Charlton Athletic vs Hull City Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Championship, England
The Valley Sat, 25 Apr - 11:30 AM
Championship
Charlton Athletic CHA
2 Winner 1
Hull City HUL
Full Time Sat, 25 Apr 11:30 AM
Round 45 Regular Season
Jayden Fevrier - 68'
Charlie Kelman - 20'
Goal
|
Goal
John Egan - 45+7'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Charlton Athletic 2–1 Hull City. The result saw Charlton Athletic take the points. Charlton Athletic showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 39%–61%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Charlton Athletic's 2-1 win marked a significant 69% structural deviation from expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: Both teams' efficiencies remained in line with pre-match projections.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable prevented outcome alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: Result diverged from pre-market favoritism toward Hull City.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable due to lack of underlying data.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or events significantly influenced proceedings.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion to match structure or flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

T. Nield

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

G. Byrne

1st Assistant

S. Lewis

2nd Assistant

G. Ward

4th Official

Charlton Athletic N. Jones
N. Jones
VS
Hull City S. Jakirović
S. Jakirović
0.97
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.58
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Ipswich Town Rank: L
Sheffield Wednesday Rank: D
Preston North End Rank: L
Watford Rank: D
Bristol City Rank: L
Norwich City Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Leicester City Rank: D
Birmingham City Rank: D
Sheffield United Rank: L
Coventry City Rank: D
Oxford United Rank: D
Sheffield Wednesday Rank: W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 4 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Charlton Athletic
30.96%
Draw
29.27%
Away Hull City
39.77%

Movement

Changes since opening
Charlton Athletic
-64.27%
Draw
+24.69%
Hull City
+39.58%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
15.99
21.11
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Charlton Athletic
Hull City
Power Score
15.99
21.11
League Position
19
7
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Charlton Athletic Opponent-weighted form score
Hull City Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Charlton Athletic Hull City

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Charlton Athletic

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Hull City

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Charlton Athletic ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hull City
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
36.54
27.62
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.62
36.54
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Charlton Athletic +0.91 Efficiency Index
vs
Hull City -0.91 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Charlton Athletic
Hull City
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Charlton Athletic ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hull City
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Charlton Athletic Hull City
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Charlton Athletic Hull City
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Charlton Athletic
Hull City
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Charlton Athletic
vs
Hull City
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Charlton Athletic Hull City
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Charlton Athletic Hull City
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Charlton Athletic
Hull City
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • HUL had peak pressure around 95'.
  • CHA started the game with stronger pressure.
CHA Pressure HUL Pressure
Pressure Index: HUL reached the top pressure at 95' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Charlton Athletic CHA Home
9 matches
Hull City HUL Away
Match Record
3
Wins
2
4
Draws
4
2
Losses
3
Goals
9
Goals Scored
13
13
Goals Conceded
9
-4
Goal Difference
+4

Data last updated: 2026-04-26T00:01:10+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
T. Kaminski
Belgium
1 T. Kaminski
C. Shichenje
Substitution
Kenya
28 C. Shichenje
L. Jones
England
5 L. Jones
M. Gillesphey
England
3 M. Gillesphey
H. Clarke
England
44 H. Clarke
C. Coady
England
15 C. Coady
G. Docherty
Scotland
10 G. Docherty
J. Fevrier
England
77 J. Fevrier
H. Knibbs
Substitution
England
41 H. Knibbs
S. Carey
Substitution
England
14 S. Carey
C. Kelman
Substitution
England
23 C. Kelman
Pitch
I. Pandur
Croatia
1 I. Pandur
R. Giles
Substitution
England
3 R. Giles
J. Egan
Republic of Ireland
15 J. Egan
O. Ibidapo Ajayi
Substitution
Nigeria
6 O. Ibidapo Ajayi
L. Coyle
England
2 L. Coyle
J. Lundstram
England
5 J. Lundstram
E. Matazo
Substitution
Belgium
8 E. Matazo
L. Millar
Substitution
Canada
7 L. Millar
M. Crooks
England
25 M. Crooks
J. Gelhardt
Substitution
England
21 J. Gelhardt
O. McBurnie
Scotland
9 O. McBurnie

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 25, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Championship, England · Round 45 · Regular Season
Stadium :
The Valley
Capacity :
27111
Attendance :
20671
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Tom Nield
George Byrne
Samuel Lewis
Gavin Ward

Statistics

Possession
CHA
45%
HUL
55%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 0
3 Shots 4
45 Dangerous attacks 57
39 Possession 61
5 Corners 11
10 Free kicks 10
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

