Blau-Weiß Linz vs Wolfsberger AC Prediction, Preview and Stats

Austria flag 2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Linzer Stadion Tue, 21 Apr - 4:30 PM
Admiral Bundesliga
Blau-Weiß Linz BWL
3 Winner 0
Wolfsberger AC WAC
Full Time Tue, 21 Apr 4:30 PM
Round 6 Relegation Round
Nico Maier - 90+4', 66'
Shon Weissman - 29'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Blau-Weiß Linz claimed a decisive 3-0 home win against Wolfsberger AC, defying their 40% possession share. The hosts struck first in the opening half, leading 1-0 at halftime despite Wolfsberger AC's 60% ball control. Linz, identified as the stronger team beforehand, capitalized efficiently in the second period with two additional goals, extending their advantage without reply. Wolfsberger AC struggled to create meaningful chances from their territorial dominance, allowing Linz to control the game's tempo through smart defending and clinical finishing. No red cards disrupted play, and the match unfolded smoothly to its conclusion. This outcome reflected Linz's pre-assessed superiority, with minimal structural deviation from expectations. The victory underscores Linz's ability to outperform on limited possession, solidifying their position in the standings.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Minimal 2.1% structural deviation favored Blau-Weiß Linz.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift was in line with pre-match assessments.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable, preventing alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: Result fully aligned with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations undetermined due to missing data.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered the outcome.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards produced zero distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

S. Gishamer

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

R. Riedel

1st Assistant

S. Schreiner

2nd Assistant

M. Baumann

4th Official

Blau-Weiß Linz M. Köllner
M. Köllner
VS
Wolfsberger AC T. Silberberger
T. Silberberger
0.71
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.71
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Wolfsberger AC Rank: D
WSG Tirol Rank: W
Grazer AK Rank: L
Ried Rank: W
Rheindorf Altach Rank: L
Hartberg Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: D
Ried Rank: D
WSG Tirol Rank: L
Rheindorf Altach Rank: D
Grazer AK Rank: L
LASK Linz Rank: L
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 2 - 5
5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Blau-Weiß Linz
97.89%
Draw
1.92%
Away Wolfsberger AC
0.2%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
18.04
14.56
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Blau-Weiß Linz
Wolfsberger AC
Power Score
18.04
14.56
League Position
12
10
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Blau-Weiß Linz Opponent-weighted form score
Wolfsberger AC Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Blau-Weiß Linz Wolfsberger AC

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Blau-Weiß Linz

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Wolfsberger AC

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Blau-Weiß Linz ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Wolfsberger AC
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
32.00
25.83
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
25.83
32.00
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Blau-Weiß Linz +0.52 Efficiency Index
vs
Wolfsberger AC -0.52 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Blau-Weiß Linz
Wolfsberger AC
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Blau-Weiß Linz ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Wolfsberger AC
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Blau-Weiß Linz Wolfsberger AC
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Blau-Weiß Linz Wolfsberger AC
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Blau-Weiß Linz
Wolfsberger AC
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Blau-Weiß Linz
vs
Wolfsberger AC
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Blau-Weiß Linz Wolfsberger AC
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Blau-Weiß Linz Wolfsberger AC
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Blau-Weiß Linz
Wolfsberger AC
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • WAC had peak pressure around 86'.
  • BWL started the game with stronger pressure.
BWL Pressure WAC Pressure
Pressure Index: WAC reached the top pressure at 86' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Blau-Weiß Linz BWL Home
11 matches
Wolfsberger AC WAC Away
Match Record
4
Wins
5
2
Draws
2
5
Losses
4
Goals
10
Goals Scored
12
12
Goals Conceded
10
-2
Goal Difference
+2

Data last updated: 2026-04-22T00:02:24+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-4-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
N. Mantl
Germany
58 N. Mantl
D. Reiter
Substitution
Austria
29 D. Reiter
A. Pasic
Austria
17 A. Pasic
M. Maranda
Austria
15 M. Maranda
F. Strauss
Austria
2 F. Strauss
S. Pirkl
Austria
60 S. Pirkl
S. Seidl
Substitution
Austria
20 S. Seidl
A. Briedl
Austria
19 A. Briedl
N. Maier
Switzerland
30 N. Maier
S. Weissman
Substitution
Israel
18 S. Weissman
R. Sales
Substitution
Brazil
9 R. Sales
Pitch
N. Polster
Austria
12 N. Polster
N. Wimmer
Austria
37 N. Wimmer
S. Piesinger
Substitution
Austria
8 S. Piesinger
D. Baumgartner
Substitution
Austria
22 D. Baumgartner
D. Đurić
Substitution
Serbia
70 D. Đurić
E. Agyemang
34 E. Agyemang
M. Sulzner
Austria
30 M. Sulzner
B. Matić
Serbia
2 B. Matić
A. Gattermayer
Austria
7 A. Gattermayer
D. Zukić
Substitution
Serbia
20 D. Zukić
E. Kojzek
Substitution
Slovenia
9 E. Kojzek

