XI ▼

99
Mile Svilar
Mile Svilar Goalkeeper
7.04
22
Mario Hermoso
Mario Hermoso Defender
6.89
24
Jan Ziolkowski
Jan Ziolkowski
Defender70'
6.65
23
Gianluca Mancini
Gianluca Mancini Defender
6.64
87
Daniele Ghilardi
Daniele Ghilardi Defender
6.71
4
Bryan Cristante
Bryan Cristante (C) Midfielder
6.26
17
Manu Koné
Manu Koné Midfielder
6.23
19
Zeki Çelik
Zeki Çelik Midfielder
6.41
12
Konstantinos Tsimikas
Konstantinos Tsimikas
Defender70'
6.32
43
Wesley
Wesley Midfielder
5.83
7
Lorenzo Pellegrini
Lorenzo Pellegrini Attacker
6.76
61
Niccolò Pisilli
Niccolò Pisilli
Midfielder67'
6.19
14
Donyell Malen
Donyell Malen Attacker
7
78
Robinio Vaz
Robinio Vaz
Attacker67'
6.42
92
Stephan El Shaarawy
Stephan El Shaarawy Attacker
7.43
2
Devyne Rensch
Devyne Rensch
Defender56'
5.77

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Ignace Van der Brempt → Lucas Da Cunha 
10th Substitution
87'
Event
Diego Carlos
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
79'
Event
Jesús Rodríguez → Nico Paz
9th Substitution
77'
77'
Event
Daniele Ghilardi
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Diego Carlos
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
73'
70'
Event
Konstantinos Tsimikas → Zeki Çelik
7th Substitution
70'
Event
Jan Ziolkowski → Mario Hermoso
8th Substitution
Event
Máximo Perrone → Maxence Caqueret
4th Substitution
67'
67'
Event
Niccolò Pisilli → Lorenzo Pellegrini
5th Substitution
67'
Event
Robinio Vaz → Donyell Malen
6th Substitution
64'
Event
Wesley
Foul / 1st Yellow/red Card
Event
Maxence Caqueret
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
63'
Event
Anastasios Douvikas 
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
59'
56'
Event
Devyne Rensch → Stephan El Shaarawy
3rd Substitution
48'
Event
Wesley
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Assane Diao  → Sergi Roberto
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Anastasios Douvikas  → Marc Oliver Kempf
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
7'
Event
Donyell Malen
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 5 minutes of stoppage time.
90
Attempt Attempt
The attempt on goal was thwarted. Assane Diao from Como took a left-footed shot from inside the six-yard box, but it was blocked on the left side. The assist came from Álex Valle.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the final score: Como 2, Roma 1.
89
Update Update
Bryan Cristante from Roma committed a foul.
89
Update Update
Martin Baturina from Como has earned a free kick in an offensive position.
88
Update Update
Jan Ziólkowski from Roma committed a foul.
88
Update Update
Assane Diao from Como has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Como: Ignace Van der Brempt comes on to replace Lucas da Cunha.
84
Attempt Attempt
Lucas da Cunha from Como strikes the crossbar with a left-footed shot taken from the right side of the penalty area.
80
Update Update
Gianluca Mancini from Roma has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
80
Update Update
Tasos Douvikas from Como committed a foul.
79
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Ivan Smolcic from Como takes a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it's successfully stopped by the goalkeeper.
79
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Como leads 2-1 against Roma. Diego Carlos scores with a right-footed shot from close range into the bottom left corner following a corner kick.
78
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Como after Mile Svilar allowed the ball to go out.
78
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive move unfolds as Assane Diao from Como takes a left-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area. However, Mile Svilar from Roma makes a great save, denying the attempt by stopping the ball in the top center of the goal. The assist came from Martin Baturina.
77
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Daniele Ghilardi of Roma has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
77
Update Update
Martin Baturina from Como was awarded a free kick on the left side of the field.
77
Update Update
Daniele Ghilardi from Roma committed a foul.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Como: Jesús Rodríguez replaces Nico Paz.
