Belgium vs Iran Prediction, Preview and Stats

2026 World Cup, World
Los Angeles Stadium Sun, 21 Jun - 7:00 PM
World Cup
Belgium BEL
0 – 0
Iran IRN
Full Time Sun, 21 Jun 7:00 PM
Round 2 Group Stage
Nathan Ngoy 66' Red Card
|

CONTEXT

Belgium faced Iran in a match that concluded with a 0-0 scoreline. The first half ended level at 0-0 as neither side found the net despite Belgium controlling 70 percent of possession. Belgium registered an expected goals figure of 2.06 while Iran managed 0.69 creating a differential of 1.37. The stronger side Belgium was unable to convert territorial dominance into goals. A red card issued to Belgium altered the second half dynamics. The outcome proved inconsistent with underlying metrics and reflected a significant deviation for the favored team. Iran defended compactly to secure the stalemate against expectations.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Belgium showed a significant 79.2 percent deviation from expected performance levels.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiency remained in line with pre-match projections throughout the contest.
  • xG alignment: Final outcome was not consistent with the recorded xG differential of 1.37.
  • Market alignment: Result did not align with market expectations for the stronger side.
  • xG expectations: Belgium generated 2.06 xG against Iran's 0.69 in a dominant display.
  • Event impact: The 0-0 draw occurred despite clear xG superiority for Belgium.
  • Red card distortion: Belgium's red card created second half adjustments that influenced the result.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

D. Herrera

Argentina 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 4 0.36
Fouls / match 30.4
Yellow cards / match 4
Red cards / match 0.36
Penalties / match 0.36

Other match officials

C. Navarro

1st Assistant

Argentina

G. Chade

2nd Assistant

Argentina

Y. Araki

4th Official

Japan

League averages

World Cup Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 11.56
Yellow cards / match 1.29
Red cards / match 0.11
Penalties / match 0.08
Belgium R. Garcia
R. Garcia
VS
Iran A. Ghalenoei
A. Ghalenoei
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Egypt Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
New Zealand Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Belgium
66.95%
Draw
20.78%
Away Iran
12.27%

Movement

Changes since opening
Belgium
+62.48%
Draw
-71.15%
Iran
+8.66%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
20.74
14.07
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Belgium
Iran
Power Score
20.74
14.07
League Position
2
1
Global Rank
9
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Belgium — Opponent-weighted form score
Iran — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Belgium Iran

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Belgium

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Iran

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Belgium ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Iran
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
39.71
27.50
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.50
39.71
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Belgium +1.10 Efficiency Index
vs
Iran -1.10 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Belgium
Iran
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Belgium
vs
Iran
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Belgium Iran
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
12%
62%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.26 vs -0.43
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Belgium Iran
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
62%
12%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.43 vs -0.26
Belgium
Iran
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Belgium
vs
Iran
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Belgium Iran
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Belgium 0.24
Iran 0.28
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Belgium Iran
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Belgium 0.00
Iran 0.00
Belgium
Iran
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BEL had peak pressure around 73'.
  • BEL started the game with stronger pressure.
BEL Pressure IRN Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BEL reached the top pressure at 73' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Belgium BEL Home
0 matches
Iran IRN Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-06-22T00:00:31+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 5-4-1
Pitch
T. Courtois
Belgium
1 T. Courtois
T. Meunier
Substitution
Belgium
15 T. Meunier
N. Ngoy
Belgium
25 N. Ngoy
B. Mechele
Belgium
4 B. Mechele
M. De Cuyper
Belgium
5 M. De Cuyper
N. Raskin
Substitution
Belgium
23 N. Raskin
Y. Tielemans
Belgium
8 (C) Y. Tielemans
A. Saelemaekers
Substitution
Belgium
22 A. Saelemaekers
K. De Bruyne
Substitution
Belgium
7 K. De Bruyne
L. Trossard
Belgium
10 L. Trossard
R. Lukaku Menama
Substitution
Belgium
9 R. Lukaku Menama
Pitch
A. Safar Beiranvand
Iran
1 A. Safar Beiranvand
E. Hajsafi
Substitution
Iran
3 (C) E. Hajsafi
A. Nemati
Iran
19 A. Nemati
S. Khalilzadeh
Iran
4 S. Khalilzadeh
M. Kanani Zadegan
Iran
13 M. Kanani Zadegan
S. Hardani
Substitution
Iran
2 S. Hardani
M. Mohebi
Substitution
Iran
8 M. Mohebi
S. Ezatolahi Afagh
Substitution
Iran
6 S. Ezatolahi Afagh
S. Ghoddos
Substitution
Iran
14 S. Ghoddos
R. Rezaeian
Iran
23 R. Rezaeian
M. Taremi
Iran
9 M. Taremi

