Club Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Jan Breydelstadion Sun, 17 May - 4:30 PM
Pro League
Club Brugge BRU
5 Winner 0
Union Saint-Gilloise USG
Full Time Sun, 17 May 4:30 PM
Round 8 Championship Round
Carlos Forbs - 90+4'
Christos Tzolis - 87'
Hans Vanaken - 45+1', 30'
Joaquin Seys - 37'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Club Brugge defeated Union Saint-Gilloise 5-0 in the match. The home team established a 3-0 lead by halftime. Club Brugge recorded 2.3 expected goals while Union Saint-Gilloise posted 1.68. Possession stood at 47 percent for the home side and 53 percent for the visitors. No red cards were issued to either team during the contest. The stronger team according to pre-match indicators prevailed as expected. The final outcome proved consistent with the underlying performance metrics and showed minimal deviation from anticipated patterns. The result reflected steady control by Club Brugge across both halves without major disruptions.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Deviation measured 2.4 percent and remained minimal for Club Brugge.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with pre-match team profiles.
  • xG alignment: The 5-0 result aligned directly with the 2.3 to 1.68 xG split.
  • Market alignment: The outcome matched market expectations without notable variance.
  • xG expectations: Home xG of 2.3 supported a multi-goal margin over 1.68 away xG.
  • Event impact: No disruptive events altered the flow beyond standard play.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured the scoreline developed without numerical imbalance.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

L. D'hondt

Belgium 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

K. Van Damme

4th Official

Belgium

R. Devillers

1st Assistant

Belgium

N. Claes

2nd Assistant

Belgium

League averages

Pro League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 18.61
Yellow cards / match 3.13
Red cards / match 0.17
Penalties / match 0.3
Club Brugge I. Leko
I. Leko
VS
Union Saint-Gilloise D. Hubert
D. Hubert
2.26
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.13
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sint-Truiden Rank: 79 W
Anderlecht Rank: 73 W
Gent Rank: 72 W
Mechelen Rank: 69 W
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: 85 L
Sint-Truiden Rank: 78 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mechelen Rank: 70 W
Sint-Truiden Rank: 77 L
Anderlecht Rank: 73 W
Gent Rank: 71 D
Club Brugge Rank: 87 W
Mechelen Rank: 69 W
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 8 - 5
5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Club Brugge
97.6%
Draw
1.91%
Away Union Saint-Gilloise
0.49%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
87.14
84.86
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Club Brugge
Union Saint-Gilloise
Power Score
87.14
84.86
League Position
2
2
Global Rank
22
34

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Club Brugge — Opponent-weighted form score
Union Saint-Gilloise — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Club Brugge Union Saint-Gilloise

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Club Brugge

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Union Saint-Gilloise

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Club Brugge ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Union Saint-Gilloise
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
39.68
45.66
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
45.66
39.68
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Club Brugge -0.57 Efficiency Index
vs
Union Saint-Gilloise +0.57 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Club Brugge
Union Saint-Gilloise
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Club Brugge
vs
Union Saint-Gilloise
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Club Brugge Union Saint-Gilloise
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Club Brugge Union Saint-Gilloise
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Club Brugge
Union Saint-Gilloise
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Club Brugge
vs
Union Saint-Gilloise
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Club Brugge Union Saint-Gilloise
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Club Brugge 0.52
Union Saint-Gilloise 0.50
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Club Brugge Union Saint-Gilloise
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Club Brugge 0.00
Union Saint-Gilloise 0.15
Club Brugge
Union Saint-Gilloise
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • USG had peak pressure around 65'.
  • BRU started the game with stronger pressure.
BRU Pressure USG Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: USG reached the top pressure at 65' (87.57).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Club Brugge BRU Home
19 matches
Union Saint-Gilloise USG Away
Match Record
6
Wins
5
8
Draws
8
5
Losses
6
Goals
22
Goals Scored
19
19
Goals Conceded
22
+3
Goal Difference
-3

Data last updated: 2026-05-18T09:05:14+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
D. van den Heuvel
Netherlands
16 D. van den Heuvel
H. Siquet
Substitution
Belgium
41 H. Siquet
J. Ordóñez Guerrero
Ecuador
4 J. Ordóñez Guerrero
B. Mechele
Belgium
44 B. Mechele
J. Seys
Belgium
65 J. Seys
H. Vanaken
Substitution
Belgium
20 (C) H. Vanaken
A. Stankovic
Substitution
Serbia
25 A. Stankovic
C. Borges
Portugal
9 C. Borges
H. Vetlesen
Substitution
Norway
10 H. Vetlesen
C. Tzolis
Greece
8 C. Tzolis
N. Tresoldi
Substitution
Germany
7 N. Tresoldi
Pitch
K. Scherpen
Netherlands
37 K. Scherpen
R. Sykes
England
26 R. Sykes
C. Burgess
England
16 (C) C. Burgess
K. Mac Allister
Argentina
5 K. Mac Allister
G. da Silva Carvalho
Substitution
Brazil
11 G. da Silva Carvalho
A. Zorgane
Algeria
8 A. Zorgane
K. Van de Perre
Substitution
Belgium
6 K. Van de Perre
A. Khalaili
Israel
25 A. Khalaili
B. Zeneli
Substitution
Kosovo
23 B. Zeneli
M. Biondic
Substitution
Germany
9 M. Biondic
K. Rodríguez Cortéz
Substitution
Ecuador
13 K. Rodríguez Cortéz

