Cercle Brugge vs La Louvière Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Jan Breydelstadion Sun, 15 Mar - 6:15 PM
Pro League
Cercle Brugge CBR
1 Winner 3
La Louvière RAAL
Full Time Sun, 15 Mar 6:15 PM
Oluwaseun Adewumi - 76'
Goal
|
Goal
Pape Moussa Fall - 70', 6' (P)
Joël Ito - 59'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Cercle Brugge 1–3 La Louvière. The result saw La Louvière take the points. La Louvière showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 63%–37%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: La Louvière showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

E. Lambrechts

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Geerolf

2nd Assistant

J. De Weirdt

1st Assistant

A. Letellier

4th Official

Cercle Brugge O. Cinel
O. Cinel
VS
La Louvière F. Taquin
F. Taquin
0.95
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.95
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sint-Truiden Rank: 76 L
Dender Rank: 61 D
Gent Rank: 72 W
Club Brugge Rank: 84 L
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 73 W
Antwerp Rank: 70 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Antwerp Rank: 70 D
Standard Liège Rank: 68 D
Mechelen Rank: 70 L
Anderlecht Rank: 73 D
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: 84 L
Gent Rank: 72 D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Cercle Brugge
47.95%
Draw
26.76%
Away La Louvière
25.29%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.45
57.23
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cercle Brugge
La Louvière
Power Score
65.45
57.23
League Position
15
13
Global Rank
284
244

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Cercle Brugge — Opponent-weighted form score
La Louvière — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cercle Brugge La Louvière

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Cercle Brugge

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

La Louvière

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Cercle Brugge ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy La Louvière
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
45.40
45.27
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
45.27
45.40
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Cercle Brugge +0.01 Efficiency Index
vs
La Louvière -0.01 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Cercle Brugge
La Louvière
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Cercle Brugge ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy La Louvière
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Cercle Brugge La Louvière
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Cercle Brugge La Louvière
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Cercle Brugge
La Louvière
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Cercle Brugge CBR Home
1 matches
La Louvière RAAL Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
1
-1
Goal Difference
+1

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T02:54:31+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Pitch
W. Stellion Lisboa Oliveira
Brazil
1 W. Stellion Lisboa Oliveira
G. Magnée
Substitution
Belgium
15 G. Magnée
E. Kakou
5 E. Kakou
G. Kondo
France
24 G. Kondo
F. Jacinto Nazinho
Portugal
20 F. Jacinto Nazinho
O. Adewumi
Austria
17 O. Adewumi
P. Gerkens
Substitution
Belgium
18 P. Gerkens
H. Van der Bruggen
Substitution
Belgium
28 (C) H. Van der Bruggen
E. Diop
France
37 E. Diop
D. Vanzeir
Substitution
Belgium
13 D. Vanzeir
O. Diakité
Substitution
Ivory Coast
10 O. Diakité
Pitch
M. Peano
Argentina
21 (C) M. Peano
M. Maisonneuve
France
13 M. Maisonneuve
Y. Okou
France
99 Y. Okou
W. Faye
Substitution
Senegal
4 W. Faye
N. Gillot
France
3 N. Gillot
S. Joel Ito
Substitution
Belgium
23 S. Joel Ito
S. Lahssaini
Belgium
15 S. Lahssaini
J. Liongola
Burundi
11 J. Liongola
M. Ashimeru
Substitution
Ghana
18 M. Ashimeru
P. Fall
Substitution
Senegal
7 P. Fall
J. Afriyie
Substitution
22 J. Afriyie

General Information

Date & Time :
Mar 15, 2026, 06:15 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Stadium :
Jan Breydelstadion
Capacity :
29975
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Erik Lambrechts
Michael Geerolf
Jo De Weirdt
Anthony Letellier

Statistics

Possession
CBR
59%
RAAL
41%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 3
1 Big Chances Created 3
25 Shots 15
72 Dangerous attacks 35
63 Possession 37
5 Corners 7
11 Free kicks 7
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

0 Penalties 1
25 Throwins 25
28 Dribble Attempts 19
57 Successful Dribbles Percentage 47
5 Goal Kicks 15
16 Successful Dribbles 9
20 Successful Headers 22
69 Ball Safe 75
16 Goal Attempts 10
5 Substitutions 5
1 Assists 2