General Information

Date & Time :
Jun 21, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition :
2026 World Cup, World · Round 2 · Group Stage
Stadium :
Los Angeles Stadium
Capacity :
70242
Attendance :
70317
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Darío Herrera
Cristian Navarro
Gabriel Chade
Yusuke Araki

Statistics

Possession
BEL
66%
IRN
34%

Top Statistics

1 Big Chances Created 0
16 Shots 4
96 Dangerous attacks 25
70 Possession 30
4 Corners 2
13 Free kicks 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

81 Ball Safe 91
4 Goal Kicks 12
15 Goal Attempts 6
5 Substitutions 5
26 Throwins 8
18 Successful Headers 18
0 Injuries 1
21 Dribble Attempts 5
13 Successful Dribbles 2
62 Successful Dribbles Percentage 40

Attacking

154 Attacks 63
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

35 Long Passes 49
622 Passes 268
534 Successful Passes 198
86 Successful Passes Percentage 74
16 Key Passes 6
12 Successful Long Passes 18
34 Successful Long Passes Percentage 37

Defensive

3 Saves 7
11 Tackles 20
3 Interceptions 13
50 Duels Won 45

Build-up

32 Total Crosses 8
6 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

3 Offsides 4
7 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Darío Herrera

Starting XI ▼

1
Thibaut Courtois
Thibaut Courtois Goalkeeper
7.03
4
Brandon Mechele
Brandon Mechele Defender
7.19
5
Maxim De Cuyper
Maxim De Cuyper Defender
7.6
15
Thomas Meunier
Thomas Meunier Defender
6.8
21
Timothy Castagne
Timothy Castagne
Defender58'
7.03
25
Nathan Ngoy
Nathan Ngoy Defender
6.45
7
Kevin De Bruyne
Kevin De Bruyne Midfielder
7.7
26
Matías Fernández-Pardo
Matías Fernández-Pardo
Attacker87'
8
Youri Tielemans
Youri Tielemans (C) Midfielder
7.7
10
Leandro Trossard
Leandro Trossard Midfielder
7.7
22
Alexis Saelemaekers
Alexis Saelemaekers Midfielder
6.52
14
Dodi Lukébakio
Dodi Lukébakio
Attacker58'
6.77
23
Nicolas Raskin
Nicolas Raskin Midfielder
6.7
20
Hans Vanaken
Hans Vanaken
Midfielder58'
6.81
9
Romelu Lukaku
Romelu Lukaku Attacker
6.21
3
Arthur Theate
Arthur Theate
Defender73'
6.68
Referee : Darío Herrera

Starting XI ▼

1
Alireza Beiranvand
Alireza Beiranvand Goalkeeper
9.04
2
Saleh Hardani
Saleh Hardani Defender
6.43
7
Alireza Jahanbakhsh
Alireza Jahanbakhsh
Attacker46'
6.6
3
Ehsan Hajsafi
Ehsan Hajsafi (C) Defender
6.38
5
Milad Mohammadi
Milad Mohammadi
Defender66'
6.66
4
Shoja Khalilzadeh
Shoja Khalilzadeh Defender
8.07
13
Hossein Kanaani
Hossein Kanaani Defender
7.53
19
Ali Nemati
Ali Nemati Defender
6.78
6
Saeed Ezatolahi
Saeed Ezatolahi Midfielder
7.06
18
Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh
Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh
Attacker85'
6.56
8
Mohammad Mohebi
Mohammad Mohebi Midfielder
6.36
16
Mehdi Torabi
Mehdi Torabi
Midfielder66'
6.57
14
Saman Ghoddos
Saman Ghoddos Midfielder
6.74
20
Shahriar Moghanlou
Shahriar Moghanlou
Attacker79'
6.65
23
Ramin Rezaeian
Ramin Rezaeian Midfielder
6.65
9
Mehdi Taremi
Mehdi Taremi Attacker
6.6

