Beşiktaş vs Trabzonspor Prediction, Preview and Stats

Türkiye flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye
Beşiktaş Park Sat, 9 May - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Beşiktaş BES
1 Winner 2
Trabzonspor TRA
Full Time Sat, 9 May 5:00 PM
Round 33 Regular Season
Orkun Kökçü - 14' (P)
Goal
|
Goal
Ernest Muci - 62'
Oleksandr Zubkov - 15'

CONTEXT

Beşiktaş faced Trabzonspor in a tightly contested match that ended 1-2 in favor of the visitors. The first half concluded level at 1-1, with both teams trading goals early. Beşiktaş controlled possession at 63% compared to Trabzonspor's 37%, generating sustained pressure but struggling to convert chances into a lead. Trabzonspor, identified as the stronger side pre-match, capitalized efficiently in the second half to secure the victory without any red cards disrupting play. The outcome showed minimal structural deviation at 5.3%, aligning closely with pre-match expectations. No significant second-half adjustments were noted, and efficiency remained in line with overall performance metrics. Despite Beşiktaş's dominance in territory, Trabzonspor's clinical finishing proved decisive, highlighting their superior threat in transition. This result underscores Trabzonspor's resilience away from home against a possession-heavy opponent.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: The result showed minimal structural deviation of 5.3% favoring Trabzonspor.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with pre-match assessments for both teams.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable, preventing direct alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: The outcome fully aligned with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated due to missing data.
  • Event impact: No significant events or second-half adjustments impacted the flow.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion to the match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

O. Çakır

Türkiye 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

D. Tonusluoğlu

4th Official

Türkiye

A. Usta

1st Assistant

Türkiye

B. Duran

2nd Assistant

Türkiye

League averages

Super Lig Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 23.4
Yellow cards / match 4.22
Red cards / match 0.21
Penalties / match 0.32
Beşiktaş A. Yalçın
A. Yalçın
VS
Trabzonspor F. Tekke
F. Tekke
1.95
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.05
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: 66 W
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: 61 D
Samsunspor Rank: 70 L
Antalyaspor Rank: 60 W
Fenerbahçe Rank: 85 L
Kasımpaşa Rank: 66 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Göztepe Rank: 73 D
Konyaspor Rank: 70 L
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: 74 D
Alanyaspor Rank: 68 D
Galatasaray Rank: 86 W
Eyüpspor Rank: 64 W
15
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
15 - 15 - 13
13

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Beşiktaş
0.19%
Draw
5.09%
Away Trabzonspor
94.72%

Movement

Changes since opening
Beşiktaş
-0.19%
Draw
-4.46%
Trabzonspor
+4.65%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
77.61
79.48
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Beşiktaş
Trabzonspor
Power Score
77.61
79.48
League Position
4
3
Global Rank
81
63

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Beşiktaş — Opponent-weighted form score
Trabzonspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Beşiktaş Trabzonspor

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Beşiktaş

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Trabzonspor

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Beşiktaş ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Trabzonspor
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Beşiktaş Trabzonspor
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Beşiktaş Trabzonspor
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Beşiktaş
Trabzonspor
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Beşiktaş
vs
Trabzonspor
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Beşiktaş Trabzonspor
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Beşiktaş 0.00
Trabzonspor 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Beşiktaş Trabzonspor
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Beşiktaş 0.00
Trabzonspor 0.00
Beşiktaş
Trabzonspor
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BES had peak pressure around 61'.
  • BES started the game with stronger pressure.
BES Pressure TRA Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BES reached the top pressure at 61' (78.92).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 43 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Beşiktaş BES Home
43 matches
Trabzonspor TRA Away
Match Record
15
Wins
13
15
Draws
15
13
Losses
15
Goals
63
Goals Scored
54
54
Goals Conceded
63
+9
Goal Difference
-9