Attacking

126 Attacks 108
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

362 Successful Passes 161
79 Successful Passes Percentage 61
55 Successful Long Passes Percentage 35
33 Successful Long Passes 26
456 Passes 264
60 Long Passes 74
15 Key Passes 11

Defensive

18 Tackles 26
2 Saves 9
12 Interceptions 15

Build-up

30 Total Crosses 20
7 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

8 Fouls 11
3 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Erik Lambrechts

Starting XI ▼

1
Warleson
Warleson Goalkeeper
6.23
5
Emmanuel Kakou
Emmanuel Kakou Defender
6.35
15
Gary Magnée
Gary Magnée Defender
7.07
2
Ibrahim Diakité
Ibrahim Diakité
Defender90+4'
20
Nazinho
Nazinho Defender
6.79
24
Geoffrey Kondo
Geoffrey Kondo Defender
6.97
17
Oluwaseun Adewumi
Oluwaseun Adewumi Midfielder
7.43
18
Pieter Gerkens
Pieter Gerkens Midfielder
6.66
12
Valy Konaté
Valy Konaté
Defender67'
6.27
28
Hannes Van Der Bruggen
Hannes Van Der Bruggen (C) Midfielder
6.9
19
Ibrahima Diaby
Ibrahima Diaby
Midfielder46'
6.59
37
Edan Diop
Edan Diop Midfielder
7.51
10
Oumar Diakité
Oumar Diakité Attacker
7.36
41
Krys Kouassi
Krys Kouassi
Attacker84'
6.56
13
Dante Vanzeir
Dante Vanzeir Attacker
6.5
9
Steve Ngoura
Steve Ngoura
Attacker46'
6.77
Referee : Erik Lambrechts

Starting XI ▼

21
Marcos Peano
Marcos Peano (C) Goalkeeper
8.89
4
Wagane Faye
Wagane Faye Defender
7.1
25
Djibril Lamego
Djibril Lamego
Defender57'
6.81
13
Maxence Maisonneuve
Maxence Maisonneuve Defender
6.61
99
Yllan Okou
Yllan Okou Defender
6.81
3
Nolan Gillot
Nolan Gillot Midfielder
7.42
11
Jordi Liongola
Jordi Liongola Midfielder
7.49
15
Sami Lahssaini
Sami Lahssaini Midfielder
6.79
23
Joël Ito
Joël Ito Midfielder
7.1
28
Bryan Soumaré
Bryan Soumaré
Midfielder78'
6.88
7
Pape Moussa Fall
Pape Moussa Fall Attacker
2
8.98
29
Cristian Makaté
Cristian Makaté
Attacker84'
6.41
18
Majeed Ashimeru
Majeed Ashimeru Attacker
6.47
8
Samuel Gueulette
Samuel Gueulette
Midfielder57'
6.43
22
Jerry Afriyie
Jerry Afriyie Attacker
6.89
27
Nachon Nsingi
Nachon Nsingi
Attacker78'
6.59

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Ibrahim Diakité → Gary Magnée
10th Substitution
90+4'
Event
Krys Kouassi
Penalty disallowed
86'
Event
Krys Kouassi → Oumar Diakité
8th Substitution
84'
84'
Event
Cristian Makaté → Pape Moussa Fall
9th Substitution
78'
Event
Nachon Nsingi → Jerry Afriyie
6th Substitution
78'
Event
Bryan Soumaré → Joël Ito
7th Substitution
Event
Oluwaseun Adewumi
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
76'
70'
Event
Pape Moussa Fall
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Valy Konaté → Pieter Gerkens
5th Substitution
67'
59'
Event
Joël Ito
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
57'
Event
Samuel Gueulette → Majeed Ashimeru
3rd Substitution
57'
Event
Djibril Lamego → Wagane Faye
4th Substitution
Event
Ibrahima Diaby
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
48'
Event
Steve Ngoura → Dante Vanzeir
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Ibrahima Diaby → Hannes Van Der Bruggen
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
34'
Event
Jordi Liongola
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Nazinho
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
16'
13'
Event
Pape Moussa Fall
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
6'
Event
Pape Moussa Fall
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: La Louvière exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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