Burnley vs Aston Villa Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Turf Moor Sun, 10 May - 1:00 PM
Premier League
Burnley BUR
2 2
Aston Villa AVL
Full Time Sun, 10 May 1:00 PM
Round 36 Regular Season
Zian Flemming - 58'
Jaidon Anthony - 8'
Goal
|
Goal
Ollie Watkins - 56'
Ross Barkley - 42'

CONTEXT

Burnley and Aston Villa played out an entertaining 2-2 draw in the Premier League. The halftime score was 1-1, with both teams finding the net once in the first period. Aston Villa, deemed the stronger team, controlled possession at 66% to Burnley's 34%, yet failed to secure victory. Burnley demonstrated resilience, equalizing after the break to earn a point. No red cards were issued, maintaining a full complement of players throughout. The match featured no notable second-half adjustments, allowing the game to flow evenly after the interval. This result represents a moderate structural deviation of 9% favoring Aston Villa, though efficiencies stayed in line. Possession disparity did not translate into a win, highlighting Burnley's defensive solidity and counter-attacking threat against Villa's dominance.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Result exhibited moderate 9% structural deviation favoring Aston Villa.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unassessable due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unmeasurable without data.
  • Event impact: No impactful events or adjustments altered second-half dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion to match flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. Taylor

England
Fouls / match 0
Yellow cards / match 0
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

A. Nunn

2nd Assistant

England

G. Beswick

1st Assistant

England

L. Doughty

4th Official

England

League averages

Premier League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 19.74
Yellow cards / match 3.59
Red cards / match 0.11
Penalties / match 0.17
Burnley M. James Jackson
M. James Jackson
VS
Aston Villa U. Emery Etxegoien
U. Emery Etxegoien
0.42
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.67
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Leeds United Rank: 86 L
Manchester City Rank: 98 L
Nottingham Forest Rank: 85 L
Brighton & Hove Albion Rank: 90 L
Fulham Rank: 86 L
AFC Bournemouth Rank: 90 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: 84 L
Fulham Rank: 85 L
Sunderland Rank: 81 W
Nottingham Forest Rank: 88 D
West Ham United Rank: 83 W
Manchester United Rank: 92 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 5 - 8
8

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Burnley
2.76%
Draw
91%
Away Aston Villa
6.25%

Movement

Changes since opening
Burnley
-2.17%
Draw
+10.32%
Aston Villa
-8.15%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.8
90.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Burnley
Aston Villa
Power Score
64.8
90.67
League Position
19
5
Global Rank
82
10

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Burnley Opponent-weighted form score
Aston Villa Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Burnley Aston Villa

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Burnley

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Aston Villa

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Burnley ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Aston Villa
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
48.24
30.98
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
30.98
48.24
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Burnley +1.93 Efficiency Index
vs
Aston Villa -1.93 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Burnley
Aston Villa
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Burnley ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Aston Villa
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Burnley Aston Villa
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Burnley Aston Villa
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Burnley
Aston Villa
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Burnley
vs
Aston Villa
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Burnley Aston Villa
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Burnley Aston Villa
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Burnley
Aston Villa
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • AVL had peak pressure around 44'.
  • BUR started the game with stronger pressure.
BUR Pressure AVL Pressure
Pressure Index: AVL reached the top pressure at 44' (80.57).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 15 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Burnley BUR Home
15 matches
Aston Villa AVL Away
Match Record
2
Wins
8
5
Draws
5
8
Losses
2
Goals
18
Goals Scored
28
28
Goals Conceded
18
-10
Goal Difference
+10