8 Goal Kicks 7
22 Throwins 20
80 Successful Dribbles Percentage 14
63 Ball Safe 53
4 Substitutions 5
12 Successful Dribbles 1
22 Successful Headers 21
2 Injuries 2
15 Dribble Attempts 7
1 Assists 1
8 Goal Attempts 7

Attacking

66 Attacks 94
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

267 Passes 394
29 Successful Long Passes 32
37 Successful Long Passes Percentage 42
170 Successful Passes 299
7 Key Passes 9
64 Successful Passes Percentage 76
79 Long Passes 77

Defensive

3 Interceptions 7
12 Tackles 13
3 Saves 4
56 Duels Won 44

Build-up

6 Total Crosses 38
0 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

10 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Tom Nield

Starting XI

1
Thomas Kaminski
Thomas Kaminski Goalkeeper
6.86
3
Macaulay Gillesphey
Macaulay Gillesphey Defender
6.67
5
Lloyd Jones
Lloyd Jones Defender
7.13
28
Collins Sichenje
Collins Sichenje Defender
6.79
32
Reece Burke
Reece Burke
Defender28'
6.62
10
Greg Docherty
Greg Docherty Midfielder
6.74
15
Conor Coady
Conor Coady Midfielder
6.83
44
Harry Clarke
Harry Clarke Midfielder
6.73
77
Jayden Fevrier
Jayden Fevrier Midfielder
6.67
14
Sonny Carey
Sonny Carey Attacker
6.89
19
Luke Chambers
Luke Chambers
Defender63'
6.65
23
Charlie Kelman
Charlie Kelman Attacker
6.64
99
Lyndon Dykes
Lyndon Dykes
Attacker83'
6.64
41
Harvey Knibbs
Harvey Knibbs Attacker
6.59
7
Tyreece Campbell
Tyreece Campbell
Attacker63'
6.72
Referee : Tom Nield

Starting XI

1
Ivor Pandur
Ivor Pandur Goalkeeper
6.89
2
Lewie Coyle
Lewie Coyle Defender
6.77
3
Ryan Giles
Ryan Giles Defender
6.71
36
Lewis Koumas
Lewis Koumas
Attacker79'
6.5
6
Semi Ajayi
Semi Ajayi Defender
6.75
10
Mohamed Belloumi
Mohamed Belloumi
Attacker46'
6.88
15
John Egan
John Egan Defender
6.87
5
John Lundstram
John Lundstram Midfielder
6.61
7
Liam Millar
Liam Millar Midfielder
6.83
22
Kyle Joseph
Kyle Joseph
Attacker70'
6.74
8
Eliot Matazo
Eliot Matazo Midfielder
6.54
37
Patrick James Coleman McNair
Patrick James Coleman McNair
Defender11'
6.46
21
Joe Gelhardt
Joe Gelhardt Midfielder
7.01
27
Regan Slater
Regan Slater
Midfielder69'
6.81
25
Matt Crooks
Matt Crooks Midfielder
6.89
9
Oliver McBurnie
Oliver McBurnie Attacker
7.09

