Bodø / Glimt vs Brann Prediction, Preview and Stats

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Aspmyra Stadion Sun, 24 May - 2:00 PM
Eliteserien
Bodø / Glimt BOD
3 Winner 1
Brann SKB
Full Time Sun, 24 May 2:00 PM
Round 10 Regular Season
Håkon Evjen - 56' (P), 45'
Ole Didrik Blomberg - 25'
Goal
|
Goal
Sondre Auklend - 90+6' (Own Goal)

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Bodø / Glimt 3–1 Brann. The result saw Bodø / Glimt take the points. Bodø / Glimt showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 63%–37%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Bodø / Glimt 3-1 Brann. Bodø / Glimt showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

C. Moen

Norway 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Jensen

1st Assistant

Norway

J. Knutsen

2nd Assistant

Norway

S. Henningsen Olsen

4th Official

Norway

League averages

Eliteserien Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 19.19
Yellow cards / match 3.02
Red cards / match 0.13
Penalties / match 0.23
Bodø / Glimt K. Knutsen
K. Knutsen
VS
Brann F. Alexandersson
F. Alexandersson
2.2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.45
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Start Rank: 49 W
Tromsø Rank: 69 W
Molde Rank: 65 L
Start Rank: 49 W
Lillestrøm Rank: 57 W
Aalesund Rank: 45 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Aalesund Rank: 43 L
KFUM Rank: 56 W
Fredrikstad Rank: 61 W
Tromsø Rank: 69 W
Rosenborg Rank: 61 D
Viking Rank: 79 L
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 4 - 9
9

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Bodø / Glimt
72.97%
Draw
14.97%
Away Brann
12.06%

Movement

Changes since opening
Bodø / Glimt
-24.47%
Draw
+13.06%
Brann
+11.41%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
82.77
68.23
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Bodø / Glimt
Brann
Power Score
82.77
68.23
League Position
3
6
Global Rank
49
253

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Bodø / Glimt — Opponent-weighted form score
Brann — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Bodø / Glimt Brann

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Bodø / Glimt

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Brann

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Bodø / Glimt ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Brann
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.38
14.59
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
14.59
27.38
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Bodø / Glimt +1.30 Efficiency Index
vs
Brann -1.30 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Bodø / Glimt
Brann
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Bodø / Glimt ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Brann
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Bodø / Glimt Brann
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Bodø / Glimt Brann
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Bodø / Glimt
Brann
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Bodø / Glimt
vs
Brann
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Bodø / Glimt Brann
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Bodø / Glimt 0.22
Brann 0.14
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Bodø / Glimt Brann
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Bodø / Glimt 0.04
Brann 0.05
Bodø / Glimt
Brann
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BOD had peak pressure around 42'.
  • BOD started the game with stronger pressure.
BOD Pressure SKB Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BOD reached the top pressure at 42' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 24 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Bodø / Glimt BOD Home
24 matches
Brann SKB Away
Match Record
11
Wins
9
4
Draws
4
9
Losses
11
Goals
47
Goals Scored
43
43
Goals Conceded
47
+4
Goal Difference
-4

Data last updated: 2026-05-25T00:02:19+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-1-3-2
Pitch
N. Haikin
Russia
12 N. Haikin
F. Sjøvold
Norway
20 F. Sjøvold
O. Bjørtuft
Norway
4 O. Bjørtuft
H. Aleesami
Norway
5 H. Aleesami
F. Bjørkan
Substitution
Norway
15 F. Bjørkan
H. Evjen
Norway
26 H. Evjen
P. Berg
Norway
7 (C) P. Berg
S. Brunstad Fet
Substitution
Norway
19 S. Brunstad Fet
O. Blomberg
Substitution
Norway
11 O. Blomberg
K. Høgh
Substitution
Denmark
9 K. Høgh
J. Hauge
Substitution
Norway
10 J. Hauge
Pitch
S. Nilsen
Norway
12 S. Nilsen
J. Soltvedt
Norway
17 J. Soltvedt
C. Mbacke
Substitution
Senegal
6 C. Mbacke
F. Pallesen Knudsen
Norway
3 (C) F. Pallesen Knudsen
V. Winger Dragsnes
Norway
20 V. Winger Dragsnes
N. Jensen Wassberg
Substitution
Norway
25 N. Jensen Wassberg
J. Thorsteinsson
Substitution
Iceland
7 J. Thorsteinsson
F. Horn Myhre
Norway
8 F. Horn Myhre
K. Ingason
Substitution
Iceland
10 K. Ingason
N. Holm
Norway
29 N. Holm
U. Mathisen
Substitution
Norway
14 U. Mathisen

General Information

Date & Time :
May 24, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 10 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Aspmyra Stadion
Capacity :
8270
Attendance :
6887
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Morten Jensen
Jon-Michael Knutsen
Sander Henningsen Olsen
Christian Moen

