Brann vs Sandefjord Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2026 Eliteserien, Norway

Brann Stadion Sun, 12 Apr - 5:15 PM

Eliteserien

Brann SKB

Sandefjord Sandefjord

Full Time Sun, 12 Apr 5:15 PM

Round 4 Regular Season

Sander Risan Mørk - 16'

CONTEXT

The match between Brann and Sandefjord is now finished, with the full-time score ending 0-1 to the visitors. Brann entered the fixture as clear favorites with a 60.6 percent implied win probability, while Sandefjord were given just 17.8 percent. The away victory therefore represented a significant deviation from expectations and saw Sandefjord, rather than the home side, outperform pre-match projections. No red cards were issued and no major disruptive events altered the flow, yet the visitors took a first-half lead and held firm despite trailing in territory. Brann dominated possession at 64 percent to 36 percent but created little of note. With no expected goals data available, it is impossible to quantify chance quality, though the efficiency shift stayed broadly in line with underlying team performances. The result ultimately proved inconsistent with the pre-match outlook, confirming Sandefjord as the stronger side on the day and delivering a result that defied the initial forecast.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Sandefjord showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

T. Hansen

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Lundberg

1st Assistant

J. Knutsen

2nd Assistant

O. Kellerhals

4th Official

F. Alexandersson

A. Tegström

1.3

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.7

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

14 - 6 - 2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Brann

60.64%

Draw

21.57%

Sandefjord

17.79%

Movement

Changes since opening

Brann

+60.45%

Draw

+15.92%

Sandefjord

-76.37%

Team Power Ranking

17.4

29.21

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Brann

Sandefjord

Power Score

17.4

29.21

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Brann — Opponent-weighted form score

Sandefjord — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Brann Sandefjord

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Brann

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Sandefjord

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Brann ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Sandefjord

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

36.72

39.44

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

39.44

36.72

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Brann -0.28 Efficiency Index

Sandefjord +0.28 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Brann

Sandefjord

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Brann ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Sandefjord

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Brann Sandefjord

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Brann Sandefjord

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Brann

Sandefjord

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Brann

Sandefjord

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Brann Sandefjord

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Brann Sandefjord

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Brann

Sandefjord

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

SKB had peak pressure around 56'.
SKB started the game with stronger pressure.

SKB Pressure Sandefjord Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: SKB reached the top pressure at 56' (92.09).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 22 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Brann SKB Home

22 matches

Sandefjord Sandefjord Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

+22

Goal Difference

-22

Data last updated: 2026-04-13T00:10:12+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

1 M. Dyngeland

21 D. De Roeve

3 F. Pallesen Knudsen

43 R. Holten

20 V. Winger Dragsnes

16 K. Eriksen

18 J. Sørensen

8 F. Horn Myhre

11 B. Finne

29 N. Holm

7 J. Thorsteinsson

30 E. Hadaya

3 V. Walle Egeli

44 X. Lambrix

2 Z. Smajlovic

4 F. Pedersen

6 S. Mørk

14 E. Sundbö Pettersen

27 J. Dunsby

37 J. Vester Nielsen

19 B. Berntsen

11 N. Moller

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 12, 2026, 05:15 PM

Competition :

2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 4 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Brann Stadion

Capacity :

17686

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Tore Hansen

Magnus Lundberg

Jon-Michael Knutsen

Ola Kellerhals

Statistics

Possession

SKB

61%

Sandefjord

39%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1

14 Shots 5

90 Dangerous attacks 24

64 Possession 36

11 Corners 2

14 Free kicks 6

1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

14 Dribble Attempts 21

30 Throwins 29

36 Successful Dribbles Percentage 29

8 Goal Kicks 9

0 Assists 1

5 Successful Dribbles 6

5 Substitutions 4

97 Ball Safe 73

7 Goal Attempts 9

Attacking

122 Attacks 75

2 Counter Attacks 5

Possession

21 Successful Long Passes 28

38 Successful Long Passes Percentage 41

13 Key Passes 6

78 Successful Passes Percentage 69

534 Passes 321

419 Successful Passes 220

56 Long Passes 68

Defensive

8 Interceptions 8

27 Tackles 20

1 Saves 3

Build-up

8 Accurate Crosses 2

41 Total Crosses 6

Discipline

6 Fouls 14

3 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Tore Hansen

Manager ▼

F. Alexandersson Coach

Starting XI ▼

Mathias Dyngeland Goalkeeper

Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen Defender

V. Dragsnes Defender

K. Ingason

Attacker76'

Denzel De Roeve Defender

Rasmus Holten Defender

Thore Pedersen

Defender61'

Felix Horn Myhre Midfielder

Kristian Eriksen Midfielder

Joachim Soltvedt

Defender76'

Jacob Lungi Sørensen Midfielder

Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson Attacker

Ulrik Mathisen

Midfielder61'

Bård Finne Attacker

Markus Haaland

Midfielder62'

Noah Holm Attacker

Substitutes ▼

Thore Pedersen

Defender61'

Ulrik Mathisen

Midfielder61'

Markus Haaland

Midfielder62'

Joachim Soltvedt

Defender76'

K. Ingason

Attacker76'

Bench ▼

S. Nilsen Goalkeeper

Cheikh Mbacke Defender

Niklas Jensen Wassberg Midfielder

Rabbi Matondo Midfielder

Referee : Tore Hansen