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Matías Fernández-Pardo → Kevin De Bruyne 
10th Substitution
87'
85'
Event
Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh → Saeed Ezatolahi
9th Substitution
79'
Event
Shahriar Moghanlou → Saman Ghoddos
8th Substitution
Event
Arthur Theate → Romelu Lukaku
7th Substitution
73'
Event
Nathan Ngoy
Professional foul last man / 1st Redcard
66'
66'
Event
Milad Mohammadi → Ehsan Hajsafi
5th Substitution
66'
Event
Mehdi Torabi → Mohammad Mohebi
6th Substitution
Event
Timothy Castagne → Thomas Meunier
2nd Substitution
58'
Event
Dodi Lukébakio → Alexis Saelemaekers
3rd Substitution
58'
Event
Hans Vanaken → Nicolas Raskin
4th Substitution
58'
46'
Event
Alireza Jahanbakhsh → Saleh Hardani
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
33'
Event
Saeed Ezatolahi
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
27'
Event
Mehdi Taremi
Goal disallowed
Event
Romelu Lukaku
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
3'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 5 minutes of added time.
90
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Brandon Mechele from Belgium, who headed the ball from the center of the box.
90
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Matias Fernandez-Pardo (Belgium) takes a right-footed shot from outside the box.
90
Attempt Attempt
Dodi Lukébakio from Belgium attempts a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it goes close and misses to the left. Timothy Castagne provided the assist.
88
Update Update
Milad Mohammadi of IR Iran is caught offside.
88
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 5 minutes of added time.
87
Update Update
Offside against IR Iran. Shahriyar Moghanloo is flagged for offside.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Belgium: Matias Fernandez-Pardo comes on for Kevin De Bruyne.
86
Attempt Attempt
Maxim De Cuyper's right-footed shot from the center of the box is saved.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for IR Iran: Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh comes on for Saeid Ezatolahi.
84
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Youri Tielemans (Belgium) took a left-footed shot from the left side of the box after a set piece.
84
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Hans Vanaken's left-footed shot from the center of the box goes wide to the left, assisted by Youri Tielemans' cross.
83
Update Update
Dodi Lukébakio of Belgium is awarded a free kick on the right wing.
83
Update Update
Foul committed by Shoja Khalilzadeh of Iran.
81
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Saeid Ezatolahi from Iran has his right-footed shot from outside the box saved.
80
Update Update
Maxim De Cuyper wins a free kick for Belgium in the defensive half.
80
Update Update
Foul committed by Alireza Jahanbakhsh of Iran.
79
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for IR Iran: Shahriyar Moghanloo comes on for Saman Ghoddos.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Belgium: Arthur Theate comes on for Romelu Lukaku.
73
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
70
Update Update
The match is currently delayed for a drinks break.
67
Red Card Red Card Important
Nathan Ngoy from Belgium receives a red card.
66
Update Update
Nathan Ngoy commits a foul for Belgium.
66
Update Update
Mehdi Taremi from IR Iran wins a free kick in the attacking half.
66
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for IR Iran: Milad Mohammadi comes on for Ehsan Hajisafi.
66
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for IR Iran: Mehdi Torabi comes on for Mohammad Mohebbi.
65
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to IR Iran after Nathan Ngoy concedes.
65
Corner Corner
Attempt missed. Shoja Khalilzadeh's header from the right side of the six-yard box is close but misses the top right corner. Ramin Rezaeian assisted with a cross after a corner.
64
Update Update
Kevin De Bruyne of Belgium is awarded a free kick in the attacking half.
64
Update Update
Saman Ghoddos commits a foul for IR Iran.
62
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Dodi Lukébakio's left-footed shot from the right side of the box is saved.
62
