Cádiz vs Córdoba Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain

Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla Sat, 4 Apr - 12:00 PM

La Liga 2

Cádiz CAD

Córdoba Córdoba

Full Time Sat, 4 Apr 12:00 PM

Round 34 Regular Season

Sergio Arribas - 80'

Isma Ruiz - 90+1'

Adrián Fuentes - 57'

Cristian Carracedo - 18' (P)

Mario Climent 63'

CONTEXT

The match between Cádiz and Córdoba has officially finished, with the visitors securing a 3-1 full-time victory. Córdoba carried a narrow 1-0 lead into halftime before comfortably extending their advantage. This final outcome aligned with the pre-match market, which favored Córdoba with a 42.5% implied probability of winning, compared to a 29.7% chance for Cádiz and 27.9% for a draw. Despite this alignment with the betting favorite, the result still represented a significant deviation level of 57.5% in Córdoba's favor. Córdoba successfully dictated the flow of the game, holding the majority of possession at 59% while limiting Cádiz to just 41% of the ball. Because expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, it cannot be determined if the final scoreline was strictly consistent with the underlying chance quality. However, the overall efficiency shift of the match remained in line with baseline expectations. The fixture was heavily influenced by a major disciplinary event, as Cádiz was reduced to ten men after receiving a red card. This critical ejection caused a notable red card distortion during the second half, crippling the home side's comeback efforts and allowing Córdoba to control the remainder of the match.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Córdoba showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

M. Pérez Hernández

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

G. López Romera

1st Assistant

S. Rebollo Merino

2nd Assistant

F. Sáiz Villares

4th Official

S. González Soriano

I. Ania Cadavieco

0.88

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.38

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

7 - 4 - 4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Cádiz

29.66%

Draw

27.89%

Córdoba

42.45%

Team Power Ranking

58.32

61.62

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Cádiz

Córdoba

Power Score

58.32

61.62

League Position

Global Rank

524

419

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Cádiz — Opponent-weighted form score

Córdoba — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cádiz Córdoba

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Cádiz

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Córdoba

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Cádiz ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Córdoba

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

29.63

25.42

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

25.42

29.63

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Cádiz +0.43 Efficiency Index

Córdoba -0.43 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Cádiz

Córdoba

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Cádiz ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Córdoba

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Cádiz Córdoba

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 1.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Cádiz Córdoba

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

1.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Cádiz

Córdoba

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Cádiz

Córdoba

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Cádiz Córdoba

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Cádiz Córdoba

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Cádiz

Córdoba

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 15 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Cádiz CAD Home

15 matches

Córdoba Córdoba Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-6

Data last updated: 2026-04-05T00:02:17+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

Match Formation 4-3-3

13 V. Aznar Ussen

29 A. Caicedo Mina

14 B. Kovačević

6 I. Ortega

38 S. Arribas Prieto

24 J. González

5 M. Diakité

11 J. Fernández Sáez de la Torre

15 S. Ortuño Díaz

21 M. Climent Plá

9 R. Martí Salvador

1 I. Iker

2 I. Vilarrasa Palacios

16 R. González Alves

15 X. Egea

4 J. Martín Valerón

14 S. Guardiola Navarro

8 I. Ruiz Sánchez

30 D. Requena Sánchez

11 K. Villodres Medina

18 A. Fuentes González

23 C. Carracedo García

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 04, 2026, 12:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 34 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla

Capacity :

20724

Attendance :

10885

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Manuel Ángel Pérez Hernández

Gonzalo López Romera

S. Rebollo Merino

F. Sáiz Villares

Statistics

Possession

CAD

44%

Córdoba

56%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 3

0 Big Chances Created 3

6 Shots 7

43 Dangerous attacks 40

41 Possession 59

1 Corners 5

19 Free kicks 16

3 Yellow Cards 3

1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

9 Goal Attempts 12

28 Throwins 20

0 Penalties 1

38 Successful Dribbles Percentage 60

5 Successful Dribbles 6

72 Ball Safe 82

1 Assists 2

5 Substitutions 5

11 Goal Kicks 8

13 Dribble Attempts 10

Attacking

91 Attacks 82

0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

209 Successful Passes 347

6 Key Passes 10

293 Passes 439

71 Successful Passes Percentage 79

37 Successful Long Passes Percentage 45

21 Successful Long Passes 33

57 Long Passes 73

Defensive

21 Tackles 14

5 Interceptions 10

52 Duels Won 48

6 Saves 1

Build-up

22 Total Crosses 14

6 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

2 Offsides 2

17 Fouls 19

Lineup

Referee : Manuel Ángel Pérez Hernández

Manager ▼

S. González Soriano Coach

Starting XI ▼

Victor Wehbi Aznar Goalkeeper

Iker Recio Defender

Bojan Kovacevic Defender

Alfred Caicedo Defender

Iza Carcelén

Defender59'

Sergio Arribas Defender

Moussa Diakité Midfielder

Suso Midfielder

García Pascual

Attacker59'

Sergio Ortuño Midfielder

Brian Ocampo

Attacker70'

Mario Climent Midfielder

Joaquín González Midfielder

Yussi Diarra

Midfielder76'

Roger Martí Attacker

Jerónimo Dómina

Attacker59'

Substitutes ▼

Iza Carcelén

Defender59'

Jerónimo Dómina

Attacker59'

García Pascual

Attacker59'

Brian Ocampo

Attacker70'

Yussi Diarra

Midfielder76'

Bench ▼

David Gil Goalkeeper

Jorge Moreno Defender

Rominigue Kouamé Midfielder

Álex Fernández Midfielder

Antoñito Cordero Attacker

Dawda Camara Attacker

José Antonio de la Rosa Attacker

Referee : Manuel Ángel Pérez Hernández