Castellón vs Granada Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
La Liga 2
Granada GRASTANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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CONTEXT
The match between Castellón and Granada has officially finished with a full-time score of 3-2 in favor of Castellón. The hosts established their lead early, heading into halftime with a 2-1 advantage before ultimately securing the home victory in the second half. This outcome aligned perfectly with pre-match market expectations. Castellón entered the fixture as the clear favorites, holding a dominant 61.6% implied probability of victory compared to a 23.3% chance of a draw and just 15.1% for Granada. As the recognized stronger team, Castellón delivered a performance that accounted for a significant deviation level of 38.4% in their favor. Statistically, the game was fairly competitive in terms of control. Castellón held a slight majority of the ball with 52% possession, leaving Granada with 48%. While expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture to determine alignment with underlying chance creation, the final efficiency shift was deemed entirely in line with expectations. Furthermore, the flow and outcome of the match were not distorted by any severe disciplinary issues, as the game concluded cleanly with zero red cards shown to either side.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Castellón showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
- Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
- xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
- Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
- xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
- Event impact: No major event distortion.
- Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
G. Etayo Herrera
Other match officials
B. Valencia López
1st Assistant
D. Novoa Hernández
2nd Assistant
P. Arenas Mora
4th Official


Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Castellón
GranadaTeam Power Ranking
i
67.07
65.75
Castellón
GranadaForm Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.


Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Castellón
Granada

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Castellón ⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency 
Defensive Efficiency 
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)




Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Castellón ⚠ Proxy
Castellón Granada
Castellón Granada
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Castellón
Castellón Granada


Castellón Granada


Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.


Match Record 
Goals 
Data last updated: 2026-04-07T00:05:03+00:00
STARTING XI
Castellón
Granada























































General Information
Next Match

Castellón
vs

Mirandés
League: La Liga 2
Kickoff: Sun, 12 Apr - 4:30 PM
Venue: Away

Granada
vs

Cultural Leonesa
League: La Liga 2
Kickoff: Sun, 12 Apr - 12:00 PM
Venue: Home
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
CastellónManager ▼

Starting XI ▼
















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Bench ▼







GranadaManager ▼

Starting XI ▼
















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Bench ▼







Events
CONCLUSION
Castellón vs Granada preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
How We Build This Analysis
BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.
