Brommapojkarna vs Västerås SK Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Grimsta IP Sun, 26 Apr - 2:30 PM
Allsvenskan
Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna
1 Winner 2
Västerås SK Västerås SK
Full Time Sun, 26 Apr 2:30 PM
Round 5 Regular Season
Oliver Berg - 7'
Goal
|
Goal
Philip Bonde - 58', 3'

CONTEXT

Brommapojkarna faced Västerås SK in an Allsvenskan clash that concluded with a 1-2 victory for the visitors. The halftime score stood at 1-1, reflecting a balanced opening period where Brommapojkarna enjoyed 52% possession compared to Västerås's 48%. Västerås, identified as the stronger team beforehand, found a way to edge ahead in the second half without any interruptions from red cards. The game showcased competitive play on both ends, with neither side dominating overwhelmingly. This result underscores Västerås's ability to convert limited possession into crucial goals, securing three points on the road. Brommapojkarna's home effort fell short despite the slight territorial advantage, highlighting fine margins in tight encounters. No major tactical shifts defined the latter stages, maintaining the match's even temperament until the final whistle.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Match exhibited minimal structural deviation of 4.4% favoring Västerås SK.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match assessments.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment cannot be assessed due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Result fully aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unevaluable without expected goals data.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered proceedings.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards issued, resulting in zero distortion to game flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

V. Wolf

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

P. Rehnlund

1st Assistant

H. Saleh

2nd Assistant

T. Edung

4th Official

Brommapojkarna U. Kristiansson
U. Kristiansson
VS
Västerås SK A. Rubin
A. Rubin
0.86
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.25
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Örgryte Rank: W
Mjällby Rank: L
AIK Rank: D
Häcken Rank: D
Degerfors Rank: L
Halmstad Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.25 i
Last 6 Opponents
Häcken Rank: D
Sirius Rank: L
Elfsborg Rank: D
Kalmar Rank: W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Brommapojkarna
0.19%
Draw
4.2%
Away Västerås SK
95.61%

Movement

Changes since opening
Brommapojkarna
0%
Draw
-0.38%
Västerås SK
+0.38%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
17.93
20.26
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Brommapojkarna
Västerås SK
Power Score
17.93
20.26
League Position
10
5
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Brommapojkarna Opponent-weighted form score
Västerås SK Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Brommapojkarna Västerås SK

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Brommapojkarna

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Västerås SK

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Brommapojkarna ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Västerås SK
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
34.52
35.42
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
35.42
34.52
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Brommapojkarna -0.09 Efficiency Index
vs
Västerås SK +0.09 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Brommapojkarna
Västerås SK
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Brommapojkarna ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Västerås SK
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Brommapojkarna Västerås SK
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Brommapojkarna Västerås SK
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Brommapojkarna
Västerås SK
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Brommapojkarna
vs
Västerås SK
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Brommapojkarna Västerås SK
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Brommapojkarna Västerås SK
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Brommapojkarna
Västerås SK
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Brommapojkarna had peak pressure around 77'.
  • Västerås SK started the game with stronger pressure.
Brommapojkarna Pressure Västerås SK Pressure
Pressure Index: Brommapojkarna reached the top pressure at 77' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna Home
2 matches
Västerås SK Västerås SK Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
3
+1
Goal Difference
-1

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:05:37+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
K. Cavallius
1 K. Cavallius
A. Andersson
Sweden
21 A. Andersson
O. Cotton
4 O. Cotton
A. Troelsen
Denmark
3 A. Troelsen
O. Zandén
Sweden
6 O. Zandén
S. Strand
Substitution
Sweden
16 S. Strand
K. Ackermann
Substitution
Sweden
24 K. Ackermann
M. Hansen
Denmark
9 M. Hansen
O. Berg
Norway
10 O. Berg
R. Örqvist
Substitution
Sweden
11 R. Örqvist
L. Björklund
Substitution
Sweden
30 L. Björklund
Pitch
E. Jäger
Sweden
34 E. Jäger
P. Henriksson Bonde
Sweden
4 P. Henriksson Bonde
F. Nsabiyumva
Burundi
18 F. Nsabiyumva
H. Magnusson
Sweden
2 H. Magnusson
J. Karlsson
Substitution
Sweden
15 J. Karlsson
I. Lushaku
Kosovo
14 I. Lushaku
M. Diagne
Senegal
8 M. Diagne
S. Gefvert
Substitution
Sweden
11 S. Gefvert
A. Boudah
Substitution
Sweden
7 A. Boudah
M. Riis Ladefoged
Denmark
9 M. Riis Ladefoged
K. Gunnarsson
Substitution
Sweden
5 K. Gunnarsson