76
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Martin Baturina from Como attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area.
73
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Diego Carlos from Como has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
73
Update Update
Foul committed by Lucas da Cunha of Como.
73
Update Update
Manu Koné from Roma was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
73
Update Update
Robinio Vaz from Roma earned a free kick in an offensive position.
73
Update Update
Fouled by Diego Carlos - Como. nnRephrased: Diego Carlos committed a foul against Como.
72
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Lucas da Cunha from Como takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it narrowly misses the top left corner. The assist came from Martin Baturina.
71
Update Update
Assane Diao from Como was awarded a free kick on the right side of the field.
71
Update Update
Kostas Tsimikas of Roma committed a foul.
70
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Roma: Jan Ziólkowski comes on to replace Mario Hermoso.
70
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Roma: Kostas Tsimikas comes on to replace Zeki Çelik, who is unable to continue due to an injury.
70
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
69
Update Update
Match halted due to an injury to Zeki Çelik of Roma.
67
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Roma: Niccolò Pisilli comes on to replace Lorenzo Pellegrini.
67
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Roma: Robinio Vaz comes on to replace Donyell Malen.
67
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Roma: Robinio Vaz replaces Donyell Malen.
66
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Maxence Caqueret from Como attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it went wide to the left.
66
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is denied. Nico Paz from Como fires a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked.
64
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Wesley from Roma receives his second yellow card for committing a foul.
64
Update Update
Assane Diao from Como earned a free kick in an offensive position.
64
Update Update
Wesley commits a foul on a Roma player.
63
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Maxence Caqueret from Como has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
63
Update Update
Maxence Caqueret committed a foul against Como.
63
Update Update
Lorenzo Pellegrini from Roma earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
62
Update Update
Nico Paz from Como earned a free kick in the defensive area.
62
Update Update
Bryan Cristante from Roma committed a foul.
62
Update Update
Assane Diao from Como has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
62
Update Update
Fouled by Devyne Rensch of Roma.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Roma after Diego Carlos allowed the ball to go out.
60
Update Update
Martin Baturina committed a foul against Como.
60
Update Update
Zeki Çelik from Roma has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
59
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! It's now Como 1, Roma 1. Tasos Douvikas scores for Como with a left-footed shot from the left side of the box into the center of the net. The assist comes from Álex Valle.
58
Update Update
Tasos Douvikas from Como has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
58
Update Update
Gianluca Mancini from Roma committed a foul.
57
Update Update
Daniele Ghilardi from Roma committed a foul.
57
Corner Corner
Another offensive move underway. Ivan Smolcic from Como attempts a header from the middle of the penalty area, but Mile Svilar from Roma makes a save, directing the ball to the left corner.
57
Update Update
Martin Baturina from Como has been awarded a free kick in an attacking position.
56
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Roma: Devyne Rensch comes on to replace Stephan El Shaarawy.
55
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Como, following a foul by Gianluca Mancini.
55
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Roma: Devyne Rensch comes on to replace Stephan El Shaarawy.
52
Update Update
Foul committed by Lucas da Cunha from Como.
52
Update Update
Daniele Ghilardi from Roma has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
51
Update Update
Daniele Ghilardi from Roma was awarded a free kick on the right flank.
51
Update Update
Martin Baturina committed a foul against Como.
50
Update Update
Tasos Douvikas from Como committed a foul.
50
Update Update
Gianluca Mancini from Roma was awarded a free kick on the right side of the field.
48
Update Update
Assane Diao from Como has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
48
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Wesley from Roma has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
48
Update Update
Wesley from Roma committed a foul.
47
Update Update
Stephan El Shaarawy from Roma was awarded a free kick on the left side of the field.
47
Update Update
Stephan El Shaarawy from Roma earned a free kick on the left side of the field.
45
Update Update
Daniele Ghilardi from Roma committed a foul.
45
Update Update
Maxence Caqueret from Como has earned a free kick in an offensive position.
45
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Nico Paz from Como attempted a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area following a free kick.
