Benfica vs Nacional Prediction, Preview and Stats

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica Sun, 12 Apr - 5:00 PM
Liga Portugal
Benfica SLB
2 Winner 0
Nacional CDN
Full Time Sun, 12 Apr 5:00 PM
Round 29 Regular Season
Rafa Silva - 14'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

The match between Benfica and Nacional is now finished, ending with a full-time score of 2-0 to the home side. Pre-match expectations had strongly favored Benfica with an 81 percent likelihood of victory against just 6 percent for Nacional, and the result delivered a significant deviation in Benfica's favor. As the stronger team throughout, they converted their superiority into a comfortable win, leading 2-0 at halftime and preventing any comeback. Benfica held 58 percent possession to Nacional's 42 percent, though expected goals data was unavailable. The efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations, and the outcome aligned fully with the pre-match projection. No red cards were issued to either team, so the result was unaffected by disciplinary events.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Benfica showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

Fabio Verssimo

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

P. de Sá Martins

1st Assistant

H. Marques

2nd Assistant

M. Viegas Brazão

4th Official

Benfica José Mourinho
José Mourinho
VS
Nacional T. Carvalho Margarido
T. Carvalho Margarido
2.4
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.75
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Casa Pia Rank: D
Vitória Guimarães Rank: W
Arouca Rank: W
Porto Rank: D
Gil Vicente Rank: W
AVS Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Estrela Amadora Rank: W
Famalicão Rank: L
Estoril Rank: L
Moreirense Rank: D
Sporting Braga Rank: L
Arouca Rank: L
24
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
24 - 5 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Benfica
80.96%
Draw
12.87%
Away Nacional
6.16%

Movement

Changes since opening
Benfica
-16.9%
Draw
+10.95%
Nacional
+5.94%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
38.92
13.71
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Benfica
Nacional
Power Score
38.92
13.71
League Position
3
15
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Benfica — Opponent-weighted form score
Nacional — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Benfica Nacional

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Benfica

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Nacional

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Benfica ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Nacional
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
48.19
18.81
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
18.81
48.19
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Benfica +2.84 Efficiency Index
vs
Nacional -2.84 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Benfica
Nacional
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Benfica ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Nacional
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Benfica Nacional
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Benfica Nacional
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Benfica
Nacional
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Benfica
vs
Nacional
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Benfica Nacional
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Benfica 0.30
Nacional 0.39
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Benfica Nacional
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Benfica 0.00
Nacional 0.03
Benfica
Nacional
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SLB had peak pressure around 44'.
  • SLB started the game with stronger pressure.
SLB Pressure CDN Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SLB reached the top pressure at 44' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Benfica SLB Home
31 matches
Nacional CDN Away
Match Record
24
Wins
2
5
Draws
5
2
Losses
24
Goals
82
Goals Scored
22
22
Goals Conceded
82
+60
Goal Difference
-60

Data last updated: 2026-04-13T00:09:57+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
A. Trubin
Ukraine
1 A. Trubin
A. Dedić
Bosnia and Herzegovina
17 A. Dedić
A. Tavares Silva
Portugal
4 A. Tavares Silva
N. Otamendi
Argentina
30 N. Otamendi
S. Dahl
Sweden
26 S. Dahl
R. Rios
Substitution
Colombia
20 R. Rios
L. Barreiro Martins
Luxembourg
18 L. Barreiro Martins
G. Prestianni Gross
Substitution
Argentina
25 G. Prestianni Gross
R. Fernandes Ferreira da Silva
Substitution
Portugal
27 R. Fernandes Ferreira da Silva
A. Schjelderup
Substitution
Norway
21 A. Schjelderup
V. Pavlidis
Substitution
Greece
14 V. Pavlidis
Pitch
K. Pereira Azarias
Brazil
1 K. Pereira Azarias
J. Mendes Gomes
Substitution
Portugal
5 J. Mendes Gomes
J. Lima Cardoso
Brazil
38 J. Lima Cardoso
L. Rodrigues dos Santos
Brazil
34 L. Rodrigues dos Santos
A. Núñez Duarte
Paraguay
16 A. Núñez Duarte
I. Liziero Pereira
Brazil
28 I. Liziero Pereira
Matheus Dias
Substitution
Brazil
6 Matheus Dias
C. Abidi
Substitution
Tunisia
15 C. Abidi
W. Quembo
Substitution
Mozambique
7 W. Quembo
J. Ramírez Díaz
Venezuela
9 J. Ramírez Díaz
D. de Melo Araujo Junior
Substitution
Brazil
10 D. de Melo Araujo Junior