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Nathan Jones
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
90+7'
Event
Lyndon Dykes Charlie Kelman
9th Substitution
83'
79'
Event
Lewis Koumas Ryan Giles
8th Substitution
70'
Event
Kyle Joseph Liam Millar
7th Substitution
69'
Event
Regan Slater Joe Gelhardt
6th Substitution
Event
Jayden Fevrier
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
68'
Event
Tyreece Campbell Harvey Knibbs
4th Substitution
63'
Event
Luke Chambers Sonny Carey
5th Substitution
63'
46'
Event
Mohamed Belloumi Semi Ajayi
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
45+7'
Event
John Egan
Header / 2nd Goal
Event
Thomas Kaminski
Time wasting / 3rd Yellowcard
45+6'
34'
Event
Lewie Coyle
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Reece Burke Collins Sichenje
2nd Substitution
28'
Event
Charlie Kelman
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
20'
11'
Event
Patrick James Coleman McNair Eliot Matazo
1st Substitution
Event
Collins Sichenje
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
2'
Event
4th Yellowcard
2'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 6 minutes of added time.
90
Corner Corner
Hull City win a corner after Tyreece Campbell concedes.
90
Attempt Attempt
Jayden Fevrier's left-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. Reece Burke provided the assist.
90
Corner Corner
Charlton Athletic win a corner after Kyle Joseph concedes.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with Charlton Athletic winning 2-1 against Hull City.
90
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Greg Docherty from Charlton Athletic.
89
Attempt Attempt
Greg Docherty's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Jayden Fevrier.
89
Update Update
Mohamed Belloumi from Hull City wins a free kick in the attacking half.
89
Update Update
Foul committed by Reece Burke of Charlton Athletic.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Charlton Athletic after John Lundstram concedes.
88
Corner Corner
Charlton Athletic win a corner, conceded by Ivor Pandur.
87
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Lyndon Dykes from Charlton Athletic has his right-footed shot from the right side of the box saved in the bottom left corner by Ivor Pandur from Hull City.
86
Attempt Attempt
Regan Slater's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Mohamed Belloumi.
85
Update Update
Foul committed by Tyreece Campbell of Charlton Athletic.
85
Update Update
John Lundstram from Hull City wins a free kick on the right wing.
84
Attempt Attempt
Paddy McNair from Hull City misses a right-footed shot from the center of the box, sending it to the left.
84
Attempt Attempt
Paddy McNair from Hull City misses a right-footed shot from the center of the box, sending it to the left.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Charlton Athletic: Lyndon Dykes comes on for Charlie Kelman due to an injury.
83
Attempt Attempt
Attempt blocked. Mohamed Belloumi from Hull City has a left-footed shot from the right side of the box that is blocked.
81
Corner Corner
Hull City win a corner after Conor Coady concedes.
81
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Charlie Kelman of Charlton Athletic.
80
Corner Corner
Hull City win a corner after Lloyd Jones concedes.
79
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Greg Docherty from Charlton Athletic has a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved in the bottom right corner by Ivor Pandur from Hull City.
79
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Hull City: Lewis Koumas comes on for Ryan Giles.
73
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Conor Coady from Charlton Athletic.
73
Attempt Attempt
Mohamed Belloumi's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Oliver McBurnie.
72
Update Update
Ryan Giles of Hull City wins a free kick in the defensive half.
72
Update Update
Foul by Harry Clarke of Charlton Athletic.
71
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Mohamed Belloumi of Hull City has his left-footed shot from outside the box saved in the bottom left corner by Thomas Kaminski of Charlton Athletic.
70
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Hull City: Kyle Joseph comes on for Liam Millar.
69
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Hull City: Regan Slater comes on for Joe Gelhardt.
68
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Jayden Fevrier scores for Charlton Athletic with a left-footed shot from outside the box. The score is now Charlton Athletic 2, Hull City 1.
65
Corner Corner
Charlton Athletic win a corner after Lewie Coyle concedes.
65
Corner Corner
Charlton Athletic win a corner after Lewie Coyle concedes.
65
Update Update
Macaulay Gillesphey from Charlton Athletic misses a header from the center of the box, sending it to the right. The attempt was assisted by Thomas Kaminski after a set piece situation.
64
Update Update
Conor Coady from Charlton Athletic wins a free kick in the defensive half.
64
Update Update
Conor Coady from Charlton Athletic wins a free kick in the defensive half.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Charlton Athletic: Luke Chambers comes on for Sonny Carey.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Charlton Athletic: Tyreece Campbell comes on for Harvey Knibbs.
62
Corner Corner
Hull City win a corner after Thomas Kaminski concedes.
62
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Mohamed Belloumi of Hull City has a left-footed shot from outside the box that goes close but misses to the right. Joe Gelhardt provided the assist.
60
Update Update
Jayden Fevrier from Charlton Athletic wins a free kick in the defensive half.
59
Update Update
Foul committed by Mohamed Belloumi of Hull City.
57
Corner Corner
Hull City win a corner after Harry Clarke concedes.
55
Corner Corner
Hull City win a corner after Lloyd Jones concedes.
54
Attempt Attempt
Joe Gelhardt from Hull City attempts a left-footed shot from the left side of the six-yard box, but it goes close and misses to the left.
54
Attempt Attempt
Liam Millar's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Oliver McBurnie.
52
Update Update