Data last updated: 2026-05-11T00:03:30+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
M. Weiß
Germany
13 M. Weiß
K. Walker
England
2 K. Walker
A. Tuanzebe
England
6 A. Tuanzebe
M. Esteve
France
5 M. Esteve
L. Pires Silva
Brazil
23 L. Pires Silva
F. Morris Luís
Substitution
Portugal
16 F. Morris Luís
C. Ugochukwu
Substitution
France
8 C. Ugochukwu
L. Tchaouna
France
17 L. Tchaouna
H. Mejbri
Substitution
Tunisia
28 H. Mejbri
J. Anthony
Substitution
England
11 J. Anthony
Z. Flemming
Substitution
Netherlands
19 Z. Flemming
Pitch
D. Martínez
Argentina
23 D. Martínez
I. Maatsen
Substitution
Netherlands
22 I. Maatsen
T. Mings
England
5 T. Mings
E. Konsa Ngoyo
England
4 E. Konsa Ngoyo
M. Cash
Substitution
Poland
2 M. Cash
Y. Tielemans
Belgium
8 Y. Tielemans
V. Nilsson Lindelöf
Substitution
Sweden
3 V. Nilsson Lindelöf
M. Rogers
England
27 M. Rogers
R. Barkley
Substitution
England
6 R. Barkley
J. McGinn
Substitution
Scotland
7 J. McGinn
O. Watkins
England
11 O. Watkins

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Turf Moor
Capacity :
22546
Attendance :
21196
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Anthony Taylor
Adam Nunn
Gary Beswick
Leigh Doughty

Statistics

Possession
BUR
39%
AVL
61%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
3 Big Chances Created 3
5 Shots 5
28 Dangerous attacks 49
34 Possession 66
2 Corners 8
10 Free kicks 19
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

12 Goal Kicks 6
5 Successful Dribbles 4
11 Dribble Attempts 14
14 Throwins 21
5 Successful Headers 6
9 Goal Attempts 13
45 Successful Dribbles Percentage 29
57 Ball Safe 68
1 Assists 2
5 Substitutions 5
1 Injuries 0
1 Hit Woodwork 0

Attacking

68 Attacks 92
2 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

11 Key Passes 12
186 Successful Passes 439
255 Passes 511
47 Long Passes 41
73 Successful Passes Percentage 86
13 Successful Long Passes 19
28 Successful Long Passes Percentage 46

Defensive

5 Saves 4
21 Tackles 13
39 Duels Won 40
10 Interceptions 4

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 27
3 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

17 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Anthony Taylor

Starting XI

13
Max Weiß
Max Weiß Goalkeeper
2
Kyle Walker
Kyle Walker Defender
5
Maxime Estève
Maxime Estève Defender
6
Axel Tuanzebe
Axel Tuanzebe Defender
23
Lucas Pires
Lucas Pires Defender
8
Lesley Ugochukwu
Lesley Ugochukwu Midfielder
29
Josh Laurent
Josh Laurent
Midfielder79'
11
Jaidon Anthony
Jaidon Anthony Midfielder
7
Jacob Bruun Larsen
Jacob Bruun Larsen
Attacker87'
16
Florentino
Florentino Midfielder
20
James Ward-Prowse
James Ward-Prowse
Midfielder87'
17
Loum Tchaouna
Loum Tchaouna Midfielder
28
Hannibal
Hannibal Midfielder
9
Lyle Foster
Lyle Foster
Attacker69'
19
Zian Flemming
Zian Flemming Attacker
25
Zeki Amdouni
Zeki Amdouni
Attacker79'
Referee : Anthony Taylor

