Bologna vs Lecce Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Sun, 12 Apr - 4:00 PM
Serie A
Bologna BOL
2 Winner 0
Lecce LEC
Full Time Sun, 12 Apr 4:00 PM
Round 32 Regular Season
Riccardo Orsolini - 90+2'
Remo Freuler - 26'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

The match between Bologna and Lecce is finished, ending in a 2-0 victory for the home side. Bologna led 1-0 at half-time and added a further goal after the break to secure the result, with no red cards shown to either team during the contest. Pre-match forecasts gave Bologna a very strong 94.1 percent likelihood of success, and the outcome showed only minimal deviation in their favor. The stronger team duly prevailed as expected. Bologna dominated possession with 64 percent of the ball to Lecce’s 36 percent, although expected goals data was unavailable. The efficiency shift stayed in line with projections throughout, and the final score aligned fully with the pre-match assessment of the teams’ relative strengths. No major disruptive events altered the flow of play. Overall the result confirmed the anticipated outcome, with Bologna converting their territorial control into a comfortable win.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Bologna showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. Colombo

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Ceccon

2nd Assistant

G. Perrotti

1st Assistant

V. Crezzini

4th Official

Bologna V. Italiano
V. Italiano
VS
Lecce E. Di Francesco
E. Di Francesco
1.4
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.88
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cremonese Rank: W
Lazio Rank: L
Sassuolo Rank: W
Hellas Verona Rank: L
Pisa Rank: W
Udinese Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Atalanta Rank: L
Roma Rank: L
Napoli Rank: L
Cremonese Rank: W
Como Rank: L
Inter Rank: L
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 6 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Bologna
94.14%
Draw
5.65%
Away Lecce
0.21%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
29.55
12.03
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Bologna
Lecce
Power Score
29.55
12.03
League Position
8
18
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Bologna — Opponent-weighted form score
Lecce — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Bologna Lecce

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Bologna

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Lecce

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Bologna ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Lecce
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
22.66
20.14
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
20.14
22.66
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Bologna +0.27 Efficiency Index
vs
Lecce -0.27 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Bologna
Lecce
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Bologna ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Lecce
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Bologna Lecce
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Bologna Lecce
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Bologna
Lecce
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Bologna
vs
Lecce
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Bologna Lecce
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Bologna 0.24
Lecce 0.24
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Bologna Lecce
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Bologna 0.00
Lecce 0.04
Bologna
Lecce
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • LEC had peak pressure around 80'.
  • LEC started the game with stronger pressure.
BOL Pressure LEC Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: LEC reached the top pressure at 80' (72.41).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Bologna BOL Home
19 matches
Lecce LEC Away
Match Record
11
Wins
2
6
Draws
6
2
Losses
11
Goals
29
Goals Scored
15
15
Goals Conceded
29
+14
Goal Difference
-14

Data last updated: 2026-04-13T00:08:42+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
M. Pessina
Italy
25 M. Pessina
J. Neto Lopes
Substitution
Portugal
17 J. Neto Lopes
N. Casale
Italy
16 N. Casale
J. Lucumí Bonilla
Colombia
26 J. Lucumí Bonilla
J. Miranda González
Spain
33 J. Miranda González
R. Freuler
Switzerland
8 R. Freuler
N. Moro
Substitution
Croatia
6 N. Moro
R. Orsolini
Italy
7 R. Orsolini
S. Sohm
Substitution
Switzerland
23 S. Sohm
N. Cambiaghi
Substitution
Italy
28 N. Cambiaghi
S. Castro
Substitution
Argentina
9 S. Castro
Pitch
W. Falcone
Italy
30 W. Falcone
C. Ndaba
Substitution
Republic of Ireland
3 C. Ndaba
J. Siebert
Germany
5 J. Siebert
T. Coelho Oliveira
44 T. Coelho Oliveira
D. Melo Veiga
Portugal
17 D. Melo Veiga
O. Ngom
Substitution
France
79 O. Ngom
Y. Ramadani
Albania
20 Y. Ramadani
L. Banda
Substitution
Zambia
19 L. Banda
L. Coulibaly
Mali
29 L. Coulibaly
S. Pierotti
Substitution
Argentina
50 S. Pierotti
N. Štulić
Substitution
Serbia
9 N. Štulić

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 12, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Capacity :
36532
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Andrea Colombo
Marco Ceccon
Giuseppe Perrotti
Valerio Crezzini

Statistics

Possession
BOL
62%
LEC
38%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
4 Big Chances Created 1
4 Shots 1
50 Dangerous attacks 25
64 Possession 36
8 Corners 6
19 Free kicks 15
0 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

