Brann vs Fredrikstad Prediction, Preview and Stats

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Brann Stadion Sat, 2 May - 4:00 PM
Eliteserien
Brann SKB
3 Winner 1
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
Full Time Sat, 2 May 4:00 PM
Round 7 Regular Season
Bård Finne - 90+6' (P)
Joachim Soltvedt - 69'
K. Ingason - 6'
Goal
|
Goal
Ulrik Fredriksen - 90+9'

CONTEXT

Brann delivered a solid 3-1 home win against Fredrikstad, asserting dominance from the outset. They took a 1-0 halftime lead through precise finishing and maintained control with 61% possession across the match. Fredrikstad, holding just 39% of the ball, struggled to create sustained threats but notched a late consolation goal. The second half saw Brann extend their advantage with two well-taken strikes, capitalizing on their superior quality without facing disruptions. No red cards marred proceedings, allowing the game to unfold naturally. This performance reinforced Brann's standing as the stronger team, with the outcome reflecting their expected edge in structure and execution.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Minimal structural deviation of 2.1% aligned with Brann's 3-1 victory.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match evaluations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment confirmed by Brann's expected home win.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without available metrics.
  • Event impact: No key events like second-half adjustments influenced the result.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, eliminating any scoreline distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

S. Sinnes

Fouls / match 0
Yellow cards / match 0
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

O. Skogsrud Haukåsen

1st Assistant

M. Jensen

2nd Assistant

F. van Herk

4th Official

Brann F. Alexandersson
F. Alexandersson
VS
Fredrikstad A. Hagen
A. Hagen
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.3
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Tromsø Rank: 70 W
Rosenborg Rank: 61 D
Viking Rank: 77 L
Sandefjord Rank: 61 L
HamKam Rank: 59 W
Tromsø Rank: 68 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Viking Rank: 77 L
Kristiansund Rank: 54 L
Vålerenga Rank: 61 D
Aalesund Rank: 42 W
KFUM Rank: 56 W
Tromsø Rank: 68 L
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 2 - 5
5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Brann
97.86%
Draw
1.92%
Away Fredrikstad
0.22%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
69.16
60.53
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Brann
Fredrikstad
Power Score
69.16
60.53
League Position
5
12
Global Rank
222
462

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Brann — Opponent-weighted form score
Fredrikstad — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Brann Fredrikstad

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Brann

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Fredrikstad

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Brann ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Fredrikstad
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
31.89
22.44
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
22.44
31.89
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Brann +0.96 Efficiency Index
vs
Fredrikstad -0.96 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Brann
Fredrikstad
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Brann ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Fredrikstad
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Brann Fredrikstad
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Brann Fredrikstad
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Brann
Fredrikstad
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Brann
vs
Fredrikstad
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Brann Fredrikstad
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Brann 0.23
Fredrikstad 0.20
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Brann Fredrikstad
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Brann 0.03
Fredrikstad 0.04
Brann
Fredrikstad
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SKB had peak pressure around 71'.
  • Fredrikstad started the game with stronger pressure.
SKB Pressure Fredrikstad Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SKB reached the top pressure at 71' (81.41).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 18 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Brann SKB Home
18 matches
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad Away
Match Record
11
Wins
5
2
Draws
2
5
Losses
11
Goals
40
Goals Scored
25
25
Goals Conceded
40
+15
Goal Difference
-15

Data last updated: 2026-05-03T00:05:33+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch
S. Nilsen
Norway
12 S. Nilsen
V. Winger Dragsnes
Norway
20 V. Winger Dragsnes
F. Pallesen Knudsen
Norway
3 F. Pallesen Knudsen
T. Pedersen
Norway
23 T. Pedersen
J. Soltvedt
Substitution
Norway
17 J. Soltvedt
K. Ingason
Iceland
10 K. Ingason
J. Sørensen
Substitution
Denmark
18 J. Sørensen
F. Horn Myhre
Norway
8 F. Horn Myhre
U. Mathisen
Substitution
Norway
14 U. Mathisen
N. Holm
Substitution
Norway
29 N. Holm
J. Thorsteinsson
Substitution
Iceland
7 J. Thorsteinsson
Pitch
M. Børsheim
Norway
77 M. Børsheim
J. Vonheim Norbye
Substitution
Norway
18 J. Vonheim Norbye
U. Fredriksen
Norway
12 U. Fredriksen
F. Holmé
Substitution
Norway
4 F. Holmé
S. Sørløkk
Norway
13 S. Sørløkk
R. Shein
Estonia
21 R. Shein
L. Owusu
Ghana
24 L. Owusu
S. Holm
Substitution
Sweden
6 S. Holm
D. Eid
Norway
16 D. Eid
H. Skogvold
Substitution
Norway
23 H. Skogvold
O. Øhlenschlæger
Substitution
Denmark
20 O. Øhlenschlæger

General Information

Date & Time :
May 02, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 7 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Brann Stadion
Capacity :
17686
Attendance :
16207
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Svein Tore Sinnes
Ole Andreas Skogsrud Haukåsen
Morten Jensen
Freek van Herk

Statistics

Possession
SKB
58%
Fredrikstad
42%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 1
6 Shots 4
69 Dangerous attacks 35
61 Possession 39
3 Corners 2
9 Free kicks 13
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

