Brøndby IF vs AGF Prediction, Preview and Stats

Denmark flag 2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
Brøndby Stadion Sun, 10 May - 4:00 PM
Superliga
Brøndby IF BIF
0 Winner 2
AGF AGF
Full Time Sun, 10 May 4:00 PM
Round 9 Championship Round
|
Goal
Kevin Yakob - 26'
Henrik Dalsgaard - 3'

CONTEXT

Brøndby IF hosted AGF in the Danish Superliga but suffered a 0-2 defeat, with all goals conceded before halftime for a 0-2 interval score. Despite controlling 61% possession, Brøndby failed to create meaningful chances against AGF's resolute defense. AGF, deemed the stronger team pre-match, capitalized efficiently on their opportunities in the first half and managed the game astutely thereafter. No red cards disrupted play, and neither side made notable second-half adjustments. This result represents a significant structural deviation of 57.3% favoring AGF, aligning with pre-match market expectations where AGF held a 42.7% implied probability. Brøndby's dominance in possession did not translate to goals, underscoring AGF's superior organization and finishing.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: AGF recorded a significant structural deviation of 57.3% from pre-match expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: Both teams' efficiencies stayed in line with pre-match assessments.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable prevented assessment of outcome alignment.
  • Market alignment: Final result aligned with pre-match market probabilities.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unevaluable due to absent data.
  • Event impact: No key events or adjustments impacted match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, resulting in zero distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Redder

Denmark 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

R. Risum

2nd Assistant

Denmark

J. Hansen

4th Official

Denmark

J. Dahl

1st Assistant

Denmark

League averages

Superliga Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 20.53
Yellow cards / match 3.08
Red cards / match 0.12
Penalties / match 0.22
Brøndby IF S. Cooper
S. Cooper
VS
AGF J. Poulsen
J. Poulsen
0.73
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nordsjælland Rank: 66 D
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: 59 L
Viborg FF Rank: 64 W
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: 60 W
FC Midtjylland Rank: 79 L
Nordsjælland Rank: 67 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: 62 W
FC Midtjylland Rank: 79 D
Nordsjælland Rank: 67 D
FC Midtjylland Rank: 78 L
Nordsjælland Rank: 67 D
Viborg FF Rank: 64 W
22
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
22 - 16 - 17
17

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Brøndby IF
31.05%
Draw
26.26%
Away AGF
42.69%

Movement

Changes since opening
Brøndby IF
+30.85%
Draw
+24.34%
AGF
-55.2%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.7
72.05
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Brøndby IF
AGF
Power Score
64.7
72.05
League Position
6
1
Global Rank
342
163

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Brøndby IF — Opponent-weighted form score
AGF — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Brøndby IF AGF

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Brøndby IF

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

AGF

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Brøndby IF ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy AGF
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
24.18
13.59
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
13.59
24.18
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Brøndby IF +1.04 Efficiency Index
vs
AGF -1.04 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Brøndby IF
AGF
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Brøndby IF ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy AGF
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Brøndby IF AGF
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Brøndby IF AGF
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Brøndby IF
AGF
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Brøndby IF
vs
AGF
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Brøndby IF AGF
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Brøndby IF 0.22
AGF 0.15
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Brøndby IF AGF
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Brøndby IF 0.08
AGF 0.00
Brøndby IF
AGF
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BIF had peak pressure around 87'.
  • AGF started the game with stronger pressure.
BIF Pressure AGF Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BIF reached the top pressure at 87' (89.30).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 55 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Brøndby IF BIF Home
55 matches
AGF AGF Away
Match Record
22
Wins
17
16
Draws
16
17
Losses
22
Goals
80
Goals Scored
67
67
Goals Conceded
80
+13
Goal Difference
-13
Expected Goals
0.76
xG
0.79
0.79
xGA
0.76

