Burgos vs FC Andorra Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal de El Plantío Sun, 31 May - 4:30 PM
La Liga 2
Burgos BUR
1 Winner 0
FC Andorra AND
Full Time Sun, 31 May 4:30 PM
Round 42 Regular Season
Iván Morante - 40'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Burgos 1–0 FC Andorra. The result saw Burgos take the points. Burgos showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 33%–67%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Burgos 1-0 FC Andorra. Burgos showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

S. Ais Reig

Spain 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

D. Cantón Vitoria

1st Assistant

Spain

R. Esteve Valenzuela

2nd Assistant

Spain

R. Ruipérez Marín

4th Official

Spain

League averages

La Liga 2 Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 24.77
Yellow cards / match 5.13
Red cards / match 0.27
Penalties / match 0.32
Burgos L. Ramis Monfort
L. Ramis Monfort
VS
FC Andorra C. Manso Rubio
C. Manso Rubio
1.76
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.6
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cultural Leonesa Rank: W
Granada Rank: W
Almería Rank: D
Real Sociedad II Rank: D
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: D
Castellón Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Ceuta Rank: L
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: L
Las Palmas Rank: W
Albacete Rank: L
Leganés Rank: W
Real Valladolid Rank: W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 1 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Burgos
60.85%
Draw
23.79%
Away FC Andorra
15.36%

Movement

Changes since opening
Burgos
-35.22%
Draw
+20.06%
FC Andorra
+15.17%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
27.66
26.58
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Burgos
FC Andorra
Power Score
27.66
26.58
League Position
7
13
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Burgos — Opponent-weighted form score
FC Andorra — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Burgos FC Andorra

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Burgos

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

FC Andorra

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Burgos ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC Andorra
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
40.61
23.36
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
23.36
40.61
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Burgos +1.72 Efficiency Index
vs
FC Andorra -1.72 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Burgos
FC Andorra
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Burgos ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC Andorra
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Burgos FC Andorra
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Burgos FC Andorra
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Burgos
FC Andorra
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Burgos
vs
FC Andorra
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Burgos FC Andorra
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Burgos 0.23
FC Andorra 0.25
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Burgos FC Andorra
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Burgos 0.00
FC Andorra 0.02
Burgos
FC Andorra
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BUR had peak pressure around 42'.
  • AND started the game with stronger pressure.
BUR Pressure AND Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BUR reached the top pressure at 42' (80.27).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 6 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Burgos BUR Home
6 matches
FC Andorra AND Away
Match Record
3
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
3
Goals
6
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
6
+2
Goal Difference
-2

Data last updated: 2026-06-01T00:01:40+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
A. Cantero Armendáriz
Spain
13 A. Cantero Armendáriz
A. Lizancos Saldaña
Spain
2 A. Lizancos Saldaña
S. González Martínez
Spain
6 S. González Martínez
G. Sierra Pérez
Spain
8 G. Sierra Pérez
F. Miguel
France
12 F. Miguel
D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
Spain
14 D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
I. Ruiz
Substitution
Spain
23 I. Ruiz
M. Atienza Villa
Spain
5 (C) M. Atienza Villa
I. Córdoba Kerejeta
Spain
21 I. Córdoba Kerejeta
F. Niño Rodriguez
Substitution
Spain
9 F. Niño Rodriguez
F. Sánchez Rodríguez
Substitution
Spain
16 F. Sánchez Rodríguez
Pitch
J. Owono Ngua Akeng
Equatorial Guinea
13 J. Owono Ngua Akeng
A. Calvo Mata
Spain
7 A. Calvo Mata
M. Vilà García
Spain
20 (C) M. Vilà García
D. Alende López
Spain
23 D. Alende López
T. Carrique
France
17 T. Carrique
D. Villahermosa Martínez
Spain
6 D. Villahermosa Martínez
M. Costa
Spain
18 M. Costa
E. Akman
Substitution
Türkiye
8 E. Akman
J. Cerdà Amengual
Substitution
Spain
21 J. Cerdà Amengual
L. De León Billar
Substitution
Uruguay
11 L. De León Billar
A. Olabarrieta Capelo
Substitution
Spain
15 A. Olabarrieta Capelo

General Information

Date & Time :
May 31, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 42 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio Municipal de El Plantío
Capacity :
12194
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ , Clear
Referees :
David Cantón Vitoria
Ricard Esteve Valenzuela
Saúl Ais Reig
Rubén Ruipérez Marín

Statistics

Possession
BUR
39%
AND
61%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
2 Big Chances Created 1
6 Shots 10
48 Dangerous attacks 53
33 Possession 67
2 Corners 2
12 Free kicks 7
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

1 Assists 0
3 Substitutions 4
38 Successful Dribbles Percentage 56
20 Throwins 27
5 Successful Dribbles 14
5 Dribble Attempts 14
7 Goal Attempts 9
83 Ball Safe 87
2 Injuries 1
0 Hit Woodwork 1
11 Goal Kicks 6