Statistics

Possession
BOD
62%
SKB
38%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 0
0 Shots 2
65 Dangerous attacks 28
63 Possession 37
6 Corners 3
7 Free kicks 9
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

1 Injuries 0
13 Goal Attempts 1
2 Assists 0
62 Ball Safe 62
23 Dribble Attempts 10
3 Goal Kicks 13
43 Successful Dribbles Percentage 20
29 Throwins 20
10 Successful Dribbles 2
1 Penalties 0
5 Substitutions 4

Attacking

5 Counter Attacks 1
89 Attacks 59

Possession

74 Long Passes 57
46 Successful Long Passes 22
62 Successful Long Passes Percentage 39
605 Passes 357
85 Successful Passes Percentage 76
10 Key Passes 3
512 Successful Passes 270

Defensive

18 Tackles 18
48 Duels Won 39
8 Interceptions 8
0 Saves 5

Build-up

6 Accurate Crosses 1
19 Total Crosses 7

Discipline

9 Fouls 8
3 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Christian Moen

Starting XI ▼

12
Nikita Haikin
Nikita Haikin Goalkeeper
6.33
4
Odin Luras Bjortuft
Odin Luras Bjortuft Defender
6.59
5
Haitam Aleesami
Haitam Aleesami Defender
7.08
15
Fredrik Bjørkan
Fredrik Bjørkan Defender
6.61
25
Isak Dybvik Määttä
Isak Dybvik Määttä
Defender68'
6.52
20
Fredrik Sjøvold
Fredrik Sjøvold Defender
7.66
7
Patrick Berg
Patrick Berg (C) Midfielder
7.64
19
Sondre Fet
Sondre Fet Midfielder
7.33
8
Sondre Auklend
Sondre Auklend
Midfielder56'
6.46
26
Håkon Evjen
Håkon Evjen Midfielder
2
8.74
9
Kasper Høgh
Kasper Høgh Attacker
7.23
21
Andreas Helmersen
Andreas Helmersen
Attacker76'
6.67
10
Jens Petter Hauge
Jens Petter Hauge Attacker
7.19
24
Daniel Bassi
Daniel Bassi
Attacker69'
6.72
11
Ole Didrik Blomberg
Ole Didrik Blomberg Attacker
7.67
17
Ola Brynhildsen
Ola Brynhildsen
Attacker76'
6.3
Referee : Christian Moen

Starting XI ▼

12
S. Nilsen
S. Nilsen Goalkeeper
7.26
3
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen (C) Defender
6.1
6
Cheikh Mbacke
Cheikh Mbacke Defender
5.83
43
Rasmus Holten
Rasmus Holten
Defender59'
6.97
17
Joachim Soltvedt
Joachim Soltvedt Defender
5.99
20
V. Dragsnes
V. Dragsnes Defender
6.08
7
Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson
Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson Midfielder
6.14
32
Markus Haaland
Markus Haaland
Midfielder58'
6.05
8
Felix Horn Myhre
Felix Horn Myhre Midfielder
6.39
10
K. Ingason
K. Ingason Midfielder
6.61
40
Jesper Nerhus Eikrem
Jesper Nerhus Eikrem
Midfielder86'
25
Niklas Jensen Wassberg
Niklas Jensen Wassberg Midfielder
6.41
11
Bård Finne
Bård Finne
Attacker76'
6.54
14
Ulrik Mathisen
Ulrik Mathisen Attacker
6.33
16
Kristian Eriksen
Kristian Eriksen
Midfielder58'
6.45
29
Noah Holm
Noah Holm Attacker
6.46

Events

2ND-HALF
90+6'
Event
Sondre Auklend
Left foot shot / 1st Own Goal
86'
Event
Jesper Nerhus Eikrem → K. Ingason
10th Substitution
Event
Ola Brynhildsen → Ole Didrik Blomberg
7th Substitution
76'
Event
Kasper Høgh
Goal disallowed
76'
Event
Andreas Helmersen → Kasper Høgh
9th Substitution
76'
76'
Event
Bård Finne → Niklas Jensen Wassberg
8th Substitution
Event
Daniel Bassi → Jens Petter Hauge
6th Substitution
69'
Event
Isak Dybvik Määttä → Fredrik Bjørkan
5th Substitution
68'
59'
Event
Rasmus Holten → Cheikh Mbacke
4th Substitution
58'
Event
Kristian Eriksen → Ulrik Mathisen
2nd Substitution
58'
Event
Markus Haaland → Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson
3rd Substitution
Event
Sondre Auklend → Sondre Fet
1st Substitution
56'
Event
Håkon Evjen
Left foot shot / 1st Penalty
56'
51'
Event
Cheikh Mbacke
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Event
Håkon Evjen
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
45'
Event
Ole Didrik Blomberg
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
25'

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Bodø / Glimt 3-1 Brann. Structural assessment: Bodø / Glimt exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Bodø / Glimt vs Brann preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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