Bologna vs Roma Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Serie A
Roma ROMSTANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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CONTEXT
Bologna faced Roma at home in a Serie A encounter that concluded 0-2 in Roma's favor. Despite Bologna holding 60% possession, Roma struck twice in the first half to establish a 0-2 halftime lead, which they defended resolutely. No goals came after the break, with no red cards or major tactical shifts noted. Roma, pre-identified as the stronger side, showcased superior efficiency in converting limited opportunities, while Bologna's dominance in ball control yielded no tangible threat. The result reflected minimal structural deviation of 2.1%, aligning closely with pre-match evaluations. Efficiency remained consistent throughout, underscoring Roma's pragmatic approach against Bologna's possession-heavy style. This outcome highlights Roma's resilience away from home.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Match showed minimal structural deviation of 2.1% in Roma's favor.
- Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match assessments.
- xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
- Market alignment: Market alignment confirmed as fully achieved.
- xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without recorded metrics.
- Event impact: No second-half adjustments or knockout elements influenced proceedings.
- Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion to the final scoreline.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
M. Di Bello
Other match officials
A. Berti
1st Assistant
V. Di Gioia
2nd Assistant
C. Allegretta
4th Official


Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Bologna
RomaTeam Power Ranking
i
22.22
24.1
Bologna
RomaForm Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.


Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Bologna
Roma

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Bologna ⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency 
Defensive Efficiency 
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)




Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Bologna ⚠ Proxy
Bologna Roma
Bologna Roma
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Bologna
Bologna Roma


Bologna Roma


PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- BOL had peak pressure around 96'.
- ROM started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 36 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.


Match Record 
Goals 
Data last updated: 2026-04-26T00:06:13+00:00
STARTING XI
Bologna
Roma























































General Information
Next Match

Bologna
vs

Cagliari
League: Serie A
Kickoff: Sun, 3 May - 10:30 AM
Venue: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Roma
vs

Fiorentina
League: Serie A
Kickoff: Mon, 4 May - 6:45 PM
Venue: Stadio Olimpico
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
BolognaManager ▼

Starting XI ▼
















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Bench ▼








RomaManager ▼

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Events
CONCLUSION
Bologna vs Roma preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
How We Build This Analysis
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Match Commentary