Cádiz vs Deportivo La Coruña Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla Fri, 8 May - 6:30 PM
La Liga 2
Cádiz CAD
0 Winner 1
Deportivo La Coruña COR
Full Time Fri, 8 May 6:30 PM
Round 39 Regular Season
|
Goal
Stoichkov - 88'

CONTEXT

In a hard-fought Segunda División encounter at the Estadio Ramón de Carranza, Cádiz fell 0-1 to Deportivo La Coruña. The match was deadlocked at 0-0 at halftime, reflecting a cautious first half where Deportivo La Coruña held 59% possession against Cádiz's 41%. The away side, considered the stronger team, broke the deadlock in the second half with a solitary goal, securing a vital away win. Cádiz created few clear opportunities and failed to capitalize on home advantage, while Deportivo La Coruña's control translated into the decisive strike. No red cards disrupted play, and the absence of major second-half adjustments kept the game structured. This result marks a significant deviation in Deportivo La Coruña's favor, aligning with their pre-match favoritism and maintaining efficiency levels.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Deportivo La Coruña recorded a significant 49.7% structural deviation in their favor.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations for both teams.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Final outcome aligned with pre-market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable for evaluation.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered the match flow.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards issued, resulting in zero distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

D. Arcediano Monescillo

Spain 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

J. Martínez Montalbán

4th Official

Spain

S. Sanz Torcal

2nd Assistant

Spain

C. Valverde Monsalve

1st Assistant

Spain

League averages

La Liga 2 Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 22.28
Yellow cards / match 4.72
Red cards / match 0.25
Penalties / match 0.33
Cádiz J. Idiakez Barkaiztegui
J. Idiakez Barkaiztegui
VS
Deportivo La Coruña A. Hidalgo Morilla
A. Hidalgo Morilla
0.73
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.85
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 56 D
Las Palmas Rank: 70 L
Sporting Gijón Rank: 63 L
FC Andorra Rank: 66 L
Córdoba Rank: 65 L
Real Valladolid Rank: 61 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Leganés Rank: 64 W
Burgos Rank: 67 D
Mirandés Rank: 59 W
Huesca Rank: 58 D
Málaga Rank: 69 D
Córdoba Rank: 65 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 4 - 4
4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Cádiz
23.62%
Draw
26.07%
Away Deportivo La Coruña
50.31%

Movement

Changes since opening
Cádiz
+23.43%
Draw
+22.74%
Deportivo La Coruña
-46.17%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.31
69.8
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cádiz
Deportivo La Coruña
Power Score
56.31
69.8
League Position
18
2
Global Rank
616
213

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Cádiz — Opponent-weighted form score
Deportivo La Coruña — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cádiz Deportivo La Coruña

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Cádiz

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Deportivo La Coruña

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Cádiz ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Deportivo La Coruña
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
20.98
37.88
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
37.88
20.98
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Cádiz -1.72 Efficiency Index
vs
Deportivo La Coruña +1.72 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Cádiz
Deportivo La Coruña
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Cádiz ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Deportivo La Coruña
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Cádiz Deportivo La Coruña
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Cádiz Deportivo La Coruña
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Cádiz
Deportivo La Coruña
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Cádiz
vs
Deportivo La Coruña
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Cádiz Deportivo La Coruña
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Cádiz 0.22
Deportivo La Coruña 0.28
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Cádiz Deportivo La Coruña
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Cádiz 0.01
Deportivo La Coruña 0.00
Cádiz
Deportivo La Coruña
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • COR had peak pressure around 13'.
  • COR started the game with stronger pressure.
CAD Pressure COR Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: COR reached the top pressure at 13' (80.42).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Cádiz CAD Home
9 matches
Deportivo La Coruña COR Away
Match Record
1
Wins
4
4
Draws
4
4
Losses
1
Goals
9
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
9
-2
Goal Difference
+2