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 12, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Capacity :
68100
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Fabio Verssimo
Pedro Nuno de Sá Martins
Hugo Marques
Marcos Roberto Viegas Brazão

Statistics

Possession
SLB
58%
CDN
42%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
3 Big Chances Created 0
24 Shots 7
79 Dangerous attacks 18
58 Possession 42
15 Corners 1
17 Free kicks 13
1 Yellow Cards 5

Match Overview

27 Dribble Attempts 18
44 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
19 Throwins 7
12 Successful Headers 16
2 Assists 0
6 Goal Kicks 11
12 Successful Dribbles 9
1 Hit Woodwork 0
67 Ball Safe 62
1 Penalties 0
5 Substitutions 5
13 Goal Attempts 5
0 Injuries 1

Attacking

111 Attacks 56
1 Big Chances Missed 0
0 Counter Attacks 1

Possession

467 Passes 355
87 Successful Passes Percentage 81
42 Long Passes 66
26 Successful Long Passes 30
405 Successful Passes 287
62 Successful Long Passes Percentage 45
15 Key Passes 6

Defensive

13 Tackles 25
7 Interceptions 6
4 Saves 6

Build-up

27 Total Crosses 5
9 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

13 Fouls 18
3 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Fabio Verssimo

Starting XI ▼

1
Anatoliy Trubin
Anatoliy Trubin Goalkeeper
4
António Silva
António Silva Defender
17
Amar Dedić
Amar Dedić Defender
26
Samuel Dahl
Samuel Dahl Defender
30
Nicolás Otamendi
Nicolás Otamendi Defender
18
Leandro Barreiro
Leandro Barreiro Midfielder
20
Richard Ríos
Richard Ríos Midfielder
5
Enzo Barrenechea
Enzo Barrenechea
Midfielder79'
21
Andreas Schjelderup
Andreas Schjelderup Midfielder
77
Gonçalo Moreira
Gonçalo Moreira
Midfielder90+2'
25
Gianluca Prestianni
Gianluca Prestianni Midfielder
11
Dodi Lukébakio
Dodi Lukébakio
Attacker78'
27
Rafa Silva
Rafa Silva Midfielder
8
Fredrik Aursnes
Fredrik Aursnes
Midfielder78'
14
Vangelis Pavlidis
Vangelis Pavlidis Attacker
9
Franjo Ivanović
Franjo Ivanović
Attacker77'
Referee : Fabio Verssimo

Starting XI ▼

1
Kaique
Kaique Goalkeeper
5
José Gomes
José Gomes Defender
24
L. Vallier
L. Vallier
Defender83'
16
Alan Nuñez
Alan Nuñez Defender
34
Léo Santos
Léo Santos Defender
38
Ze Vitor
Ze Vitor Defender
6
Matheus Dias
Matheus Dias Midfielder
22
Filipe Soares
Filipe Soares
Midfielder61'
15
Chiheb Labidi
Chiheb Labidi Midfielder
26
Joel Silva
Joel Silva
Midfielder83'
28
Liziero
Liziero Midfielder
7
Witiness Quembo
Witiness Quembo Attacker
99
Pablo Ruan
Pablo Ruan
Attacker61'
9
Jesús Ramírez
Jesús Ramírez Attacker
10
Daniel Jr
Daniel Jr Attacker
2
João Aurélio
João Aurélio
Defender90+1'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+4'
Event
L. Vallier
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Gonçalo Moreira → Andreas Schjelderup
10th Substitution
90+2'
90+1'
Event
João Aurélio → Daniel Jr
9th Substitution
90'
Event
Joel Silva
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
83'
Event
Joel Silva → Chiheb Labidi
7th Substitution
83'
Event
L. Vallier → José Gomes
8th Substitution
Event
Enzo Barrenechea → Richard Ríos
6th Substitution
79'
Event
Fredrik Aursnes → Rafa Silva
4th Substitution
78'
Event
Dodi Lukébakio → Gianluca Prestianni
5th Substitution
78'
Event
Franjo Ivanović → Vangelis Pavlidis
3rd Substitution
77'
67'
Event
Jesús Ramírez
Offside / Goal Disallowed
61'
Event
Pablo Ruan → Witiness Quembo
1st Substitution
61'
Event
Filipe Soares → Matheus Dias
2nd Substitution
Event
Vangelis Pavlidis
GoalkeeperSave
58'
58'
Event
Matheus Dias
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
56'
Event
Léo Santos
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
50'
Event
Witiness Quembo
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Event
Samuel Dahl
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
22'
Event
Rafa Silva
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
14'
Event
Andreas Schjelderup
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
3'

