Bodø / Glimt vs Aalesund Prediction, Preview and Stats
2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Aspmyra Stadion
Sat, 18 Apr - 12:00 PM
Eliteserien
Bodø / Glimt
BOD
3
0
0
Aalesund
Aalesund
Full Time
Sat, 18 Apr
12:00 PM
Round 5 ·
Regular Season
E. Engqvist - 89' (Own Goal)
Fredrik Sjøvold - 71'
A. Klynge - 23'
|
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Jul 10
CONTEXT
Bodø / Glimt delivered a commanding 3-0 win against Aalesund, leading 1-0 at halftime and extending their advantage in the second half. Controlling 63% of possession, they overwhelmed the visitors without any red card incidents disrupting play. Identified as the stronger team pre-match, Bodø / Glimt's victory featured a significant 17.4% structural deviation in their favor, reflecting overperformance against baselines. The outcome aligned fully with pre-match market projections, where they held an 82.6% win probability, alongside 11.6% for draw and 5.8% for Aalesund. Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations, though xG data was unavailable for detailed alignment or expectation analysis. Aalesund managed only 37% possession and failed to score, underscoring their struggles.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Bodø / Glimt achieved a 17.4% structural deviation classified as significant.
-
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift was in line with pre-match expectations.
-
xG alignment: xG alignment assessment unavailable due to missing data.
-
Market alignment: Outcome aligned with pre-match market projections.
-
xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated without data.
-
Event impact: No second-half adjustments or events impacted match structure.
-
Red card distortion: No red cards produced zero distortion in dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Match referee
M. Aslam
•
25 matches in sample
Avg. cards
0.12
0.12
Fouls / match
0.52
Yellow cards / match
0.12
Red cards / match
0
Penalties / match
0
Other match officials
R. Langseth
1st Assistant
A. Rossland
2nd Assistant
K. Knutsen
VS
K. Rekdal
2.09
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
0.5
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sarpsborg 08
Rank:
D
Viking
Rank:
L
Kristiansund
Rank:
W
HamKam
Rank:
D
Fredrikstad
Rank:
W
KFUM
Rank:
W
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
KFUM
Rank:
D
Fredrikstad
Rank:
L
Start
Rank:
D
Lillestrøm
Rank:
L
9
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 4 - 5
5
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Bodø / Glimt
82.58%
Draw
11.61%
Aalesund
5.81%
Movement
Changes since opening
Bodø / Glimt
-15.26%
Draw
+9.69%
Aalesund
+5.57%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
34.23
10.89
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Bodø / Glimt
Aalesund
Power Score
34.23
10.89
League Position
5
16
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Bodø / Glimt
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Aalesund
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Bodø / Glimt Aalesund
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Bodø / Glimt
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Aalesund
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Bodø / Glimt
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Aalesund
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
42.54
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
32.30
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Bodø / Glimt
+1.04
Efficiency Index
vs
Aalesund
-1.04
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Bodø / Glimt
Aalesund
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Bodø / Glimt
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Aalesund
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Bodø / Glimt
Aalesund
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
—
vs
—
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Bodø / Glimt
Aalesund
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
—
vs
—
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Bodø / Glimt
Aalesund
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Bodø / Glimt
vs
Aalesund
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
Bodø / Glimt
Aalesund
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
Bodø / Glimt
0.23
Aalesund
0.58
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
Bodø / Glimt
Aalesund
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
Bodø / Glimt
0.00
Aalesund
0.03
Bodø / Glimt
Aalesund
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- BOD had peak pressure around 14'.
- BOD started the game with stronger pressure.
BOD Pressure
Aalesund Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
BOD reached the top pressure at 14' (100.00).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 18 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Bodø / Glimt
BOD
Home
18
matches
Aalesund
Aalesund
Away
Match Record
9
Wins
5
4
Draws
4
5
Losses
9
Goals
31
Goals Scored
13
13
Goals Conceded
31
+18
Goal Difference
-18
Data last updated: 2026-04-19T00:02:31+00:00
STARTING XI
Bodø / Glimt
Aalesund
Match Formation
4-4-2
Match Formation
5-3-2
12 N. Haikin
20 F. Sjøvold
4 O. Bjørtuft
5 H. Aleesami
25 I. Määttä
S. Auklend
