Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Prediction, Preview and Stats
World Cup
Bosnia and Herzegovina
BIH
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Canada faced Bosnia and Herzegovina in a competitive international fixture that ended in a 1-1 draw. Bosnia and Herzegovina led 0-1 at halftime after an early strike but Canada responded with an equalizer in the second period to secure the point. Canada controlled 61 percent of possession and generated an expected goals total of 1.52 against 1.05 for the visitors. The stronger side on paper delivered a performance consistent with underlying metrics despite the moderate structural deviation recorded for the home team. No red cards were issued and the outcome aligned with pre-match expectations in both xG and market terms. The efficiency metrics remained in line throughout the contest.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Canada recorded a moderate structural deviation of 8.3 percent in the match.
-
Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match projections for both sides.
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xG alignment: The final 1-1 scoreline proved consistent with the xG totals of 1.52 to 1.05.
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Market alignment: The draw result aligned fully with market expectations for the fixture.
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xG expectations: Canada posted higher xG at 1.52 while Bosnia and Herzegovina finished with 1.05.
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Event impact: No major events altered the flow beyond the halftime score of 0-1.
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Red card distortion: Zero red cards were shown so no distortion affected the final outcome.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
F. Tello Figueroa
Other match officials
J. Belatti
1st Assistant
G. Chade
2nd Assistant
K. Saleh
4th Official
League averages
World Cup Based on last 100 matches
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Canada
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Movement
Changes since opening
Canada
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Team Power Ranking
i
27.78
26.67
Canada
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Canada
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Canada
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency



Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)




Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.








Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.














PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- CAN had peak pressure around 40'.
- BIH started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.








Data last updated: 2026-06-13T00:00:17+00:00
STARTING XI


Bosnia and Herzegovina




























































































































































































































General Information
Next Match


Canada
vs
Qatar
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Thu, 18 Jun - 10:00 PM
Venue: Vancouver Stadium
Bosnia and Herzegovina
vs
Switzerland
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Thu, 18 Jun - 7:00 PM
Venue: Los Angeles Stadium
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup


Manager ▼


Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼



Bench ▼




















Bosnia and Herzegovina
Manager ▼


Starting XI ▼





































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Bench ▼




















Events
CONCLUSION
Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
How We Build This Analysis
BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.
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Daniels Zorge covers football fixtures with a focus on tactical matchups, playing styles, and key details that shape each game.












Match Commentary