Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim Prediction, Preview and Stats

Germany flag 2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Stadion im Borussia-Park Tomorrow - 1:30 PM
Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach BMG
Versus
TSG Hoffenheim TSG
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 1:30 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In a Bundesliga regular season fixture at Stadion im Borussia-Park, 11th-placed Borussia Mönchengladbach welcome 6th-placed TSG Hoffenheim during the 2025/2026 campaign. Hoffenheim arrive as the stronger outfit, holding a power score of 84.66 against Gladbach's 77.09, translating to a clear 7.6-point advantage. Form metrics further tilt the scales, with Hoffenheim's 25.17 rating outpacing the hosts' 19.11, suggesting better momentum despite no specific recent outings detailed. Home advantage could energize Gladbach, who sit mid-table and seek to climb, but Hoffenheim's higher standing reflects squad depth and consistency. Structural edges favor the visitors in open play, though set-piece and efficiency data remain unavailable, limiting deeper tactical insights. This matchup hinges on Gladbach's defensive resilience against Hoffenheim's attacking threat, with smooth transitions potentially decisive in a competitive encounter.

TL;DR

  • Structural: TSG Hoffenheim occupies 6th in the Bundesliga, above Borussia Mönchengladbach's 11th, with a 7.6-point power advantage.
  • Form: Hoffenheim's form score of 25.17 surpasses Mönchengladbach's 19.11.
  • Squad: Hoffenheim's squad power rates at 84.66, higher than Mönchengladbach's 77.09.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics unavailable in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to lack of xG metrics and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables not provided for this matchup.
  • Market: Projection split: Borussia Mönchengladbach 32.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.3% (Δ+0%) | TSG Hoffenheim 42.5% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
VS
TSG Hoffenheim C. Ilzer
C. Ilzer
1.17
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.74
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Augsburg Rank: 78 D
Borussia Dortmund Rank: 90 W
VfL Wolfsburg Rank: 74 D
FSV Mainz 05 Rank: 80 D
RB Leipzig Rank: 87 L
Heidenheim Rank: 73 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Werder Bremen Rank: 76 D
VfB Stuttgart Rank: 85 D
Hamburger SV Rank: 75 W
Borussia Dortmund Rank: 90 W
FC Augsburg Rank: 78 D
FSV Mainz 05 Rank: 81 L
12
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
12 - 12 - 11
11
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Borussia Mönchengladbach
32.24%
Draw
25.27%
Away TSG Hoffenheim
42.5%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
77.09
84.66
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Borussia Mönchengladbach
TSG Hoffenheim
Power Score
77.09
84.66
League Position
11
6
Global Rank
89
37

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Opponent-weighted form score
TSG Hoffenheim — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Borussia Mönchengladbach TSG Hoffenheim

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 35 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Borussia Mönchengladbach BMG Home
35 matches
TSG Hoffenheim TSG Away
Match Record
12
Wins
11
12
Draws
12
11
Losses
12
Goals
72
Goals Scored
62
62
Goals Conceded
72
+10
Goal Difference
-10

Data last updated: 2026-05-09T01:10:28+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

Official lineups and formations are usually announced 60–90 minutes before kickoff. Check back closer to the match to see the starting XIs here.

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 01:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadion im Borussia-Park
Capacity :
54057
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

21
Tobias Sippel
Tobias Sippel Goalkeeper
33
Moritz Nicolas
Moritz Nicolas Goalkeeper
23
Jan Jakob Olschowsky
Jan Jakob Olschowsky Goalkeeper
42
Tiago Pereira Cardoso
Tiago Pereira Cardoso Goalkeeper
4
Kevin Diks
Kevin Diks Defender
5
Marvin Friedrich
Marvin Friedrich Defender
30
Nico Elvedi
Nico Elvedi Defender
29
Joseph Michael Scally
Joseph Michael Scally Defender
26
Lukas Ullrich
Lukas Ullrich Defender
2
Fabio Cristian Chiarodia
Fabio Cristian Chiarodia Defender
14
Kota Takai
Kota Takai Defender
7
Kevin Stöger
Kevin Stöger Midfielder
10
Florian Neuhaus
Florian Neuhaus Midfielder
16
Philipp Sander
Philipp Sander Midfielder
6
Yannik Engelhardt
Yannik Engelhardt Midfielder
13
Giovanni Reyna
Giovanni Reyna Midfielder
27
Rocco Reitz
Rocco Reitz Midfielder
17
Jens Castrop
Jens Castrop Midfielder
39
Niklas Swider
Niklas Swider Midfielder
36
Wael Mohya
Wael Mohya Midfielder
11
Tim Kleindienst
Tim Kleindienst Attacker
9
Franck Honorat
Franck Honorat Attacker
15
Haris Tabakovic
Haris Tabakovic Attacker
25
Robin Hack
Robin Hack Attacker
18
Shuto Machino
Shuto Machino Attacker
19
Nathan N'Goumou Minpole
Nathan N'Goumou Minpole Attacker
38
Hugo Bolin
Hugo Bolin Attacker
8
Alejo Sarco
Alejo Sarco Attacker

Squad ▼

1
Oliver Baumann
Oliver Baumann Goalkeeper
37
Luca Philipp
Luca Philipp Goalkeeper
36
Lúkas Jóhannes Petersson
Lúkas Jóhannes Petersson Goalkeeper
13
Bernardo Fernandes da Silva Junior
Bernardo Fernandes da Silva Junior Defender
25
Kevin Akpoguma
Kevin Akpoguma Defender
34
Vladimír Coufal
Vladimír Coufal Defender
28
Koki Machida
Koki Machida Defender
5
Ozan Muhammed Kabak
Ozan Muhammed Kabak Defender
15
Valentin Gendrey
Valentin Gendrey Defender
2
Robin Hranáč
Robin Hranáč Defender
21
Albian Hajdari
Albian Hajdari Defender
45
Kelven Olagie Frees
Kelven Olagie Frees Defender
27
Andrej Kramarić
Andrej Kramarić Midfielder
6
Grischa Prömel
Grischa Prömel Midfielder
18
Wouter Burger
Wouter Burger Midfielder
22
Alexander Prass
Alexander Prass Midfielder
48
Luka Đurić
Luka Đurić Midfielder
10
Muhammed Damar
Muhammed Damar Midfielder
7
Leon Avdullahu
Leon Avdullahu Midfielder
16
Luis Engelns
Luis Engelns Midfielder
9
Ihlas Bebou
Ihlas Bebou Attacker
23
Adam Hložek
Adam Hložek Attacker
19
Tim Lemperle
Tim Lemperle Attacker
11
Fisnik Asllani
Fisnik Asllani Attacker
20
William Cole Campbell
William Cole Campbell Attacker
33
Max Moerstedt
Max Moerstedt Attacker
31
Yannick Fereira Eduardo
Yannick Fereira Eduardo Attacker
29
Bazoumana Touré
Bazoumana Touré Attacker
38
Deniz Zeitler
Deniz Zeitler Attacker

CONCLUSION

Hoffenheim's superior power rating, form, and league position position them as favorites in this Borussia-Park showdown, yet Gladbach's home support offers upset potential. The 7.6-point edge underscores Hoffenheim's structural dominance, likely shining in transitions if data were available. Without efficiency or set-piece insights, focus shifts to overall squad quality and recent momentum favoring the visitors. Gladbach must tighten defensively to counter Hoffenheim's threat, leveraging crowd energy for counters. Expect a tactical battle where Hoffenheim's consistency prevails, though a draw remains plausible in this evenly poised regular season clash.

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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