27 Throwins 18
17 Successful Headers 13
9 Dribble Attempts 8
56 Successful Dribbles Percentage 25
4 Goal Kicks 5
1 Hit Woodwork 0
5 Successful Dribbles 2
5 Substitutions 5
90 Ball Safe 77
7 Goal Attempts 3
1 Injuries 2
1 Assists 0

Attacking

93 Attacks 83
2 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

68 Long Passes 60
35 Successful Long Passes 29
51 Successful Long Passes Percentage 48
418 Successful Passes 191
492 Passes 267
85 Successful Passes Percentage 72
10 Key Passes 4

Defensive

13 Tackles 11
10 Interceptions 9
1 Saves 2

Build-up

22 Total Crosses 17
4 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

15 Fouls 19
4 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Andrea Colombo

Starting XI ▼

25
Massimo Pessina
Massimo Pessina Goalkeeper
16
Nicolò Casale
Nicolò Casale Defender
17
João Mário
João Mário Defender
20
Nadir Zortea
Nadir Zortea
Defender66'
26
Jhon Lucumí
Jhon Lucumí Defender
33
Juan Miranda
Juan Miranda Defender
6
Nikola Moro
Nikola Moro Midfielder
10
Federico Bernardeschi
Federico Bernardeschi
Attacker85'
7
Riccardo Orsolini
Riccardo Orsolini Midfielder
8
Remo Freuler
Remo Freuler Midfielder
23
Simon Sohm
Simon Sohm Midfielder
4
Tommaso Pobega
Tommaso Pobega
Midfielder74'
28
Nicolò Cambiaghi
Nicolò Cambiaghi Midfielder
11
Jonathan Rowe
Jonathan Rowe
Attacker74'
9
Santiago Castro
Santiago Castro Attacker
21
Jens Odgaard
Jens Odgaard
Attacker85'
Referee : Andrea Colombo