Starting XI

23
Emiliano Martínez
Emiliano Martínez Goalkeeper
2
Matty Cash
Matty Cash Defender
26
Lamare Bogarde
Lamare Bogarde
Midfielder80'
4
Ezri Konsa
Ezri Konsa Defender
5
Tyrone Mings
Tyrone Mings Defender
22
Ian Maatsen
Ian Maatsen Defender
12
Lucas Digne
Lucas Digne
Defender74'
3
Victor Lindelöf
Victor Lindelöf Midfielder
10
Emiliano Buendía
Emiliano Buendía
Midfielder74'
6
Ross Barkley
Ross Barkley Midfielder
21
Douglas Luiz
Douglas Luiz
Midfielder80'
7
John McGinn
John McGinn Midfielder
31
Leon Bailey
Leon Bailey
Attacker85'
8
Youri Tielemans
Youri Tielemans Midfielder
27
Morgan Rogers
Morgan Rogers Midfielder
11
Ollie Watkins
Ollie Watkins Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
James Ward-Prowse Florentino
10th Substitution
87'
Event
Jacob Bruun Larsen Jaidon Anthony
9th Substitution
87'
85'
Event
Leon Bailey John McGinn
8th Substitution
80'
Event
Lamare Bogarde Matty Cash
6th Substitution
80'
Event
Douglas Luiz Ross Barkley
7th Substitution
Event
Josh Laurent Lesley Ugochukwu
5th Substitution
79'
Event
Zeki Amdouni Zian Flemming
4th Substitution
79'
74'
Event
Emiliano Buendía Victor Lindelöf
2nd Substitution
74'
Event
Lucas Digne Ian Maatsen
3rd Substitution
Event
Lyle Foster Hannibal
1st Substitution
69'
Event
Zian Flemming
Persistent fouling / 2nd Yellowcard
60'
Event
Zian Flemming
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
58'
56'
Event
Ollie Watkins
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
49'
Event
Tyrone Mings
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
42'
Event
Ross Barkley
Header / 2nd Goal
40'
Event
Ollie Watkins
Goal disallowed
Event
Jaidon Anthony
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
8'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The second half ends with the match finishing 2-2 between Burnley and Aston Villa.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 6 minutes of added time.
90
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Douglas Luiz of Aston Villa shoots with his right foot from outside the box, but Max Weiss of Burnley saves it in the left corner. The assist was provided by Leon Bailey.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Josh Laurent against Burnley.
90
Attempt Attempt
Zeki Amdouni from Burnley had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from the center of the box but missing to the left. The assist came from Jacob Bruun Larsen, who provided the cross.
90
Update Update
Emiliano Buendía of Aston Villa won a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Corner Corner
Emiliano Buendía of Aston Villa attempts an attack with a right-footed shot from outside the box, but Max Weiss of Burnley saves it in the right corner. The assist was provided by Leon Bailey.
88
Update Update
Offside called against Burnley. Jacob Bruun Larsen is offside.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: Jacob Bruun Larsen replaces Jaidon Anthony.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: James Ward-Prowse replaces Florentino.
85
Update Update
Foul committed by Axel Tuanzebe against Burnley.
85
Update Update
Youri Tielemans from Aston Villa won a free kick in defense.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: Leon Bailey replaces John McGinn.
84
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Zeki Amdouni of Burnley takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but Emiliano Martínez of Aston Villa saves it in the right corner. The assist came from Florentino.
84
Corner Corner
Burnley win a corner after Lucas Digne concedes.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: Lamare Bogarde replaces Matty Cash.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: Douglas Luiz replaces Ross Barkley.
79
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: Zeki Amdouni replaces Zian Flemming.
79
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: Josh Laurent replaces Lesley Ugochukwu.
76
Attempt Attempt
John McGinn of Aston Villa missed a header from the right side of the six-yard box. The assist came from Lucas Digne's cross.
75
Attempt Attempt
John McGinn from Aston Villa takes a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but it's saved by Burnley's goalkeeper Max Weiss, who is positioned in the center of the goal.
74
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: Emiliano Buendía replaces Victor Lindelöf.
74
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: Lucas Digne replaces Ian Maatsen.
73
Corner Corner
Aston Villa wins a corner after Maxime Estève concedes.
72
Update Update
Foul by Ollie Watkins of Aston Villa.
72
Update Update
Lesley Ugochukwu from Burnley won a free kick in defense.
69
Update Update
Foul committed by Jaidon Anthony of Burnley.
69
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: Lyle Foster replaces Hannibal Mejbri due to injury.
69
Update Update