Data last updated: 2026-05-11T00:05:20+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
P. Pentz
Austria
1 P. Pentz
R. Canut Pedersen
Substitution
37 R. Canut Pedersen
J. Vanlerberghe
Belgium
30 J. Vanlerberghe
L. Binks
England
4 L. Binks
S. Fukuda
Substitution
Japan
19 S. Fukuda
B. Slisz
Poland
99 B. Slisz
D. Wass
Substitution
Denmark
10 D. Wass
M. Divković
Croatia
24 M. Divković
M. Frøkjær-Jensen
Denmark
29 M. Frøkjær-Jensen
J. Brøchner Ambæk
Substitution
38 J. Brøchner Ambæk
N. Vallys
Substitution
Denmark
7 N. Vallys
Pitch
J. Hansen
Denmark
1 J. Hansen
E. Kahl
Substitution
Sweden
19 E. Kahl
H. Dalsgaard
Denmark
3 H. Dalsgaard
F. Beijmo
Sweden
2 F. Beijmo
G. Links
South Africa
11 G. Links
K. Yakob
Iraq
17 K. Yakob
M. Knudsen
Norway
4 M. Knudsen
J. Andersen
Substitution
Denmark
26 J. Andersen
K. Malt Arnstad
Norway
10 K. Malt Arnstad
T. Kristensen
Substitution
Denmark
31 T. Kristensen
P. Mortensen
Substitution
Denmark
9 P. Mortensen

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 9 · Championship Round
Stadium :
Brøndby Stadion
Capacity :
29000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Rene Risum
Jonas Hansen
Jesper Dahl
Mikkel Redder

Statistics

Possession
BIF
58%
AGF
42%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
1 Big Chances Created 1
1 Shots 0
55 Dangerous attacks 26
61 Possession 39
5 Corners 4
12 Free kicks 14
4 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

28 Throwins 27
0 Assists 1
21 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
19 Dribble Attempts 8
3 Goal Kicks 10
4 Successful Dribbles 3
77 Ball Safe 92
9 Goal Attempts 4
5 Substitutions 4
1 Hit Woodwork 0

Attacking

3 Counter Attacks 0
122 Attacks 83
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

23 Successful Long Passes 21
50 Successful Long Passes Percentage 43
425 Successful Passes 262
9 Key Passes 3
83 Successful Passes Percentage 80
511 Passes 327
46 Long Passes 49

Defensive

6 Interceptions 11
45 Duels Won 54
2 Saves 5
16 Tackles 23

Build-up

27 Total Crosses 10
6 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

14 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Mikkel Redder

Starting XI ▼

1
Patrick Pentz
Patrick Pentz Goalkeeper
4
Luis Binks
Luis Binks Defender
30
Jordi Vanlerberghe
Jordi Vanlerberghe Defender
37
Raphael Canut Pedersen
Raphael Canut Pedersen Defender
2
Oliver Villadsen
Oliver Villadsen
Defender56'
10
Daniel Wass
Daniel Wass Midfielder
8
Benjamin Tahirović
Benjamin Tahirović
Midfielder56'
19
Sho Fukuda
Sho Fukuda Midfielder
23
Mayckel Lahdo
Mayckel Lahdo
Attacker66'
24
Marko Divkovic
Marko Divkovic Midfielder
99
Bartosz Slisz
Bartosz Slisz Midfielder
7
Nicolai Vallys
Nicolai Vallys Attacker
11
Filip Bundgaard
Filip Bundgaard
Attacker76'
29
Mads Frøkjaer-Jensen
Mads Frøkjaer-Jensen Attacker
38
Jacob Ambaek
Jacob Ambaek Attacker
17
Emmanuel Dennis
Emmanuel Dennis
Attacker76'
Referee : Mikkel Redder

