Bohemians vs St Josephs FC Prediction, Preview and Stats

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Dalymount Park Today - 5:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Bohemians Bohemians
2 Winner 0
St Josephs FC St Josephs FC
Full Time Today 5:00 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Connor Parsons - 90'
Douglas James-Taylor - 60' (P)
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Bohemians 2–0 St Josephs FC. The result saw Bohemians take the points. Bohemians showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 66%–34%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Bohemians 2-0 St Josephs FC. Bohemians showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

L. Graagaard

Denmark 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 4 0.36
Fouls / match 30.4
Yellow cards / match 4
Red cards / match 0.36
Penalties / match 0.36

Other match officials

E. Deronjic

1st Assistant

Denmark

M. Markus

2nd Assistant

Denmark

S. Funder

4th Official

Denmark

League averages

Europa Conference League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 13.04
Yellow cards / match 2.62
Red cards / match 0.09
Penalties / match 0.15
Bohemians A. Reynolds
A. Reynolds
VS
St Josephs FC St Josephs FC
St Josephs FC
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Bohemians
78.09%
Draw
16.25%
Away St Josephs FC
5.66%

Movement

Changes since opening
Bohemians
-13.19%
Draw
+8.95%
St Josephs FC
+4.24%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Bohemians
St Josephs FC
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Bohemians — Opponent-weighted form score
St Josephs FC — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Bohemians St Josephs FC

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Bohemians

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

St Josephs FC

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Bohemians ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy St Josephs FC
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Bohemians St Josephs FC
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Bohemians St Josephs FC
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Bohemians
St Josephs FC
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Bohemians
vs
St Josephs FC
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Bohemians St Josephs FC
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Bohemians 0.00
St Josephs FC 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Bohemians St Josephs FC
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Bohemians 0.00
St Josephs FC 0.00
Bohemians
St Josephs FC
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Bohemians had peak pressure around 82'.
  • Bohemians started the game with stronger pressure.
Bohemians Pressure St Josephs FC Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Bohemians reached the top pressure at 82' (60.76).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Bohemians Bohemians Home
0 matches
St Josephs FC St Josephs FC Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-06T00:04:47+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time :
Jul 09, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium :
Dalymount Park
Capacity :
4443
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Lasse Læbel Graagaard
Esad Deronjic
Martin Markus
Svend Funder

Statistics

Possession
Bohemians
61%
St Josephs FC
39%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
5 Shots 4
64 Dangerous attacks 23
66 Possession 34
9 Corners 4
11 Free kicks 13
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

60 Ball Safe 53
1 Penalties 0
4 Goal Attempts 2
4 Substitutions 5
18 Throwins 14
1 Assists 0
0 Injuries 4

Attacking

80 Attacks 52

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
14 Fouls 11

Squad

Referee : Lasse Læbel Graagaard

Squad ▼

1
Kacper Chorazka
Kacper Chorazka Goalkeeper
25
Paul Walters
Paul Walters Goalkeeper
30
Finn McDonnell
Finn McDonnell Goalkeeper
6
Jordan Flores
Jordan Flores Defender
22
Sam Todd
Sam Todd Defender
2
Jubril Okedina
Jubril Okedina Defender
3
Ryan Burke
Ryan Burke Defender
16
Darragh Power
Darragh Power Defender
15
Senan Mullen
Senan Mullen Defender
12
Patrick Hickey
Patrick Hickey Defender
17
Adam McDonnell
Adam McDonnell Midfielder
5
Sadou Diallo
Sadou Diallo Midfielder
4
Niall Morahan
Niall Morahan Midfielder
26
Ross Tierney
Ross Tierney Midfielder
10
Dawson Devoy
Dawson Devoy Midfielder
8
Harry Vaughan
Harry Vaughan Midfielder
32
Markuss Strods
Markuss Strods Midfielder
33
Christopher Conlon
Christopher Conlon Midfielder
11
Dayle Rooney
Dayle Rooney Attacker
9
Colm Whelan
Colm Whelan Attacker
18
Douglas Edward James-Taylor
Douglas Edward James-Taylor Attacker
7
Connor Parsons
Connor Parsons Attacker
23
Zane Myers
Zane Myers Attacker
28
Hugh Martin
Hugh Martin Attacker
29
Josh Harpur
Josh Harpur Attacker
Referee : Lasse Læbel Graagaard

