Beşiktaş vs Fatih Karagümrük Prediction, Preview and Stats

Türkiye flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye
Beşiktaş Park Mon, 27 Apr - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Beşiktaş BES
0 – 0
Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük
Full Time Mon, 27 Apr 5:00 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Beşiktaş faced Fatih Karagümrük at home in a goalless draw, finishing 0-0. The Black Eagles controlled the game with 70% possession compared to the visitors' 30%, launching numerous attacks but lacking clinical finishing. Halftime saw the score at 0-0, with both teams cautious in approach. The second half continued the pattern, as Beşiktaş pressed forward without reward, while Karagümrük defended resiliently. Identified as the stronger side, Beşiktaş's dominance did not translate to points, underscoring defensive solidity from the away team. No red cards disrupted play, and the match proceeded without significant tactical shifts. This result highlighted Beşiktaş's moderate structural deviation, aligning with efficiency norms despite high control. The stalemate maintained balance in a fixture where parity was foreseen.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Beşiktaş recorded a moderate structural deviation of 9.4%.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment achieved as draw matched pre-match consensus.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations not assessable with null data.
  • Event impact: No events significantly impacted match flow.
  • Red card distortion: No red card distortion occurred with zero dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

B. Kolak

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Mazlum

2nd Assistant

A. Demirbaş

4th Official

B. Gölen

1st Assistant

Beşiktaş A. Yalçın
A. Yalçın
VS
Fatih Karagümrük A. Stanojević
A. Stanojević
1.9
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.8
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Samsunspor Rank: L
Antalyaspor Rank: W
Fenerbahçe Rank: L
Kasımpaşa Rank: W
Gençlerbirliği Rank: W
Galatasaray Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Eyüpspor Rank: L
Konyaspor Rank: L
Rizespor Rank: W
Kayserispor Rank: L
Fenerbahçe Rank: W
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: D
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 1 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Beşiktaş
6.22%
Draw
90.56%
Away Fatih Karagümrük
3.22%

Movement

Changes since opening
Beşiktaş
-0.98%
Draw
+1.37%
Fatih Karagümrük
-0.38%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
26.98
20.19
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Beşiktaş
Fatih Karagümrük
Power Score
26.98
20.19
League Position
4
18
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Beşiktaş — Opponent-weighted form score
Fatih Karagümrük — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Beşiktaş Fatih Karagümrük

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Beşiktaş

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Fatih Karagümrük

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Beşiktaş ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Fatih Karagümrük
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
31.21
44.17
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
44.17
31.21
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Beşiktaş -1.30 Efficiency Index
vs
Fatih Karagümrük +1.30 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Beşiktaş
Fatih Karagümrük
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Beşiktaş ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Fatih Karagümrük
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Beşiktaş Fatih Karagümrük
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Beşiktaş Fatih Karagümrük
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Beşiktaş
Fatih Karagümrük
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Beşiktaş
vs
Fatih Karagümrük
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Beşiktaş Fatih Karagümrük
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Beşiktaş 0.54
Fatih Karagümrük 0.48
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Beşiktaş Fatih Karagümrük
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Beşiktaş 0.00
Fatih Karagümrük 0.00
Beşiktaş
Fatih Karagümrük
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BES had peak pressure around 63'.
  • BES started the game with stronger pressure.
BES Pressure Fatih Karagümrük Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BES reached the top pressure at 63' (96.26).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Beşiktaş BES Home
9 matches
Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük Away
Match Record
7
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
7
Goals
18
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
18
+13
Goal Difference
-13

Data last updated: 2026-04-28T00:02:17+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
D. Vásquez Llach
Colombia
32 D. Vásquez Llach
T. Bulut
Germany
22 T. Bulut
E. Agbadou
Ivory Coast
12 E. Agbadou
E. Topçu
Türkiye
53 E. Topçu
R. Yılmaz
Türkiye
33 R. Yılmaz
O. Ndidi
Nigeria
4 O. Ndidi
M. Rashica
Substitution
Kosovo
7 M. Rashica
O. Kökçü
Türkiye
10 O. Kökçü
J. Olaitan
Substitution
Benin
15 J. Olaitan
E. Toure
Substitution
Mali
19 E. Toure
H. Oh
South Korea
9 H. Oh
Pitch
I. Grbić
Croatia
13 I. Grbić
F. Mladenović
Serbia
25 F. Mladenović
I. Lichnovsky Osorio
Chile
3 I. Lichnovsky Osorio
D. Biraschi
Italy
4 D. Biraschi
R. Sousa Esgaio
Portugal
47 R. Sousa Esgaio
B. Kalayci
Substitution
Germany
72 B. Kalayci
B. Elmaz
Substitution
Türkiye
6 B. Elmaz
B. Özcan
Türkiye
8 B. Özcan
A. Traore
Substitution
Ivory Coast
88 A. Traore
S. Larsson
Substitution
Sweden
23 S. Larsson
S. Da Luiz Junior
Substitution
Brazil
70 S. Da Luiz Junior