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 8 · Championship Round
Stadium :
Jan Breydelstadion
Capacity :
29975
Attendance :
25000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Lothar D'hondt
Kevin Van Damme
Romain Devillers
Nico Claes

Statistics

Possession
BRU
48%
USG
52%

Top Statistics

5 Goals 0
4 Big Chances Created 2
6 Shots 12
33 Dangerous attacks 44
47 Possession 53
6 Corners 10
7 Free kicks 13
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

80 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33
7 Goal Kicks 5
14 Throwins 15
15 Dribble Attempts 9
12 Successful Dribbles 3
1 Hit Woodwork 1
5 Assists 0
5 Substitutions 5
45 Ball Safe 58
1 Injuries 0
9 Goal Attempts 7

Attacking

81 Attacks 115
2 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

76 Successful Passes Percentage 79
10 Key Passes 14
294 Successful Passes 337
388 Passes 424
53 Long Passes 51
18 Successful Long Passes 18
34 Successful Long Passes Percentage 35

Defensive

50 Duels Won 45
17 Tackles 6
13 Interceptions 13
4 Saves 1

Build-up

10 Total Crosses 25
5 Accurate Crosses 7

Discipline

13 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Lothar D'hondt

Starting XI ▼

16
Dani van den Heuvel
Dani van den Heuvel Goalkeeper
7.3
4
Joel Ordóñez
Joel Ordóñez Defender
7.44
41
Hugo Siquet
Hugo Siquet Defender
8
58
Jorne Spileers
Jorne Spileers
Defender75'
7.04
44
Brandon Mechele
Brandon Mechele Defender
7.37
65
Joaquin Seys
Joaquin Seys Defender
7.3
8
Christos Tzolis
Christos Tzolis Midfielder
9.43
9
Carlos Forbs
Carlos Forbs Midfielder
7.55
10
Hugo Vetlesen
Hugo Vetlesen Midfielder
6.49
11
Cisse Sandra
Cisse Sandra
Midfielder62'
6.51
20
Hans Vanaken
Hans Vanaken (C) Midfielder
2
8.9
14
Bjorn Meijer
Bjorn Meijer
Defender84'
6.5
25
Aleksandar Stanković
Aleksandar Stanković Midfielder
7.02
15
Raphael Onyedika
Raphael Onyedika
Midfielder75'
6.63
7
Nicolò Tresoldi
Nicolò Tresoldi Attacker
6.78
17
Romeo Vermant
Romeo Vermant
Attacker75'
6.3
Referee : Lothar D'hondt

Starting XI ▼

37
Kjell Scherpen
Kjell Scherpen Goalkeeper
5.43
5
Kevin Mac Allister
Kevin Mac Allister Defender
6.07
16
Christian Burgess
Christian Burgess (C) Defender
5.94
26
Ross Sykes
Ross Sykes Defender
6.52
6
Kamiel Van De Perre
Kamiel Van De Perre Midfielder
6.54
17
Rob Schoofs
Rob Schoofs
Midfielder61'
6.5
8
Adem Zorgane
Adem Zorgane Midfielder
6.14
11
Guilherme Smith
Guilherme Smith Midfielder
6.25
22
Ousseynou Niang
Ousseynou Niang
Midfielder46'
6.45
25
Anan Khalaili
Anan Khalaili Midfielder
6.73
9
Mateo Biondic
Mateo Biondic Attacker
7.04
7
Mohammed Fuseini
Mohammed Fuseini
Attacker61'
6.48
13
Kevin Rodríguez
Kevin Rodríguez Attacker
6.44
30
Raul Florucz
Raul Florucz
Attacker89'
23
Besfort Zeneli
Besfort Zeneli Attacker
7.12
10
Anouar Ait El Hadj
Anouar Ait El Hadj
Midfielder78'
6.51