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Joel Silva from CD Nacional receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
90
Update Update
Chuchu Ramírez from CD Nacional wins a free kick in the attacking half.
90
Attempt Attempt
Dodi Lukébakio's left-footed shot from outside the box for Benfica is blocked.
90
Update Update
Andreas Schjelderup from Benfica wins a free kick on the left wing.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Léo Santos of CD Nacional.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Lenny Vallier of CD Nacional receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Benfica: Gonçalo Moreira comes on for Andreas Schjelderup.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for CD Nacional: João Aurélio comes on for Daniel Júnior.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with Benfica winning 2-0 against CD Nacional.
90
Update Update
Lenny Vallier of CD Nacional wins a free kick in the defensive half.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 4 minutes of added time.
90
Update Update
Nicolás Otamendi from Benfica wins a free kick in the defensive half.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by António Silva of Benfica.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Benfica: Gonçalo Moreira comes on for Andreas Schjelderup.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Lenny Vallier of CD Nacional.
89
Update Update
Foul committed by Samuel Dahl of Benfica.
89
Corner Corner
Amar Dedic's right-footed shot from the center of the box is saved in the bottom right corner by Kaique. The attempt was assisted by Franjo Ivanovic.
89
Update Update
Foul committed by Daniel Júnior of CD Nacional.
88
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Kaique from CD Nacional.
87
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. António Silva's header from very close range is saved.
86
Update Update
Dodi Lukébakio of Benfica wins a free kick in the attacking half.
86
Update Update
Foul committed by Daniel Júnior of CD Nacional.
85
Corner Corner
Benfica wins a corner after Kaique concedes.
85
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Franjo Ivanovic from Benfica has his right-footed shot from the right side of the box saved in the bottom right corner by Kaique from CD Nacional. The shot was assisted by Leandro Barreiro with a headed pass.
85
Corner Corner
Leandro Barreiro's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is saved in the top left corner by Kaique.
84
Attempt Attempt
Andreas Schjelderup's right-footed shot from the left side of the six-yard box is blocked.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for CD Nacional: Lenny Vallier comes on for José Gomes.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for CD Nacional: Joel Silva comes on for Chiheb Labidi.
82
Corner Corner
Benfica wins a corner after Liziero concedes.
82
Attempt Attempt
Andreas Schjelderup's left-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked.
82
Corner Corner
Nicolás Otamendi of Benfica misses an attempt with a header from the center of the box, sending it high and wide to the left. The attempt was assisted by Andreas Schjelderup after a corner.
81
Corner Corner
Benfica is awarded a corner after Zé Vítor concedes.
80
Update Update
Filipe Soares from CD Nacional wins a free kick in the defensive half.
80
Update Update
Foul committed by Leandro Barreiro of Benfica.
79
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Benfica: Enzo Barrenechea comes on for Richard Ríos due to an injury.
79
Update Update
Foul committed by Leandro Barreiro of Benfica.
79
Update Update
Léo Santos from CD Nacional is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
78
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Richard Ríos from Benfica.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Benfica: Fredrik Aursnes comes on for Rafa.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Benfica: Dodi Lukébakio comes on for Gianluca Prestianni.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Benfica: Franjo Ivanovic comes on for Vangelis Pavlidis.
77
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Vangelis Pavlidis from Benfica, who headed the ball from the right side of the six-yard box.
76
Corner Corner
