Bodø / Glimt vs Aalesund Prediction, Preview and Stats

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Aspmyra Stadion Sat, 18 Apr - 12:00 PM
Eliteserien
Bodø / Glimt BOD
3 Winner 0
Aalesund Aalesund
Full Time Sat, 18 Apr 12:00 PM
Round 5 Regular Season
E. Engqvist - 89' (Own Goal)
Fredrik Sjøvold - 71'
A. Klynge - 23'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Bodø / Glimt delivered a commanding 3-0 win against Aalesund, leading 1-0 at halftime and extending their advantage in the second half. Controlling 63% of possession, they overwhelmed the visitors without any red card incidents disrupting play. Identified as the stronger team pre-match, Bodø / Glimt's victory featured a significant 17.4% structural deviation in their favor, reflecting overperformance against baselines. The outcome aligned fully with pre-match market projections, where they held an 82.6% win probability, alongside 11.6% for draw and 5.8% for Aalesund. Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations, though xG data was unavailable for detailed alignment or expectation analysis. Aalesund managed only 37% possession and failed to score, underscoring their struggles.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Bodø / Glimt achieved a 17.4% structural deviation classified as significant.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift was in line with pre-match expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment assessment unavailable due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome aligned with pre-match market projections.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated without data.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or events impacted match structure.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards produced zero distortion in dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Aslam

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

R. Langseth

1st Assistant

A. Rossland

2nd Assistant

Bodø / Glimt K. Knutsen
K. Knutsen
VS
Aalesund K. Rekdal
K. Rekdal
2.09
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.5
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: D
Viking Rank: L
Kristiansund Rank: W
HamKam Rank: D
Fredrikstad Rank: W
KFUM Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
KFUM Rank: D
Fredrikstad Rank: L
Start Rank: D
Lillestrøm Rank: L
9
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 4 - 5
5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Bodø / Glimt
82.58%
Draw
11.61%
Away Aalesund
5.81%

Movement

Changes since opening
Bodø / Glimt
-15.26%
Draw
+9.69%
Aalesund
+5.57%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
34.23
10.89
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Bodø / Glimt
Aalesund
Power Score
34.23
10.89
League Position
5
16
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Bodø / Glimt — Opponent-weighted form score
Aalesund — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Bodø / Glimt Aalesund

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Bodø / Glimt

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Aalesund

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Bodø / Glimt ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Aalesund
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
42.54
32.30
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
32.30
42.54
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Bodø / Glimt +1.05 Efficiency Index
vs
Aalesund -1.05 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Bodø / Glimt
Aalesund
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Bodø / Glimt ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Aalesund
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Bodø / Glimt Aalesund
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Bodø / Glimt Aalesund
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Bodø / Glimt
Aalesund
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Bodø / Glimt
vs
Aalesund
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Bodø / Glimt Aalesund
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Bodø / Glimt 0.23
Aalesund 0.58
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Bodø / Glimt Aalesund
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Bodø / Glimt 0.00
Aalesund 0.03
Bodø / Glimt
Aalesund
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BOD had peak pressure around 14'.
  • BOD started the game with stronger pressure.
BOD Pressure Aalesund Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BOD reached the top pressure at 14' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 18 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Bodø / Glimt BOD Home
18 matches
Aalesund Aalesund Away
Match Record
9
Wins
5
4
Draws
4
5
Losses
9
Goals
31
Goals Scored
13
13
Goals Conceded
31
+18
Goal Difference
-18

Data last updated: 2026-04-19T00:02:31+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 5-3-2
Pitch
N. Haikin
Russia
12 N. Haikin
F. Sjøvold
Norway
20 F. Sjøvold
O. Bjørtuft
Norway
4 O. Bjørtuft
H. Aleesami
Norway
5 H. Aleesami
I. Määttä
Norway
25 I. Määttä
A. Klynge
Substitution
Denmark
22 A. Klynge
P. Berg
Norway
7 P. Berg
H. Evjen
Substitution
Norway
26 H. Evjen
J. Hauge
Substitution
Norway
10 J. Hauge
O. Blomberg
Substitution
Norway
11 O. Blomberg
K. Høgh
Substitution
Denmark
9 K. Høgh
Pitch
K. Klaesson
Norway
1 K. Klaesson
K. Nesso
Substitution
Norway
7 K. Nesso
E. Engqvist
Sweden
22 E. Engqvist
S. Haram
Norway
4 S. Haram
A. Hammer Kjelsen
Norway
5 A. Hammer Kjelsen
M. Andersen
Substitution
Norway
2 M. Andersen
E. Hjertager Osenbroch
Substitution
Norway
15 E. Hjertager Osenbroch
H. Hammer
Norway
6 H. Hammer
E. Hagen
Norway
18 E. Hagen
K. Lonnebu
Substitution
Norway
39 K. Lonnebu
D. Jóhannsson
Substitution
Iceland
11 D. Jóhannsson

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 18, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 5 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Aspmyra Stadion
Capacity :
8270
Attendance :
7109
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Runar Langseth
Alf Olav Rossland
Mohammad Usman Aslam