Starting XI ▼

30
Wladimiro Falcone
Wladimiro Falcone Goalkeeper
3
Corrie Ndaba
Corrie Ndaba Defender
25
Antonino Gallo
Antonino Gallo
Defender46'
5
Jamil Siebert
Jamil Siebert Defender
17
Danilo Veiga
Danilo Veiga Defender
44
Tiago Gabriel
Tiago Gabriel Defender
19
Lameck Banda
Lameck Banda Midfielder
11
Konan N’Dri
Konan N’Dri
Attacker64'
20
Ylber Ramadani
Ylber Ramadani Midfielder
29
Lassana Coulibaly
Lassana Coulibaly Midfielder
50
Santiago Pierotti
Santiago Pierotti Midfielder
6
Álex Sala
Álex Sala
Midfielder83'
79
Oumar Ngom
Oumar Ngom Midfielder
16
Omri Gandelman
Omri Gandelman
Midfielder46'
9
Nikola Stulic
Nikola Stulic Attacker
99
Walid Cheddira
Walid Cheddira
Attacker64'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Riccardo Orsolini
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
90+2'
Event
Federico Bernardeschi → Nikola Moro
9th Substitution
85'
Event
Jens Odgaard → Santiago Castro
10th Substitution
85'
83'
Event
Álex Sala → Santiago Pierotti
8th Substitution
Event
Jonathan Rowe → Nicolò Cambiaghi
7th Substitution
74'
Event
Tommaso Pobega → Simon Sohm
6th Substitution
74'
Event
Nadir Zortea → João Mário
5th Substitution
66'
64'
Event
Walid Cheddira → Nikola Stulic
3rd Substitution
64'
Event
Konan N’Dri → Lameck Banda
4th Substitution
46'
Event
Antonino Gallo → Corrie Ndaba
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Omri Gandelman → Oumar Ngom
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
38'
Event
Jamil Siebert
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
36'
Event
Oumar Ngom
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
36'
Event
3rd Yellowcard
Event
Remo Freuler
Header / 1st Goal
26'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 4 minutes of added time.
90
Update Update
Jonathan Rowe from Bologna has been awarded a free kick in defense.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with Bologna winning 2-0 against Lecce.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Tommaso Pobega of Bologna.
90
Update Update
Lassana Coulibaly from Lecce won a free kick in an attacking position.
90
Update Update
Juan Miranda commits dangerous play for Bologna.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Bologna leads 2-0 after Riccardo Orsolini scores with a left-footed shot from the center of the box, assisted by Federico Bernardeschi.
90
Update Update
Ylber Ramadani from Lecce won a free kick in defense.
90
Attempt Attempt
Jens Odgaard of Bologna attempts an attack with a left-footed shot from the left side of the box, but it's saved in the top center of the goal by Wladimiro Falcone of Lecce. The assist came from Jonathan Rowe with a through ball.
87
Update Update
Handball by Riccardo Orsolini of Bologna.
87
Update Update
Walid Cheddira from Lecce won a free kick on the right wing.
86
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Bologna: Jens Odgaard replaces Santiago Castro.
85
Update Update
Álex Sala from Lecce committed a foul.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Bologna: Federico Bernardeschi replaces Nikola Moro.
84
Update Update
Danilo Veiga of Lecce won a free kick in defense.
84
Update Update
Jhon Lucumí from Bologna won a free kick in defense.
83
Update Update
Danilo Veiga from Lecce won a free kick in defense.
82
Update Update
Ylber Ramadani from Lecce won a free kick in the defensive area.
82
Update Update
Ylber Ramadani from Lecce won a free kick in defense.
78
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Tiago Gabriel from Lecce.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Bologna: Tommaso Pobega replaces Simon Sohm.
77
Corner Corner
Lassana Coulibaly from Lecce missed a header from the center of the box, sending the ball to the left. The assist came from Antonino Gallo, who delivered a cross following a corner.
74
Corner Corner
Lecce wins a corner after Nadir Zortea concedes.
74
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Bologna: Jonathan Rowe replaces Nicolò Cambiaghi.
73
Attempt Attempt
Walid Cheddira's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. The assist was provided by Danilo Veiga.
73
Corner Corner
Lecce is awarded a corner after Nadir Zortea concedes.
73
Corner Corner
Walid Cheddira from Lecce had a missed chance, shooting with his left foot from the center of the box but missing to the left. The assist came from Antonino Gallo, who provided a cross after a corner.
72
Update Update
Foul committed by Omri Gandelman of Lecce.
72
Update Update
Riccardo Orsolini from Bologna won a free kick in defense.
70
Update Update
Walid Cheddira from Lecce won a free kick in defense.
70
Update Update
Foul committed by Nicolò Casale of Bologna.
68
Update Update
Jamil Siebert from Lecce won a free kick in defense.
68
Update Update
Foul committed by Remo Freuler against Bologna.
67
Update Update
Ylber Ramadani from Lecce won a free kick in defense.
67
Update Update
Foul committed by Riccardo Orsolini of Bologna.
66
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Bologna: Nadir Zortea replaces João Mário.
65
Corner Corner
Bologna wins a corner after Tiago Gabriel concedes.
64
Update Update
Foul committed by Remo Freuler - Bologna.
64
Update Update
Riccardo Orsolini from Bologna won a free kick in an attacking position.
64
Update Update
Foul committed by Walid Cheddira of Lecce.
64
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Lecce: Walid Cheddira replaces Nikola Stulic.
64
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Lecce: Konan N'Dri replaces Lameck Banda.
63
Attempt Attempt
Riccardo Orsolini's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. Nicolò Cambiaghi provided the assist.
62
Update Update
Foul by Santiago Castro of Bologna.
62
Corner Corner
Bologna wins a corner after Jamil Siebert concedes.
62
Update Update
Jamil Siebert from Lecce won a free kick in defense.
60
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Omri Gandelman from Lecce.
59
Update Update
Offside called against Bologna. Riccardo Orsolini is offside.
58
Update Update
Nicolò Cambiaghi from Bologna won a free kick on the left wing.
58
Update Update
Foul committed by Santiago Pierotti of Lecce.
57
Corner Corner
Bologna wins a corner after Jamil Siebert concedes.
55
Update Update
