Brentford vs Fulham Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Gtech Community Stadium Sat, 18 Apr - 11:30 AM
Premier League
Brentford BRE
0 – 0
Fulham FUL
Full Time Sat, 18 Apr 11:30 AM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Brentford welcomed Fulham to the Gtech Community Stadium in a Premier League fixture that concluded in a cautious 0-0 draw. As the pre-identified stronger team, Brentford entered with high expectations but managed only 48% possession against Fulham's 52%, reflecting a balanced affair. The halftime scoreline mirrored the full-time result at 0-0, with no goals from either side and no red cards disrupting play. Absent second-half tactical adjustments, the match emphasized defensive discipline over offensive breakthroughs. This outcome marked a significant 74.5% structural deviation, primarily for Brentford, diverging from pre-match evaluations where home success was anticipated at 47% probability. Market alignment failed to materialize, underscoring the unpredictability despite efficiency holding in line with norms. Both teams prioritized solidity, resulting in a stalemate.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Significant 74.5% structural deviation occurred, centered on Brentford's performance.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match assessments.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment assessment unavailable due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment not achieved in the draw outcome.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unevaluable without available data.
  • Event impact: No events or adjustments influenced the match result.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards caused zero distortion to proceedings.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

P. Tierney

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

E. Smart

1st Assistant

B. Antrobus

2nd Assistant

J. Brooks

4th Official

Brentford K. Andrews
K. Andrews
VS
Fulham M. Saraiva Da Silva
M. Saraiva Da Silva
1.6
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.44
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Everton Rank: D
Leeds United Rank: D
Wolverhampton Wanderers Rank: D
AFC Bournemouth Rank: D
Burnley Rank: W
Brighton & Hove Albion Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Liverpool Rank: L
Burnley Rank: W
Nottingham Forest Rank: D
West Ham United Rank: L
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: W
Sunderland Rank: W
9
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 4 - 7
7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Brentford
47%
Draw
25.46%
Away Fulham
27.55%

Movement

Changes since opening
Brentford
+40.78%
Draw
-64.26%
Fulham
+23.49%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
25.54
21.34
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Brentford
Fulham
Power Score
25.54
21.34
League Position
7
12
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Brentford — Opponent-weighted form score
Fulham — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Brentford Fulham

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Brentford

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Fulham

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Brentford ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Fulham
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
31.88
24.13
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
24.13
31.88
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Brentford +0.88 Efficiency Index
vs
Fulham -0.88 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Brentford
Fulham
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Brentford ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Fulham
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Brentford Fulham
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Brentford Fulham
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Brentford
Fulham
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Brentford
vs
Fulham
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Brentford Fulham
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Brentford 0.28
Fulham 0.35
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Brentford Fulham
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Brentford 0.00
Fulham 0.00
Brentford
Fulham
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BRE had peak pressure around 70'.
  • BRE started the game with stronger pressure.
BRE Pressure FUL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BRE reached the top pressure at 70' (88.94).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 20 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Brentford BRE Home
20 matches
Fulham FUL Away
Match Record
9
Wins
7
4
Draws
4
7
Losses
9
Goals
35
Goals Scored
25
25
Goals Conceded
35
+10
Goal Difference
-10

Data last updated: 2026-04-19T00:01:48+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
C. Kelleher
Republic of Ireland
1 C. Kelleher
M. Kayode
Italy
33 M. Kayode
S. van den Berg
Netherlands
4 S. van den Berg
N. Collins
Republic of Ireland
22 N. Collins
K. Lewis-Potter
England
23 K. Lewis-Potter
Y. Yarmoliuk
Ukraine
18 Y. Yarmoliuk
M. Jensen
Denmark
8 M. Jensen
Dango Ouattara
Burkina Faso
19 Dango Ouattara
M. Damsgaard
Denmark
24 M. Damsgaard
K. Schade
Germany
7 K. Schade
Thiago
Brazil
9 Thiago
Pitch
B. Leno
Germany
1 B. Leno
K. Sessegnon
Substitution
England
30 K. Sessegnon
C. Bassey
Nigeria
3 C. Bassey
J. Andersen
Denmark
5 J. Andersen
T. Castagne
Belgium
21 T. Castagne
T. Cairney
Substitution
Scotland
10 T. Cairney
S. Lukić
Serbia
20 S. Lukić
A. Iwobi
Substitution
Nigeria
17 A. Iwobi
E. Smith Rowe
Substitution
England
32 E. Smith Rowe
H. Wilson
Wales
8 H. Wilson
Rodrigo Muniz
Substitution
Brazil
9 Rodrigo Muniz