Data last updated: 2026-05-09T16:30:44+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
E. Destanoğlu
Türkiye
30 E. Destanoğlu
M. Murillo Bermudez
Panama
62 M. Murillo Bermudez
E. Agbadou
Ivory Coast
12 E. Agbadou
T. Embalo Djaló
Portugal
35 T. Embalo Djaló
R. Yılmaz
Türkiye
33 R. Yılmaz
K. Asllani
Albania
23 K. Asllani
V. Černý
Substitution
Czech Republic
18 V. Černý
O. Kökçü
Türkiye
10 O. Kökçü
J. Olaitan
Benin
15 J. Olaitan
E. Toure
Mali
19 E. Toure
H. Oh
South Korea
9 H. Oh
Pitch
A. Onana
Substitution
Cameroon
24 A. Onana
M. Lövik
Norway
14 M. Lövik
S. Malkoçoğlu
Türkiye
74 S. Malkoçoğlu
C. Nwaiwu
Nigeria
27 C. Nwaiwu
O. Tufan
Türkiye
11 O. Tufan
C. Inao Oulaï
42 C. Inao Oulaï
B. Bouchouari
Morocco
8 B. Bouchouari
A. Nwakaeme
Substitution
Nigeria
9 A. Nwakaeme
E. Muçi
Substitution
Albania
10 E. Muçi
O. Zubkov
Substitution
Ukraine
22 O. Zubkov
M. Nayir
Türkiye
18 M. Nayir

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Beşiktaş Park
Capacity :
42590
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Direnç Tonusluoğlu
Anıl Usta
Oğuzhan Çakır
Bersan Duran

Statistics

Possession
BES
60%
TRA
40%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
1 Big Chances Created 2
14 Shots 4
71 Dangerous attacks 15
63 Possession 37
6 Corners 3
12 Free kicks 12
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

20 Throwins 9
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 55
15 Successful Headers 16
21 Dribble Attempts 11
6 Goal Kicks 14
1 Substitutions 4
1 Penalties 0
3 Goal Attempts 4
0 Assists 2
30 Ball Safe 33
7 Successful Dribbles 6
2 Injuries 1

Attacking

121 Attacks 69

Possession

87 Successful Passes Percentage 82
43 Long Passes 54
485 Passes 293
421 Successful Passes 241
28 Successful Long Passes 24
18 Key Passes 6
65 Successful Long Passes Percentage 44

Defensive

48 Duels Won 50
13 Tackles 17
4 Interceptions 13
4 Saves 4

Build-up

25 Total Crosses 6
6 Accurate Crosses 0

Discipline

12 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Oğuzhan Çakır

Starting XI ▼

30
Ersin Destanoğlu
Ersin Destanoğlu Goalkeeper
6.9
12
Emmanuel Agbadou
Emmanuel Agbadou Defender
7.12
33
Rıdvan Yılmaz
Rıdvan Yılmaz Defender
6.72
35
Tiago Djaló
Tiago Djaló Defender
6.85
62
Amir Murillo
Amir Murillo Defender
6.75
10
Orkun Kökçü
Orkun Kökçü Midfielder
7.59
15
Junior Olaitan
Junior Olaitan Midfielder
6.92
18
Vaclav Cerny
Vaclav Cerny Midfielder
7.03
26
Jota Silva
Jota Silva
Attacker70'
6.81
19
El Bilal Touré
El Bilal Touré Midfielder
6.92
23
Kristjan Asllani
Kristjan Asllani Midfielder
6.78
9
Hyeon-gyu Oh
Hyeon-gyu Oh Attacker
7.22
Referee : Oğuzhan Çakır

Starting XI ▼

24
André Onana
André Onana Goalkeeper
6.94
88
Ahmet Yıldırım
Ahmet Yıldırım
Goalkeeper7'
11
Ozan Tufan
Ozan Tufan Defender
6.94
14
Mathias Løvik
Mathias Løvik Defender
6.6
27
Chibuike Nwaiwu
Chibuike Nwaiwu Defender
7.33
74
Salih Malkoçoğlu
Salih Malkoçoğlu Defender
6.72
8
Benjamin Bouchouari
Benjamin Bouchouari Midfielder
6.48
9
Anthony Nwakaeme
Anthony Nwakaeme Midfielder
6.81
17
O. Çakıroğlu
O. Çakıroğlu
Attacker90'
10
Ernest Muci
Ernest Muci Midfielder
7.29
30
Paul Onuachu
Paul Onuachu
Attacker77'
7.29
22
Oleksandr Zubkov
Oleksandr Zubkov Midfielder
7.22
80
Boran Başkan
Boran Başkan
Midfielder90'
6.62
42
Christ Inao Oulaï
Christ Inao Oulaï Midfielder
7.2
18
Umut Nayir
Umut Nayir Attacker
6.65