45
Attempt Attempt
Nico Paz had a great opportunity but couldn't convert. He took a left-footed shot from the center of the box that just missed the target. The assist came from Maxence Caqueret.
45
Update Update
Jacobo Ramón from Como committed a foul.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with the score standing at Como 0, Roma 1.
45
Update Update
Daniele Ghilardi from Roma has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be two minutes of stoppage time.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Como: Tasos Douvikas comes on to replace Marc Oliver Kempf.
44
Update Update
Marc Oliver Kempf from Como committed a foul.
44
Update Update
Lorenzo Pellegrini from Roma has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
43
Update Update
Martin Baturina from Como has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
43
Update Update
Daniele Ghilardi from Roma committed a foul.
42
Update Update
Wesley from Roma has been awarded a free kick on the left side of the field.
42
Update Update
Ivan Smolcic from Como committed a foul.
41
Update Update
Foul committed by Lucas da Cunha from Como.
41
Update Update
Gianluca Mancini from Roma has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
41
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
39
Update Update
Match is currently paused due to an injury to Diego Carlos from Como.
38
Attempt Attempt
Jacobo Ramón from Como strikes the left post with a right-footed shot taken from the center of the penalty area. The assist came from Lucas da Cunha, who delivered a cross.
34
Update Update
Daniele Ghilardi from Roma committed a foul.
34
Update Update
Martin Baturina from Como was awarded a free kick on the left side of the field.
32
Update Update
The attempt is thwarted. Ivan Smolcic from Como heads the ball from the center of the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Martin Baturina, who delivered a cross.
31
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Como after Wesley allowed the ball to go out.
28
Update Update
Nico Paz from Como has been awarded a free kick in an attacking position.
28
Update Update
Nico Paz from Como was awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
28
Update Update
Bryan Cristante from Roma committed a foul.
28
Update Update
Marc Oliver Kempf from Como earned a free kick on the left side of the field.
27
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Como after Wesley's defensive play resulted in the ball going out.
26
Update Update
Offside call against Roma. Donyell Malen is positioned offside.
24
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive move unfolds as Álex Valle from Como takes a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but Mile Svilar from Roma makes a save in the bottom left corner.
23
Update Update
Zeki Çelik from Roma committed a foul.
23
Update Update
Marc Oliver Kempf from Como has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
22
Update Update
The pause has ended. The teams are set to resume play.
21
Update Update
Match interruption due to an injury to Jacobo Ramón from Como.
20
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Bryan Cristante from Roma takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
17
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
17
Update Update
Match is currently on hold due to an injury to Maxence Caqueret from Como.
16
Update Update
Maxence Caqueret from Como has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
16
Update Update
Mario Hermoso from Roma committed a foul.
15
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive play unfolds as Nico Paz from Como takes a left-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but Mile Svilar of Roma makes a great save, pushing the ball to the left corner. The assist came from Ivan Smolcic.
13
Update Update
Wesley of Roma has been awarded a free kick in their defensive half.
13
Update Update
Wesley from Roma has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
11
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Como, following a foul by Gianluca Mancini.
11
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Lucas da Cunha from Como takes a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it's blocked.
10
Update Update
Sergi Roberto - Como - earned a free kick in the defensive area.
10
Update Update
Bryan Cristante from Roma committed a foul.
9
Update Update
The attempt is thwarted. Álex Valle from Como takes a left-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked.
7
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Como 0, Roma 1. Donyell Malen from Roma scores the penalty, striking the ball with his right foot straight down the middle of the goal.
6
Update Update
Diego Carlos has given away a penalty for Como following a foul committed inside the box.
6
Update Update
Penalty awarded to Roma! Stephan El Shaarawy is brought down inside the box.
5
Update Update
Mario Hermoso from Roma has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
5
Update Update
Nico Paz from Como committed a foul.
4
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Maxence Caqueret from Como fires a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked.
3
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Maxence Caqueret from Como takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Martin Baturina.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Como after Daniele Ghilardi allowed the ball to go out.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Como after Wesley's defensive play.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Como exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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