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 27, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Beşiktaş Park
Capacity :
42590
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Mehmet Salih Mazlum
Batuhan Kolak
Ayberk Demirbaş
Bilal Gölen

Statistics

Possession
BES
65%
Fatih Karagümrük
35%

Top Statistics

3 Big Chances Created 1
13 Shots 5
37 Dangerous attacks 25
70 Possession 30
5 Corners 2
15 Free kicks 12
2 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

93 Ball Safe 72
3 Substitutions 5
0 Injuries 2
16 Goal Attempts 9
18 Throwins 11
13 Dribble Attempts 10
54 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
7 Successful Dribbles 5
17 Successful Headers 8
8 Goal Kicks 7
2 Hit Woodwork 1

Attacking

84 Attacks 72
3 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

18 Successful Long Passes 12
50 Successful Long Passes Percentage 33
36 Long Passes 36
687 Passes 282
615 Successful Passes 223
90 Successful Passes Percentage 79
15 Key Passes 10

Defensive

48 Duels Won 37
9 Tackles 14
3 Interceptions 15
3 Saves 7

Build-up

25 Total Crosses 13
9 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

12 Fouls 15
3 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Batuhan Kolak

Starting XI ▼

32
Devis Vásquez
Devis Vásquez Goalkeeper
12
Emmanuel Agbadou
Emmanuel Agbadou Defender
7.16
22
Taylan Bulut
Taylan Bulut Defender
6.39
33
Rıdvan Yılmaz
Rıdvan Yılmaz Defender
6.72
53
Emirhan Topçu
Emirhan Topçu Defender
7.03
4
Wilfred Ndidi
Wilfred Ndidi Midfielder
6.99
7
Milot Rashica
Milot Rashica Midfielder
6.76
18
Vaclav Cerny
Vaclav Cerny
Attacker66'
7.06
10
Orkun Kökçü
Orkun Kökçü Midfielder
7.63
15
Junior Olaitan
Junior Olaitan Midfielder
6.92
23
Kristjan Asllani
Kristjan Asllani
Midfielder81'
6.66
19
El Bilal Touré
El Bilal Touré Midfielder
6.95
91
Mustafa Hekimoğlu
Mustafa Hekimoğlu
Attacker81'
6.63
9
Hyeon-gyu Oh
Hyeon-gyu Oh Attacker
7.31
Referee : Batuhan Kolak

Starting XI ▼

13
Ivo Grbic
Ivo Grbic Goalkeeper
7.02
3
Igor Lichnovsky
Igor Lichnovsky Defender
6.86
4
Davide Biraschi
Davide Biraschi Defender
6.51
25
Filip Mladenovic
Filip Mladenovic Defender
6.77
47
Ricardo Esgaio
Ricardo Esgaio Defender
6.5
6
Bartuğ Elmaz
Bartuğ Elmaz Midfielder
6.82
21
Tiago Çukur
Tiago Çukur
Attacker72'
6.68
8
Berkay Özcan
Berkay Özcan Midfielder
6.68
72
Barış Kalaycı
Barış Kalaycı Midfielder
6.68
33
Çağtay Kurukalıp
Çağtay Kurukalıp
Defender78'
6.79
88
Ahmed Traore
Ahmed Traore Midfielder
6.56
80
Shavy Babicka
Shavy Babicka
Attacker56'
6.68
23
Sam Larsson
Sam Larsson Attacker
6.92
5
Matías Kranevitter
Matías Kranevitter
Midfielder56'
6.55
70
Serginho
Serginho Attacker
6.86
94
Anıl Yiğit Çınar
Anıl Yiğit Çınar
Defender78'
6.75

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Kristjan Asllani → Junior Olaitan
7th Substitution
81'
Event
Mustafa Hekimoğlu → El Bilal Touré
8th Substitution
81'
78'
Event
Çağtay Kurukalıp → Barış Kalaycı
6th Substitution
78'
Event
Anıl Yiğit Çınar → Serginho
5th Substitution
Event
Rıdvan Yılmaz
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
77'
75'
Event
Filip Mladenovic
Time wasting / 3rd Yellowcard
75'
Event
Igor Lichnovsky
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
72'
Event
Tiago Çukur → Bartuğ Elmaz
4th Substitution
Event
Vaclav Cerny → Milot Rashica
3rd Substitution
66'
56'
Event
Matías Kranevitter → Sam Larsson
2nd Substitution
56'
Event
Shavy Babicka → Ahmed Traore
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
35'
Event
Ahmed Traore
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Emirhan Topçu
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
14'

CONCLUSION

The 0-0 draw encapsulated Beşiktaş's possession-heavy display without end product, as Fatih Karagümrük's compact defense held firm. With 70% ball control, the home team generated pressure but faltered in conversion, true to a moderate deviation profile. Market consensus for a stalemate proved spot-on, reinforcing alignment in a low-scoring affair. Absent xG metrics limit deeper chance analysis, yet efficiency held steady. No disruptions like reds or adjustments marked the game, preserving its even keel. This outcome tempers Beşiktaş's ambitions, spotlighting need for sharper finishing amid dominance.

Beşiktaş vs Fatih Karagümrük preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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