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Ahmet Yıldırım
Time wasting / 3rd Yellowcard
90'
Event
O. Çakıroğlu → Anthony Nwakaeme
5th Substitution
90'
Event
Boran Başkan → Oleksandr Zubkov
4th Substitution
77'
Event
Paul Onuachu → Ernest Muci
3rd Substitution
75'
Event
Ernest Muci
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Jota Silva → Vaclav Cerny
2nd Substitution
70'
62'
Event
Ernest Muci
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Hyeon-gyu Oh
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
55'
1ST-HALF
15'
Event
Oleksandr Zubkov
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Orkun Kökçü
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
14'
7'
Event
Ahmet Yıldırım → André Onana
1st Substitution

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
El Bilal Toure takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
90
Update Update
Onuralp Cakiroglu replaces Anthony Nwakaeme.
90
Update Update
Boran Baskan replaces Oleksandr Zubkov.
90
Attempt Attempt
El Bilal Toure's header is saved.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Ahmet Dogan Yildirim.
86
Attempt Attempt
Oh Hyun Gyu takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
84
Attempt Attempt
Orkun Kokcu takes a right-footed shot but misses.
83
Attempt Attempt
Oleksandr Zubkov takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
83
Attempt Attempt
Jota's right-footed shot is blocked.
82
Attempt Attempt
Jota takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
79
Attempt Attempt
El Bilal Toure takes a left-footed shot but misses.
77
Update Update
Paul Onuachu is on, and Ernest Muci is off.
75
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ernest Muci receives a yellow card.
71
Attempt Attempt
Kristjan Asllani takes a right-footed shot but misses.
70
Update Update
Jota comes on for Vaclav Cerny.
70
Attempt Attempt
Michael Murillo takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
68
Attempt Attempt
Mehmet Umut Nayir takes a right-footed shot but misses.
64
Attempt Attempt
Kristjan Asllani takes a right-footed shot but misses.
62
Attempt Attempt
Ernest Muci takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
61
Attempt Attempt
Ernest Muci takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
60
Attempt Attempt
Ernest Muci takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
57
Attempt Attempt
Ernest Muci takes a right-footed shot but misses.
56
Attempt Attempt
Vaclav Cerny takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
54
Attempt Attempt
Orkun Kokcu takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
54
Attempt Attempt
Tiago Djalo takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
52
Attempt Attempt
Junior Olaitan takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Update Update
El Bilal Toure takes a header, but it goes wide.
44
Attempt Attempt
Kristjan Asllani takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
38
Attempt Attempt
Vaclav Cerny takes a left-footed shot but misses.
36
Attempt Attempt
Orkun Kokcu takes a right-footed shot but misses.
18
Attempt Attempt
Ernest Muci takes a right-footed shot but misses.
15
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Oleksandr Zubkov scores, making it 1-1.
15
Attempt Attempt
Oleksandr Zubkov scores with a left-footed shot.
14
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Orkun Kokcu scores, making it 1-0.
14
Attempt Attempt
Orkun Kokcu takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
7
Update Update
Ahmet Dogan Yildirim is on, and Andre Onana is off.
6
Attempt Attempt
Orkun Kokcu takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
4
Attempt Attempt
Mehmet Umut Nayir takes a right-footed shot but misses.
3
Attempt Attempt
Emmanuel Agbadou takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Oguzhan Cakir.

CONCLUSION

Trabzonspor's 1-2 victory over Beşiktaş exemplifies how quality finishing can overcome possession disparities, with the away side prevailing despite 37% ball control. The halftime deadlock at 1-1 set up a second half where Trabzonspor edged ahead through better conversion rates. Beşiktaş's 63% possession failed to yield sufficient goal threat, exposing vulnerabilities in their attack. This minimal-deviation result reinforces Trabzonspor's pre-identified strength, maintaining efficiency without reliance on disruptive events. For Beşiktaş, the loss prompts reflection on transitional defending, while Trabzonspor builds momentum with a pragmatic away win.

Beşiktaş vs Trabzonspor preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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