Brøndby IF vs FC Midtjylland Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark

Brøndby Stadion Sun, 12 Apr - 2:00 PM

Superliga

Brøndby IF BIF

FC Midtjylland FCM

Full Time Sun, 12 Apr 2:00 PM

Round 4 Championship Round

Nicolai Vallys - 90+7' (P)

Bartosz Slisz - 81' (Own Goal)

Franculino - 65' (P)

Ousmane Diao 81'

CONTEXT

The match between Brøndby IF and FC Midtjylland is now finished, ending with a full-time score of 1-2 to the visitors. The teams went into halftime level at 0-0, but FC Midtjylland found the net twice after the break while Brøndby IF responded with a single goal. Pre-match assessments identified FC Midtjylland as the stronger side, and the result showed only minimal deviation from those expectations, aligning closely with the pre-match projection. The efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations despite the visitors seeing a red card. Brøndby IF held 55 percent possession to Midtjylland’s 45 percent, yet the numerical disadvantage caused by the second-half red card created some distortion that the away team ultimately overcame to claim victory. No xG data was available to assess further alignment. Overall the outcome reflected FC Midtjylland’s superiority as anticipated.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: FC Midtjylland showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

M. Krogh

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

J. Dahl

1st Assistant

D. Rasmussen

2nd Assistant

S. Funder

4th Official

S. Cooper

M. Tullberg

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.86

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

28 - 17 - 24

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Brøndby IF

0.19%

Draw

5.09%

FC Midtjylland

94.72%

Movement

Changes since opening

Brøndby IF

Draw

-1.32%

FC Midtjylland

+1.33%

Team Power Ranking

21.53

33.43

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Brøndby IF

FC Midtjylland

Power Score

21.53

33.43

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Brøndby IF — Opponent-weighted form score

FC Midtjylland — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Brøndby IF FC Midtjylland

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Brøndby IF

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

FC Midtjylland

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Brøndby IF ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy FC Midtjylland

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

27.55

32.44

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

32.44

27.55

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Brøndby IF -0.48 Efficiency Index

FC Midtjylland +0.48 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Brøndby IF

FC Midtjylland

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Brøndby IF ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy FC Midtjylland

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Brøndby IF FC Midtjylland

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

1.00 1.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Brøndby IF FC Midtjylland

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

1.00 1.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Brøndby IF

FC Midtjylland

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Brøndby IF

FC Midtjylland

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Brøndby IF FC Midtjylland

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Brøndby IF FC Midtjylland

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Brøndby IF

FC Midtjylland

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

BIF had peak pressure around 101'.
FCM started the game with stronger pressure.

BIF Pressure FCM Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: BIF reached the top pressure at 101' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 69 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Brøndby IF BIF Home

69 matches

FC Midtjylland FCM Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

108

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

108

+11

Goal Difference

-11

Data last updated: 2026-04-13T00:06:07+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

Match Formation 3-4-2-1

1 P. Pentz

2 O. Villadsen

14 B. Godfrey

4 L. Binks

27 M. Köhlert

99 B. Slisz

10 D. Wass

24 M. Divković

7 N. Vallys

22 O. Sow

38 J. Brøchner Ambæk

16 E. Olafsson

22 M. Bech Sørensen

6 M. Erlić

3 H. Lee

55 V. Jensen

19 P. Bravo Landazuri

4 O. Diao

11 D. Osorio Osorio

41 M. Gogorza Krüger-Johnsen

20 V. Byskov Andreasen

58 D. Simsir

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 12, 2026, 02:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 4 · Championship Round

Stadium :

Brøndby Stadion

Capacity :

29000

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Morten Krogh

Jesper Dahl

Dennis Wollenberg Rasmussen

Svend Funder

Statistics

Possession

BIF

52%

FCM

48%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2

1 Big Chances Created 2

4 Shots 4

43 Dangerous attacks 32

55 Possession 45

3 Corners 9

14 Free kicks 19

3 Yellow Cards 4

0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

1 Injuries 0

1 Penalties 1

5 Substitutions 4

7 Successful Dribbles 4

75 Ball Safe 78

18 Throwins 24

9 Dribble Attempts 14

78 Successful Dribbles Percentage 29

9 Goal Attempts 8

6 Goal Kicks 6

Attacking

75 Attacks 84

0 Big Chances Missed 1

4 Counter Attacks 2

Possession

9 Key Passes 12

77 Successful Passes Percentage 73

26 Successful Long Passes Percentage 36

277 Successful Passes 221

362 Passes 304

43 Long Passes 66

11 Successful Long Passes 24

Defensive

4 Interceptions 6

4 Saves 4

13 Tackles 9

Build-up

16 Total Crosses 12

6 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

21 Fouls 15

2 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Morten Krogh

Manager ▼

S. Cooper Coach

Starting XI ▼

Patrick Pentz Goalkeeper

Oliver Villadsen Defender

Mads Frøkjaer-Jensen

Midfielder87'

Luis Binks Defender

Ben Godfrey Defender

Mats Köhlert Defender

Sho Fukuda

Attacker82'

Nicolai Vallys Midfielder

Daniel Wass Midfielder

Benjamin Tahirović

Midfielder67'

Ousmane Sow Midfielder

Emmanuel Dennis

Attacker67'

Marko Divkovic Midfielder

Bartosz Slisz Midfielder

Jacob Ambaek Attacker

Substitutes ▼

Emmanuel Dennis

Attacker67'

Benjamin Tahirović

Midfielder67'

Sho Fukuda

Attacker82'

Mads Frøkjaer-Jensen

Midfielder87'

Bench ▼

Gavin Beavers Goalkeeper

Jordi Vanlerberghe Defender

Raphael Canut Pedersen Defender

Mathias Jensen Midfielder

Mayckel Lahdo Attacker

Referee : Morten Krogh