Chuchu Ramírez of CD Nacional has his left-footed shot from outside the box saved in the bottom left corner by Anatoliy Trubin of Benfica. The attempt was assisted by Pablo Ruan.
75
Attempt Attempt
Pablo Ruan's header from the center of the box is saved in the top center of the goal by Anatoliy Trubin. The attempt was assisted by Liziero's cross.
74
Corner Corner
Corner, CD Nacional. Conceded by Amar Dedic.
73
Update Update
Pablo Ruan of CD Nacional wins a free kick in the defensive half.
73
Update Update
Foul by Amar Dedic of Benfica.
71
Update Update
Foul by Vangelis Pavlidis of Benfica.
71
Update Update
Zé Vítor of CD Nacional is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
70
Update Update
Foul committed by Andreas Schjelderup of Benfica.
70
Update Update
Daniel Júnior from CD Nacional wins a free kick in the defensive half.
69
Update Update
Foul by Andreas Schjelderup of Benfica.
69
Update Update
Pablo Ruan of CD Nacional is caught offside.
69
Update Update
Alan Núñez from CD Nacional wins a free kick on the right wing.
68
Update Update
Foul committed by Filipe Soares of CD Nacional.
68
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Rafa from Benfica with a header from the center of the box.
68
Update Update
Leandro Barreiro from Benfica wins a free kick in the defensive half.
67
Update Update
Foul committed by Zé Vítor of CD Nacional.
67
Update Update
Vangelis Pavlidis from Benfica wins a free kick in the defensive half.
66
Update Update
Richard Ríos of Benfica wins a free kick in the defensive half.
66
Update Update
Foul by Chiheb Labidi - CD Nacional
64
Update Update
Gianluca Prestianni of Benfica is caught offside.
63
Update Update
Foul committed by Zé Vítor of CD Nacional.
63
Corner Corner
Benfica wins a corner after Zé Vítor concedes.
63
Update Update
Vangelis Pavlidis from Benfica wins a free kick in the defensive half.
62
Update Update
Rafa from Benfica wins a free kick in the defensive half.
62
Update Update
Foul committed by Léo Santos of CD Nacional.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for CD Nacional: Pablo Ruan comes on for Witi.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for CD Nacional: Filipe Soares comes on for Matheus Dias.
61
Attempt Attempt
José Gomes from CD Nacional misses a left-footed shot from outside the box, sending it to the right. Pablo Ruan provided the assist.
60
Corner Corner
Benfica wins a corner after Matheus Dias concedes.
60
Corner Corner
António Silva of Benfica misses a header from the center of the box, sending it to the left. He was assisted by Gianluca Prestianni, who provided a cross after a corner.
59
Attempt Attempt
Andreas Schjelderup's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
59
Corner Corner
Benfica wins a corner after Chiheb Labidi concedes.
58
Update Update
Foul by Matheus Dias of CD Nacional.
58
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Matheus Dias of CD Nacional receives a yellow card for a foul.
58
Update Update
Andreas Schjelderup from Benfica wins a free kick in the attacking half.
58
Corner Corner
Penalty saved! Vangelis Pavlidis from Benfica had his right-footed shot saved in the bottom left corner by Kaique from CD Nacional.
56
Update Update
Léo Santos of CD Nacional concedes a penalty after committing a foul in the penalty area.
56
Update Update
Benfica awarded a penalty after Andreas Schjelderup is fouled in the penalty area.
56
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Léo Santos from CD Nacional receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
54
Attempt Attempt
Chiheb Labidi's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Daniel Júnior.
52
Attempt Attempt
Andreas Schjelderup's right-footed shot from the left side of the box is saved.
52
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Júnior's left-footed shot from the right side of the box is saved in the center of the goal by Anatoliy Trubin. The attempt was assisted by Matheus Dias.
50
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Witi from CD Nacional receives a yellow card for a foul.
50
Corner Corner
Benfica is awarded a corner after José Gomes concedes.
46
Update Update
Leandro Barreiro from Benfica wins a free kick in the attacking half.
46
Update Update
