Bodø / Glimt vs Start Prediction, Preview and Stats

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Aspmyra Stadion Thu, 30 Apr - 5:00 PM
Eliteserien
Bodø / Glimt BOD
5 Winner 0
Start Start
Full Time Thu, 30 Apr 5:00 PM
Round 18 Regular Season
Andreas Helmersen - 90+3', 79'
Kasper Høgh - 66', 22'
Isak Dybvik Määttä - 16'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Bodø / Glimt produced a dominant display to thrash Start 5-0 in a one-sided affair. The home side established control early, leading 2-0 at halftime with superior play and 71% possession overall. They added three more goals in the second half without facing any disruptions, as no red cards were shown to either team. This emphatic victory for the stronger side highlighted their structural superiority, marked by a significant 15.9% deviation in their favor. Efficiency levels stayed in line with benchmarks, and the outcome matched pre-market alignments perfectly. Lacking xG data limits deeper analysis, but the scoreline and possession stats paint a picture of total mastery. Bodø / Glimt's performance sends a strong message in the standings.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Bodø / Glimt recorded a significant 15.9% structural deviation.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift was in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment confirmed as true for the outcome.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be assessed with null data.
  • Event impact: No notable events altered the match flow.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion to the result.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

O. Nilsen

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

S. Henningsen Olsen

4th Official

T. Grønevik

1st Assistant

I. Tariq

2nd Assistant

Bodø / Glimt K. Knutsen
K. Knutsen
VS
Start A. Karadas
A. Karadas
2.11
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.5
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lillestrøm Rank: 56 W
Aalesund Rank: 41 W
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 60 D
Viking Rank: 76 L
Kristiansund Rank: 56 W
Fredrikstad Rank: 61 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
HamKam Rank: 58 L
Molde Rank: 64 D
Lillestrøm Rank: 53 L
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 60 D
Aalesund Rank: 42 D
KFUM Rank: 56 L
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 3 - 5
5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Bodø / Glimt
84.06%
Draw
10.74%
Away Start
5.2%

Movement

Changes since opening
Bodø / Glimt
-13.09%
Draw
+8.37%
Start
+4.72%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
82.26
46.91
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Bodø / Glimt
Start
Power Score
82.26
46.91
League Position
3
16
Global Rank
45
822

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Bodø / Glimt — Opponent-weighted form score
Start — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Bodø / Glimt Start

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Bodø / Glimt

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Start

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Bodø / Glimt ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Start
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
50.28
53.28
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
53.28
50.28
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Bodø / Glimt -0.31 Efficiency Index
vs
Start +0.31 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Bodø / Glimt
Start
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Bodø / Glimt ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Start
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Bodø / Glimt Start
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Bodø / Glimt Start
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Bodø / Glimt
Start
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Bodø / Glimt
vs
Start
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Bodø / Glimt Start
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Bodø / Glimt 0.22
Start 0.48
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Bodø / Glimt Start
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Bodø / Glimt 0.00
Start 0.04
Bodø / Glimt
Start
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BOD had peak pressure around 23'.
  • Start started the game with stronger pressure.
BOD Pressure Start Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BOD reached the top pressure at 23' (86.10).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Bodø / Glimt BOD Home
13 matches
Start Start Away
Match Record
5
Wins
5
3
Draws
3
5
Losses
5
Goals
24
Goals Scored
17
17
Goals Conceded
24
+7
Goal Difference
-7

Data last updated: 2026-05-01T00:01:38+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 5-4-1
Pitch
N. Haikin
Russia
12 N. Haikin
F. Sjøvold
Substitution
Norway
20 F. Sjøvold
O. Bjørtuft
Norway
4 O. Bjørtuft
J. Maurstad Gundersen
Norway
6 J. Maurstad Gundersen
I. Määttä
Norway
25 I. Määttä
S. Auklend
Norway
8 S. Auklend
P. Berg
Norway
7 P. Berg
S. Brunstad Fet
Substitution
Norway
19 S. Brunstad Fet
O. Blomberg
Substitution
Norway
11 O. Blomberg
K. Høgh
Substitution
Denmark
9 K. Høgh
J. Hauge
Substitution
Norway
10 J. Hauge
Pitch
J. Larsen
Denmark
1 J. Larsen
T. Strannegard
Sweden
16 T. Strannegard
O. Jebali
Tunisia
5 O. Jebali
S. Griesbeck
Germany
13 S. Griesbeck
E. Reitan
Substitution
Norway
29 E. Reitan
O. Toure
Substitution
Norway
27 O. Toure
J. Cornelius
Substitution
17 J. Cornelius
M. Soomets
Estonia
14 M. Soomets
E. Segberg
Substitution
Norway
23 E. Segberg
L. Gausdal
Substitution
30 L. Gausdal
J. Ampofo
Ghana
22 J. Ampofo

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 30, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 18 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Aspmyra Stadion
Capacity :
8270
Attendance :
5441
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Ola Hobber Nilsen
Sander Henningsen Olsen
Tom Harald Grønevik
Imran Tariq

Statistics

Possession
BOD
67%
Start
33%

Top Statistics

5 Goals 0
4 Big Chances Created 0
21 Shots 8
134 Dangerous attacks 29
71 Possession 29
13 Corners 4
9 Free kicks 6
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