Squad ▼

1
Bradley Banda
Bradley Banda Goalkeeper
30
Gonzalo Alejandro Paz Agüero
Gonzalo Alejandro Paz Agüero Goalkeeper
—
Iván Morales Roldán
Iván Morales Roldán Goalkeeper
21
Alain Pons
Alain Pons Defender
14
Erin Barnett
Erin Barnett Defender
—
Julian Valarino
Julian Valarino Defender
15
Ethan James Santos
Ethan James Santos Defender
4
Francisco Javier Paul Curado
Francisco Javier Paul Curado Defender
5
Geovanni Barba Jimenez
Geovanni Barba Jimenez Defender
33
José Antonio Ruiz López
José Antonio Ruiz López Midfielder
6
Manuel Sánchez López
Manuel Sánchez López Midfielder
17
Jamie Coombes
Jamie Coombes Midfielder
8
Marco Rosa Blanco
Marco Rosa Blanco Midfielder
22
Juan Manuel González Pérez
Juan Manuel González Pérez Midfielder
—
Evan De Haro
Evan De Haro Midfielder
24
Hassane Adamou Amadou
Hassane Adamou Amadou Midfielder
18
Manuel Torres Jimenez
Manuel Torres Jimenez Attacker
19
Juan Francisco García Peña
Juan Francisco García Peña Attacker
10
Álvaro Rey Vázquez
Álvaro Rey Vázquez Attacker
—
Francisco Jesús Ferrón Ruiz
Francisco Jesús Ferrón Ruiz Attacker
7
Javier Alejandro Forján Gutiérrez
Javier Alejandro Forján Gutiérrez Attacker
9
Pablo Rodríguez Moreno
Pablo Rodríguez Moreno Attacker
11
Manuel José Méndez de la Torres
Manuel José Méndez de la Torres Attacker
17
Mitchell Dean Gibson
Mitchell Dean Gibson Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Connor Parsons
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
90'
85'
Event
Evan De Haro
3rd Yellowcard
83'
Event
Evan De Haro → B. Diédhiou
9th Substitution
Event
Colm Whelan → Douglas James-Taylor
8th Substitution
76'
Event
Sadou Diallo
2nd Yellowcard
74'
70'
Event
Javi Moreno → Marco Rosa
7th Substitution
Event
Connor Parsons → Markuss Strods
4th Substitution
65'
Event
Dayle Rooney → Harry Vaughan
6th Substitution
65'
65'
Event
Pirulo → Francis Ferrón
5th Substitution
64'
Event
Romero → Bradley Banda
3rd Substitution
Event
Douglas James-Taylor
Penalty / 1st Penalty
60'
54'
Event
Geovanni Barba
1st Yellowcard
Event
Sadou Diallo → Senan Mullen
1st Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Pablo Rodríguez → Álvaro Cascajo
2nd Substitution

Match Commentary

90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Connor Parsons scores, making it 2-0.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
85
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
85
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
83
Update Update
Evan De Haro is on, and Bakary Essamay Diedhiou is off.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
76
Update Update
Colm Whelan is on, and Douglas James-Taylor is off.
74
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Sadou Diallo receives a yellow card.
70
Update Update
Pablo Rodriguez Moreno is on, and Marco Rosa is off.
65
Update Update
Dayle Rooney replaces Harry Vaughan.
65
Update Update
Connor Parsons is on, and Markuss Strods is off.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Ruis Lopez Pirulo comes on for Francis.
64
Update Update
On Gato Romero, off Bradley Banda.
60
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Douglas James-Taylor scores, making it 1-0.
54
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Update Update
Sadou Diallo is on, and Senan Mullen is off.
46
Update Update
Pablo Rodriguez Moreno is on, and Alvaro Cascajo is off.
41
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
39
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
35
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
28
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
27
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
9
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off has started!

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Bohemians 2-0 St Josephs FC. Structural assessment: Bohemians exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Bohemians vs St Josephs FC preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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