Celtic vs Hearts Prediction, Preview and Stats

Scotland flag 2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland
Celtic Park Tomorrow - 11:30 AM
Premiership
Celtic CEL
Versus
Hearts Hearts
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 11:30 AM
Round 38 2nd Phase

CONTEXT

Celtic welcome Hearts to Celtic Park in this Premiership 2nd Phase clash of the 2025/2026 season. The Hoops boast a clear power advantage, rated at 78.41 compared to Hearts' 74.63, translating to a 3.8-point edge that underscores their structural superiority. Hosting at fortress Celtic Park amplifies their credentials as the stronger side overall. However, Hearts sit atop the domestic league table in first place, with Celtic trailing in third, highlighting the Jambos' consistency. Form scores tilt marginally towards Hearts at 34.67 versus Celtic's 33.17, suggesting recent momentum favors the visitors. Both sides lack recent outing details, keeping focus on broader metrics. Set-piece data remains unavailable due to absent xG stats, while efficiency metrics are null. This matchup pits Celtic's home dominance and power against Hearts' league-leading position in a pivotal encounter.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Celtic hold a 3.8-point power advantage over Hearts with scores of 78.41 to 74.63.
  • Form: Hearts edge form with a score of 34.67 compared to Celtic's 33.17.
  • Squad: Hearts lead the domestic league in 1st place, with Celtic in 3rd.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team.
  • Transition: Insufficient transition data provided for analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece metrics unavailable due to lack of xG data and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: No xG or advanced variable data accessible for this fixture.
  • Market: Baseline split: Celtic 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Hearts 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Celtic M. O'Neill
M. O'Neill
VS
Hearts D. McInnes
D. McInnes
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.92
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Motherwell Rank: 67 D
Rangers Rank: 77 D
Hibernian Rank: 68 W
Falkirk Rank: 65 W
St. Mirren Rank: 57 W
Dundee Rank: 59 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Falkirk Rank: 66 D
Motherwell Rank: 67 D
Rangers Rank: 77 W
Hibernian Rank: 68 W
Motherwell Rank: 67 W
Livingston Rank: 55 D
49
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
49 - 8 - 13
13
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Celtic
0%
Draw
0%
Away Hearts
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
78.41
74.63
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Celtic
Hearts
Power Score
78.41
74.63
League Position
3
1
Global Rank
75
123

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Celtic — Opponent-weighted form score
Hearts — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Celtic Hearts

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 70 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Celtic CEL Home
70 matches
Hearts Hearts Away
Match Record
49
Wins
13
8
Draws
8
13
Losses
49
Goals
156
Goals Scored
63
63
Goals Conceded
156
+93
Goal Difference
-93

Data last updated: 2026-05-09T01:09:57+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

Official lineups and formations are usually announced 60–90 minutes before kickoff. Check back closer to the match to see the starting XIs here.

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland · Round 38 · 2nd Phase
Stadium :
Celtic Park
Capacity :
60411
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

1
Kasper Schmeichel
Kasper Schmeichel Goalkeeper
31
Ross Doohan
Ross Doohan Goalkeeper
12
Viljani Sinisalo
Viljani Sinisalo Goalkeeper
20
Cameron Carter-Vickers
Cameron Carter-Vickers Defender
5
Liam Scales
Liam Scales Defender
63
Kieran Tierney
Kieran Tierney Defender
56
Anthony Ralston
Anthony Ralston Defender
36
Marcelo Josemir Saracchi Pintos
Marcelo Josemir Saracchi Pintos Defender
6
Auston Trusty
Auston Trusty Defender
22
Julian Araujo
Julian Araujo Defender
2
Alistair Johnston
Alistair Johnston Defender
47
Dane Murray
Dane Murray Defender
37
Adam Montgomery
Adam Montgomery Defender
43
Benjamin Arthur
Benjamin Arthur Defender
51
Colby Donovan
Colby Donovan Defender
21
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain Midfielder
42
Callum McGregor
Callum McGregor Midfielder
14
Luke McCowan
Luke McCowan Midfielder
41
Reo Hatate
Reo Hatate Midfielder
28
Paulo Guilherme Gonçalves Bernardo
Paulo Guilherme Gonçalves Bernardo Midfielder
27
Arne Engels
Arne Engels Midfielder
32
Joel Mvuka
Joel Mvuka Midfielder
17
Kelechi Promise Iheanacho
Kelechi Promise Iheanacho Attacker
7
João Pedro Neves Filipe
João Pedro Neves Filipe Attacker
49
James Forrest
James Forrest Attacker
38
Daizen Maeda
Daizen Maeda Attacker
9
Junior Chikwubuike Adamu
Junior Chikwubuike Adamu Attacker
11
Tomáš Čvančara
Tomáš Čvančara Attacker
23
Sebastian Tounekti
Sebastian Tounekti Attacker
8
Benjamin Nygren
Benjamin Nygren Attacker
10
Michel Ange Balikwisha
Michel Ange Balikwisha Attacker
13
Hyun-Jun Yang
Hyun-Jun Yang Attacker
19
Callum Osmand
Callum Osmand Attacker

Squad ▼

1
Craig Gordon
Craig Gordon Goalkeeper
30
Ryan Fulton
Ryan Fulton Goalkeeper
25
Alexander Schwolow
Alexander Schwolow Goalkeeper
3
Stephen Kingsley
Stephen Kingsley Defender
2
Frankie Kent
Frankie Kent Defender
19
Stuart Findlay
Stuart Findlay Defender
5
Jamie Mccart
Jamie Mccart Defender
4
Craig Halkett
Craig Halkett Defender
18
Harry Milne
Harry Milne Defender
12
Christian Dahle Borchgrevink
Christian Dahle Borchgrevink Defender
15
Michael Steinwender
Michael Steinwender Defender
31
Oisin McEntee
Oisin McEntee Defender
23
Jordi Altena
Jordi Altena Defender
16
Blair Spittal
Blair Spittal Midfielder
6
Beni Baningime
Beni Baningime Midfielder
22
Tómas Bent Magnússon
Tómas Bent Magnússon Midfielder
14
Cameron Devlin
Cameron Devlin Midfielder
49
Marc Leonard
Marc Leonard Midfielder
8
Calem Nieuwenhof
Calem Nieuwenhof Midfielder
24
Finlay Pollock
Finlay Pollock Midfielder
40
Eduardo Ageu Almeida Santos
Eduardo Ageu Almeida Santos Midfielder
9
Lawrence Shankland
Lawrence Shankland Attacker
17
Alan Forrest
Alan Forrest Attacker
7
Elton Daniël Kabangu
Elton Daniël Kabangu Attacker
11
Pierre Landry Kabore
Pierre Landry Kabore Attacker
89
Alexandros Kiziridis
Alexandros Kiziridis Attacker
10
Cláudio Rafael Soares Braga
Cláudio Rafael Soares Braga Attacker
99
Islam Chesnokov
Islam Chesnokov Attacker
74
Rogers Mato
Rogers Mato Attacker
29
Sabah Kerjota
Sabah Kerjota Attacker

CONCLUSION

Celtic's power edge and home advantage at Celtic Park position them as favorites in this Premiership showdown, despite Hearts' league-topping status and slight form superiority. The Hoops' 3.8-point superiority suggests structural dominance, likely to shine in open play. Hearts' first-place standing demands respect, but away from home against Celtic's intensity could prove challenging. With limited advanced stats like set pieces or efficiency, the focus falls on core strengths: Celtic's overall quality versus Hearts' consistency. Expect a competitive battle where Celtic's venue prowess tips the scales for a hard-fought victory.

Celtic vs Hearts preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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