14 Throwins 15
3 Goal Kicks 8
52 Successful Dribbles Percentage 29
3 Assists 0
21 Dribble Attempts 21
11 Successful Dribbles 6
2 Hit Woodwork 0
5 Substitutions 4
51 Ball Safe 61
18 Goal Attempts 9
1 Penalties 0

Attacking

12 Counter Attacks 12
140 Attacks 52
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

92 Successful Passes Percentage 78
684 Passes 285
629 Successful Passes 221
30 Long Passes 52
18 Key Passes 7
63 Successful Long Passes Percentage 46
19 Successful Long Passes 24

Defensive

6 Saves 7
21 Tackles 22
11 Interceptions 10
54 Duels Won 39

Build-up

23 Total Crosses 8
7 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

6 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Ola Hobber Nilsen

Starting XI ▼

12
Nikita Haikin
Nikita Haikin Goalkeeper
7
4
Odin Luras Bjortuft
Odin Luras Bjortuft Defender
7.06
6
Jostein Gundersen
Jostein Gundersen Defender
6.4
20
Fredrik Sjøvold
Fredrik Sjøvold Defender
7.18
23
Magnus Riisnaes
Magnus Riisnaes
Midfielder74'
6.55
25
Isak Dybvik Määttä
Isak Dybvik Määttä Defender
6.73
7
Patrick Berg
Patrick Berg Midfielder
7.37
8
Sondre Auklend
Sondre Auklend Midfielder
6.96
19
Sondre Fet
Sondre Fet Midfielder
6.64
77
Mikkel Bro Hansen
Mikkel Bro Hansen
Attacker83'
6.48
9
Kasper Høgh
Kasper Høgh Attacker
2
6.96
21
Andreas Helmersen
Andreas Helmersen
Attacker66'
2
6.49
10
Jens Petter Hauge
Jens Petter Hauge Attacker
7.2
24
Daniel Bassi
Daniel Bassi
Attacker66'
6.46
11
Ole Didrik Blomberg
Ole Didrik Blomberg Attacker
7.21
15
Fredrik Bjørkan
Fredrik Bjørkan
Defender66'
7.02
Referee : Ola Hobber Nilsen

Starting XI ▼

1
J. Pryts
J. Pryts Goalkeeper
6.7
5
O. Jebali
O. Jebali Defender
6.45
13
S. Griesbeck
S. Griesbeck Defender
6.81
16
T. Strannegård
T. Strannegård Defender
6.79
27
Ousmane Diallo Toure
Ousmane Diallo Toure Defender
6.6
2
F. Pålerud
F. Pålerud
Defender67'
6.51
29
Erlend Dahl Reitan
Erlend Dahl Reitan Defender
7.08
37
Filip Strømland Lien
Filip Strømland Lien
Midfielder87'
14
Markus Soomets
Markus Soomets Midfielder
6.56
17
J. Cornelius
J. Cornelius Midfielder
6.51
20
H. Lorentzen
H. Lorentzen
Attacker67'
6.8
23
Erlend Segberg
Erlend Segberg Midfielder
6.63
18
M. Ugland
M. Ugland
Midfielder66'
6.98
30
L. Gausdal
L. Gausdal Midfielder
6.4
11
E. Schulze
E. Schulze
Midfielder76'
6.9
22
J. Ampofo
J. Ampofo Attacker
6.5

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Andreas Helmersen
Left foot shot / 5th Goal
90+3'
87'
Event
Filip Strømland Lien → Erlend Dahl Reitan
10th Substitution
Event
Mikkel Bro Hansen → Sondre Fet
9th Substitution
83'
Event
Andreas Helmersen
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
79'
Event
Andreas Helmersen
GoalkeeperSave
79'
76'
Event
E. Schulze → L. Gausdal
8th Substitution
75'
Event
Erlend Dahl Reitan
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Magnus Riisnaes → Fredrik Sjøvold
7th Substitution
74'
67'
Event
F. Pålerud → Ousmane Diallo Toure
6th Substitution
67'
Event
H. Lorentzen → J. Cornelius
5th Substitution
Event
Kasper Høgh
Header / 3rd Goal
66'
Event
Andreas Helmersen → Kasper Høgh
3rd Substitution
66'
Event
Fredrik Bjørkan → Ole Didrik Blomberg
2nd Substitution
66'
Event
Daniel Bassi → Jens Petter Hauge
1st Substitution
66'
66'
Event
M. Ugland → Erlend Segberg
4th Substitution
Event
Patrick Berg
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
60'
1ST-HALF
45+2'
Event
S. Griesbeck
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
34'
Event
Ousmane Diallo Toure
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Kasper Høgh
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
22'
Event
Isak Dybvik Määttä
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
16'

CONCLUSION

Bodø / Glimt's 5-0 rout of Start underscores their dominance, with 71% possession and a 2-0 halftime lead translating into a comprehensive win. The significant structural deviation of 15.9% reflects overperformance against benchmarks, while efficiency held steady. Market alignment validated the expected result, free from any red card influences or major events. This outcome boosts Bodø / Glimt's position and exposes Start's vulnerabilities. Without xG insights, the focus remains on tangible control and finishing prowess that defined the match.

Bodø / Glimt vs Start preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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