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 26, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition :
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 5 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Grimsta IP
Capacity :
7343
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Per Rehnlund
Hana Mohammad Saleh
Theo Edung
Victor Wolf

Statistics

Possession
Brommapojkarna
50%
Västerås SK
50%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
1 Big Chances Created 0
5 Shots 6
39 Dangerous attacks 40
52 Possession 48
6 Corners 6
13 Free kicks 9
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

1 Penalties 0
4 Substitutions 4
0 Assists 2
1 Successful Dribbles 4
7 Dribble Attempts 10
23 Throwins 29
14 Successful Dribbles Percentage 40
97 Ball Safe 111
5 Goal Kicks 6
3 Injuries 0
5 Goal Attempts 10

Attacking

1 Big Chances Missed 0
65 Attacks 65

Possession

38 Successful Long Passes Percentage 43
8 Key Passes 12
452 Passes 435
22 Successful Long Passes 22
58 Long Passes 51
83 Successful Passes Percentage 82
375 Successful Passes 358

Defensive

4 Saves 4
36 Duels Won 41
10 Tackles 11
9 Interceptions 6

Build-up

13 Accurate Crosses 4
40 Total Crosses 15

Discipline

9 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Victor Wolf

Starting XI

1
Leo Cavallius
Leo Cavallius Goalkeeper
6.24
3
Andreas Troelsen
Andreas Troelsen Defender
6.72
4
Oskar Cotton
Oskar Cotton Defender
6.84
6
Oliver Zandén
Oliver Zandén Defender
6.82
21
Alex Timossi Andersson
Alex Timossi Andersson Defender
6.43
9
Mads Hansen
Mads Hansen Midfielder
7.37
10
Oliver Berg
Oliver Berg Midfielder
6.67
11
Rasmus Örqvist
Rasmus Örqvist Midfielder
7.01
34
David Isso
David Isso
Attacker59'
6.47
16
Simon Strand
Simon Strand Midfielder
6.86
27
Kaare Barslund
Kaare Barslund
Defender40'
6.71
24
Kevin Ackermann
Kevin Ackermann Midfielder
6.89
33
Sion Oppong
Sion Oppong
Attacker83'
6.62
30
Lukas Björklund
Lukas Björklund Attacker
6.96
14
Kamilcan Sever
Kamilcan Sever
Attacker83'
6.58
Referee : Victor Wolf

Starting XI

34
Elis Jäger
Elis Jäger Goalkeeper
6.32
2
Herman Magnusson
Herman Magnusson Defender
6.56
4
Philip Bonde
Philip Bonde Defender
2
6.41
18
Frédéric Nsabiyumva
Frédéric Nsabiyumva Defender
6.98
8
Mamadou Diagne
Mamadou Diagne Midfielder
7
11
Simon Gefvert
Simon Gefvert Midfielder
6.52
24
Jack Tagesson
Jack Tagesson
Defender90'
14
I. Lushaku
I. Lushaku Midfielder
6.85
15
Jonathan Karlsson
Jonathan Karlsson Midfielder
6.41
17
Axel Sountonoma Taonsa
Axel Sountonoma Taonsa
Midfielder61'
6.64
5
Karl Gunnarsson
Karl Gunnarsson Attacker
6.65
19
Jens Magnusson
Jens Magnusson
Midfielder73'
6.57
7
Abdelrahman Boudah
Abdelrahman Boudah Attacker
6.77
3
Marcus Baggesen
Marcus Baggesen
Defender61'
7.04
9
Mikkel Ladefoged
Mikkel Ladefoged Attacker
7.89

Events

2ND-HALF
90'
Event
Jack Tagesson Simon Gefvert
8th Substitution
87'
Event
Taonsa Axel
2nd Yellowcard
87'
Event
Axel Sountonoma Taonsa
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Kamilcan Sever Lukas Björklund
7th Substitution
83'
Event
Sion Oppong Kevin Ackermann
6th Substitution
83'
Event
Oliver Berg
GoalkeeperSave
76'
73'
Event
Jens Magnusson Karl Gunnarsson
5th Substitution
61'
Event
Axel Sountonoma Taonsa Jonathan Karlsson
4th Substitution
61'
Event
Marcus Baggesen Abdelrahman Boudah
3rd Substitution
Event
David Isso Rasmus Örqvist
2nd Substitution
59'
58'
Event
Philip Bonde
Header / 3rd Goal
1ST-HALF
Event
Kaare Barslund Simon Strand
1st Substitution
40'
Event
Oliver Berg
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
7'
3'
Event
Philip Bonde
Header / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Västerås SK exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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