1 Penalties 0
1 Injuries 1
80 Ball Safe 91
8 Successful Dribbles 11
8 Goal Kicks 9
2 Assists 1
26 Throwins 21
40 Successful Dribbles Percentage 73
20 Dribble Attempts 15
0 Hit Woodwork 1
8 Goal Attempts 7
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

124 Attacks 88
3 Counter Attacks 1

Possession

79 Successful Passes Percentage 70
55 Long Passes 58
25 Successful Long Passes 17
517 Passes 326
45 Successful Long Passes Percentage 29
9 Key Passes 4
409 Successful Passes 227

Defensive

5 Interceptions 9
2 Saves 1
64 Duels Won 64
16 Tackles 20

Build-up

6 Accurate Crosses 5
15 Total Crosses 11

Discipline

13 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : Svein Tore Sinnes

Starting XI ▼

12
S. Nilsen
S. Nilsen Goalkeeper
7.15
3
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen Defender
6.93
17
Joachim Soltvedt
Joachim Soltvedt Defender
6.9
15
Jonas Torsvik
Jonas Torsvik
Defender77'
6.23
20
V. Dragsnes
V. Dragsnes Defender
6.59
23
Thore Pedersen
Thore Pedersen Defender
6.76
8
Felix Horn Myhre
Felix Horn Myhre Midfielder
6.95
10
K. Ingason
K. Ingason Midfielder
7.16
18
Jacob Lungi Sørensen
Jacob Lungi Sørensen Midfielder
7.08
25
Niklas Jensen Wassberg
Niklas Jensen Wassberg
Midfielder77'
6.48
7
Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson
Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson Attacker
7.18
32
Markus Haaland
Markus Haaland
Midfielder65'
6.63
14
Ulrik Mathisen
Ulrik Mathisen Attacker
6.74
16
Kristian Eriksen
Kristian Eriksen
Midfielder65'
6.66
29
Noah Holm
Noah Holm Attacker
7.31
11
Bård Finne
Bård Finne
Attacker87'
7.14
Referee : Svein Tore Sinnes

Starting XI ▼

77
Martin Børsheim
Martin Børsheim Goalkeeper
7.13
4
Fredrik Holmé
Fredrik Holmé Defender
6.87
14
Max Nilsson
Max Nilsson
Midfielder75'
6.55
12
Ulrik Fredriksen
Ulrik Fredriksen Defender
7.07
18
Jonathan Norbye
Jonathan Norbye Defender
6.51
15
Eirik Julius Granaas
Eirik Julius Granaas
Midfielder81'
6.54
6
Samuel Leach Holm
Samuel Leach Holm Midfielder
7.31
19
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
Defender46'
6.46
13
Sondre Sørløkk
Sondre Sørløkk Midfielder
6.38
16
Daniel Eid
Daniel Eid Midfielder
7.03
21
Rocco Shein
Rocco Shein Midfielder
7.13
24
Leonard Owusu
Leonard Owusu Midfielder
6.79
20
Oskar Öhlenschlaeger
Oskar Öhlenschlaeger Attacker
7.02
7
Benjamin Faraas
Benjamin Faraas
Midfielder81'
6.44
23
Henrik Langaas Skogvold
Henrik Langaas Skogvold Attacker
6.55
9
S. Laghzaoui
S. Laghzaoui
Midfielder61'
6.78

Events

2ND-HALF
90+9'
Event
Ulrik Fredriksen
Header / 3rd Goal
Event
Bård Finne
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
90+6'
Event
Kristian Eriksen
Penalty awarded
90+4'
Event
Bård Finne → Noah Holm
10th Substitution
87'
81'
Event
Benjamin Faraas → Oskar Öhlenschlaeger
8th Substitution
81'
Event
Eirik Julius Granaas → Jonathan Norbye
9th Substitution
Event
Jonas Torsvik → Joachim Soltvedt
6th Substitution
77'
Event
Niklas Jensen Wassberg → Jacob Lungi Sørensen
7th Substitution
77'
75'
Event
Max Nilsson → Fredrik Holmé
5th Substitution
Event
Kristian Eriksen
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
71'
Event
Joachim Soltvedt
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
69'
Event
Markus Haaland → Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson
4th Substitution
65'
Event
Kristian Eriksen → Ulrik Mathisen
3rd Substitution
65'
61'
Event
S. Laghzaoui → Henrik Langaas Skogvold
2nd Substitution
53'
Event
Jonathan Norbye
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
46'
Event
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem → Samuel Leach Holm
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
K. Ingason
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
6'

CONCLUSION

Brann's 3-1 triumph exemplified their control and clinical edge over Fredrikstad. Leading 1-0 at halftime, they leveraged 61% possession to secure the points efficiently. The minimal deviation and market alignment underscore a predictable yet professional display. Fredrikstad's response was limited, their goal a minor footnote in Brann's command. Absent xG details, possession and scoring paint a clear picture of dominance. This result strengthens Brann's momentum, setting a firm foundation for upcoming challenges while exposing Fredrikstad's areas for growth.

Brann vs Fredrikstad preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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Daniels Zorge

Daniels Zorge covers football fixtures with a focus on tactical matchups, playing styles, and key details that shape each game.