Starting XI ▼

1
Jesper Hansen
Jesper Hansen Goalkeeper
2
Felix Beijmo
Felix Beijmo Defender
3
Henrik Dalsgaard
Henrik Dalsgaard Defender
19
Eric Kahl
Eric Kahl Defender
40
Jonas Jensen-Abbew
Jonas Jensen-Abbew
Defender84'
4
Magnus Knudsen
Magnus Knudsen Midfielder
11
Gift Links
Gift Links Midfielder
17
Kevin Yakob
Kevin Yakob Midfielder
26
Jacob Andersen
Jacob Andersen Midfielder
39
Frederik Emmery
Frederik Emmery
Attacker73'
9
Patrick Mortensen
Patrick Mortensen Attacker
13
Janni Serra
Janni Serra
Attacker64'
10
Kristian Arnstad
Kristian Arnstad Attacker
31
Tobias Bech
Tobias Bech Attacker
8
Sebastian Jørgensen
Sebastian Jørgensen
Midfielder84'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+4'
Event
Kevin Yakob
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Emmanuel Dennis
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
90+1'
84'
Event
Jonas Jensen-Abbew → Eric Kahl
8th Substitution
84'
Event
Sebastian Jørgensen → Tobias Bech
9th Substitution
Event
Emmanuel Dennis → Jacob Ambaek
7th Substitution
76'
Event
Filip Bundgaard → Nicolai Vallys
6th Substitution
76'
75'
Event
Eric Kahl
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
73'
Event
Frederik Emmery → Jacob Andersen
5th Substitution
Event
Mayckel Lahdo → Sho Fukuda
4th Substitution
66'
64'
Event
Janni Serra → Patrick Mortensen
3rd Substitution
Event
Bartosz Slisz
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
59'
Event
Benjamin Tahirović → Daniel Wass
1st Substitution
56'
Event
Oliver Villadsen → Raphael Canut Pedersen
2nd Substitution
56'
1ST-HALF
Event
Sho Fukuda
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
31'
Event
Nicolai Vallys
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
30'
26'
Event
Kevin Yakob
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
3'
Event
Henrik Dalsgaard
Left foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Emmanuel Bonaventure Dennis attempts a header but misses the target.
90
Attempt Attempt
Emmanuel Bonaventure Dennis takes a right-footed shot but misses.
87
Attempt Attempt
Jordi Vanlerberghe takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
85
Update Update
Jonas Jensen-Abbew comes on for Eric Kahl.
84
Update Update
Sebastian Jorgensen replaces Tobias Bech.
83
Attempt Attempt
Emmanuel Bonaventure Dennis takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
82
Attempt Attempt
Mayckel Lahdo takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
81
Attempt Attempt
Mayckel Lahdo takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
76
Update Update
Emmanuel Bonaventure Dennis comes on for Jacob Ambaek.
76
Update Update
Filip Bundgaard Kristensen replaces Nicolai Vallys.
74
Update Update
Frederik Emmery replaces Jacob Andersen.
65
Attempt Attempt
Sho Fukuda takes a left-footed shot but misses.
63
Update Update
Janni Serra is on, and Patrick Mortensen is off.
59
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Bartosz Slisz receives a yellow card.
56
Update Update
Benjamin Tahirovic replaces Daniel Wass.
56
Update Update
Oliver Rose-Villadsen is on, and Raphael Canut is off.
52
Attempt Attempt
Patrick Mortensen takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
39
Attempt Attempt
Sho Fukuda takes a header shot but misses.
39
Attempt Attempt
Mads Frokjaer takes a shot with his head but misses.
36
Attempt Attempt
Jacob Ambaek's left-footed shot is saved.
26
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Yakob takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
25
Update Update
Raphael Canut attempts a header but misses the target.
17
Attempt Attempt
Jacob Ambaek takes a right-footed shot but misses.
3
Attempt Attempt
Henrik Dalsgaard scores with a left-footed shot.
2
Attempt Attempt
Gift Links takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.

CONCLUSION

AGF's 0-2 win at Brøndby IF confirms their pre-match stronger team status, overcoming 39% possession with clinical first-half finishing. Brøndby's 61% ball control yielded no goals, exposing defensive vulnerabilities. The significant 57.3% structural deviation and market alignment highlight AGF's effective execution without disruptions from red cards or events. Efficiency in line with expectations further validates the outcome. This result boosts AGF's confidence while prompting Brøndby to address conversion issues ahead of upcoming challenges.

Brøndby IF vs AGF preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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