Attacking

84 Attacks 121

Possession

7 Key Passes 8
196 Successful Passes 460
32 Long Passes 24
262 Passes 528
75 Successful Passes Percentage 87

Defensive

3 Saves 4
8 Interceptions 4
24 Tackles 12
52 Duels Won 41

Build-up

11 Total Crosses 14

Discipline

7 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Saúl Ais Reig

Starting XI ▼

13
Ander Cantero
Ander Cantero Goalkeeper
7.23
2
Álex Lizancos
Álex Lizancos Defender
6.52
6
Sergio González
Sergio González Defender
6.72
8
Grego Sierra
Grego Sierra Defender
6.79
12
Florian Miguel
Florian Miguel Defender
6.38
5
Miguel Atienza
Miguel Atienza (C) Midfielder
7.15
14
David González
David González Midfielder
7.23
21
Iñigo Córdoba
Iñigo Córdoba Midfielder
8.04
23
Iván Morante
Iván Morante Midfielder
8.21
33
Marcelo Expósito
Marcelo Expósito
Midfielder84'
6.53
9
Fer Niño
Fer Niño Attacker
6.85
4
Pablo Galdames
Pablo Galdames
Midfielder90'
16
Curro Sánchez
Curro Sánchez Attacker
6.64
7
Mateo Mejía
Mateo Mejía
Attacker79'
6.46
Referee : Saúl Ais Reig

Starting XI ▼

13
Jesús Owono
Jesús Owono Goalkeeper
7.12
7
Álex Calvo
Álex Calvo Defender
7.03
17
Thomas Carrique
Thomas Carrique Defender
6.59
20
Martí Vilà
Martí Vilà (C) Defender
6.6
23
Diego Alende
Diego Alende Defender
6.54
6
Dani Villahermosa
Dani Villahermosa Midfielder
7.19
8
Efe Akman
Efe Akman Midfielder
6.73
29
Min-su Kim
Min-su Kim
Attacker71'
6.57
18
Marc Doménech
Marc Doménech Midfielder
7
11
Lautaro de León
Lautaro de León Attacker
6.6
9
Manu Nieto
Manu Nieto
Attacker71'
6.6
15
Aingeru Olabarrieta
Aingeru Olabarrieta Attacker
7.07
3
Yeray Cabanzón
Yeray Cabanzón
Attacker58'
6.7
21
Josep Cerdà
Josep Cerdà Attacker
6.28
30
Víctor Chumachenko Korablov
Víctor Chumachenko Korablov
Midfielder90+3'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Álex Lizancos
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
90+4'
90+3'
Event
Víctor Chumachenko Korablov → Josep Cerdà
7th Substitution
Event
Pablo Galdames → Fer Niño
6th Substitution
90'
Event
Marcelo Expósito → Iván Morante
5th Substitution
84'
Event
Mateo Mejía → Curro Sánchez
4th Substitution
79'
71'
Event
Min-su Kim → Efe Akman
2nd Substitution
71'
Event
Manu Nieto → Lautaro de León
3rd Substitution
58'
Event
Yeray Cabanzón → Aingeru Olabarrieta
1st Substitution
49'
Event
Diego Alende
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Event
Iván Morante
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
40'
Event
Curro Sánchez
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
34'
28'
Event
Josep Cerdà
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Alex Lizancos receives a yellow card.
90
Update Update
Pablo Manuel Galdames is on, and Fernando Nino is off.
90
Substitution Substitution
Victor Chumachenko is substituted for Josep Cerda.
90
Attempt Attempt
Josep Cerda attempts a header but misses the shot.
84
Update Update
Marcelo Exposito Jimenez is on, and Ivan Morante Ruiz is off.
82
Attempt Attempt
Manuel Nieto takes a right-footed shot but misses.
78
Update Update
Mateo Mejia is on, and Francisco Jose Sanchez Rodriguez is off. Curro is also mentioned.
76
Attempt Attempt
Francisco Jose Sanchez Rodriguez takes a shot, but Curro's header is saved.
74
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Villahermosa takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
70
Update Update
Manuel Nieto comes on for Lautaro de León.
70
Update Update
Minsu Kim comes on for Efe Akman.
69
Attempt Attempt
Ivan Morante Ruiz takes a left-footed shot but misses.
66
Attempt Attempt
Yeray Cabanzon de Arriba takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
63
Attempt Attempt
Yeray Cabanzon de Arriba takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
62
Attempt Attempt
Ivan Morante Ruiz takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
57
Update Update
Yeray Cabanzon de Arriba comes on for Aingeru Olabarrieta.
56
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Villahermosa takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
52
Attempt Attempt
David Gonzalez Ballesteros takes a left-footed shot but misses.
49
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Diego Alende Lopez receives a yellow card.
47
Attempt Attempt
Ivan Morante Ruiz takes a right-footed shot but misses.
47
Attempt Attempt
Iago Cordoba Kerejeta takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Villahermosa takes a left-footed shot, but it misses the target.
40
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Ivan Morante Ruiz with his left foot results in a goal.
39
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ivan Morante Ruiz scores to make it 1-0.
38
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Francisco Jose Sanchez Rodriguez, but Curro's left-footed shot is saved.
36
Attempt Attempt
Marc Domenech takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
33
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Villahermosa takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
33
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Villahermosa takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
26
Attempt Attempt
Francisco Jose Sanchez Rodriguez takes a shot with his left foot, but it misses.
24
Attempt Attempt
Iago Cordoba Kerejeta takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
13
Attempt Attempt
Alejandro Calvo takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
13
Attempt Attempt
Josep Cerda takes a right-footed shot but misses.
12
Attempt Attempt
Lautaro de León takes a right-footed shot but misses.
11
Attempt Attempt
Aingeru Olabarrieta takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Burgos 1-0 FC Andorra. Structural assessment: Burgos exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Burgos vs FC Andorra preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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Daniels Zorge

Daniels Zorge covers football fixtures with a focus on tactical matchups, playing styles, and key details that shape each game.