Como vs Napoli Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia Sat, 2 May - 4:00 PM
Serie A
Como COM
0 – 0
Napoli NAP
Full Time Sat, 2 May 4:00 PM
Round 35 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Como and Napoli played out a goalless 0-0 draw in Serie A, with the home side Como holding 57% possession against Napoli's 43%. The halftime score stood at 0-0, and the second half produced no breakthroughs despite Napoli entering as the stronger team. Como's control of the ball did not yield clear scoring opportunities, while Napoli struggled to convert their quality into goals. No red cards were issued, and no significant second-half adjustments were noted, maintaining a balanced structure throughout. The result marks a significant structural deviation for Napoli, who underperformed relative to their status. Absent xG data prevents detailed chance quality assessment, but the stalemate underscores Como's defensive solidity in frustrating the visitors. This outcome defied pre-match expectations where Napoli were favored.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Significant 70.5% structural deviation occurred, with Napoli underperforming relative to their stronger team status.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations across both halves.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable, so alignment with outcome cannot be assessed.
  • Market alignment: Outcome did not align with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unevaluable due to lack of underlying data.
  • Event impact: No notable events or second-half adjustments impacted the match flow.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards issued, resulting in zero distortion from dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Fabbri

Fouls / match 0
Yellow cards / match 0
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

G. Baccini

1st Assistant

K. Bahri

2nd Assistant

M. Perri

4th Official

Como F. Fàbregas i Soler
F. Fàbregas i Soler
VS
Napoli A. Conte
A. Conte
1.83
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.96
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Genoa Rank: 74 W
Sassuolo Rank: 73 L
Inter Rank: 90 L
Udinese Rank: 76 D
Pisa Rank: 63 W
Roma Rank: 85 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cremonese Rank: 67 W
Lazio Rank: 79 L
Parma Rank: 70 D
AC Milan Rank: 85 W
Cagliari Rank: 71 W
Lecce Rank: 69 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 2 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Como
42.27%
Draw
29.52%
Away Napoli
28.21%

Movement

Changes since opening
Como
+38.22%
Draw
-60.95%
Napoli
+22.73%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
83.67
85.84
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Como
Napoli
Power Score
83.67
85.84
League Position
5
2
Global Rank
41
31

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Como — Opponent-weighted form score
Napoli — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Como Napoli

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Como

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Napoli

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Como ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Napoli
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
32.02
22.33
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
22.33
32.02
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Como +0.98 Efficiency Index
vs
Napoli -0.98 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Como
Napoli
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Como ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Napoli
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Como Napoli
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Como Napoli
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Como
Napoli
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Como
vs
Napoli
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Como Napoli
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Como 0.36
Napoli 0.25
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Como Napoli
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Como 0.00
Napoli 0.00
Como
Napoli
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • NAP had peak pressure around 84'.
  • COM started the game with stronger pressure.
COM Pressure NAP Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: NAP reached the top pressure at 84' (81.62).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Como COM Home
4 matches
Napoli NAP Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
2
Draws
2
1
Losses
1
Goals
4
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
4
-1
Goal Difference
+1

Data last updated: 2026-05-03T00:05:10+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
J. Butez
France
1 J. Butez
I. Smolčić
Croatia
28 I. Smolčić
J. Naveros
Spain
14 J. Naveros
D. Santos Silva
Brazil
34 D. Santos Silva
?. Valle Gómez
Substitution
Spain
3 ?. Valle Gómez
M. Perrone
Argentina
23 M. Perrone
L. Da Cunha
Substitution
France
33 L. Da Cunha
A. Diao Diaoune
Substitution
Senegal
38 A. Diao Diaoune
N. Paz Martínez
Argentina
10 N. Paz Martínez
M. Baturina
Substitution
Croatia
20 M. Baturina
A. Douvikas
Substitution
Greece
11 A. Douvikas
Pitch
V. Milinković Savić
Serbia
32 V. Milinković Savić
A. Buongiorno
Italy
4 A. Buongiorno
A. Rrahmani
Substitution
Kosovo
13 A. Rrahmani
S. Beukema
Netherlands
31 S. Beukema
M. Gutiérrez Ortega
Spain
3 M. Gutiérrez Ortega
S. McTominay
Scotland
8 S. McTominay
S. Lobotka
Slovakia
68 S. Lobotka
M. Politano
Italy
21 M. Politano
A. de Almeida Santos
Brazil
27 A. de Almeida Santos
K. De Bruyne
Substitution
Belgium
11 K. De Bruyne
R. Højlund
Denmark
19 R. Højlund

