Brentford vs Everton Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Premier League, England

Gtech Community Stadium Sat, 11 Apr - 2:00 PM

Premier League

Brentford BRE

2 – 2

Everton EVE

Full Time Sat, 11 Apr 2:00 PM

Round 32 Regular Season

Igor Thiago - 76', 3' (P)

Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall - 90+1'

Beto - 26'

CONTEXT

The match between Brentford and Everton is now finished, with the full-time score finishing 2-2. Both sides had traded goals in the first half to reach the interval level at 1-1, and neither could find a decisive winner after the restart despite Brentford being regarded as the stronger team beforehand. The result represented a moderate deviation from pre-match expectations, with Brentford the side most affected. Brentford held 55 percent possession to Everton’s 45 percent, yet the absence of expected goals data makes it impossible to assess whether the scoring aligned precisely with underlying chance quality. Overall the outcome proved consistent with the wider pre-match projection, and the efficiency shift across the ninety minutes stayed in line with expectations. No red cards were issued and no major disciplinary events altered the flow of play. The even contest ultimately delivered a fair share of the points, confirming that while the stronger side fell slightly short of a victory, the draw accurately reflected the balance of the afternoon.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Brentford showed a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

F. Hallam

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

A. Madley

4th Official

S. Bennett

1st Assistant

S. Meredith

2nd Assistant

K. Andrews

D. Moyes

1.63

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.46

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

3 - 4 - 4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Brentford

5.51%

Draw

90.03%

Everton

4.46%

Team Power Ranking

24.27

23.96

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Brentford

Everton

Power Score

24.27

23.96

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Brentford — Opponent-weighted form score

Everton — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Brentford Everton

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Brentford

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Everton

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Brentford ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Everton

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

35.73

37.11

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

37.11

35.73

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Brentford -0.16 Efficiency Index

Everton +0.16 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Brentford

Everton

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Brentford ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Everton

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Brentford Everton

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

1.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Brentford Everton

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 1.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Brentford

Everton

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Brentford

Everton

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Brentford Everton

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Brentford Everton

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Brentford

Everton

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

BRE had peak pressure around 56'.
BRE started the game with stronger pressure.

BRE Pressure EVE Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: BRE reached the top pressure at 56' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Brentford BRE Home

11 matches

Everton EVE Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-3

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-12T00:06:19+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

1 C. Kelleher

33 M. Kayode

4 S. van den Berg

22 N. Collins

23 K. Lewis-Potter

18 Y. Yarmoliuk

8 M. Jensen

19 Dango Ouattara

24 M. Damsgaard

7 K. Schade

9 Thiago

1 J. Pickford

16 V. Mykolenko

32 J. Branthwaite

6 J. Tarkowski

15 J. O´Brien

37 J. Garner

27 I. Gueye

10 I. Ndiaye

22 K. Dewsbury-Hall

7 D. McNeil

9 N. Bercique Gomes Betuncal

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 11, 2026, 02:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 32 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Gtech Community Stadium

Capacity :

17250

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Farai Hallam

Andy Madley

Simon Bennett

Steve Meredith

Statistics

Possession

BRE

55%

EVE

45%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2

4 Big Chances Created 2

4 Shots 7

53 Dangerous attacks 54

55 Possession 45

2 Corners 3

8 Free kicks 6

0 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

1 Penalties 0

53 Successful Dribbles Percentage 40

9 Goal Kicks 10

18 Throwins 22

16 Successful Headers 15

15 Dribble Attempts 5

1 Assists 1

8 Successful Dribbles 2

2 Hit Woodwork 0

1 Injuries 1

71 Ball Safe 68

8 Goal Attempts 8

1 Substitutions 3

Attacking

111 Attacks 80

3 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

449 Passes 372

83 Successful Passes Percentage 81

38 Successful Long Passes 14

53 Successful Long Passes Percentage 34

72 Long Passes 41

373 Successful Passes 301

12 Key Passes 10

Defensive

8 Interceptions 7

15 Tackles 15

4 Saves 2

Build-up

9 Accurate Crosses 2

22 Total Crosses 19

Discipline

6 Fouls 7

0 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Farai Hallam

Manager ▼

K. Andrews Coach

Starting XI ▼

Caoimhín Kelleher Goalkeeper

Sepp van den Berg Defender

Nathan Collins Defender

Keane Lewis-Potter Defender

Michael Kayode Defender

Kevin Schade Midfielder

Mathias Jensen Midfielder

Yegor Yarmolyuk Midfielder

Dango Ouattara Midfielder

Mikkel Damsgaard Midfielder

Reiss Nelson

Attacker46'

Igor Thiago Attacker

Substitutes ▼

Reiss Nelson

Attacker46'

Bench ▼

Hákon Valdimarsson Goalkeeper

Ethan Pinnock Defender

Kristoffer Ajer Defender

Ollie Shield Defender

Josh Stephenson Defender

Romelle Donovan Midfielder

Luka Bentt Midfielder

Riley Owen Midfielder

Referee : Farai Hallam