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 18, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Gtech Community Stadium
Capacity :
17250
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ , Clear
Referees :
Edward Smart
Black Antrobus
Paul Tierney
John Brooks

Statistics

Possession
BRE
49%
FUL
51%

Top Statistics

4 Big Chances Created 1
12 Shots 8
46 Dangerous attacks 31
48 Possession 52
9 Corners 3
14 Free kicks 9
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

2 Injuries 1
19 Throwins 20
9 Goal Kicks 14
43 Successful Dribbles Percentage 44
18 Successful Headers 19
6 Successful Dribbles 4
14 Dribble Attempts 9
67 Ball Safe 81
10 Goal Attempts 6
0 Substitutions 5

Attacking

4 Big Chances Missed 1
106 Attacks 86

Possession

384 Passes 435
59 Long Passes 50
18 Successful Long Passes 16
305 Successful Passes 354
31 Successful Long Passes Percentage 32
79 Successful Passes Percentage 81
13 Key Passes 8

Defensive

47 Duels Won 43
12 Tackles 12
0 Saves 4
3 Interceptions 4

Build-up

8 Accurate Crosses 2
22 Total Crosses 13

Discipline

8 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Paul Tierney

Starting XI ▼

1
Caoimhín Kelleher
Caoimhín Kelleher Goalkeeper
6.88
4
Sepp van den Berg
Sepp van den Berg Defender
6.86
22
Nathan Collins
Nathan Collins Defender
6.89
23
Keane Lewis-Potter
Keane Lewis-Potter Defender
6.68
33
Michael Kayode
Michael Kayode Defender
6.81
7
Kevin Schade
Kevin Schade Midfielder
6.85
8
Mathias Jensen
Mathias Jensen Midfielder
6.88
18
Yegor Yarmolyuk
Yegor Yarmolyuk Midfielder
6.67
19
Dango Ouattara
Dango Ouattara Midfielder
6.83
24
Mikkel Damsgaard
Mikkel Damsgaard Midfielder
6.87
9
Igor Thiago
Igor Thiago Attacker
7.14
Referee : Paul Tierney

Starting XI ▼

1
Bernd Leno
Bernd Leno Goalkeeper
6.74
3
Calvin Bassey
Calvin Bassey Defender
6.73
5
Joachim Andersen
Joachim Andersen Defender
6.88
21
Timothy Castagne
Timothy Castagne Defender
6.78
30
Ryan Sessegnon
Ryan Sessegnon Defender
6.58
33
Antonee Robinson
Antonee Robinson
Defender81'
6.82
8
Harry Wilson
Harry Wilson Midfielder
7.18
10
Tom Cairney
Tom Cairney Midfielder
6.68
14
Oscar Bobb
Oscar Bobb
Midfielder81'
6.58
17
Alex Iwobi
Alex Iwobi Midfielder
7.02
19
Samuel Chukwueze
Samuel Chukwueze
Attacker43'
6.94
20
Saša Lukić
Saša Lukić Midfielder
6.85
32
Emile Smith Rowe
Emile Smith Rowe Midfielder
6.74
24
Josh King
Josh King
Midfielder67'
6.62
9
Rodrigo Muniz
Rodrigo Muniz Attacker
6.69
7
Raúl Jiménez
Raúl Jiménez
Attacker67'
6.94