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 21, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Round 6 · Relegation Round
Stadium :
Linzer Stadion
Capacity :
21005
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Sebastian Gishamer
Roland Riedel
Santino Schreiner
Manuel Baumann

Statistics

Possession
BWL
41%
WAC
59%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
4 Big Chances Created 1
3 Shots 7
36 Dangerous attacks 50
40 Possession 60
5 Corners 3
13 Free kicks 14
2 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

22 Throwins 26
13 Goal Kicks 8
6 Successful Dribbles 8
62 Ball Safe 61
6 Goal Attempts 10
16 Dribble Attempts 17
38 Successful Dribbles Percentage 47
4 Substitutions 5
1 Hit Woodwork 1

Attacking

73 Attacks 117
2 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

64 Successful Passes Percentage 76
326 Passes 475
208 Successful Passes 363
56 Long Passes 66
5 Key Passes 10
12 Successful Long Passes 28
21 Successful Long Passes Percentage 42

Defensive

52 Duels Won 68
8 Interceptions 6
1 Saves 1
17 Tackles 24

Build-up

9 Total Crosses 23
3 Accurate Crosses 9

Discipline

14 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Sebastian Gishamer

Starting XI

58
Nico Mantl
Nico Mantl Goalkeeper
6.57
2
Fabio Varesi-Strauss
Fabio Varesi-Strauss Defender
6.66
15
Manuel Maranda
Manuel Maranda Defender
6.77
17
Alem Pasic
Alem Pasic Defender
6.63
29
Dominik Reiter
Dominik Reiter Defender
6.78
5
Isak Dahlqvist
Isak Dahlqvist
Midfielder88'
6.78
60
Simon Pirkl
Simon Pirkl Defender
6.6
18
Shon Weissman
Shon Weissman Midfielder
6.99
14
Christopher Cvetko
Christopher Cvetko
Midfielder80'
6.69
19
Alexander Briedl
Alexander Briedl Midfielder
6.83
20
Simon Seidl
Simon Seidl Midfielder
6.96
10
Paul Mensah
Paul Mensah
Attacker88'
6.55
30
Nico Maier
Nico Maier Midfielder
2
6.66
9
Ronivaldo
Ronivaldo Attacker
6.93
6
Mamadou Fofana
Mamadou Fofana
Midfielder57'
6.65
Referee : Sebastian Gishamer

Starting XI

12
Nikolas Polster
Nikolas Polster Goalkeeper
7.02
8
Simon Piesinger
Simon Piesinger Defender
6.58
18
Alessandro Schöpf
Alessandro Schöpf
Midfielder77'
7.09
22
Dominik Baumgartner
Dominik Baumgartner Defender
7.07
31
Fabian Wohlmuth
Fabian Wohlmuth
Defender69'
6.71
37
Nicolas Wimmer
Nicolas Wimmer Defender
6.91
2
Boris Matic
Boris Matic Midfielder
6.94
30
Marco Sulzner
Marco Sulzner Midfielder
6.64
34
Emmanuel Agyemang
Emmanuel Agyemang Midfielder
6.57
70
David Đurić
David Đurić Midfielder
6.79
32
Markus Pink
Markus Pink
Attacker46'
6.86
7
Angelo Gattermayer
Angelo Gattermayer Attacker
6.64
9
Erik Kojzek
Erik Kojzek Attacker
6.64
24
Jessic Ngankam
Jessic Ngankam
Attacker46'
6.74
20
Dejan Zukic
Dejan Zukic Attacker
7.35
10
Donis Avdijaj
Donis Avdijaj
Midfielder69'
6.71

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Nico Maier
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
90+4'
Event
Paul Mensah Simon Seidl
9th Substitution
88'
Event
Isak Dahlqvist Dominik Reiter
8th Substitution
88'
Event
Fabio Varesi-Strauss
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
81'
Event
Christopher Cvetko Shon Weissman
7th Substitution
80'
77'
Event
Alessandro Schöpf Simon Piesinger
6th Substitution
76'
Event
Boris Matic
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
72'
Event
Jessic Ngankam
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
69'
Event
Fabian Wohlmuth Dominik Baumgartner
5th Substitution
69'
Event
Donis Avdijaj Dejan Zukic
4th Substitution
Event
Nico Maier
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
66'
64'
Event
Nicolas Wimmer
1st Var
62'
Event
Nicolas Wimmer
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Mamadou Fofana Ronivaldo
3rd Substitution
57'
46'
Event
Jessic Ngankam Erik Kojzek
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Markus Pink David Đurić
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Ronivaldo
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
40'
Event
Shon Weissman
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
29'

CONCLUSION

Blau-Weiß Linz's 3-0 triumph over Wolfsberger AC highlights their tactical edge and finishing prowess, overcoming possession deficits to secure a clean-sheet victory. Leading 1-0 at halftime, they methodically dismantled the visitors in the second half. This performance aligns seamlessly with their status as the stronger side, exhibiting minimal deviation and full consistency with expectations. Without disruptions from red cards or major events, Linz's efficiency shone through. The result bolsters their campaign momentum while exposing Wolfsberger AC's conversion issues despite ball dominance.

Blau-Weiß Linz vs Wolfsberger AC preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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