Data last updated: 2026-05-09T00:01:50+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
D. Gil Mohedano
Spain
1 D. Gil Mohedano
J. Díaz Peregrina
34 J. Díaz Peregrina
B. Kovačević
Serbia
14 B. Kovačević
P. Fernández Balboa
Spain
27 P. Fernández Balboa
M. Climent Plá
Spain
21 M. Climent Plá
S. Ortuño Díaz
Spain
15 S. Ortuño Díaz
J. González
Substitution
Spain
24 J. González
J. Fernández Sáez de la Torre
Substitution
Spain
11 J. Fernández Sáez de la Torre
A. Fernández Iglesias
Substitution
Spain
8 A. Fernández Iglesias
Antonio Cordero
Substitution
16 Antonio Cordero
?. García Pascual
Substitution
23 ?. García Pascual
Pitch
Á. Fernández Llorente
Spain
25 Á. Fernández Llorente
M. Loureiro Ameijeda
Spain
15 M. Loureiro Ameijeda
L. Noubi Ngnokam
Substitution
Belgium
4 L. Noubi Ngnokam
J. Navarro Jiménez
Spain
23 J. Navarro Jiménez
G. Quagliata
Substitution
Italy
12 G. Quagliata
D. Villares Yáñez
Spain
8 D. Villares Yáñez
M. Soriano Carreño
Spain
21 M. Soriano Carreño
A. Altimira Reynaldos
Spain
2 A. Altimira Reynaldos
Y. Hernández Cubas
Substitution
Spain
10 Y. Hernández Cubas
B. Nsongo Tonfack
Substitution
32 B. Nsongo Tonfack
L. Cruz Hernández
Substitution
Spain
19 L. Cruz Hernández

General Information

Date & Time :
May 08, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 39 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Capacity :
20724
Attendance :
15872
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Dámaso Arcediano Monescillo
José David Martínez Montalbán
Samuel Sanz Torcal
Christian Arlex Valverde Monsalve

Statistics

Possession
CAD
43%
COR
57%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
0 Big Chances Created 4
5 Shots 16
32 Dangerous attacks 67
41 Possession 59
3 Corners 9
18 Free kicks 10
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

10 Dribble Attempts 13
10 Successful Dribbles Percentage 31
17 Throwins 22
9 Goal Kicks 3
1 Successful Dribbles 4
3 Goal Attempts 12
5 Substitutions 5
93 Ball Safe 64
1 Injuries 0
0 Assists 1

Attacking

73 Attacks 89
0 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

4 Key Passes 18
81 Successful Passes Percentage 88
328 Passes 465
19 Successful Long Passes 12
41 Successful Long Passes Percentage 34
46 Long Passes 35
267 Successful Passes 411

Defensive

18 Tackles 17
45 Duels Won 42
8 Interceptions 11
6 Saves 1

Build-up

3 Accurate Crosses 10
14 Total Crosses 23

Discipline

10 Fouls 18

Lineup

Referee : Dámaso Arcediano Monescillo

Starting XI ▼

1
David Gil
David Gil Goalkeeper
14
Bojan Kovacevic
Bojan Kovacevic Defender
21
Mario Climent
Mario Climent Defender
27
Pelayo Fernández
Pelayo Fernández Defender
34
Juan Díaz
Juan Díaz Defender
8
Álex Fernández
Álex Fernández Midfielder
10
Brian Ocampo
Brian Ocampo
Attacker67'
11
Suso
Suso Midfielder
7
Lucas Pérez
Lucas Pérez
Attacker67'
15
Sergio Ortuño
Sergio Ortuño Midfielder
16
Antoñito Cordero
Antoñito Cordero Midfielder
19
José Antonio de la Rosa
José Antonio de la Rosa
Attacker79'
24
Joaquín González
Joaquín González Midfielder
5
Moussa Diakité
Moussa Diakité
Midfielder20'
23
García Pascual
García Pascual Attacker
9
Roger Martí
Roger Martí
Attacker80'
Referee : Dámaso Arcediano Monescillo

Starting XI ▼

25
Álvaro Fernández
Álvaro Fernández Goalkeeper
4
Lucas Noubi
Lucas Noubi Defender
3
Arnau Comas
Arnau Comas
Defender46'
15
Miguel Loureiro
Miguel Loureiro Defender
23
Ximo Navarro
Ximo Navarro Defender
2
Adrià Altimira
Adrià Altimira Midfielder
8
Diego Villares
Diego Villares Midfielder
12
Giacomo Quagliata
Giacomo Quagliata Midfielder
18
Sergio Escudero
Sergio Escudero
Defender81'
21
Mario Soriano
Mario Soriano Midfielder
10
Yeremay Hernández
Yeremay Hernández Attacker
22
Stoichkov
Stoichkov
Attacker86'
19
Luismi Cruz
Luismi Cruz Attacker
37
Noé Carrillo
Noé Carrillo
Midfielder74'
32
Bil Dornol Nsongo Tonfack
Bil Dornol Nsongo Tonfack Attacker
9
Zakaria Eddahchouri
Zakaria Eddahchouri
Attacker74'

