Brommapojkarna vs Kalmar Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Grimsta IP Sun, 17 May - 12:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna
1 Winner 0
Kalmar KAL
Full Time Sun, 17 May 12:00 PM
Round 8 Regular Season
Sion Oppong - 25'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Brommapojkarna 1–0 Kalmar. The result saw Brommapojkarna take the points. Brommapojkarna showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. xG finished Brommapojkarna 1 – 1.8 Kalmar. Possession was 47%–53%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Brommapojkarna 1-0 Kalmar. Brommapojkarna showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was contrary to expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Diverging from xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. Ladebäck

Sweden 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

P. Leek

1st Assistant

Sweden

J. Dahl

2nd Assistant

Sweden

R. Beigi

4th Official

Sweden

League averages

Allsvenskan Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 20.61
Yellow cards / match 3
Red cards / match 0.05
Penalties / match 0.18
Brommapojkarna U. Kristiansson
U. Kristiansson
VS
Kalmar T. Koskela
T. Koskela
1.14
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Elfsborg Rank: 57 L
Halmstad Rank: 47 W
Västerås SK Rank: 47 L
Örgryte Rank: 41 W
Mjällby Rank: 69 L
AIK Rank: 56 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Halmstad Rank: 46 W
Sirius Rank: 62 L
Elfsborg Rank: 57 W
IFK Göteborg Rank: 54 D
AIK Rank: 56 L
Djurgården Rank: 66 L
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 4 - 9
9

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Brommapojkarna
34.46%
Draw
27.57%
Away Kalmar
37.97%

Movement

Changes since opening
Brommapojkarna
-60.77%
Draw
+22.99%
Kalmar
+37.78%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
49.49
41.38
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Brommapojkarna
Kalmar
Power Score
49.49
41.38
League Position
7
13
Global Rank
796
783

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Brommapojkarna Opponent-weighted form score
Kalmar Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Brommapojkarna Kalmar

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Brommapojkarna

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Kalmar

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Brommapojkarna ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kalmar
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
17.77
49.53
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
49.53
17.77
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Brommapojkarna -3.29 Efficiency Index
vs
Kalmar +3.29 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Brommapojkarna
Kalmar
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Brommapojkarna
vs
Kalmar
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Brommapojkarna Kalmar
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Brommapojkarna Kalmar
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
Brommapojkarna
Kalmar
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Brommapojkarna
vs
Kalmar
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Brommapojkarna Kalmar
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Brommapojkarna Kalmar
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Brommapojkarna
Kalmar
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • KAL had peak pressure around 85'.
  • Brommapojkarna started the game with stronger pressure.
Brommapojkarna Pressure KAL Pressure
Pressure Index: KAL reached the top pressure at 85' (62.21).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 16 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna Home
16 matches
Kalmar KAL Away
Match Record
3
Wins
9
4
Draws
4
9
Losses
3
Goals
21
Goals Scored
29
29
Goals Conceded
21
-8
Goal Difference
+8

Data last updated: 2026-05-18T08:59:09+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
K. Cavallius
1 K. Cavallius
A. Andersson
Sweden
21 A. Andersson
J. Simpson
Sweden
23 J. Simpson
A. Troelsen
Denmark
3 A. Troelsen
O. Zandén
Sweden
6 O. Zandén
M. Hansen
Denmark
9 M. Hansen
K. Barslund
Substitution
Denmark
27 K. Barslund
L. Björklund
Substitution
Sweden
30 L. Björklund
S. Oppong
Substitution
33 S. Oppong
D. Isso
Substitution
34 D. Isso
O. Berg
Norway
10 (C) O. Berg

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 8 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Grimsta IP
Capacity :
7343
Attendance :
817
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Adam Ladebäck
Pär Leek
Jonas Dahl
Rambod Beigi

Statistics

Possession
Brommapojkarna
46%
KAL
54%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
0 Big Chances Created 1
3 Shots 8
27 Dangerous attacks 65
47 Possession 53
4 Corners 3
13 Free kicks 10
4 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

1 Assists 0
0 Hit Woodwork 1
65 Ball Safe 51
5 Goal Attempts 13
15 Dribble Attempts 11
16 Throwins 16
40 Successful Dribbles Percentage 36
12 Goal Kicks 9
6 Successful Dribbles 4
4 Substitutions 4

Attacking

0 Big Chances Missed 1
50 Attacks 94

Possession

45 Long Passes 36
29 Successful Long Passes Percentage 56
86 Successful Passes Percentage 88
527 Passes 575
452 Successful Passes 505
13 Successful Long Passes 20
7 Key Passes 13

Defensive

7 Saves 2
49 Duels Won 46
17 Tackles 17
12 Interceptions 7

Build-up

1 Accurate Crosses 5
6 Total Crosses 20

Discipline

10 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Adam Ladebäck

Starting XI

1
Leo Cavallius
Leo Cavallius Goalkeeper
8.75
3
Andreas Troelsen
Andreas Troelsen Defender
7.37
6
Oliver Zandén
Oliver Zandén Defender
7.28
21
Alex Timossi Andersson
Alex Timossi Andersson Defender
7.49
23
Jordan Simpson
Jordan Simpson Defender
7.11
9
Mads Hansen
Mads Hansen Midfielder
6.83
27
Kaare Barslund
Kaare Barslund Midfielder
7.41
11
Rasmus Örqvist
Rasmus Örqvist
Midfielder88'
30
Lukas Björklund
Lukas Björklund Midfielder
6.89
4
Oskar Cotton
Oskar Cotton
Defender88'
33
Sion Oppong
Sion Oppong Midfielder
7.16
14
Kamilcan Sever
Kamilcan Sever
Attacker74'
6.41
10
Oliver Berg
Oliver Berg (C) Attacker
7.19
34
David Isso
David Isso Attacker
6.24
16
Simon Strand
Simon Strand
Defender61'
7.01
Referee : Adam Ladebäck

