Brentford vs Crystal Palace Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Gtech Community Stadium Sun, 17 May - 2:00 PM
Premier League
Brentford BRE
Versus
Crystal Palace CRY
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 2:00 PM
Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Brentford faces Crystal Palace at the Gtech Community Stadium in a Premier League regular season fixture from the 2025/2026 campaign. The hosts sit in 8th position, significantly ahead of the visitors in 15th, reflecting their stronger standing. Power ratings reinforce this, with Brentford at 72.3 against Palace's 70.43, yielding a 1.9-point edge that marks the Bees as the superior side. Form scores align similarly, Brentford posting 12.78 to Palace's 11.44, indicating better recent momentum despite absent last-outing details. League positions underscore domestic hierarchy. Set piece evaluations draw from low-confidence proxies, as xG data remains unavailable. Home advantage at Gtech could prove decisive in this matchup, where Brentford seeks to extend their buffer while Palace battles relegation pressures. Competition intensifies with both clubs eyeing points for differing ambitions.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Brentford possesses a 1.9-point power advantage and occupies 8th place ahead of Crystal Palace's 15th.
  • Form: Brentford's form score reaches 12.78, exceeding Crystal Palace's 11.44.
  • Squad: Brentford's squad power score of 72.3 outpaces Crystal Palace's 70.43.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition statistics are not included in available datasets.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance uses low-confidence proxy metrics for both teams lacking xG details.
  • xVariable: xG variables remain inaccessible without the enabled add-on.
  • Market: Brentford 56.3% (Δ-0.1%) | Draw 22.6% (Δ+0.2%) | Crystal Palace 21.1% (Δ-0.2%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Brentford K. Andrews
K. Andrews
VS
Crystal Palace O. Glasner
O. Glasner
1.4
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.08
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Manchester City Rank: 98 L
West Ham United Rank: 84 W
Manchester United Rank: 90 L
Fulham Rank: 86 D
Everton Rank: 88 D
Leeds United Rank: 87 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Manchester City Rank: 98 L
Everton Rank: 88 D
AFC Bournemouth Rank: 89 L
Liverpool Rank: 91 L
West Ham United Rank: 83 D
Newcastle United Rank: 89 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 5 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Brentford
56.28%
Draw
22.59%
Away Crystal Palace
21.12%

Movement

Changes since opening
Brentford
-0.09%
Draw
+0.24%
Crystal Palace
-0.16%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
72.3
70.43
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Brentford
Crystal Palace
Power Score
72.3
70.43
League Position
8
15
Global Rank
19
33

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Brentford — Opponent-weighted form score
Crystal Palace — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Brentford Crystal Palace

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Brentford BRE Home
9 matches
Crystal Palace CRY Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
5
Draws
5
2
Losses
2
Goals
8
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
8
-2
Goal Difference
+2

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T01:05:41+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
C. Kelleher
Republic of Ireland
1 C. Kelleher
M. Kayode
Italy
33 M. Kayode
K. Vassbakk Ajer
Norway
20 K. Vassbakk Ajer
N. Collins
Republic of Ireland
22 N. Collins
K. Lewis-Potter
England
23 K. Lewis-Potter
Y. Yarmoliuk
Ukraine
18 Y. Yarmoliuk
M. Jensen
Denmark
8 M. Jensen
A. Hickey
Scotland
2 A. Hickey
M. Damsgaard
Denmark
24 M. Damsgaard
Thiago
Brazil
9 Thiago
K. Schade
Germany
7 K. Schade
Pitch
D. Henderson
England
1 D. Henderson
J. Canvot
France
23 J. Canvot
M. Lacroix
France
5 M. Lacroix
C. Richards
United States
26 C. Richards
T. Mitchell
England
3 T. Mitchell
J. Lerma Solís
Colombia
8 J. Lerma Solís
W. Hughes
England
19 W. Hughes
D. Muñoz Mejía
Colombia
2 D. Muñoz Mejía
Y. Jesús Pino Santos
Spain
10 Y. Jesús Pino Santos
B. Johnson
Wales
11 B. Johnson
J. Mateta
France
14 J. Mateta

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Gtech Community Stadium
Capacity :
17250
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Samuel Barrott
Ian Hussin
Wade Smith
Steve Martin

Lineup

Referee : Samuel Barrott

Starting XI ▼

1
Caoimhín Kelleher
Caoimhín Kelleher Goalkeeper
6.91
20
Kristoffer Ajer
Kristoffer Ajer Defender
6.61
22
Nathan Collins
Nathan Collins Defender
6.84
23
Keane Lewis-Potter
Keane Lewis-Potter Defender
6.68
33
Michael Kayode
Michael Kayode Defender
6.79
2
Aaron Hickey
Aaron Hickey Midfielder
6.52
8
Mathias Jensen
Mathias Jensen Midfielder
6.89
18
Yegor Yarmolyuk
Yegor Yarmolyuk Midfielder
6.71
24
Mikkel Damsgaard
Mikkel Damsgaard Midfielder
6.91
7
Kevin Schade
Kevin Schade Attacker
6.82
9
Igor Thiago
Igor Thiago Attacker
7.09
Referee : Samuel Barrott

Starting XI ▼

1
Dean Henderson
Dean Henderson Goalkeeper
6.79
2
Daniel Muñoz
Daniel Muñoz Defender
6.99
3
Tyrick Mitchell
Tyrick Mitchell Defender
6.83
5
Maxence Lacroix
Maxence Lacroix Defender
6.95
23
Jaydee Canvot
Jaydee Canvot Defender
6.79
26
Chris Richards
Chris Richards Defender
6.82
8
Jefferson Lerma
Jefferson Lerma Midfielder
6.71
10
Yéremy Pino
Yéremy Pino Midfielder
6.84
11
Brennan Johnson
Brennan Johnson Midfielder
6.59
19
Will Hughes
Will Hughes Midfielder
6.68
14
Jean-Philippe Mateta
Jean-Philippe Mateta Attacker
6.76

CONCLUSION

Brentford enters as favorites, bolstered by superior power scores, league position, and form metrics over Crystal Palace. The 1.9-point edge and home venue at Gtech Community Stadium enhance their control prospects. Palace faces an uphill task from 15th, with weaker form hindering upset chances. Lacking granular efficiency, transition, or set piece insights, analysis hinges on core strengths favoring the hosts. Expect Brentford to dominate possession and chances in this Premier League clash. Visitors must excel defensively to earn reward, but data projections align with a home success in a tactical battle.

Brentford vs Crystal Palace preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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