Celta de Vigo vs Sevilla Match Preview, Stats & Prediction

2025/2026 La Liga, Spain

Estadio de Balaídos Sat, 23 May - 7:00 PM

La Liga

Celta de Vigo CEL

Sevilla SEV

Full Time Sat, 23 May 7:00 PM

Round 38 Regular Season

Ilaix Moriba - 51'

CONTEXT

Celta de Vigo hosted Sevilla in a match that concluded with a 1-0 home victory. The first half ended level at 0-0 with both sides unable to break the deadlock. Celta controlled 54 percent of possession compared to Sevilla's 46 percent. No red cards were shown to either team throughout the contest. The stronger side according to pre-match indicators prevailed as expected. The single goal arrived after the interval to separate the teams. Data showed a significant deviation level associated with the home side. Market alignment held true for the final result. Efficiency metrics remained in line with overall team performance indicators.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Celta de Vigo recorded a significant deviation of 48.8 percent in the outcome.
Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift stayed in line with the stronger team's indicators.
xG alignment: No xG data was available to determine alignment with the result.
Market alignment: The final outcome proved aligned with pre-match market indicators.
xG expectations: Expected goals values were null and offered no basis for evaluation.
Event impact: The match stayed at 0-0 until the second half produced the sole goal.
Red card distortion: Zero red cards occurred and created no distortion to match dynamics.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

F. Hernández Maeso

Spain 25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

I. Masso Granado

1st Assistant

Spain

A. Pérez Dapía

2nd Assistant

Spain

G. Conejero Sánchez

4th Official

Spain

C. Giráldez González

L. García Plaza

1.46

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.08

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

11 - 8 - 14

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Celta de Vigo

51.2%

Draw

27.51%

Sevilla

21.29%

Movement

Changes since opening

Celta de Vigo

-43.52%

Draw

+22.42%

Sevilla

+21.1%

Team Power Ranking

79.89

74.73

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Celta de Vigo

Sevilla

Power Score

79.89

74.73

League Position

Global Rank

120

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Celta de Vigo — Opponent-weighted form score

Sevilla — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Celta de Vigo Sevilla

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Celta de Vigo

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Sevilla

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Celta de Vigo ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Sevilla

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Celta de Vigo Sevilla

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Celta de Vigo Sevilla

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Celta de Vigo

Sevilla

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Celta de Vigo

Sevilla

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Celta de Vigo Sevilla

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Celta de Vigo Sevilla

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Celta de Vigo

Sevilla

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

SEV had peak pressure around 32'.
SEV started the game with stronger pressure.

CEL Pressure SEV Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: SEV reached the top pressure at 32' (66.89).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 33 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Celta de Vigo CEL Home

33 matches

Sevilla SEV Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-8

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-05-23T18:30:33+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3

Match Formation 4-3-3

13 I. Radu

32 J. Rodríguez Galiano

29 Y. Lago Amil

20 M. Alonso Mendoza

17 J. Rueda García

6 Ilaix Moriba

8 F. López González

5 S. Carreira Vilariño

10 I. Aspas Juncal

7 B. Iglesias Quintas

19 W. Swedberg

13 Ø. Håskjold Nyland

12 G. Suazo Urbina

4 Kike Salas

3 C. Azpilicueta Tanco

2 José Ángel Carmona

20 D. Sow

14 G. Fernández Castellano

18 L. Agoume

36 J. Martínez Gauna

7 I. Romero Bernal

10 A. Sánchez Sánchez

General Information

Date & Time :

May 23, 2026, 07:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 38 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Estadio de Balaídos

Capacity :

25000

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Francisco José Hernández Maeso

Iván Masso Granado

Abraham Pérez Dapía

Guillermo Conejero Sánchez

Statistics

Possession

CEL

54%

SEV

46%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0

3 Big Chances Created 1

8 Shots 5

34 Dangerous attacks 44

54 Possession 46

4 Corners 3

20 Free kicks 11

1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

7 Successful Headers 9

10 Successful Dribbles 8

11 Throwins 15

17 Dribble Attempts 15

9 Goal Kicks 8

59 Successful Dribbles Percentage 53

1 Hit Woodwork 0

1 Assists 0

5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

3 Big Chances Missed 1

102 Attacks 89

Possession

24 Successful Long Passes 13

65 Successful Long Passes Percentage 37

527 Passes 438

37 Long Passes 35

89 Successful Passes Percentage 86

471 Successful Passes 378

9 Key Passes 7

Defensive

52 Duels Won 43

16 Tackles 16

9 Interceptions 12

2 Saves 2

Build-up

4 Accurate Crosses 4

8 Total Crosses 13

Discipline

11 Fouls 20

0 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Francisco José Hernández Maeso

Manager ▼

C. Giráldez González Coach

Starting XI ▼

Ionuț Radu Goalkeeper

6.88

Marcos Alonso Defender

6.99

Yoel Lago Defender

6.63

Javi Rodríguez Defender

6.72

Sergio Carreira Midfielder

6.77

Ilaix Moriba Midfielder

6.82

Fer López Midfielder

6.73

Matías Vecino

Midfielder74'

6.67

Javi Rueda Midfielder

6.79

Óscar Mingueza

Defender90+3'

6.89

Borja Iglesias Attacker

6.89

Pablo Durán

Attacker74'

6.65

Iago Aspas Attacker

6.98

Ferran Jutglà

Attacker66'

6.91

Williot Swedberg Attacker

6.77

Hugo Álvarez

Midfielder65'

6.76

Substitutes ▼

Hugo Álvarez

Midfielder65'

6.76

Ferran Jutglà

Attacker66'

6.91

Matías Vecino

Midfielder74'

6.67

Pablo Durán

Attacker74'

6.65

Óscar Mingueza

Defender90+3'

6.89

Bench ▼

Iván Villar Goalkeeper

6.94

Joseph Aidoo Defender

6.39

Álvaro Núñez Defender

Mihailo Ristic Defender

6.7

Franco Cervi Midfielder

6.73

Hugo Sotelo Midfielder

6.98

Jones El-Abdellaoui Attacker

6.56

Referee : Francisco José Hernández Maeso