Events

2ND-HALF
81'
Event
Oscar Bobb  → Tom Cairney
4th Substitution
81'
Event
Antonee Robinson → Ryan Sessegnon
5th Substitution
67'
Event
Raúl Jiménez → Rodrigo Muniz
2nd Substitution
67'
Event
Josh King → Emile Smith Rowe
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
43'
Event
Samuel Chukwueze → Alex Iwobi
1st Substitution
6'
Event
Saša Lukić
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Nathan Collins from Brentford missed a chance, heading the ball from the center of the box after a corner.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 6 minutes of added time.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with the match finishing 0-0 between Brentford and Fulham.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Sasa Lukic of Fulham.
90
Update Update
Mikkel Damsgaard from Brentford won a free kick in defense.
90
Corner Corner
Nathan Collins from Brentford had a missed chance, heading the ball from the center of the box but sending it high and wide to the right. The assist came from Mathias Jensen, who delivered a cross after a corner.
90
Corner Corner
Brentford wins a corner after Bernd Leno concedes.
90
Attempt Attempt
Calvin Bassey of Fulham had a missed chance, heading the ball from a difficult position on the left, but it went just to the left. Antonee Robinson provided the assist.
90
Update Update
Keane Lewis-Potter from Brentford committed a foul.
90
Update Update
Fouled by Keane Lewis-Potter of Brentford.
90
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Oscar Bobb from Fulham shoots with his left foot from the center of the box, but the shot goes high and wide to the left.
90
Update Update
Oscar Bobb of Fulham won a free kick on the right wing.
90
Update Update
Oscar Bobb from Fulham won a free kick in defense.
90
Update Update
That's all. The game finishes 0-0 between Brentford and Fulham.
89
Update Update
Keane Lewis-Potter's header from the center of the box is blocked. The assist came from Michael Kayode.
87
Update Update
Foul committed by Kevin Schade of Brentford.
87
Update Update
Timothy Castagne of Fulham won a free kick on the right wing.
87
Update Update
Mikkel Damsgaard from Brentford won a free kick on the right wing.
87
Update Update
Calvin Bassey fouled a Fulham player.
86
Update Update
Foul committed by Nathan Collins for Brentford.
86
Update Update
Raúl Jiménez of Fulham won a free kick on the right wing.
85
Corner Corner
Mikkel Damsgaard of Brentford missed a header from a difficult position on the left, sending the ball wide to the left. The assist came from Dango Ouattara, who provided a cross after a corner.
84
Update Update
Foul committed by Oscar Bobb of Fulham.
84
Corner Corner
Brentford wins a corner after Bernd Leno concedes.
84
Update Update
Keane Lewis-Potter from Brentford won a free kick on the left wing.
81
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fulham: Oscar Bobb replaces Tom Cairney.
81
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fulham: Antonee Robinson replaces Ryan Sessegnon.
79
Corner Corner
Brentford wins a corner after Bernd Leno concedes.
78
Corner Corner
Brentford wins a corner after Bernd Leno concedes.
76
Corner Corner
Nathan Collins from Brentford missed a chance, heading the ball from the center of the box after a corner.
75
Corner Corner
Brentford wins a corner after Timothy Castagne concedes.
74
Update Update
Igor Thiago from Brentford won a free kick in an attacking position.
74
Update Update
Foul committed by Joachim Andersen for Fulham.
72
Update Update
Josh King from Fulham won a free kick in defense.
72
Update Update
Foul committed by Mikkel Damsgaard of Brentford.
68
Update Update
Keane Lewis-Potter from Brentford won a free kick on the left wing.
68
Update Update
Fouled by Harry Wilson of Fulham.
67
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fulham: Raúl Jiménez replaces Rodrigo Muniz.
67
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fulham: Josh King replaces Emile Smith Rowe.
66
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Mikkel Damsgaard from Brentford shot with his left foot from the center of the box.
66
Attempt Attempt
Mikkel Damsgaard from Brentford had a missed chance, shooting with his left foot from the center of the box, but it went just to the left. The assist came from Kevin Schade, who set him up with a header.
64
Update Update
Offside called against Fulham. Emile Smith Rowe is offside.
64
Attempt Attempt
Ryan Sessegnon's shot for Fulham from the left side of the box is blocked. Tom Cairney provided the assist.
62
Update Update
Dango Ouattara fouled a Brentford player.
62
Update Update
Calvin Bassey of Fulham won a free kick in defense.
60
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Mathias Jensen from Brentford.
58
Attempt Attempt
