Club Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Jan Breydelstadion Sun, 17 May - 4:30 PM
Pro League
Club Brugge BRU
Versus
Union Saint-Gilloise USG
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 4:30 PM
Round 8 Championship Round

CONTEXT

Club Brugge host Union Saint-Gilloise in Pro League (Championship Round) at Jan Breydelstadion. Domestically, Club Brugge sit 2th in the table while Union Saint-Gilloise are 2th. Power ranking favours Club Brugge by 0.3 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Club Brugge enjoys a 0.3 power point advantage and home venue at Jan Breydelstadion over Union Saint-Gilloise.
  • Form: Club Brugge leads in form with a 62.61 score versus Union Saint-Gilloise's 58.72.
  • Squad: Both teams occupy 2nd place in domestic league positions, indicating squad parity.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not provided in available metrics.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance unavailable due to lack of xG data and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG variables unavailable as add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Projection split: Club Brugge 44.5% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.1% (Δ+0%) | Union Saint-Gilloise 29.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Club Brugge I. Leko
I. Leko
VS
Union Saint-Gilloise D. Hubert
D. Hubert
2.26
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.13
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sint-Truiden Rank: 79 W
Anderlecht Rank: 73 W
Gent Rank: 72 W
Mechelen Rank: 70 W
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: 85 L
Sint-Truiden Rank: 78 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mechelen Rank: 70 W
Sint-Truiden Rank: 77 L
Anderlecht Rank: 73 W
Gent Rank: 72 D
Club Brugge Rank: 84 W
Mechelen Rank: 70 W
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 8 - 5
5
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Club Brugge
44.5%
Draw
26.07%
Away Union Saint-Gilloise
29.43%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
86.49
86.17
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Club Brugge
Union Saint-Gilloise
Power Score
86.49
86.17
League Position
2
2
Global Rank
27
29

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Club Brugge — Opponent-weighted form score
Union Saint-Gilloise — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Club Brugge Union Saint-Gilloise

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Club Brugge BRU Home
19 matches
Union Saint-Gilloise USG Away
Match Record
6
Wins
5
8
Draws
8
5
Losses
6
Goals
22
Goals Scored
19
19
Goals Conceded
22
+3
Goal Difference
-3

Data last updated: 2026-05-13T01:06:49+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
D. van den Heuvel
16 D. van den Heuvel
H. Siquet
41 H. Siquet
J. Ordóñez Guerrero
4 J. Ordóñez Guerrero
B. Mechele
44 B. Mechele
J. Seys
65 J. Seys
C. Sandra
11 C. Sandra
A. Stankovic
25 A. Stankovic
C. Borges
9 C. Borges
H. Vanaken
20 H. Vanaken
C. Tzolis
8 C. Tzolis
N. Tresoldi
7 N. Tresoldi
Pitch
K. Scherpen
37 K. Scherpen
F. Leysen
48 F. Leysen
M. Sylla
29 M. Sylla
R. Sykes
26 R. Sykes
G. da Silva Carvalho
11 G. da Silva Carvalho
K. Van de Perre
6 K. Van de Perre
R. Schoofs
17 R. Schoofs
A. Khalaili
25 A. Khalaili
A. El Hadj
10 A. El Hadj
K. Rodríguez Cortéz
13 K. Rodríguez Cortéz
M. Biondic
9 M. Biondic

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 8 · Championship Round
Stadium :
Jan Breydelstadion
Capacity :
29975
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

16
Dani van den Heuvel
Dani van den Heuvel Goalkeeper
6.6
7
Nicolò Tresoldi
Nicolò Tresoldi Centre Forward
7.04
4
Joel Ordóñez
Joel Ordóñez Right Back
6.87
9
Carlos Forbs
Carlos Forbs Right Wing
7.01
20
Hans Vanaken
Hans Vanaken Attacking Midfield
7.29
25
Aleksandar Stanković
Aleksandar Stanković Defensive Midfield
7.15
44
Brandon Mechele
Brandon Mechele Left Back
7.19
65
Joaquin Seys
Joaquin Seys Left Back
6.85
8
Christos Tzolis
Christos Tzolis Left Wing
7.8
11
Cisse Sandra
Cisse Sandra Defensive Midfield
6.67
41
Hugo Siquet
Hugo Siquet Right Back
6.8

Starting XI ▼

37
Kjell Scherpen
Kjell Scherpen Goalkeeper
6.94
11
Guilherme Smith
Guilherme Smith Midfielder
6.89
25
Anan Khalaili
Anan Khalaili Midfielder
7.16
13
Kevin Rodríguez
Kevin Rodríguez Centre Forward
6.98
9
Mateo Biondic
Mateo Biondic Attacker
6.94
10
Anouar Ait El Hadj
Anouar Ait El Hadj Attacker
7
6
Kamiel Van De Perre
Kamiel Van De Perre Central Midfield
6.9
29
Massiré Sylla
Massiré Sylla Centre Back
6.59
17
Rob Schoofs
Rob Schoofs Central Midfield
6.99
26
Ross Sykes
Ross Sykes Right Back
7.27
48
Fedde Leysen
Fedde Leysen Left Back
6.9

CONCLUSION

Club Brugge's subtle power and form edges, combined with home familiarity at Jan Breydelstadion, position them as marginal favorites in this evenly poised Championship Round clash. Union's competitive standing and near-identical power score ensure a tense affair, where execution in open play and transitions will likely determine the outcome. Lacking granular efficiency or set-piece insights, the contest pivots on structural discipline and momentum management. Both teams' 2nd-place status underscores the fine margins, promising a tactical chess match with potential for narrow margins.

Club Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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