General Information

Date & Time :
May 02, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Capacity :
13602
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Michael Fabbri
Giovanni Baccini
Khaled Bahri
Mario Perri

Statistics

Possession
COM
56%
NAP
44%

Top Statistics

2 Big Chances Created 1
3 Shots 3
45 Dangerous attacks 32
57 Possession 43
3 Corners 2
10 Free kicks 11
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

0 Hit Woodwork 1
9 Successful Headers 6
14 Dribble Attempts 11
13 Throwins 15
6 Goal Kicks 13
7 Successful Dribbles 7
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 64
10 Goal Attempts 5
58 Ball Safe 75
1 Injuries 1
5 Substitutions 2

Attacking

2 Big Chances Missed 1
91 Attacks 57

Possession

465 Successful Passes 327
506 Passes 385
37 Long Passes 51
22 Successful Long Passes 19
59 Successful Long Passes Percentage 37
92 Successful Passes Percentage 85
10 Key Passes 7

Defensive

39 Duels Won 34
6 Interceptions 2
13 Tackles 10
1 Saves 4

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 7
5 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
11 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Michael Fabbri

Starting XI ▼

1
Jean Butez
Jean Butez Goalkeeper
7.07
3
Álex Valle
Álex Valle Defender
6.86
18
Alberto Moreno
Alberto Moreno
Defender80'
6.88
14
Jacobo Ramón
Jacobo Ramón Defender
7.01
28
Ivan Smolcic
Ivan Smolcic Defender
6.87
34
Diego Carlos
Diego Carlos Defender
6.85
10
Nico Paz
Nico Paz Midfielder
7.53
20
Martin Baturina
Martin Baturina Midfielder
7.11
17
Jesús Rodríguez
Jesús Rodríguez
Attacker80'
6.85
23
Máximo Perrone
Máximo Perrone Midfielder
7.01
33
Lucas Da Cunha
Lucas Da Cunha Midfielder
7.07
8
Sergi Roberto
Sergi Roberto
Midfielder86'
6.63
38
Assane Diao
Assane Diao Midfielder
6.71
31
Mërgim Vojvoda
Mërgim Vojvoda
Defender86'
6.8
11
Anastasios Douvikas
Anastasios Douvikas Attacker
6.85
7
Álvaro Morata
Álvaro Morata
Attacker80'
6.63
Referee : Michael Fabbri

Starting XI ▼

32
Vanja Milinković-Savić
Vanja Milinković-Savić Goalkeeper
6.85
4
Alessandro Buongiorno
Alessandro Buongiorno Defender
6.78
13
Amir Rrahmani
Amir Rrahmani Defender
7.03
37
Leonardo Spinazzola
Leonardo Spinazzola
Defender80'
6.77
31
Sam Beukema
Sam Beukema Defender
6.84
3
Miguel Gutiérrez
Miguel Gutiérrez Midfielder
6.8
8
Scott McTominay
Scott McTominay Midfielder
7.18
21
Matteo Politano
Matteo Politano Midfielder
6.96
68
Stanislav Lobotka
Stanislav Lobotka Midfielder
6.87
11
Kevin De Bruyne
Kevin De Bruyne Attacker
7.29
99
Frank Anguissa
Frank Anguissa
Midfielder60'
7.02
19
Rasmus Højlund
Rasmus Højlund Attacker
6.88
27
Alisson Santos
Alisson Santos Attacker
7.17