Ezri Konsa of Aston Villa was awarded a free kick in defense.
66
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Youri Tielemans from Aston Villa took a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it missed.
66
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Hannibal Mejbri from Burnley.
65
Corner Corner
Aston Villa wins a corner after Maxime Estève concedes.
63
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Loum Tchaouna from Burnley takes a left-footed shot from outside the box, but Emiliano Martínez from Aston Villa saves it in the right corner. The assist came from Hannibal Mejbri.
63
Attempt Attempt
Zian Flemming's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Lesley Ugochukwu provided the assist.
63
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Loum Tchaouna from Burnley takes a left-footed shot from outside the box, which is saved in the right corner by Emiliano Martínez from Aston Villa. The assist comes from Hannibal Mejbri.
62
Update Update
Loum Tchaouna from Burnley won a free kick in defense.
62
Update Update
Foul committed by Ross Barkley of Aston Villa.
60
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Zian Flemming from Burnley receives a yellow card for a foul.
60
Update Update
Ollie Watkins is flagged for offside for Aston Villa.
60
Update Update
Fouled by Zian Flemming of Burnley.
60
Update Update
Ezri Konsa from Aston Villa won a free kick on the right wing.
58
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Zian Flemming scores for Burnley with a right-footed shot from the center of the box into the left corner. The match is now 2-2, assisted by Hannibal Mejbri.
57
Update Update
Hannibal Mejbri fouled a Burnley player.
57
Update Update
Youri Tielemans of Aston Villa won a free kick in defense.
56
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ollie Watkins scores for Aston Villa with a right-footed shot from the center of the box into the center of the goal. The score is now Burnley 1, Aston Villa 2, with an assist from Emiliano Martínez.
55
Corner Corner
Jaidon Anthony of Burnley attempts an attack with a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but Emiliano Martínez of Aston Villa saves it in the left corner. The assist comes from Lucas Pires.
54
Update Update
Fouled by Zian Flemming of Burnley.
54
Attempt Attempt
Zian Flemming from Burnley had a missed chance, shooting with his left foot from the center of the box, but it went just to the left. Hannibal Mejbri provided the assist.
54
Update Update
Ezri Konsa from Aston Villa won a free kick in the defensive area.
49
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Tyrone Mings of Aston Villa receives a yellow card for a foul.
48
Update Update
Foul by Axel Tuanzebe against Burnley.
48
Update Update
Hannibal Mejbri from Burnley won a free kick on the left wing.
48
Update Update
Morgan Rogers from Aston Villa won a free kick on the left wing.
48
Update Update
Foul committed by Tyrone Mings of Aston Villa.
46
Update Update
Ezri Konsa from Aston Villa won a free kick in defense.
46
Update Update
Fouled by Zian Flemming of Burnley.
45
Update Update
The second half starts after the match is tied 1-1 between Burnley and Aston Villa.
45
Update Update
Fouled by Zian Flemming of Burnley.
45
Attempt Attempt
Hannibal Mejbri's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
45
Corner Corner
Burnley wins a corner after Youri Tielemans concedes it.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with Burnley 1, Aston Villa 1.
45
Attempt Attempt
John McGinn's left-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked.
45
Corner Corner
Missed chance for Burnley. Florentino's right-footed shot from outside the box goes wide after a corner.
45
Update Update
Youri Tielemans of Aston Villa won a free kick in an attacking position.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 3 minutes of added time.
43
Update Update
Fouled by Zian Flemming of Burnley.
43
Update Update
Ezri Konsa of Aston Villa won a free kick in defense.
42
Corner Corner
Aston Villa wins a corner after Max Weiss concedes.
42
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Aston Villa equalizes at 1-1 with Ross Barkley heading the ball into the left corner from the right side of the six-yard box. The assist comes from John McGinn, who provided a cross following a corner.
41
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Ross Barkley of Aston Villa takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but Max Weiss of Burnley saves it in the top right corner. The assist comes from Morgan Rogers.
40
Update Update
VAR decision: No goal. The match remains Burnley 1, Aston Villa 0.
38
Corner Corner
Goal! Ollie Watkins scores for Aston Villa with a header from a few meters into the top left corner, assisted by Morgan Rogers' cross. The match is now 1-1.
38
Update Update
