Cesena vs Sampdoria Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi
Sat, 25 Apr - 5:30 PM
Serie B
Cesena
CES
0
–
0
Sampdoria
SAM
Full Time
Sat, 25 Apr
5:30 PM
Round 36 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Jul 11
CONTEXT
In a gritty Serie B clash at Stadio Dino Manuzzi, Cesena hosted Sampdoria in a match that ended in a hard-fought 0-0 draw. The home team held a slight possession advantage at 51% compared to Sampdoria's 49%, yet both sides struggled to create meaningful scoring opportunities. The first half concluded level at 0-0, with defenses firmly in control and goalkeepers rarely tested. Post-interval, the pattern persisted as midfield battles dominated, preventing any breakthroughs. Sampdoria, viewed as the stronger team, dominated in quality but faltered in execution, resulting in a significant structural deviation from anticipated outcomes. Cesena's organized backline deserves credit for neutralizing threats, ensuring a share of the points. This stalemate underscores the league's competitiveness, where resilience often trumps flair. Both squads displayed discipline without red cards disrupting flow, maintaining an even contest throughout 90 minutes.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Significant 70.8% structural deviation occurred for Sampdoria.
-
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match expectations.
-
xG alignment: xG alignment was unavailable due to missing data.
-
Market alignment: Market alignment did not occur.
-
xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated without data.
-
Event impact: No notable events like second-half adjustments influenced the outcome.
-
Red card distortion: Absence of red cards produced zero distortion in the match.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Match referee
P. Tremolada
•
25 matches in sample
Avg. cards
0.12
0.12
Fouls / match
0.52
Yellow cards / match
0.12
Red cards / match
0
Penalties / match
0
Other match officials
Marco Colaianni
2nd Assistant
E. Eremitaggio
4th Official
F. Preti
1st Assistant
A. Cole
VS
Attilio Lombardo
1.11
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.3
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Palermo
Rank:
L
Juve Stabia
Rank:
L
Südtirol
Rank:
D
Catanzaro
Rank:
W
Mantova
Rank:
L
Frosinone
Rank:
D
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Monza
Rank:
L
Pescara
Rank:
W
Empoli
Rank:
W
Avellino
Rank:
W
Carrarese
Rank:
L
Venezia
Rank:
D
3
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 2 - 2
2
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Cesena
42.11%
Draw
29.24%
Sampdoria
28.66%
Movement
Changes since opening
Cesena
+37.18%
Draw
-61.75%
Sampdoria
+24.59%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
19.93
24.15
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cesena
Sampdoria
Power Score
19.93
24.15
League Position
9
12
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Cesena
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Sampdoria
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Cesena Sampdoria
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Cesena
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Sampdoria
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Cesena
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Sampdoria
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
23.14
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
30.61
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Cesena
-0.72
Efficiency Index
vs
Sampdoria
+0.72
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Cesena
Sampdoria
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Cesena
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Sampdoria
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Cesena
Sampdoria
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
—
vs
—
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Cesena
Sampdoria
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
—
vs
—
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Cesena
Sampdoria
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Cesena
vs
Sampdoria
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
Cesena
Sampdoria
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
Cesena
0.28
Sampdoria
0.33
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
Cesena
Sampdoria
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
Cesena
0.00
Sampdoria
0.00
Cesena
Sampdoria
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- CES had peak pressure around 69'.
- SAM started the game with stronger pressure.
CES Pressure
SAM Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
CES reached the top pressure at 69' (73.93).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Cesena
CES
Home
7
matches
Sampdoria
SAM
Away
Match Record
3
Wins
2
2
Draws
2
2
Losses
3
Goals
11
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
11
0
Goal Difference
0
Data last updated: 2026-04-26T00:07:48+00:00
STARTING XI
Cesena
Sampdoria
Match Formation
4-2-3-1
Match Formation
4-2-3-1
1 A. Siano
V. Magni
#2387'
15 A. Ciofi
19 G. Zaro
24 M. Mangraviti
G. Frabotta
#9954'
27 T. Corazza
G. Castrovilli
#855'
10 S. Bastoni
25 D. Bisoli
9 C. Shpendi
14 T. Berti
G. Vrioni
#2287'
32 M. Olivieri
R. Ciervo
#1179'
7 A. Cerri
50 T. Martinelli
21 S. Giordano
2 M. Viti
M. Palma
#1365'
17 D. Hadzikadunic
29 A. Di Pardo
F. Conti
#3375'
28 O. Abildgaard
8 M. Ricci
11 T. Begić
F. Depaoli