#865'
22 A. Klynge
7 P. Berg
S. Brunstad Fet
#1983'
26 H. Evjen
D. Bassi
#2479'
10 J. Hauge
11 O. Blomberg
A. Helmersen
#2179'
9 K. Høgh
1 K. Klaesson
U. Nwokoma
#1465'
7 K. Nesso
22 E. Engqvist
4 S. Haram
5 A. Hammer Kjelsen
J. Ørsal
#1665'
2 M. Andersen
H. Molvær Melland
#871'
15 E. Hjertager Osenbroch
6 H. Hammer
18 E. Hagen
E. Heggland Myrlid
#1786'
39 K. Lonnebu
M. Christensen
#2165'
11 D. Jóhannsson
General Information
📅
Date & Time :
Apr 18, 2026, 12:00 PM
🏆
Competition :
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 5 · Regular Season
🏟️
Stadium :
Aspmyra Stadion
👥
Capacity :
8270
🎟️
Attendance :
7109
🌱
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
🌤️
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
🧑⚖️
Referees :
Runar Langseth
Alf Olav Rossland
Mohammad Usman Aslam
Next Match
Bodø / Glimt
vs
Lillestrøm
League: Eliteserien
Kickoff: Sun, 26 Apr - 5:15 PM
Venue: Åråsen Stadion
Aalesund
vs
Kristiansund
League: Eliteserien
Kickoff: Sun, 26 Apr - 3:00 PM
Venue: Color Line Stadion
Statistics
Possession
BOD
63%
Aalesund
37%
Top Statistics
3
Goals
0
1
Big Chances Created
0
8
Shots
5
96
Dangerous attacks
19
63
Possession
37
11
Corners
1
6
Free kicks
9
0
Yellow Cards
1
Match Overview
5
Substitutions
5
5
Goal Kicks
13
6
Successful Dribbles
2
23
Throwins
10
15
Dribble Attempts
10
40
Successful Dribbles Percentage
20
12
Goal Attempts
9
76
Ball Safe
75
0
Injuries
1
Attacking
124
Attacks
58
1
Big Chances Missed
0
3
Counter Attacks
4
Possession
546
Successful Passes
290
611
Passes
360
89
Successful Passes Percentage
81
27
Successful Long Passes
14
40
Long Passes
46
68
Successful Long Passes Percentage
30
12
Key Passes
7
Defensive
14
Tackles
18
8
Interceptions
7
4
Saves
4
34
Duels Won
33
Build-up
9
Accurate Crosses
2
25
Total Crosses
5
Discipline
9
Fouls
6
Lineup
Bodø / Glimt
Referee :
Mohammad Usman Aslam
Manager ▼
K. Knutsen
Coach
Starting XI ▼
12
Nikita Haikin
Goalkeeper
6.99 4
Odin Luras Bjortuft
Defender
6.8 5
Haitam Aleesami
Defender
6.99 20
Fredrik Sjøvold
Defender
25
Isak Dybvik Määttä
Defender
6.47 24Daniel Bassi
6.56Attacker79'
22
A. Klynge
Midfielder
8Sondre Auklend
6.93Midfielder65'
26
Håkon Evjen
Midfielder
6.64 19Sondre Fet
6.71Midfielder83'
9
Kasper Høgh
Attacker
7.18 21Andreas Helmersen
6.5Attacker79'
11
Ole Didrik Blomberg
Attacker
7.19 Substitutes ▼
8Sondre Auklend
6.93Midfielder65'
24Daniel Bassi
6.56Attacker79'
21Andreas Helmersen
6.5Attacker79'
19Sondre Fet
6.71Midfielder83'
Bench ▼
1
Julian Faye Lund
Goalkeeper
2
Villads Nielsen
Defender
6
Jostein Gundersen
Defender
6.45 77
Mikkel Bro Hansen
Attacker
6.48
Aalesund
Referee :
Mohammad Usman Aslam
Manager ▼
K. Rekdal
Coach
Starting XI ▼
1
Kristoffer Klaesson
Goalkeeper
6.75 2
Marius Andresen
Defender
6.93 16J. Ørsahl
6.62Defender65'
4
Simen Haram
Defender
7.02 5
Aleksander Hammer Kjelsen
Defender
6.49 7
Kristoffer Nessø
Defender
6.56 14Uba Charles
6.6Midfielder65'
22
E. Engqvist
Defender
6
Hakon Butli Hammer
Midfielder
6.81 15
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch
Midfielder
6.64 8Henrik Melland
7.12Midfielder71'
18
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen
Midfielder
6.7 11
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson
Attacker
6.67
21Mathias Christensen
6.81Midfielder65'
39
Kristian Lonebu
Attacker
7.04 17E. Myrlid
6.71Attacker86'
Substitutes ▼
14Uba Charles
6.6Midfielder65'
21Mathias Christensen
6.81Midfielder65'
16J. Ørsahl
6.62Defender65'
8Henrik Melland
7.12Midfielder71'
17E. Myrlid
6.71Attacker86'
Bench ▼
26
Tor Erik Valderhaug Larsen
Goalkeeper
25
Ulrik Syversen
Defender
6.35 20
I. Djantou
Attacker
6.94
Events
2ND-HALF
E. Engqvist
Right foot shot / 1st Own Goal
89'
86'
E. Myrlid → Kristian Lonebu
10th Substitution
Sondre Fet → Håkon Evjen
9th Substitution
83'
Daniel Bassi → Jens Petter Hauge
7th Substitution
79'
Andreas Helmersen → Kasper Høgh
8th Substitution
79'
Fredrik Sjøvold
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
71'
71'
Henrik Melland → Endre Hjertager Osenbroch
6th Substitution
2nd Substitution
65'
Sondre Auklend → A. Klynge
1st Substitution
65'
65'
Uba Charles → Kristoffer Nessø
3rd Substitution
65'
Mathias Christensen → Davíð Snær Jóhannsson
4th Substitution
65'
J. Ørsahl → Marius Andresen
5th Substitution
52'
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
A. Klynge
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
23'
CONCLUSION
Bodø / Glimt's 3-0 triumph showcased total dominance through 63% possession and clinical finishing, with a halftime lead setting the tone. The significant 17.4% structural deviation highlighted their superior execution, while full market alignment validated pre-match favoritism at 82.6% win probability. Efficiency held steady in line with norms, unmarred by red cards or events. Aalesund's 37% possession yielded no goals, exposing defensive and attacking deficiencies. Absent xG data limits precision on chance quality, but the scoreline affirms Bodø / Glimt's control and reinforces their standing as the stronger side.
Bodø / Glimt vs Aalesund preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
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Daniels Zorge covers football fixtures with a focus on tactical matchups, playing styles, and key details that shape each game.