Events

2ND-HALF
89'
Event
Noé Carrillo
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
88'
Event
Stoichkov
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
86'
Event
Stoichkov → Yeremay Hernández
10th Substitution
81'
Event
Sergio Escudero → Giacomo Quagliata
9th Substitution
Event
Roger Martí → García Pascual
8th Substitution
80'
Event
José Antonio de la Rosa → Antoñito Cordero
7th Substitution
79'
Event
Pelayo Fernández
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
74'
Event
5th Yellowcard
74'
74'
Event
Zakaria Eddahchouri → Bil Dornol Nsongo Tonfack
6th Substitution
74'
Event
Noé Carrillo → Luismi Cruz
5th Substitution
Event
Lucas Pérez → Suso
4th Substitution
67'
Event
Brian Ocampo → Álex Fernández
3rd Substitution
67'
46'
Event
Arnau Comas → Lucas Noubi
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
45+2'
Event
Yeremay Hernández
Simulation / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Moussa Diakité → Joaquín González
1st Substitution
20'
18'
Event
Lucas Noubi
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Perez Martinez takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Perez Martinez takes a left-footed shot but misses.
88
Attempt Attempt
Stoichkov takes a left-footed shot and scores.
88
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Stoichkov scores, making it 0-1.
88
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Perez Martinez takes a left-footed shot but misses.
88
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Stoichkov with his left foot results in a goal.
86
Update Update
Stoichkov comes on for Yeremay Hernandez.
84
Attempt Attempt
Zakaria Eddahchouri takes a shot with another body part but misses.
82
Attempt Attempt
Moussa Diakite's right-footed shot is blocked.
81
Update Update
Sergio Escudero Palomo comes on for Giacomo Quagliata.
79
Update Update
Jose Antonio de la Rosa comes on for Antonio Cordero.
76
Attempt Attempt
Adria Altimira takes a right-footed shot but misses.
74
Update Update
Zakaria Eddahchouri comes on for Bil Nsongo.
74
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Pelayo Fernandez receives a yellow card.
74
Update Update
Zakaria Eddahchouri comes on for Bil Nsongo.
71
Attempt Attempt
Yeremay Hernandez takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
67
Update Update
Lucas Perez Martinez is on, and Jesus Fernandez Saez Suso is off.
65
Attempt Attempt
Miguel Loureiro's right-footed shot is blocked.
57
Attempt Attempt
Bil Nsongo's left-footed shot is saved.
57
Attempt Attempt
Bil Nsongo takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
52
Update Update
Miguel Loureiro's header attempt goes wide.
52
Attempt Attempt
Diego Villares has a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
50
Attempt Attempt
Antonio Cordero takes a right-footed shot but misses.
46
Update Update
Arnau Comas comes on for Lucas Noubi Ngnokam.
46
Attempt Attempt
Yeremay Hernandez takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yeremay Hernandez receives a yellow card.
45
Update Update
Bojan Kovacevic's header is blocked.
43
Attempt Attempt
Yeremay Hernandez's right-footed shot is saved.
41
Attempt Attempt
Luismi Cruz takes a left-footed shot but misses.
34
Attempt Attempt
Yeremay Hernandez takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
26
Update Update
Miguel Loureiro's header attempt misses the target.
26
Attempt Attempt
Miguel Loureiro takes a header but misses the shot.
20
Update Update
Moussa Diakite comes on for Joaquin Gonzalez.
18
Attempt Attempt
Giacomo Quagliata's left-footed shot is saved.
11
Attempt Attempt
Mario Soriano takes a left-footed shot but misses.
10
Attempt Attempt
Bil Nsongo takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
4
Attempt Attempt
Alvaro Pascual's right-footed shot is blocked.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Damaso Arcediano Monescillo.

CONCLUSION

Deportivo La Coruña's 0-1 victory over Cádiz underscores their superiority, dominating possession and converting efficiency into points on the road. Cádiz's defensive resilience held until the second half, but lacked attacking threat to challenge the visitors. This result boosts Deportivo La Coruña's promotion push while highlighting Cádiz's struggles at home. With no disruptions from red cards or structural shifts beyond the norm, the game exemplified disciplined play. Deportivo La Coruña's win reinforces their status as the stronger side, delivering a performance consistent with expectations and setting a positive tone for upcoming fixtures.

Cádiz vs Deportivo La Coruña preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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