Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Stamford Bridge Tue, 19 May - 7:15 PM
Premier League
Chelsea CHE
Versus
Tottenham Hotspur TOT
KICKOFF : Tue, 19 May - 7:15 PM
Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Chelsea host Tottenham Hotspur in Premier League (Regular Season) at Stamford Bridge. Domestically, Chelsea sit 9th in the table while Tottenham Hotspur are 17th. Power ranking favours Chelsea by 3.8 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Chelsea possess a structural advantage with a power score of 88.4 against Tottenham's 84.59 and sit higher at 9th versus 17th in the league.
  • Form: Tottenham enter with stronger recent form at 16.89 compared to Chelsea's 3.06.
  • Squad: No specific squad updates or injuries detailed for either team ahead of this fixture.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for both Chelsea and Tottenham Hotspur.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable, with focus likely on Chelsea's home control versus Spurs' counter threats.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece statistics unavailable due to low confidence, proxy usage, and absent xG data for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables absent, limiting advanced performance insights for this matchup.
  • Market: Chelsea 45% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.3% (Δ+0%) | Tottenham Hotspur 29.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Chelsea C. McFarlane
C. McFarlane
VS
Tottenham Hotspur R. De Zerbi
R. De Zerbi
1.16
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.8
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Liverpool Rank: 92 D
Nottingham Forest Rank: 88 L
Brighton & Hove Albion Rank: 89 L
Manchester United Rank: 92 L
Manchester City Rank: 99 L
Everton Rank: 88 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Leeds United Rank: 87 D
Aston Villa Rank: 91 W
Wolverhampton Wanderers Rank: 79 W
Brighton & Hove Albion Rank: 90 D
Sunderland Rank: 81 L
Nottingham Forest Rank: 88 L
36
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
36 - 16 - 10
10
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Chelsea
44.99%
Draw
25.29%
Away Tottenham Hotspur
29.71%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
88.4
84.59
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Chelsea
Tottenham Hotspur
Power Score
88.4
84.59
League Position
9
17
Global Rank
17
39

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Chelsea — Opponent-weighted form score
Tottenham Hotspur — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Chelsea Tottenham Hotspur

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 62 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Chelsea CHE Home
62 matches
Tottenham Hotspur TOT Away
Match Record
36
Wins
10
16
Draws
16
10
Losses
36
Goals
116
Goals Scored
62
62
Goals Conceded
116
+54
Goal Difference
-54

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T01:11:06+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
F. Jörgensen
12 F. Jörgensen
L. Colwill
6 L. Colwill
W. Fofana
29 W. Fofana
J. Hato
21 J. Hato
M. Gusto
27 M. Gusto
A. Nascimento dos Santos
17 A. Nascimento dos Santos
M. Caicedo Corozo
25 M. Caicedo Corozo
M. Cucurella
3 M. Cucurella
C. Palmer
10 C. Palmer
E. Fernández
8 E. Fernández
J. Junqueira de Jesus
20 J. Junqueira de Jesus
Pitch
A. Kinsky
31 A. Kinsky
I. Udogie
13 I. Udogie
M. van de Ven
37 M. van de Ven
K. Danso
4 K. Danso
P. Porro Sauceda
23 P. Porro Sauceda
J. Lobo Alves Palhinha Gonçalves
6 J. Lobo Alves Palhinha Gonçalves
R. Bentancur Colmán
30 R. Bentancur Colmán
M. Tel
11 M. Tel
C. Gallagher
22 C. Gallagher
R. Kolo Muani
39 R. Kolo Muani
R. de Andrade
9 R. de Andrade

General Information

Date & Time :
May 19, 2026, 07:15 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stamford Bridge
Capacity :
40341
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Stuart Attwell
Constantine Hatzidakis
Andy Madley
Nick Greenhalgh

Expected Lineup

Referee : Stuart Attwell

Starting XI ▼

12
Filip Jørgensen
Filip Jørgensen Goalkeeper
6.62
27
Malo Gusto
Malo Gusto Midfielder
6.8
3
Marc Cucurella
Marc Cucurella Midfielder
6.88
8
Enzo Fernández
Enzo Fernández Midfielder
7.23
10
Cole Palmer
Cole Palmer Midfielder
6.99
20
João Pedro
João Pedro Centre Forward
7.16
25
Moisés Caicedo
Moisés Caicedo Central Midfield
7.07
29
Wesley Fofana
Wesley Fofana Centre Back
6.94
6
Levi Colwill
Levi Colwill Right Back
6.77
17
Andrey Santos
Andrey Santos Central Midfield
6.72
21
Jorrel Hato
Jorrel Hato Left Back
6.55
Referee : Stuart Attwell

Starting XI ▼

31
Antonin Kinsky
Antonin Kinsky Goalkeeper
9
Richarlison
Richarlison Centre Forward
6.93
4
Kevin Danso
Kevin Danso Right Back
6.75
6
João Palhinha
João Palhinha Defensive Midfield
6.88
11
Mathys Tel
Mathys Tel Left Wing
6.74
13
Destiny Udogie
Destiny Udogie Left Back
6.54
22
Conor Gallagher
Conor Gallagher Attacking Midfield
6.78
23
Pedro Porro
Pedro Porro Right Back
6.99
30
Rodrigo Bentancur
Rodrigo Bentancur Defensive Midfield
6.88
37
Micky van de Ven
Micky van de Ven Left Back
6.75
39
Randal Kolo Muani
Randal Kolo Muani Right Wing
6.52

CONCLUSION

Chelsea's power edge and home turf at Stamford Bridge position them favorably against a Tottenham side mired in the lower reaches of the table. Despite Spurs' impressive form score, their 17th-place standing highlights underlying issues that Chelsea can exploit through structured possession and pressing. Key battles in midfield will dictate tempo, with the Blues' consistency potentially overwhelming Tottenham's transitional risks. Lacking set-piece edges, both teams must rely on open-play creativity for breakthroughs. This fixture promises intensity, but Chelsea's overall superiority tips the scales toward a home victory, bolstering their top-half aspirations.

Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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