Carrarese vs Pescara Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Serie B, Italy

Stadio dei Marmi Sun, 19 Apr - 1:00 PM

Serie B

Carrarese CAR

2 – 2

Pescara PES

Full Time Sun, 19 Apr 1:00 PM

Round 35 Regular Season

Devid Eugene Bouah - 84'

Filippo Distefano - 19'

Gennaro Acampora - 61'

Gaetano Letizia - 35'

CONTEXT

Carrarese and Pescara delivered a 2-2 draw in Serie C, with the home team, deemed stronger pre-match, holding just 41% possession to the visitors' 59%. The score was level 1-1 at halftime, reflecting early balance before both sides added a goal in the second half. No red cards disrupted play, and no notable second-half adjustments occurred. This outcome marks a significant 73.2% structural deviation linked to Carrarese, diverging from expectations of a home win given their favored status. Market alignment failed, as the draw contradicted pre-match assessments where home victory held the highest probability at 43.4%, followed by away at 29.8% and draw at 26.8%. Efficiency shift remained in line with norms, though xG data absence prevents precise performance evaluation. Possession disparity did not translate to dominance, underscoring resilient defending and clinical finishing from both.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Match exhibited a significant 73.2% structural deviation attributed to Carrarese.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift was in line with expectations.
xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
Market alignment: Market alignment absent as draw diverged from pre-match home-favored probabilities.
xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without metrics.
Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered the match trajectory.
Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, eliminating dismissal-related distortion.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

I. Pezzuto

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

D. Yoshikawa

2nd Assistant

G. Mokhtar

1st Assistant

S. Galipò

4th Official

A. Calabro

G. Gorgone

1.19

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

0 - 1 - 0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Carrarese

43.37%

Draw

26.82%

Pescara

29.81%

Movement

Changes since opening

Carrarese

+38.46%

Draw

-63.82%

Pescara

+25.36%

Team Power Ranking

22.85

22.35

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Carrarese

Pescara

Power Score

22.85

22.35

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Carrarese — Opponent-weighted form score

Pescara — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Carrarese Pescara

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Carrarese

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Pescara

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Carrarese ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Pescara

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

38.54

28.22

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

28.22

38.54

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Carrarese +0.98 Efficiency Index

Pescara -0.98 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Carrarese

Pescara

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Carrarese ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Pescara

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Carrarese Pescara

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Carrarese Pescara

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Carrarese

Pescara

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Carrarese

Pescara

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Carrarese Pescara

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Carrarese Pescara

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Carrarese

Pescara

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

PES had peak pressure around 36'.
CAR started the game with stronger pressure.

CAR Pressure PES Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: PES reached the top pressure at 36' (77.95).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Carrarese CAR Home

1 matches

Pescara PES Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-20T00:03:17+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2

Match Formation 4-3-2-1

1 M. Bleve

37 N. Calabrese

4 J. Illanes Minucci

26 F. Ruggeri

13 D. Bouah

77 G. Parlanti

17 E. Zuelli

70 L. Hasa

7 N. Belloni

28 F. Di Stefano

9 F. Abiuso

22 I. Saio

32 A. Cagnano

6 D. Bettella

2 R. Capellini

3 G. Letizia

27 G. Olzer

8 G. Brugman

14 L. Valzania

11 L. Insigne

13 G. Acampora

9 A. Di Nardo

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 19, 2026, 01:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 35 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Stadio dei Marmi

Capacity :

5000

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Ivano Pezzuto

Daisuke Emanuele Yoshikawa

Gamal Mokhtar

Simone Galipò

Statistics

Possession

CAR

44%

PES

56%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2

3 Big Chances Created 2

5 Shots 4

36 Dangerous attacks 53

41 Possession 59

6 Corners 5

15 Free kicks 18

1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

0 Hit Woodwork 1

15 Throwins 17

2 Assists 1

15 Dribble Attempts 17

97 Ball Safe 96

9 Goal Kicks 7

53 Successful Dribbles Percentage 59

8 Successful Dribbles 10

7 Goal Attempts 10

5 Substitutions 9

Attacking

75 Attacks 117

1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

9 Key Passes 8

253 Successful Passes 420

76 Successful Passes Percentage 85

27 Successful Long Passes 26

64 Long Passes 50

332 Passes 492

42 Successful Long Passes Percentage 52

Defensive

18 Tackles 11

7 Interceptions 7

2 Saves 3

60 Duels Won 53

Build-up

21 Total Crosses 15

6 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

1 Offsides 3

18 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : Ivano Pezzuto

Manager ▼

A. Calabro Coach

Starting XI ▼

Marco Bleve Goalkeeper

6.86

Julián Illanes Defender

6.89

Fabio Andrea Ruggeri Defender

6.67

Jonas Rouhi

Defender76'

6.75

Nicolò Calabrese Defender

6.79

Niccolò Belloni Midfielder

6.69

Devid Eugene Bouah Midfielder

6.65

Emanuele Zuelli Midfielder

Nicolás Schiavi

Midfielder69'

7.15

Luis Hasa Midfielder

7.06

Gabriele Parlanti Midfielder

6.6

Filippo Melegoni

Midfielder69'

6.69

Fabio Abiuso Attacker

6.99

Ernesto Torregrossa

Attacker76'

6.59

Filippo Distefano Attacker

6.71

Mattia Finotto

Attacker59'

6.66

Substitutes ▼

Mattia Finotto

Attacker59'

6.66

Nicolás Schiavi

Midfielder69'

7.15

Filippo Melegoni

Midfielder69'

6.69

Ernesto Torregrossa

Attacker76'

6.59

Jonas Rouhi

Defender76'

6.75

Bench ▼

Vincenzo Fiorillo Goalkeeper

6.93

Filippo Oliana Defender

6.78

Tommaso Guercio Defender

Dachi Lordkipanidze Midfielder

6.54

Federico Accornero Midfielder

6.4

Tommaso Rubino Attacker

6.76

Nikola Sekulov Attacker

6.7

Referee : Ivano Pezzuto