Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Bundesliga
SC Freiburg SCFSTANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Borussia Dortmund delivered a commanding performance, thrashing SC Freiburg 4-0 in a match that showcased their superiority from start to finish. The home side raced into a 3-0 lead by halftime, never looking back as they added one more in the second half. With 61% possession, Dortmund controlled the game, creating numerous chances while Freiburg struggled to respond. No red cards disrupted the flow, allowing the stronger team to assert dominance as expected. The final score reflected minimal structural deviation of just 2.6%, aligning closely with pre-match assessments where Dortmund were heavily favored. Efficiency stayed in line throughout, and the outcome matched market expectations without surprises. Freiburg's defensive frailties were exposed, but Dortmund's clinical finishing sealed a routine victory. This result underscores Dortmund's form in the Bundesliga, boosting their campaign momentum.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: The scoreline exhibited minimal structural deviation of 2.6% in favor of Borussia Dortmund.
- Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies remained in line with expectations across both halves.
- xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed due to unavailable data.
- Market alignment: The result fully aligned with pre-match market expectations.
- xG expectations: xG expectations were unevaluable given the absence of xG metrics.
- Event impact: No major events altered the match's structural progression.
- Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion in the final scoreline.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
R. Braun
Other match officials
F. Heft
1st Assistant
A. Osmanagic
2nd Assistant
F. Bickel
4th Official


Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Borussia Dortmund
SC FreiburgTeam Power Ranking
i
33.38
30.57
Borussia Dortmund
SC FreiburgForm Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.


Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Borussia Dortmund
SC Freiburg

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Borussia Dortmund ⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency 
Defensive Efficiency 
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)




Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Borussia Dortmund ⚠ Proxy
Borussia Dortmund SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund SC Freiburg
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund SC Freiburg


Borussia Dortmund SC Freiburg


PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- BVB had peak pressure around 9'.
- BVB started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.


Match Record 
Goals 
Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:07:01+00:00
STARTING XI
Borussia Dortmund
SC Freiburg























































General Information
Next Match

Borussia Dortmund
vs

Borussia Mönchengladbach
League: Bundesliga
Kickoff: Sun, 3 May - 3:30 PM
Venue: Stadion im Borussia-Park

SC Freiburg
vs

Sporting Braga
League: Europa League
Kickoff: Thu, 30 Apr - 7:00 PM
Venue: Estádio Municipal de Braga
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Borussia DortmundManager ▼

Starting XI ▼
















Substitutes ▼





Bench ▼




SC FreiburgManager ▼

Starting XI ▼
















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Bench ▼



Events
CONCLUSION
Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
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Match Commentary