Brann vs Fredrikstad Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2026 Eliteserien, Norway

Brann Stadion Sat, 2 May - 4:00 PM

Eliteserien

Brann SKB

Fredrikstad Fredrikstad

Full Time Sat, 2 May 4:00 PM

Round 7 Regular Season

Bård Finne - 90+6' (P)

Joachim Soltvedt - 69'

K. Ingason - 6'

Ulrik Fredriksen - 90+9'

CONTEXT

Brann delivered a solid 3-1 home win against Fredrikstad, asserting dominance from the outset. They took a 1-0 halftime lead through precise finishing and maintained control with 61% possession across the match. Fredrikstad, holding just 39% of the ball, struggled to create sustained threats but notched a late consolation goal. The second half saw Brann extend their advantage with two well-taken strikes, capitalizing on their superior quality without facing disruptions. No red cards marred proceedings, allowing the game to unfold naturally. This performance reinforced Brann's standing as the stronger team, with the outcome reflecting their expected edge in structure and execution.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Minimal structural deviation of 2.1% aligned with Brann's 3-1 victory.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match evaluations.
xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
Market alignment: Market alignment confirmed by Brann's expected home win.
xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without available metrics.
Event impact: No key events like second-half adjustments influenced the result.
Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, eliminating any scoreline distortion.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

S. Sinnes

Fouls / match 0

Yellow cards / match 0

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

O. Skogsrud Haukåsen

1st Assistant

M. Jensen

2nd Assistant

F. van Herk

4th Official

F. Alexandersson

A. Hagen

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.3

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

11 - 2 - 5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Brann

97.86%

Draw

1.92%

Fredrikstad

0.22%

Team Power Ranking

69.16

60.53

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Brann

Fredrikstad

Power Score

69.16

60.53

League Position

Global Rank

222

462

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Brann — Opponent-weighted form score

Fredrikstad — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Brann Fredrikstad

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Brann

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Fredrikstad

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Brann ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Fredrikstad

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

31.89

22.44

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

22.44

31.89

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Brann +0.97 Efficiency Index

Fredrikstad -0.97 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Brann

Fredrikstad

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Brann ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Fredrikstad

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Brann Fredrikstad

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

1.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Brann Fredrikstad

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 1.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Brann

Fredrikstad

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Brann

Fredrikstad

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Brann Fredrikstad

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Brann Fredrikstad

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Brann

Fredrikstad

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

SKB had peak pressure around 71'.
Fredrikstad started the game with stronger pressure.

SKB Pressure Fredrikstad Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: SKB reached the top pressure at 71' (81.41).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 18 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Brann SKB Home

18 matches

Fredrikstad Fredrikstad Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

+15

Goal Difference

-15

Data last updated: 2026-05-03T00:05:33+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3

Match Formation 3-5-2

12 S. Nilsen

20 V. Winger Dragsnes

3 F. Pallesen Knudsen

23 T. Pedersen

17 J. Soltvedt

10 K. Ingason

18 J. Sørensen

8 F. Horn Myhre

14 U. Mathisen

29 N. Holm

7 J. Thorsteinsson

77 M. Børsheim

18 J. Vonheim Norbye

12 U. Fredriksen

4 F. Holmé

13 S. Sørløkk

21 R. Shein

24 L. Owusu

6 S. Holm

16 D. Eid

23 H. Skogvold

20 O. Øhlenschlæger

General Information

Date & Time :

May 02, 2026, 04:00 PM

Competition :

2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 7 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Brann Stadion

Capacity :

17686

Attendance :

16207

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Svein Tore Sinnes

Ole Andreas Skogsrud Haukåsen

Morten Jensen

Freek van Herk

Statistics

Possession

SKB

58%

Fredrikstad

42%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1

1 Big Chances Created 1

6 Shots 4

69 Dangerous attacks 35

61 Possession 39

3 Corners 2

9 Free kicks 13

1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

1 Penalties 0

1 Injuries 1

80 Ball Safe 91

8 Successful Dribbles 11

8 Goal Kicks 9

2 Assists 1

26 Throwins 21

40 Successful Dribbles Percentage 73

20 Dribble Attempts 15

0 Hit Woodwork 1

8 Goal Attempts 7

5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

124 Attacks 88

3 Counter Attacks 1

Possession

79 Successful Passes Percentage 70

55 Long Passes 58

25 Successful Long Passes 17

517 Passes 326

45 Successful Long Passes Percentage 29

9 Key Passes 4

409 Successful Passes 227

Defensive

5 Interceptions 9

2 Saves 1

64 Duels Won 64

16 Tackles 20

Build-up

6 Accurate Crosses 5

15 Total Crosses 11

Discipline

13 Fouls 10

1 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : Svein Tore Sinnes

Manager ▼

F. Alexandersson Coach

Starting XI ▼

S. Nilsen Goalkeeper

7.15

Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen Defender

6.93

Joachim Soltvedt Defender

6.9

Jonas Torsvik

Defender77'

6.23

V. Dragsnes Defender

6.59

Thore Pedersen Defender

6.76

Felix Horn Myhre Midfielder

6.95

K. Ingason Midfielder

7.16

Jacob Lungi Sørensen Midfielder

7.08

Niklas Jensen Wassberg

Midfielder77'

6.48

Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson Attacker

7.18

Markus Haaland

Midfielder65'

6.63

Ulrik Mathisen Attacker

6.74

Kristian Eriksen

Midfielder65'

6.66

Noah Holm Attacker

7.31

Bård Finne

Attacker87'

7.14

Substitutes ▼

Markus Haaland

Midfielder65'

6.63

Kristian Eriksen

Midfielder65'

6.66

Jonas Torsvik

Defender77'

6.23

Niklas Jensen Wassberg

Midfielder77'

6.48

Bård Finne

Attacker87'

7.14

Bench ▼

Håkon Melås Hellesøy Goalkeeper

Martin Hellan Defender

Cheikh Mbacke Defender

6.86

Rasmus Holten Defender

6.78

Referee : Svein Tore Sinnes