Events

2ND-HALF
89'
Event
Matteo Politano 
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Sergi Roberto → Lucas Da Cunha 
6th Substitution
86'
Event
Mërgim Vojvoda → Assane Diao 
7th Substitution
86'
Event
Jesús Rodríguez → Martin Baturina
4th Substitution
80'
Event
Álvaro Morata → Anastasios Douvikas 
2nd Substitution
80'
Event
Alberto Moreno → Álex Valle
3rd Substitution
80'
80'
Event
Leonardo Spinazzola → Amir Rrahmani 
5th Substitution
Event
Cesc Fàbregas
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
77'
Event
Jacobo Ramón
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
69'
60'
Event
Frank Anguissa  → Kevin De Bruyne 
1st Substitution

Match Commentary

89
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Matteo Politano receives a yellow card.
86
Update Update
Mergim Vojvoda comes on for Assane Diao.
86
Update Update
Sergi Roberto Carnicer comes on for Lucas Da Cunha.
84
Attempt Attempt
Matteo Politano takes a left-footed shot that hits the post.
83
Attempt Attempt
Leonardo Spinazzola takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
80
Update Update
Leonardo Spinazzola is on, and Amir Rrahmani is off.
80
Attempt Attempt
Scott McTominay takes a left-footed shot but misses.
80
Substitution Substitution
Alvaro Morata is substituted for Anastasios Douvikas.
80
Update Update
Jesus Rodriguez replaces Martin Baturina.
80
Update Update
Alberto Moreno comes on for Alex Valle Gomez.
69
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Jacobo Ramon Naveros.
64
Attempt Attempt
Martin Baturina takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
60
Attempt Attempt
Assane Diao attempted a header but missed the shot.
60
Update Update
Andre Zambo Anguissa replaces Kevin De Bruyne.
55
Attempt Attempt
Jacobo Ramon Naveros attempts a header but misses the shot.
55
Attempt Attempt
Diego Carlos attempts a header but misses the shot.
52
Attempt Attempt
Assane Diao takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
49
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Da Cunha takes a left-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Rasmus Hojlund's left-footed shot is blocked.
44
Attempt Attempt
Nicolas Paz Martinez takes a left-footed shot but misses.
31
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Da Cunha's left-footed shot is blocked.
31
Attempt Attempt
Jacobo Ramon Naveros takes a shot with his right foot, but it's blocked.
30
Attempt Attempt
Assane Diao's left-footed shot is saved.
27
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Ivan Smolcic with another body part, but it misses the target.
26
Attempt Attempt
Alisson Santos takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
23
Attempt Attempt
Martin Baturina takes a right-footed shot but misses.
18
Attempt Attempt
Assane Diao takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
13
Attempt Attempt
Scott McTominay takes a right-footed shot but misses.
12
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Da Cunha takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
10
Attempt Attempt
Matteo Politano takes a left-footed shot but misses.
8
Attempt Attempt
Anastasios Douvikas takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
8
Attempt Attempt
Nicolas Paz Martinez takes a left-footed shot but misses.
6
Attempt Attempt
Scott McTominay takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Michael Fabbri.

CONCLUSION

The 0-0 draw represents a defensive masterclass by Como, who leveraged superior possession to stifle Napoli's attacks without creating decisive chances themselves. Napoli, despite their stronger pedigree, exhibited inefficiency in the final third, contributing to the significant deviation from anticipated dominance. With even possession dynamics at halftime and no disruptive events like red cards, the game stayed cagey end-to-end. This result bolsters Como's survival prospects while denting Napoli's momentum, highlighting how fine margins define tight contests in Serie A.

Como vs Napoli preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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Daniels Zorge

Daniels Zorge covers football fixtures with a focus on tactical matchups, playing styles, and key details that shape each game.