Ceuta vs Racing Santander Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain

Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube Sun, 26 Apr - 7:00 PM

La Liga 2

Ceuta Ceuta

0 – 0

Racing Santander RAC

Full Time Sun, 26 Apr 7:00 PM

Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In a tightly contested Segunda B clash, Ceuta held firm against a dominant Racing Santander to secure a hard-fought 0-0 draw at home. Racing Santander, deemed the stronger side pre-match, controlled possession with 59% to Ceuta's 41%, peppering the Ceuta goal with pressure but failing to convert chances into goals. Ceuta's defense stood resolute, frustrating the visitors throughout a goalless first half that ended 0-0 and into a cagey second period devoid of breakthroughs. No red cards disrupted the flow, allowing both teams to maintain structure amid few second-half adjustments. The stalemate marked a significant deviation for Racing Santander, who entered as favorites but couldn't capitalize on their superiority. Ceuta's organization earned a valuable point, highlighting their resilience against higher expectations.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Racing Santander faced a significant 76.3% structural deviation in the 0-0 draw.
Efficiency shift: Efficiencies stayed in line with pre-match assessments for both teams.
xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed due to unavailable data.
Market alignment: Market alignment failed as the draw contradicted pre-match favoritism toward Racing Santander.
xG expectations: xG expectations remained unevaluated without supporting metrics.
Event impact: No events or second-half adjustments notably influenced the 0-0 outcome.
Red card distortion: Zero red cards produced no distortion in match dynamics.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

E. Mallo Fernández

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

S. García Aguilera

1st Assistant

M. Barroso Galán

2nd Assistant

I. de Santisteban Adame

4th Official

J. Romero Gil

J. López Menéndez

1.28

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.84

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

0 - 0 - 1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Ceuta

24.64%

Draw

23.67%

Racing Santander

51.7%

Movement

Changes since opening

Ceuta

+24.45%

Draw

+19.97%

Racing Santander

-44.41%

Team Power Ranking

21.72

31.99

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Ceuta

Racing Santander

Power Score

21.72

31.99

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Ceuta — Opponent-weighted form score

Racing Santander — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Ceuta Racing Santander

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Ceuta

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Racing Santander

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Ceuta ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Racing Santander

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

18.05

36.19

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

36.19

18.05

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Ceuta -1.84 Efficiency Index

Racing Santander +1.84 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Ceuta

Racing Santander

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Ceuta ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Racing Santander

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Ceuta Racing Santander

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Ceuta Racing Santander

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Ceuta

Racing Santander

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Ceuta

Racing Santander

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Ceuta Racing Santander

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Ceuta Racing Santander

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Ceuta

Racing Santander

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

RAC had peak pressure around 33'.
RAC started the game with stronger pressure.

Ceuta Pressure RAC Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: RAC reached the top pressure at 33' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Ceuta Ceuta Home

1 matches

Racing Santander RAC Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-3

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:21:05+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

13 G. Vallejo Delgado

7 A. Ahmed Ahmed

6 C. Hernández Alarcón

14 Y. Bodiger

3 J. Matos García

23 A. Tuhami

12 M. Illescas Montaño

8 J. Zalazar Martínez

19 R. Díez Adán

20 J. Gómez Campaña

9 M. Fernández Sánchez

13 Lars Eriksson

32 J. Salinas Viadero

5 J. Castro Urdín

4 J. Hernando Riol

2 A. Mantilla Pérez

19 G. Puerta Molano

14 M. Gueye

10 I. Vicente Elorduy

18 P. Canales Urtasun

11 A. Martín García

7 G. Guliashvili

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 26, 2026, 07:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 37 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube

Capacity :

6500

Attendance :

5147

Pitch Surface :

Artificial turf

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

E. Mallo Fernández

Samuel García Aguilera

Marcos Barroso Galán

Ignacio de Santisteban Adame

Statistics

Possession

Ceuta

43%

RAC

57%

Top Statistics

0 Big Chances Created 4

0 Shots 9

28 Dangerous attacks 47

41 Possession 59

1 Corners 9

13 Free kicks 17

3 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

10 Throwins 26

33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 64

21 Dribble Attempts 11

12 Goal Kicks 4

0 Hit Woodwork 2

7 Successful Dribbles 7

5 Substitutions 4

80 Ball Safe 74

1 Injuries 1

6 Goal Attempts 15

Attacking

51 Attacks 81

0 Big Chances Missed 4

Possession

77 Successful Passes Percentage 85

244 Successful Passes 395

317 Passes 465

49 Successful Long Passes Percentage 42

69 Long Passes 26

34 Successful Long Passes 11

6 Key Passes 16

Defensive

39 Duels Won 49

11 Tackles 19

8 Saves 0

16 Interceptions 16

Build-up

10 Total Crosses 13

3 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

17 Fouls 13

4 Offsides 6

Lineup

Referee : E. Mallo Fernández

Manager ▼

J. Romero Gil Coach

Starting XI ▼

Guillermo Vallejo Goalkeeper

6.82

José Matos Defender

6.71

Carlos Redru

Defender90+2'

6.35

Carlos Hernández Defender

6.83

Aisar Ahmed Defender

6.67

Yann Bodiger Defender

6.62

Kuki Zalazar Midfielder

6.88

Salvi

Attacker67'

6.57

Marino Illescas Midfielder

6.87

Rubén Díez Midfielder

7.08

Aboubacar Bassinga

Midfielder54'

6.54

José Campaña Midfielder

6.82

Konrad de la Fuente

Attacker46'

6.69

Anuar Midfielder

6.74

Youness Lachhab

Midfielder54'

6.74

Marcos Fernández Attacker

6.9

Substitutes ▼

Konrad de la Fuente

Attacker46'

6.69

Aboubacar Bassinga

Midfielder54'

6.54

Youness Lachhab

Midfielder54'

6.74

Salvi

Attacker67'

6.57

Carlos Redru

Defender90+2'

6.35

Bench ▼

Pedro López Goalkeeper

6.94

Manu Sánchez Defender

6.49

Albert Caparrós Defender

6.57

Gonzalo Almenara Defender

6.42

Josema Midfielder

Arick Betancourt Midfielder

6.45

Marc Domènech Attacker

6.63

Referee : E. Mallo Fernández