Starting XI

1
S. Brolin
S. Brolin Goalkeeper
6.67
2
Victor Larsson
Victor Larsson Defender
6.32
3
S. Øverby
S. Øverby
Defender77'
6.59
4
R. Jansson
R. Jansson Defender
7.29
5
M. Hallberg
M. Hallberg (C) Defender
7.22
20
Achraf Dari
Achraf Dari Defender
6.71
39
L. Sætra
L. Sætra
Defender51'
6.89
7
N. Chourak
N. Chourak Midfielder
7.22
21
A. Magashy
A. Magashy
Midfielder52'
6.63
13
C. Rosenquist
C. Rosenquist Midfielder
6.87
17
C. Gustafsson
C. Gustafsson Midfielder
7.47
24
Charles Sagoe Jr
Charles Sagoe Jr Midfielder
7.31
10
Marius Söderbäck
7.02
70
Emeka Nnamani
Emeka Nnamani
Attacker69'
6.47
11
A. Olusanya
A. Olusanya Attacker
6.69

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Rasmus Örqvist Kaare Barslund
8th Substitution
88'
Event
Oskar Cotton Lukas Björklund
7th Substitution
88'
Event
Alex Timossi Andersson
Time wasting / 4th Yellowcard
83'
77'
Event
S. Øverby Victor Larsson
6th Substitution
Event
Kamilcan Sever Sion Oppong
5th Substitution
74'
69'
Event
Emeka Nnamani Marius Söderbäck
4th Substitution
Event
Oliver Berg
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
66'
Event
Simon Strand David Isso
3rd Substitution
61'
Event
Kaare Barslund
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
60'
52'
Event
A. Magashy N. Chourak
2nd Substitution
51'
Event
L. Sætra Achraf Dari
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Sion Oppong
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
25'
Event
Lukas Björklund
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
7'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Charles Sagoe Jr. takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Charles Sagoe Jr. takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Charles Sagoe Jr. takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Carl Gustafsson takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
88
Update Update
Rasmus Orqvist comes on for Kaare Barslund.
88
Substitution Substitution
Oskar Cotton is substituted for Lukas Bjorklund.
86
Attempt Attempt
Lars Saetra takes a shot with his head but misses.
80
Attempt Attempt
Abdussalam Magashy takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
80
Attempt Attempt
Carl Gustafsson takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
79
Attempt Attempt
Anthony Olusanya attempts a header but misses the shot.
77
Update Update
Sivert Engh Overby comes on for Victor Larsson.
76
Attempt Attempt
Victor Larsson takes a right-footed shot but misses.
76
Attempt Attempt
Rony Jansson takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
74
Update Update
Kamilcan Sever is on, and Sion Oppong is off.
72
Attempt Attempt
Charlie Rosenqvist takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
69
Update Update
Emeka Nnamani is on, and Marius Soderback is off.
69
Attempt Attempt
Charles Sagoe Jr. takes a right-footed shot but misses.
68
Attempt Attempt
Oliver Zanden's left-footed shot is saved.
61
Attempt Attempt
Melker Hallberg takes a right-footed shot but misses.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Simon Strand comes on for David Isso.
59
Attempt Attempt
Mads Kristian Hansen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
59
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Kaare Barslund receives a yellow card.
54
Attempt Attempt
Mads Kristian Hansen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
53
Attempt Attempt
Marius Soderback takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
52
Update Update
Abdussalam Magashy replaces Nassef Chourak.
51
Update Update
Lars Saetra is on, and Achraf Dari is off.
42
Attempt Attempt
Charles Sagoe Jr. takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
42
Attempt Attempt
Charles Sagoe Jr. takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
34
Attempt Attempt
Nassef Chourak takes a right-footed shot but misses.
34
Attempt Attempt
Charles Sagoe Jr. takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
34
Attempt Attempt
Charles Sagoe Jr. takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
33
Attempt Attempt
Mads Kristian Hansen takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
33
Attempt Attempt
Charles Sagoe Jr. takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
33
Attempt Attempt
Nassef Chourak takes a right-footed shot but misses.
31
Attempt Attempt
Marius Soderback takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
25
Attempt Attempt
Sion Oppong scores with a right-footed shot.
25
Attempt Attempt
Achraf Dari takes a right-footed shot but misses.
17
Attempt Attempt
Nassef Chourak has a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
13
Attempt Attempt
Mads Kristian Hansen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
11
Attempt Attempt
Melker Hallberg takes a left-footed shot but misses.
7
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Lukas Bjorklund receives a yellow card.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Brommapojkarna 1-0 Kalmar. Structural assessment: Brommapojkarna exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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Author

Daniels Zorge

Daniels Zorge covers football fixtures with a focus on tactical matchups, playing styles, and key details that shape each game.