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Carlos Forbs
Left foot shot / 5th Goal
90+4'
90+2'
Event
Kevin Mac Allister
Goal disallowed
89'
Event
Raul Florucz → Kevin Rodríguez
10th Substitution
Event
Christos Tzolis
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
87'
Event
Bjorn Meijer → Hans Vanaken
9th Substitution
84'
78'
Event
Anouar Ait El Hadj → Besfort Zeneli
8th Substitution
Event
Jorne Spileers → Hugo Siquet
6th Substitution
75'
Event
Romeo Vermant → Nicolò Tresoldi
7th Substitution
75'
Event
Raphael Onyedika → Aleksandar Stanković
5th Substitution
75'
67'
Event
Christian Burgess
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Cisse Sandra → Hugo Vetlesen
4th Substitution
62'
61'
Event
Mohammed Fuseini → Mateo Biondic
2nd Substitution
61'
Event
Rob Schoofs → Kamiel Van De Perre
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Ousseynou Niang → Guilherme Smith
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Hans Vanaken
Header / 3rd Goal
45+1'
Event
Christos Tzolis
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
42'
Event
Joaquin Seys
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
37'
Event
Hans Vanaken
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
30'
17'
Event
Ross Sykes
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Mac Allister takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Kevin Mac Allister scores, making it 4-1, assisted by Anouar Ait El Hadj.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Carlos Forbs scores to make it 5-1, assisted by Christos Tzolis.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Carlos Borges scores, making it 5-0.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Kevin Mac Allister scores to make it 4-1, assisted by Anouar Ait El Hadj.
90
Update Update
VAR decision: Goal disallowed for offside against Kevin Mac Allister.
89
Update Update
Raul Alexander Florucz comes on for Kevin Rodriguez.
87
Attempt Attempt
Christos Tzolis scores with a right-footed shot.
87
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Christos Tzolis scores, making it 4-0.
87
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Mac Allister takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
85
Attempt Attempt
Anouar Ait El Hadj takes a left-footed shot, which is saved.
84
Update Update
Bjorn Meijer is on, and Hans Vanaken is off.
81
Attempt Attempt
Ross Sykes takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
78
Update Update
Anouar Ait El Hadj replaces Besfort Zeneli.
77
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Romeo Vermant with his left foot is saved.
75
Update Update
Romeo Vermant is on, and Nicolo Tresoldi is off.
75
Update Update
Raphael Onyedika replaces Aleksandar Stankovic.
75
Update Update
Jorne Spileers replaces Hugo Siquet.
74
Attempt Attempt
Ousseynou Niang's right-footed shot is blocked.
73
Attempt Attempt
Hugo Siquet takes a right-footed shot but misses.
71
Attempt Attempt
Mohammed Fuseini takes a right-footed shot but misses.
71
Attempt Attempt
Carlos Borges takes a left-footed shot, but it misses the target.
70
Attempt Attempt
Mohammed Fuseini takes a right-footed shot but misses.
62
Update Update
Cisse Sandra comes on for Hugo Vetlesen.
61
Update Update
Mohammed Fuseini is on, and Mateo Biondic is off.
61
Substitution Substitution
Rob Schoofs is substituted for Kamiel Van De Perre.
61
Attempt Attempt
Rob Schoofs takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
61
Attempt Attempt
Anan Khalaili takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
59
Attempt Attempt
Anan Khalaili's right-footed shot is blocked.
59
Attempt Attempt
Ross Sykes attempts a header but misses the shot.
59
Attempt Attempt
Anan Khalaili takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
58
Attempt Attempt
Mateo Biondic's right-footed shot is saved.
58
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Rodriguez takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
56
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Mac Allister attempted a header but missed the shot.
55
Update Update
Mateo Biondic's header is blocked.
55
Attempt Attempt
Ousseynou Niang takes a right-footed shot but misses.
46
Update Update
Ousseynou Niang is on, and Guilherme Smith is off.
45
Attempt Attempt
Hugo Vetlesen takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Mateo Biondic takes a shot with his head but misses.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Hans Vanaken scores, making it 3-0.
45
Update Update
Hans Vanaken scores with a header.
45
Attempt Attempt
Guilherme Smith's right-footed shot is blocked.
38
Attempt Attempt
Joaquin Seys scores with a right-footed shot.
37
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Joaquin Seys scores, making it 2-0.
30
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Hans Vanaken scores to make it 1-0.
30
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Hans Vanaken with his right foot results in a goal.
23
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Rodriguez takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
23
Attempt Attempt
Besfort Zeneli's right-footed shot is blocked.
23
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Rodriguez takes a right-footed shot but misses.
20
Update Update
Aleksandar Stankovic's header is blocked.
20
Update Update
Aleksandar Stankovic's header is blocked.
19
Attempt Attempt
Carlos Borges takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
17
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ross Sykes receives a yellow card.
13
Attempt Attempt
Aleksandar Stankovic takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
11
Attempt Attempt
Nicolo Tresoldi takes a right-footed shot but misses.
10
Attempt Attempt
Christos Tzolis takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
10
Attempt Attempt
Christos Tzolis takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
5
Attempt Attempt
Ross Sykes takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
3
Attempt Attempt
Christos Tzolis takes a right-footed shot but misses.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Lothar Dhondt.

CONCLUSION

Club Brugge completed a controlled 5-0 win over Union Saint-Gilloise. The halftime score of 3-0 set the platform for further additions in the second period. Expected goals data indicated a modest edge that translated into clear separation on the scoreboard. Possession figures showed Union with a slight majority yet limited conversion opportunities. Absence of red cards allowed both sides to maintain full complements throughout. The performance metrics confirmed the stronger side delivered a result in line with data projections. Overall the match demonstrated consistent execution from the victors and limited response from the opposition.

Club Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.