Statistics

Possession
BOD
63%
Aalesund
37%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 0
8 Shots 5
96 Dangerous attacks 19
63 Possession 37
11 Corners 1
6 Free kicks 9
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5
5 Goal Kicks 13
6 Successful Dribbles 2
23 Throwins 10
15 Dribble Attempts 10
40 Successful Dribbles Percentage 20
12 Goal Attempts 9
76 Ball Safe 75
0 Injuries 1

Attacking

124 Attacks 58
1 Big Chances Missed 0
3 Counter Attacks 4

Possession

546 Successful Passes 290
611 Passes 360
89 Successful Passes Percentage 81
27 Successful Long Passes 14
40 Long Passes 46
68 Successful Long Passes Percentage 30
12 Key Passes 7

Defensive

14 Tackles 18
8 Interceptions 7
4 Saves 4
34 Duels Won 33

Build-up

9 Accurate Crosses 2
25 Total Crosses 5

Discipline

9 Fouls 6

Lineup

Referee : Mohammad Usman Aslam

Starting XI ▼

12
Nikita Haikin
Nikita Haikin Goalkeeper
6.99
4
Odin Luras Bjortuft
Odin Luras Bjortuft Defender
6.8
5
Haitam Aleesami
Haitam Aleesami Defender
6.99
20
Fredrik Sjøvold
Fredrik Sjøvold Defender
6.8
25
Isak Dybvik Määttä
Isak Dybvik Määttä Defender
6.47
7
Patrick Berg
Patrick Berg Midfielder
7.13
10
Jens Petter Hauge
Jens Petter Hauge Midfielder
6.88
24
Daniel Bassi
Daniel Bassi
Attacker79'
6.56
22
A. Klynge
A. Klynge Midfielder
6.49
8
Sondre Auklend
Sondre Auklend
Midfielder65'
6.93
26
Håkon Evjen
Håkon Evjen Midfielder
6.64
19
Sondre Fet
Sondre Fet
Midfielder83'
6.71
9
Kasper Høgh
Kasper Høgh Attacker
7.18
21
Andreas Helmersen
Andreas Helmersen
Attacker79'
6.5
11
Ole Didrik Blomberg
Ole Didrik Blomberg Attacker
7.19
15
Fredrik Bjørkan
Fredrik Bjørkan
Defender65'
7.12
Referee : Mohammad Usman Aslam

Starting XI ▼

1
Kristoffer Klaesson
Kristoffer Klaesson Goalkeeper
6.75
2
Marius Andresen
Marius Andresen Defender
6.93
16
J. Ørsahl
J. Ørsahl
Defender65'
6.62
4
Simen Haram
Simen Haram Defender
7.02
5
Aleksander Hammer Kjelsen
Aleksander Hammer Kjelsen Defender
6.49
7
Kristoffer Nessø
Kristoffer Nessø Defender
6.56
14
Uba Charles
Uba Charles
Midfielder65'
6.6
22
E. Engqvist
E. Engqvist Defender
6.68
6
Hakon Butli Hammer
Hakon Butli Hammer Midfielder
6.81
15
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch Midfielder
6.64
8
Henrik Melland
Henrik Melland
Midfielder71'
7.12
18
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen Midfielder
6.7
11
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson Attacker
6.67
21
Mathias Christensen
Mathias Christensen
Midfielder65'
6.81
39
Kristian Lonebu
Kristian Lonebu Attacker
7.04
17
E. Myrlid
E. Myrlid
Attacker86'
6.71

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
E. Engqvist
Right foot shot / 1st Own Goal
89'
86'
Event
E. Myrlid → Kristian Lonebu
10th Substitution
Event
Sondre Fet → Håkon Evjen
9th Substitution
83'
Event
Daniel Bassi → Jens Petter Hauge
7th Substitution
79'
Event
Andreas Helmersen → Kasper Høgh
8th Substitution
79'
Event
Fredrik Sjøvold
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
71'
71'
Event
Henrik Melland → Endre Hjertager Osenbroch
6th Substitution
Event
Fredrik Bjørkan → Ole Didrik Blomberg
2nd Substitution
65'
Event
Sondre Auklend → A. Klynge
1st Substitution
65'
65'
Event
Uba Charles → Kristoffer Nessø
3rd Substitution
65'
Event
Mathias Christensen → Davíð Snær Jóhannsson
4th Substitution
65'
Event
J. Ørsahl → Marius Andresen
5th Substitution
52'
Event
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Event
A. Klynge
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
23'

CONCLUSION

Bodø / Glimt's 3-0 triumph showcased total dominance through 63% possession and clinical finishing, with a halftime lead setting the tone. The significant 17.4% structural deviation highlighted their superior execution, while full market alignment validated pre-match favoritism at 82.6% win probability. Efficiency held steady in line with norms, unmarred by red cards or events. Aalesund's 37% possession yielded no goals, exposing defensive and attacking deficiencies. Absent xG data limits precision on chance quality, but the scoreline affirms Bodø / Glimt's control and reinforces their standing as the stronger side.

Bodø / Glimt vs Aalesund preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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