Goal overturned by VAR! Ollie Watkins scores for Aston Villa, but the goal is ruled out after a VAR review.
38
Update Update
Ollie Watkins is flagged for offside for Aston Villa.
36
Corner Corner
Aston Villa win a corner after Hannibal Mejbri concedes.
36
Attempt Attempt
John McGinn's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
36
Corner Corner
Missed chance for Aston Villa. Ross Barkley heads the ball from inside the six-yard box but it goes just to the left. Matty Cash provided the assist with a cross following a corner.
35
Corner Corner
Aston Villa wins a corner after Max Weiss concedes.
35
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Youri Tielemans from Aston Villa takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved in the top center of the goal by Max Weiss from Burnley, with an assist from Ian Maatsen.
34
Corner Corner
Aston Villa wins a corner after Lucas Pires concedes.
34
Update Update
John McGinn from Aston Villa won a free kick in defense.
33
Attempt Attempt
Ross Barkley from Aston Villa had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from close range but missing to the left. John McGinn provided the assist.
32
Update Update
Foul committed by Jaidon Anthony of Burnley.
32
Update Update
Matty Cash of Aston Villa won a free kick in the attacking half.
30
Update Update
Hannibal Mejbri from Burnley won a free kick in defense.
30
Update Update
Foul committed by Tyrone Mings of Aston Villa.
28
Update Update
Hannibal Mejbri committed a foul against Burnley.
28
Update Update
Youri Tielemans from Aston Villa won a free kick in defense.
28
Attempt Attempt
Zian Flemming from Burnley had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from the center of the box, just missing the target. Loum Tchaouna provided the assist with a cross.
26
Update Update
Fouled by Zian Flemming of Burnley.
26
Update Update
Ezri Konsa of Aston Villa won a free kick in an attacking position.
22
Update Update
Morgan Rogers from Aston Villa won a free kick in defense.
21
Update Update
Foul committed by Morgan Rogers of Aston Villa.
21
Update Update
Kyle Walker of Burnley won a free kick in defense.
20
Corner Corner
Aston Villa has been awarded a corner after Max Weiss conceded it.
17
Corner Corner
Ian Maatsen from Aston Villa had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box, but the ball went to the left after a corner.
16
Corner Corner
Aston Villa have been awarded a corner after Florentino conceded.
16
Attempt Attempt
Morgan Rogers' right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist was provided by Ross Barkley.
12
Update Update
Hannibal Mejbri from Burnley won a free kick in the attacking area.
12
Update Update
Foul committed by Ross Barkley of Aston Villa.
12
Update Update
Foul committed by Lucas Pires of Burnley.
12
Update Update
John McGinn of Aston Villa won a free kick in defense.
11
Attempt Attempt
Loum Tchaouna's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
11
Attempt Attempt
Zian Flemming's shot for Burnley from the right side of the box is blocked. Hannibal Mejbri provided the assist.
8
Corner Corner
Lesley Ugochukwu of Burnley attempts an attack with a right-footed shot from outside the box, but Emiliano Martínez of Aston Villa saves it in the right corner. The assist comes from Loum Tchaouna.
8
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Burnley leads 1-0 against Aston Villa as Jaidon Anthony scores with a right-footed shot from the center of the box into the right corner.
6
Update Update
Foul committed by Ian Maatsen of Aston Villa.
6
Update Update
Loum Tchaouna from Burnley won a free kick on the right wing.
6
Attempt Attempt
Ollie Watkins' shot from the center of the box is blocked.
5
Update Update
Jaidon Anthony from Burnley won a free kick in the defensive area.
5
Update Update
Foul by Matty Cash of Aston Villa.
3
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Morgan Rogers from Aston Villa shot with his right foot from the center of the box but missed to the left. The assist was provided by John McGinn.
2
Update Update
Ross Barkley of Aston Villa won a free kick in an attacking position.
2
Update Update
Lesley Ugochukwu from Burnley committed a foul.

CONCLUSION

The 2-2 draw underscores Aston Villa's possession advantage not converting to points, with Burnley effectively neutralizing threats despite lower ball control. Halftime parity at 1-1 set a balanced tone, and the lack of red cards ensured uninterrupted play. Moderate deviation and aligned efficiencies suggest a fair reflection of relative strengths, though Villa's favoritism yielded only a share. Burnley's grit exposed vulnerabilities in Villa's attack, potentially influencing future tactics. This result maintains both teams' competitive standing without major shifts.

Burnley vs Aston Villa preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.