John Lundstram wins a free kick for Hull City in the defensive half.
52
Update Update
Foul committed by Harvey Knibbs of Charlton Athletic.
50
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Harry Clarke from Charlton Athletic takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it goes to the left.
50
Attempt Attempt
Joe Gelhardt's left-footed shot from the right side of the box is saved in the center of the goal by Thomas Kaminski. The attempt was assisted by Liam Millar.
48
Update Update
Foul committed by Joe Gelhardt of Hull City.
48
Update Update
Sonny Carey from Charlton Athletic is awarded a free kick on the right wing.
47
Update Update
Foul committed by John Lundstram of Hull City.
46
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Mohamed Belloumi of Hull City, who headed the ball from the right side of the six-yard box.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Jayden Fevrier of Charlton Athletic.
45
Update Update
Oliver McBurnie from Hull City wins a free kick in the attacking half.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Hull City: Mohamed Belloumi comes on for Semi Ajayi.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Lloyd Jones of Charlton Athletic.
45
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Sonny Carey from Charlton Athletic takes a right-footed shot from outside the box.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Thomas Kaminski of Charlton Athletic receives a yellow card.
45
Attempt Attempt
Joe Gelhardt from Hull City misses a left-footed shot from the center of the box, just to the right. Liam Millar provided the assist.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 7 minutes of added time.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Jayden Fevrier of Charlton Athletic.
45
Corner Corner
Hull City win a corner after Harry Clarke concedes.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with the score at Charlton Athletic 1, Hull City 1.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! John Egan scores for Hull City with a header from the right side of the six-yard box to the center of the goal. The match is now 1-1, assisted by Paddy McNair's cross after a corner.
45
Update Update
The second half begins after the match finishes 1-1.
44
Update Update
Greg Docherty wins a free kick for Charlton Athletic in the defensive half.
44
Update Update
Foul by Matt Crooks for Hull City.
42
Update Update
Offside called against Hull City. Oliver McBurnie is the player caught offside.
41
Update Update
Liam Millar from Hull City wins a free kick in the defensive half.
41
Update Update
Foul committed by Harry Clarke of Charlton Athletic.
40
Update Update
Foul committed by Paddy McNair of Hull City.
40
Update Update
Harvey Knibbs from Charlton Athletic wins a free kick in the defensive half.
39
Corner Corner
Hull City win a corner after Sonny Carey concedes.
39
Corner Corner
Hull City win a corner after Reece Burke concedes.
38
Attempt Attempt
Liam Millar's right-footed shot from a tough angle on the left is blocked.
38
Corner Corner
Hull City win a corner after Lloyd Jones concedes.
35
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Oliver McBurnie of Hull City.
34
Update Update
Charlie Kelman from Charlton Athletic wins a free kick in the defensive half.
34
Update Update
Foul committed by Lewie Coyle of Hull City.
34
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Lewie Coyle of Hull City receives a yellow card for a foul.
33
Corner Corner
Hull City win a corner after Conor Coady concedes.
32
Update Update
Foul committed by Greg Docherty of Charlton Athletic.
32
Update Update
Joe Gelhardt of Hull City wins a free kick in the attacking half.
30
Attempt Attempt
Macaulay Gillesphey's left-footed shot from the center of the box is saved by Ivor Pandur in the center of the goal. The attempt was assisted by Conor Coady with a headed pass.
29
Update Update
Foul committed by Paddy McNair of Hull City.
29
Update Update
Greg Docherty of Charlton Athletic wins a free kick in the defensive half.
28
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Charlton Athletic: Reece Burke comes on for Collins Sichenje due to an injury.
26
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Collins Sichenje of Charlton Athletic.
26
Update Update
Thomas Kaminski from Charlton Athletic wins a free kick in the defensive half.
26
Update Update
Foul by Oliver McBurnie of Hull City.
20
Update Update
Paddy McNair from Hull City wins a free kick in the defensive half.
20
Update Update
Paddy McNair from Hull City wins a free kick in the defensive half.
20
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Charlton Athletic lead 1-0 against Hull City. Charlie Kelman scores for Charlton Athletic with a right-footed shot from outside the box after a fast break.
16
Attempt Attempt
Conor Coady's right-footed shot from outside the box is saved in the center of the goal by Ivor Pandur. The attempt was assisted by Harry Clarke.
11
Update Update
Macaulay Gillesphey of Charlton Athletic is caught offside.
11
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Hull City: Paddy McNair comes on for Eliot Matazo due to an injury.
9
Update Update
Foul by Matt Crooks of Hull City.
9
Update Update
Sonny Carey of Charlton Athletic wins a free kick in the defensive half.
9
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Eliot Matazo from Hull City.
5
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Eliot Matazo from Hull City.
5
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Eliot Matazo from Hull City.
4
Attempt Attempt
Sonny Carey from Charlton Athletic has a right-footed shot from the left side of the box, but it is blocked. The assist came from Jayden Fevrier.
2
Update Update
Liam Millar from Hull City wins a free kick on the left wing.
2
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Collins Sichenje of Charlton Athletic receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
2
Update Update
Foul committed by Collins Sichenje of Charlton Athletic.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Charlton Athletic exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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