Burgos vs Deportivo La Coruña Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain

Estadio Municipal de El Plantío Sat, 25 Apr - 4:30 PM

La Liga 2

Burgos BUR

1 – 1

Deportivo La Coruña COR

Full Time Sat, 25 Apr 4:30 PM

Round 37 Regular Season

Curro Sánchez - 42' (P)

Bil Dornol Nsongo Tonfack - 16'

Mario González 30'

CONTEXT

In a dramatic La Liga 2 encounter at Estadio El Plantío, Burgos CF hosted Deportivo La Coruña, ending in a hard-fought 1-1 draw. The first half saw both teams score once, with Burgos taking the lead before La Coruña equalized, leaving the score level at halftime at 1-1. Possession was nearly even, with Burgos holding 49% to La Coruña's 51%. Despite being considered the stronger side, Burgos faced severe adversity in the second half, receiving two red cards while La Coruña finished with a full squad. Remarkably, the home team held firm to secure a point, showcasing resilience amid numerical disadvantage. The match highlighted defensive solidity from both sides, with no further goals despite the chaos. This result keeps both teams in the promotion hunt, as Burgos demonstrates grit under pressure.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Match exhibited moderate 8.5% structural deviation benefiting Burgos.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match expectations.
xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable expected goals data.
Market alignment: Outcome aligned with pre-match market expectations.
xG expectations: xG expectations unevaluable from missing data.
Event impact: Two red cards to Burgos significantly influenced second-half dynamics.
Red card distortion: Red card distortion evident in second half from home team's two dismissals.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

A. Fuentes Molina

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

C. Martínez Caballero

1st Assistant

G. Cueto Amigo

4th Official

L. Ramis Monfort

A. Hidalgo Morilla

1.73

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.85

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

1 - 1 - 1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Burgos

4.06%

Draw

91.5%

Deportivo La Coruña

4.44%

Movement

Changes since opening

Burgos

-0.37%

Draw

+0.35%

Deportivo La Coruña

+0.01%

Team Power Ranking

32.26

30.42

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Burgos

Deportivo La Coruña

Power Score

32.26

30.42

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Burgos — Opponent-weighted form score

Deportivo La Coruña — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Burgos Deportivo La Coruña

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Burgos

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Deportivo La Coruña

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Burgos ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Deportivo La Coruña

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

29.49

17.45

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

17.45

29.49

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Burgos +1.22 Efficiency Index

Deportivo La Coruña -1.22 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Burgos

Deportivo La Coruña

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Burgos ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Deportivo La Coruña

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Burgos Deportivo La Coruña

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

1.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Burgos Deportivo La Coruña

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 1.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Burgos

Deportivo La Coruña

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Burgos

Deportivo La Coruña

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Burgos Deportivo La Coruña

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Burgos Deportivo La Coruña

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Burgos

Deportivo La Coruña

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

BUR had peak pressure around 29'.
BUR started the game with stronger pressure.

BUR Pressure COR Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: BUR reached the top pressure at 29' (94.05).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Burgos BUR Home

3 matches

Deportivo La Coruña COR Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-1

Data last updated: 2026-04-26T00:07:25+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2

Match Formation 3-4-2-1

13 A. Cantero Armendáriz

15 A. Buñuel Redrado

6 S. González Martínez

8 G. Sierra Pérez

12 F. Miguel

14 D. Gonzalez Ballesteros

23 I. Ruiz

5 M. Atienza Villa

21 I. Córdoba Kerejeta

9 F. Niño Rodriguez

16 F. Sánchez Rodríguez

25 Á. Fernández Llorente

5 D. Barcia Rama

4 L. Noubi Ngnokam

23 J. Navarro Jiménez

12 G. Quagliata

21 M. Soriano Carreño

14 R. Rodríguez Gil Carcedo

2 A. Altimira Reynaldos

10 Y. Hernández Cubas

19 L. Cruz Hernández

32 B. Nsongo Tonfack

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 25, 2026, 04:30 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 37 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Estadio Municipal de El Plantío

Capacity :

12194

Attendance :

11360

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Andrés Fuentes Molina

Carlos Martínez Caballero

G. Cueto Amigo

Statistics

Possession

BUR

50%

COR

50%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1

3 Big Chances Created 0

10 Shots 3

49 Dangerous attacks 38

49 Possession 51

7 Corners 3

14 Free kicks 13

3 Yellow Cards 3

1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

27 Throwins 17

67 Successful Dribbles Percentage 59

6 Dribble Attempts 17

0 Assists 1

62 Ball Safe 72

10 Goal Attempts 6

1 Penalties 0

4 Successful Dribbles 10

1 Hit Woodwork 0

4 Substitutions 5

3 Goal Kicks 9

Attacking

100 Attacks 96

2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

55 Successful Long Passes Percentage 38

7 Key Passes 6

21 Successful Long Passes 21

366 Successful Passes 390

427 Passes 459

86 Successful Passes Percentage 85

38 Long Passes 56

Defensive

3 Saves 3

9 Interceptions 8

44 Duels Won 43

16 Tackles 14

Build-up

23 Total Crosses 12

8 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

13 Fouls 15

1 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Andrés Fuentes Molina

Manager ▼

L. Ramis Monfort Coach

Starting XI ▼

Ander Cantero Goalkeeper

6.99

Sergio González Defender

6.71

Grego Sierra Defender

6.88

Florian Miguel Defender

6.97

Aitor Buñuel Defender

6.64

Miguel Atienza Midfielder

6.94

David González Midfielder

6.91

Víctor Mollejo

Attacker73'

6.55

Iñigo Córdoba Midfielder

6.8

Kévin Appin

Midfielder65'

6.62

Iván Morante Midfielder

6.99

Pablo Galdames

Midfielder65'

6.59

Fer Niño Attacker

6.89

Curro Sánchez Attacker

7.15

Marcelo Expósito

Midfielder90+1'

6.75

Substitutes ▼

Kévin Appin

Midfielder65'

6.62

Pablo Galdames

Midfielder65'

6.59

Víctor Mollejo

Attacker73'

6.55

Marcelo Expósito

Midfielder90+1'

6.75

Bench ▼

Jesús Ruiz Goalkeeper

Oier Luengo Defender

6.57

Brais Martínez Defender

6.55

Mario Cantero Midfielder

6.56

Saúl del Cerro Midfielder

6.69

Fermín García Midfielder

6.61

Mateo Mejía Attacker

6.73

Mario González Attacker

6.62

Referee : Andrés Fuentes Molina