Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Premier League, England
Premier League
Chelsea CHESTANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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CONTEXT
Brighton & Hove Albion claimed a 3-0 victory over Chelsea at home, leading 1-0 at halftime and extending their advantage with two second-half goals. The hosts controlled 54% possession, reflecting their status as the stronger team. Chelsea managed 46% possession but failed to score, as Brighton's defense held firm without any red cards disrupting play. The result showed minimal structural deviation of 2.1%, with the outcome aligning with pre-match market expectations. Efficiency remained in line with projections, and no second-half adjustments or knockout elements influenced the match. This performance underscores Brighton's dominance in a straightforward win.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Match exhibited minimal structural deviation of 2.1% favoring Brighton & Hove Albion.
- Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
- xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
- Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market expectations.
- xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable due to missing data.
- Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered the match flow.
- Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, causing zero distortion.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
C. Pawson
Other match officials
L. Betts
1st Assistant
R. Ricardo
4th Official
E. Smart
2nd Assistant


Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Brighton & Hove Albion
ChelseaTeam Power Ranking
i
28.59
22.64
Brighton & Hove Albion
ChelseaForm Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.


Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Brighton & Hove Albion
Chelsea

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Brighton & Hove Albion ⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency 
Defensive Efficiency 
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)




Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Brighton & Hove Albion ⚠ Proxy
Brighton & Hove Albion Chelsea
Brighton & Hove Albion Chelsea
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion Chelsea


Brighton & Hove Albion Chelsea


PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- BHA had peak pressure around 19'.
- BHA started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.


Match Record 
Goals 
Data last updated: 2026-04-22T00:03:49+00:00
STARTING XI
Brighton & Hove Albion
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General Information
Next Match

Brighton & Hove Albion
vs

Newcastle United
League: Premier League
Kickoff: Sat, 2 May - 2:00 PM
Venue: St. James' Park

Chelsea
vs

Leeds United
League: FA Cup
Kickoff: Sun, 26 Apr - 2:00 PM
Venue: Wembley Stadium
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Brighton & Hove AlbionManager ▼

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ChelseaManager ▼

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Events
CONCLUSION
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
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Match Commentary