Dango Ouattara from Brentford attempts an attack with a left-footed shot from the right side of the box, but it is saved.
58
Update Update
Emile Smith Rowe fouled a Fulham player.
58
Update Update
Keane Lewis-Potter of Brentford won a free kick in defense.
56
Corner Corner
Brentford wins a corner after Ryan Sessegnon concedes.
56
Update Update
Mathias Jensen from Brentford won a free kick in defense.
56
Update Update
Emile Smith Rowe commits a foul against Fulham.
54
Corner Corner
Fulham wins a corner after Sepp van den Berg concedes.
50
Attempt Attempt
Sasa Lukic from Fulham misses a chance with a left-footed shot from outside the box.
49
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Nathan Collins of Brentford.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Kevin Schade of Brentford.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with a score of 0-0 between Brentford and Fulham.
45
Corner Corner
Brentford wins a corner after Calvin Bassey concedes.
45
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity for Brentford as Keane Lewis-Potter shoots with his right foot from the center of the box but sends it over the bar. The assist came from Kevin Schade following a corner.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with a score of 0-0 between Brentford and Fulham.
44
Update Update
Sasa Lukic from Fulham won a free kick in defense.
44
Update Update
Foul committed by Emile Smith Rowe against Fulham.
44
Update Update
Foul committed by Kevin Schade of Brentford.
44
Update Update
Kevin Schade from Brentford won a free kick in defense.
43
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fulham: Samuel Chukwueze replaces Alex Iwobi due to injury.
43
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Alex Iwobi from Fulham.
42
Update Update
Kevin Schade's header from inside the six-yard box on the left side is blocked. The assist came from Mathias Jensen's cross.
40
Corner Corner
Brentford wins a corner after Rodrigo Muniz concedes.
39
Update Update
Nathan Collins' header from the left side of the box is blocked.
38
Update Update
Ryan Sessegnon from Fulham committed a foul.
38
Update Update
Foul committed by Ryan Sessegnon of Fulham.
37
Update Update
Foul committed by Sasa Lukic for Fulham.
37
Update Update
Kevin Schade from Brentford won a free kick in defense.
35
Attempt Attempt
Ryan Sessegnon of Fulham had a missed chance, shooting with his left foot from the center of the box, but it went high. Tom Cairney provided the assist.
32
Update Update
Foul committed by Igor Thiago of Brentford.
31
Attempt Attempt
Joachim Andersen's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
31
Update Update
Calvin Bassey of Fulham won a free kick in defense.
29
Attempt Attempt
Alex Iwobi's shot from the right side of the six-yard box is blocked. The assist came from Harry Wilson's cross.
29
Corner Corner
Fulham win a corner after Caoimhín Kelleher concedes.
26
Corner Corner
Fulham wins a corner after Keane Lewis-Potter concedes.
25
Update Update
Dango Ouattara of Brentford is called offside.
18
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Dango Ouattara from Brentford takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it is saved in the right corner by Bernd Leno from Fulham. The assist came from Mikkel Damsgaard.
17
Update Update
Kevin Schade from Brentford won a free kick in defense.
17
Update Update
Fouled by Calvin Bassey of Fulham.
14
Attempt Attempt
Igor Thiago's shot from the center of the box is blocked. The assist was provided by Kevin Schade.
11
Update Update
Handball by Harry Wilson for Fulham.
10
Corner Corner
Missed chance. Igor Thiago from Brentford headed the ball from the center of the box after a corner.
10
Attempt Attempt
Harry Wilson's shot from outside the box is blocked. Emile Smith Rowe provided the assist.
9
Corner Corner
Brentford is awarded a corner after Calvin Bassey concedes.
6
Update Update
Kevin Schade of Brentford won a free kick in an attacking position.
6
Update Update
Foul by Sasa Lukic - Fulham.
6
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Sasa Lukic of Fulham receives a yellow card for a foul.
1
Corner Corner
Brentford wins a corner after Ryan Sessegnon concedes.

CONCLUSION

The 0-0 draw encapsulated a tactical deadlock where Brentford's superior pre-match status yielded no advantage against Fulham's resilience. With possession nearly even and no disruptions from reds or shifts, the significant deviation highlighted Brentford's inability to impose dominance. Market misalignment and absent xG data leave efficiency as the sole aligned metric, pointing to mutual defensive efficacy. Brentford may rue missed opportunities in a result that dilutes their momentum, while Fulham's point fortifies their road record. Future fixtures demand Brentford refine conversion to match their structural potential.

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