Danilo Veiga from Lecce committed a foul.
55
Update Update
Nicolò Cambiaghi from Bologna won a free kick in defense.
54
Update Update
Offside called against Bologna. Nicolò Cambiaghi is offside.
54
Attempt Attempt
Santiago Castro's right-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. Simon Sohm provided the assist.
53
Corner Corner
Lameck Banda from Lecce missed a chance with a left-footed shot from outside the box after a corner.
52
Corner Corner
Lecce wins a corner after Nikola Moro concedes.
51
Update Update
Foul committed by Danilo Veiga of Lecce.
51
Update Update
Nicolò Cambiaghi of Bologna was awarded a free kick in defense.
51
Corner Corner
Bologna wins a corner after Ylber Ramadani concedes.
51
Attempt Attempt
Simon Sohm's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist was provided by Juan Miranda.
49
Corner Corner
Bologna wins a corner after Danilo Veiga concedes.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 2 minutes of added time.
45
Corner Corner
Lecce wins a corner after Nicolò Casale concedes.
45
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Massimo Pessina from Bologna.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with Bologna leading Lecce 1-0.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Lecce: Omri Gandelman replaces Oumar Ngom.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at Bologna 1, Lecce 0.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with Bologna leading Lecce 1-0.
44
Update Update
Foul committed by Tiago Gabriel of Lecce.
44
Update Update
Massimo Pessina of Bologna won a free kick in defense.
43
Corner Corner
Lecce earns a corner after Remo Freuler concedes.
42
Corner Corner
Bologna wins a corner after Santiago Pierotti concedes.
42
Attempt Attempt
Simon Sohm from Bologna missed a chance with a right-footed shot from outside the box, assisted by Riccardo Orsolini.
41
Corner Corner
Bologna wins a corner after Wladimiro Falcone concedes.
41
Corner Corner
Santiago Castro of Bologna missed a chance, heading the ball from the center of the box high and wide to the left. The assist came from Nikola Moro, who delivered a cross after a corner.
41
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Riccardo Orsolini of Bologna takes a right-footed shot from a difficult position on the right, but it is saved.
39
Attempt Attempt
Nicolò Casale from Bologna missed a close-range header that went over the bar, with an assist from Nikola Moro's cross.
38
Update Update
Riccardo Orsolini from Bologna won a free kick on the right wing.
38
Corner Corner
Nikola Moro from Bologna misses a chance as his left-footed shot from outside the box goes high after a corner.
38
Update Update
Jamil Siebert from Lecce commits a foul.
38
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jamil Siebert from Lecce receives a yellow card for a foul.
37
Corner Corner
Bologna is awarded a corner after Corrie Ndaba concedes.
36
Update Update
Riccardo Orsolini from Bologna won a free kick on the right wing.
36
Update Update
Oumar Ngom from Lecce committed a foul.
36
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Oumar Ngom from Lecce receives a yellow card for a foul.
34
Update Update
Danilo Veiga from Lecce committed a foul.
34
Update Update
Nicolò Cambiaghi from Bologna won a free kick in defense.
29
Corner Corner
Lecce wins a corner after Nicolò Cambiaghi concedes.
28
Update Update
Offside called against Bologna. Nicolò Cambiaghi is offside.
26
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Bologna leads 1-0 against Lecce. Remo Freuler scores for Bologna with a header from close range into the top right corner after a fast break.
26
Corner Corner
Goal! Bologna leads 1-0 against Lecce. Remo Freuler scores for Bologna with a header from close range into the top right corner after a quick counterattack.
22
Update Update
Juan Miranda from Bologna won a free kick in defense.
22
Update Update
Foul committed by Santiago Pierotti of Lecce.
21
Update Update
Nicolò Cambiaghi from Bologna won a free kick in defense.
21
Update Update
Foul by Danilo Veiga of Lecce.
20
Update Update
João Mário from Bologna won a free kick in defense.
20
Update Update
Lameck Banda from Lecce commits a foul.
19
Update Update
Nicolò Casale from Bologna won a free kick in defense.
19
Update Update
Foul committed by Nikola Stulic of Lecce.
18
Update Update
Foul committed by Danilo Veiga of Lecce.
18
Update Update
Nicolò Cambiaghi from Bologna won a free kick in defense.
17
Attempt Attempt
Nikola Stulic's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist came from Lameck Banda.
14
Update Update
Santiago Castro from Bologna won a free kick in defense.
14
Update Update
Foul committed by Santiago Pierotti of Lecce.
11
Update Update
Nicolò Cambiaghi commits a handball for Bologna.
11
Attempt Attempt
Ylber Ramadani from Lecce misses a chance with a left-footed shot from outside the box that goes over the goal.
10
Update Update
Nicolò Casale fouled a player from Bologna.
10
Update Update
Lassana Coulibaly from Lecce won a free kick in the attacking area.
8
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Nikola Stulic from Lecce takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved in the right corner by Massimo Pessina from Bologna. The assist came from Ylber Ramadani with a through ball.
7
Update Update
Foul committed by Danilo Veiga of Lecce.
7
Update Update
Nicolò Cambiaghi from Bologna won a free kick on the left wing.
5
Update Update
Nicolò Cambiaghi fouled a player from Bologna.
5
Update Update
Danilo Veiga from Lecce won a free kick in defense.
4
Update Update
Foul committed by Nicolò Casale of Bologna.
4
Update Update
Nikola Stulic from Lecce won a free kick in the attacking area.
4
Update Update
João Mário from Bologna won a free kick in defense.
4
Update Update
Nikola Stulic from Lecce commits a foul.
3
Update Update
Lassana Coulibaly of Lecce won a free kick in defense.
3
Update Update
Nicolò Casale fouled a player from Bologna.
2
Update Update
Offside called against Bologna. Simon Sohm is in an offside position.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Bologna exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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