#2365'
16 L. Henderson
M. Cicconi
#784'
10 L. Cherubini
E. Soleri
#9284'
99 M. Brunori Sandri
General Information
📅
Date & Time :
Apr 25, 2026, 05:30 PM
🏆
Competition :
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 36 · Regular Season
🏟️
Stadium :
Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi
👥
Capacity :
20194
🌱
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
🌤️
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
🧑⚖️
Referees :
Marco Colaianni
Enrico Eremitaggio
Paride Tremolada
Fabiano Preti
Next Match
Cesena
vs
Carrarese
League: Serie B
Kickoff: Fri, 1 May - 1:00 PM
Venue: Stadio dei Marmi
Sampdoria
vs
Südtirol
League: Serie B
Kickoff: Fri, 1 May - 1:00 PM
Venue: Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Statistics
Possession
CES
50%
SAM
50%
Top Statistics
1
Big Chances Created
1
2
Shots
3
36
Dangerous attacks
40
51
Possession
49
4
Corners
5
14
Free kicks
16
1
Yellow Cards
3
Match Overview
7
Goal Attempts
5
21
Successful Dribbles Percentage
36
22
Throwins
13
81
Ball Safe
73
8
Goal Kicks
7
14
Dribble Attempts
11
3
Successful Dribbles
4
5
Substitutions
5
Attacking
67
Attacks
71
1
Big Chances Missed
1
Possession
9
Key Passes
8
84
Successful Passes Percentage
86
371
Successful Passes
365
441
Passes
426
48
Long Passes
44
23
Successful Long Passes
19
48
Successful Long Passes Percentage
43
Defensive
3
Interceptions
9
35
Duels Won
60
11
Tackles
24
3
Saves
2
Build-up
18
Total Crosses
22
5
Accurate Crosses
8
Discipline
16
Fouls
14
1
Offsides
2
Lineup
Cesena
Referee :
Paride Tremolada
Manager ▼
A. Cole
Coach
Starting XI ▼
1
Alessandro Siano
Goalkeeper
7.38 15
Andrea Ciofi
Defender
6.79 23Vittorio Magni
6.41Defender87'
19
Giovanni Zaro
Defender
7.04 24
Massimiliano Mangraviti
Defender
6.77 27
Tommaso Corazza
Defender
6.76 99Gianluca Frabotta
Defender54'
6.92
9
Cristian Shpendi
Midfielder
6.73 10
Simone Bastoni
Midfielder
6.66 8Gaetano Castrovilli
6.69Midfielder55'
14
Tommaso Berti
Midfielder
7.04 25
Dimitri Bisoli
Midfielder
6.83 32
Marco Olivieri
Midfielder
6.65 22Giacomo Vrioni
6.54Attacker87'
7
Alberto Cerri
Attacker
7.08 11Riccardo Ciervo
6.86Attacker79'
Substitutes ▼
99Gianluca Frabotta
Defender54'
6.92
8Gaetano Castrovilli
6.69Midfielder55'
11Riccardo Ciervo
6.86Attacker79'
23Vittorio Magni
6.41Defender87'
22Giacomo Vrioni
6.54Attacker87'
Bench ▼
40
Luca Ferretti
Goalkeeper
16
Peter Amoran
Defender
6.39 26
Matteo Piacentini
Defender
6.65 4
Michele Castagnetti
Midfielder
6.9 6
Tommaso Arrigoni
Midfielder
6.49 18
Matteo Guidi
Midfielder
6.65 70
Matteo Francesconi
Midfielder
6.63
Sampdoria
Referee :
Paride Tremolada
Manager ▼
Attilio Lombardo
Coach
Starting XI ▼
50
Tommaso Martinelli
Goalkeeper
6.77 2
Mattia Viti
Defender
6.7 17
Dennis Hadzikadunic
Defender
6.8
13Matteo Palma
6.89Defender65'
21
Simone Giordano
Defender
6.69 29
Alessandro Di Pardo
Defender
6.95 8
Matteo Ricci
Midfielder
6.7 10
Luigi Cherubini
Midfielder
6.9
7Manuel Cicconi
6.97Midfielder84'
11
Tjas Begic
Midfielder
6.89 16
Liam Henderson
Midfielder
6.82 23Fabio Depaoli
6.64Defender65'
28
Oliver Abildgaard
Midfielder
6.92
33Francesco Conti
6.75Midfielder75'
99
Matteo Luigi Brunori
Attacker
6.83 92Edoardo Soleri
6.62Attacker84'
Substitutes ▼
13Matteo Palma
6.89Defender65'
23Fabio Depaoli
6.64Defender65'
33Francesco Conti
6.75Midfielder75'
7Manuel Cicconi
6.97Midfielder84'
92Edoardo Soleri
6.62Attacker84'
Bench ▼
1
Simone Ghidotti
Goalkeeper
6.64 98
Gaëtan Coucke
Goalkeeper
6.25 5
Alessandro Pio Riccio
Defender
6.51 25
Alex Ferrari
Defender
6.77 34
Tommaso Casalino
Midfielder
6.5 72
Antonín Barák
Midfielder
6.59 94
Salvatore Esposito
Midfielder
7.44
Events
2ND-HALF
Gianluca Frabotta
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
90+4'
Vittorio Magni → Andrea Ciofi
9th Substitution
87'
Giacomo Vrioni → Marco Olivieri
10th Substitution
87'
84'
Manuel Cicconi → Luigi Cherubini
7th Substitution
84'
Edoardo Soleri → Matteo Luigi Brunori
8th Substitution
Riccardo Ciervo → Alberto Cerri
6th Substitution
79'
75'
Francesco Conti → Oliver Abildgaard
5th Substitution
65'
Matteo Palma → Dennis Hadzikadunic
4th Substitution
65'
Fabio Depaoli → Liam Henderson
3rd Substitution
64'
Oliver Abildgaard
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
57'
Dennis Hadzikadunic
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Gaetano Castrovilli → Simone Bastoni
2nd Substitution
55'
Gianluca Frabotta → Tommaso Corazza
1st Substitution
54'
1ST-HALF
30'
Luigi Cherubini
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
9'
Mattia Viti
Goal disallowed
CONCLUSION
Cesena and Sampdoria's 0-0 deadlock highlighted defensive mastery in Serie B, with the home side's 51% possession barely translating to chances. Sampdoria, the stronger team on paper, endured a significant deviation by failing to win, exposing conversion issues despite parity. Halftime at 0-0 set a cautious tone carried into a second half devoid of drama or disruptions. This result denies Sampdoria vital points in the promotion race while boosting Cesena's survival hopes through resilience. Without xG insights or market consistency, the draw reflects balanced play where no side gained clear edge, emphasizing need for sharper finishing ahead.
Cesena vs Sampdoria preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
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Daniels Zorge covers football fixtures with a focus on tactical matchups, playing styles, and key details that shape each game.