Foul committed by Chiheb Labidi of CD Nacional.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 1 minute of added time.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Andreas Schjelderup of Benfica.
45
Corner Corner
Benfica wins a corner after Zé Vítor concedes.
45
Update Update
Daniel Júnior from CD Nacional wins a free kick in the defensive half.
45
Update Update
José Gomes of CD Nacional is caught offside.
45
Update Update
First half ends with Benfica leading 2-0 against CD Nacional.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at Benfica 2, CD Nacional 0.
43
Corner Corner
Benfica wins a corner after Alan Núñez concedes.
42
Update Update
Vangelis Pavlidis of Benfica misses a header from the center of the box, sending it to the left. The cross was provided by Leandro Barreiro.
40
Corner Corner
Amar Dedic from Benfica misses a right-footed shot from the right side of the box, just missing the top right corner.
40
Attempt Attempt
Gianluca Prestianni from Benfica hits the woodwork with a right-footed shot from outside the box.
39
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Rafa from Benfica has a right-footed shot from the center of the box.
37
Corner Corner
Benfica wins a corner after Zé Vítor concedes.
37
Attempt Attempt
Gianluca Prestianni's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. Nicolás Otamendi provided the assist.
37
Corner Corner
Benfica wins a corner after Zé Vítor concedes.
37
Corner Corner
Benfica is awarded a corner after Liziero concedes.
36
Update Update
Foul committed by Zé Vítor of CD Nacional.
36
Update Update
Vangelis Pavlidis from Benfica wins a free kick on the right wing.
34
Update Update
Foul committed by Liziero of CD Nacional.
34
Update Update
Foul committed by Liziero of CD Nacional.
31
Update Update
Foul committed by Richard Ríos of Benfica.
31
Update Update
Matheus Dias from CD Nacional wins a free kick in the defensive half.
30
Update Update
Richard Ríos of Benfica wins a free kick in the defensive half.
30
Update Update
Foul by Liziero of CD Nacional.
29
Update Update
Foul committed by Richard Ríos of Benfica.
29
Update Update
Matheus Dias from CD Nacional wins a free kick in the defensive half.
27
Update Update
Samuel Dahl of Benfica wins a free kick on the left wing.
27
Update Update
Foul committed by Alan Núñez of CD Nacional.
25
Corner Corner
Benfica wins a corner after José Gomes concedes.
25
Attempt Attempt
António Silva's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
24
Corner Corner
Benfica wins a corner after Zé Vítor concedes.
22
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Samuel Dahl of Benfica receives a yellow card for a foul.
22
Update Update
Daniel Júnior from CD Nacional wins a free kick in the defensive half.
22
Update Update
Foul committed by Samuel Dahl of Benfica.
20
Update Update
Foul committed by Zé Vítor of CD Nacional.
20
Update Update
Richard Ríos from Benfica wins a free kick in the attacking half.
20
Corner Corner
Benfica wins a corner after Léo Santos concedes.
16
Update Update
José Gomes from CD Nacional wins a free kick in the defensive half.
16
Update Update
Foul by Gianluca Prestianni of Benfica.
14
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Benfica leads 2-0 against CD Nacional as Rafa scores with a right-footed shot from the center of the box.
14
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Witi from CD Nacional has a left-footed shot from outside the box, but Anatoliy Trubin from Benfica saves it in the bottom right corner.
13
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Rafa from Benfica heads the ball from the center of the box.
10
Corner Corner
Benfica wins a corner after Léo Santos concedes.
9
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Liziero from CD Nacional has a left-footed shot from outside the box.
9
Update Update
Rafa from Benfica is caught offside.
3
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Benfica leads 1-0 against CD Nacional. Andreas Schjelderup scores for Benfica with a left-footed shot from the left side of the six-yard box into the center of the goal, assisted by Gianluca Prestianni's cross.
2
Update Update
Andreas Schjelderup from Benfica wins a free kick in the defensive half.
2
Update Update
Foul committed by Alan Núñez of CD Nacional.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Benfica exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.