Catanzaro vs Monza Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Serie B, Italy

Stadio Nicola Ceravolo Mon, 6 Apr - 1:00 PM

Serie B

Catanzaro CAT

1 – 1

Monza MON

Full Time Mon, 6 Apr 1:00 PM

Round 33 Regular Season

Simone Pontisso - 6'

Matteo Pessina - 90+6' (P)

Gabriele Alesi 36'

Patrick Cutrone 48'

Keita Baldé 76'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Catanzaro 0–1 Monza. The result saw Monza take the points. Monza showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 47%–53%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Monza showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

G. Ayroldi

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

G. Perrotti

1st Assistant

S. Biffi

2nd Assistant

C. Esposito

4th Official

A. Aquilani

P. Bianco

1.92

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

2.16

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

0 - 0 - 1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Catanzaro

30.02%

Draw

27.97%

Monza

42.01%

Team Power Ranking

60.25

59.46

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Catanzaro

Monza

Power Score

60.25

59.46

League Position

Global Rank

463

311

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Catanzaro — Opponent-weighted form score

Monza — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Catanzaro Monza

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Catanzaro

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Monza

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Catanzaro ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Monza

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

31.38

24.25

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

24.25

31.38

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Catanzaro +0.68 Efficiency Index

Monza -0.68 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Catanzaro

Monza

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Catanzaro ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Monza

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Catanzaro Monza

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 1.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Catanzaro Monza

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

1.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Catanzaro

Monza

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Catanzaro

Monza

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Catanzaro Monza

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Catanzaro Monza

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Catanzaro

Monza

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Catanzaro CAT Home

1 matches

Monza MON Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-1

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-07T00:02:31+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3

Match Formation 3-5-2

22 M. Pigliacelli

84 T. Cassandro

4 M. Antonini Lui

23 N. Brighenti

30 G. Alesi

10 J. Petriccione

20 S. Pontisso

77 M. D'Alessandro

27 C. Favasuli

8 F. Pittarello

14 M. Liberali

20 D. Thiam

3 L. Lucchesi

15 F. Delli Carri

13 L. Ravanelli

7 P. Dentello Azzi

8 H. Azevedo Júnior

14 P. Mba Obiang Avomo

32 M. Pessina

26 P. Ciurria

37 A. Petagna

10 P. Cutrone

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 06, 2026, 01:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 33 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Capacity :

14650

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ , Clear

Referees :

Giovanni Ayroldi

Giuseppe Perrotti

Simone Biffi

Carlo Esposito

Statistics

Possession

CAT

50%

MON

50%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1

1 Big Chances Created 1

5 Shots 5

35 Dangerous attacks 57

47 Possession 53

1 Corners 5

19 Free kicks 14

4 Yellow Cards 3

1 Red Cards 2

Match Overview

13 Dribble Attempts 11

31 Successful Dribbles Percentage 36

9 Goal Kicks 7

21 Throwins 18

71 Ball Safe 56

8 Goal Attempts 6

4 Substitutions 5

4 Successful Dribbles 4

2 Hit Woodwork 0

0 Penalties 1

1 Injuries 1

Attacking

68 Attacks 81

1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

81 Successful Passes Percentage 84

337 Passes 360

54 Long Passes 34

272 Successful Passes 301

10 Key Passes 7

26 Successful Long Passes 10

48 Successful Long Passes Percentage 29

Defensive

53 Duels Won 44

8 Interceptions 5

19 Tackles 20

1 Saves 2

Build-up

13 Total Crosses 33

4 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

15 Fouls 19

3 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Giovanni Ayroldi

Manager ▼

A. Aquilani Coach

Starting XI ▼

Mirko Pigliacelli Goalkeeper

Matias Antonini Defender

Nicolò Brighenti Defender

Tommaso Cassandro Defender

Jacopo Petriccione Midfielder

Simone Pontisso Midfielder

Marco Pompetti

Midfielder67'

Gabriele Alesi Midfielder

Marco D'Alessandro Midfielder

Ruggero Frosinini

Defender18'

Filippo Pittarello Attacker

N'Dri Koffi

Attacker89'

Mattia Liberali Attacker

Fabio Rispoli

Midfielder67'

Costantino Favasuli Attacker

Substitutes ▼

Ruggero Frosinini

Defender18'

Fabio Rispoli

Midfielder67'

Marco Pompetti

Midfielder67'

N'Dri Koffi

Attacker89'

Bench ▼

Christian Marietta Goalkeeper

Gonçalo do Lago Pontes Esteves Defender

Ervin Bashi Defender

Fellipe Jack Defender

Bruno Verrengia Defender

Rémi Oudin Midfielder

Davide Buglio Midfielder

Federico Di Francesco Attacker

Referee : Giovanni Ayroldi