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Hans Vanaken's left-footed shot from the center of the box goes over the bar.
59
Attempt Attempt
Maxim De Cuyper's right-footed shot from the left side of the six-yard box is saved in the center of the goal by Alireza Beiranvand.
58
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Belgium: Timothy Castagne comes on for Thomas Meunier.
58
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Belgium: Dodi Lukébakio comes on for Alexis Saelemaekers.
58
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Belgium: Hans Vanaken comes on for Nicolas Raskin.
53
Update Update
Leandro Trossard commits a handball for Belgium.
53
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Mehdi Taremi from Iran has his right-footed shot from the center of the box saved in the bottom right corner by Thibaut Courtois of Belgium. The shot was assisted by Hossein Kanani.
51
Attempt Attempt
Maxim De Cuyper's left-footed shot from outside the box for Belgium is blocked.
51
Update Update
Leandro Trossard is caught offside for Belgium.
50
Corner Corner
Attempt missed. Alexis Saelemaekers of Belgium had a right-footed shot from a challenging angle on the right that was close but went wide to the right. He was assisted by Kevin De Bruyne, who provided a cross after a corner.
50
Corner Corner
Belgium wins a corner after Mehdi Taremi concedes.
49
Corner Corner
Belgium wins a corner after Ali Nemati concedes.
47
Update Update
Leandro Trossard from Belgium wins a free kick on the left wing.
47
Update Update
Foul committed by Alireza Jahanbakhsh from Iran.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for IR Iran: Alireza Jahanbakhsh comes on for Saleh Hardani.
46
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at Belgium 0, IR Iran 0.
46
Attempt Attempt
Kevin De Bruyne's right-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked.
46
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Alireza Jahanbakhsh from IR Iran, who took a left-footed shot from the right side of the box but missed to the right. The assist came from Mehdi Taremi with a headed pass.
45
Attempt Attempt
Alexis Saelemaekers from Belgium has a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it is blocked.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 8 minutes of added time.
45
Attempt Attempt
Kevin De Bruyne's right-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. He was assisted by Leandro Trossard.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Saeid Ezatolahi from IR Iran.
45
Update Update
Offside called against Belgium. Alexis Saelemaekers is caught offside.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Thomas Meunier of Belgium.
45
Update Update
Mohammad Mohebbi from Iran wins a free kick on the left wing.
44
Update Update
Mehdi Taremi commits a handball for IR Iran.
44
Attempt Attempt
Maxim De Cuyper's left-footed shot from the left side of the box is saved.
43
Attempt Attempt
Kevin De Bruyne's right-footed shot from the center of the box is saved by Alireza Beiranvand in the center of the goal. Leandro Trossard provided the assist with a through ball.
42
Update Update
Ehsan Hajisafi from IR Iran commits a foul.
38
Update Update
Mehdi Taremi commits a foul for IR Iran.
38
Update Update
Kevin De Bruyne of Belgium wins a free kick in the attacking half.
37
Update Update
Offside called against Belgium. Youri Tielemans is caught offside.
37
Update Update
Kevin De Bruyne from Belgium is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
36
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
35
Update Update
Delay in the match in Belgium.
34
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Saeid Ezatolahi from Iran receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
33
Update Update
The match is currently paused for a drinks break.
33
Update Update
Youri Tielemans from Belgium is awarded a free kick in the attacking half.
33
Update Update
Foul committed by Saeid Ezatolahi of IR Iran.
33
Update Update
Delay is over and the game is set to continue.
30
Update Update
The match is currently delayed for a drinks break.
27
Update Update
VAR is checking the goal scored by Mehdi Taremi for IR Iran.
25
Update Update
Nicolas Raskin commits a handball for Belgium.
25
Attempt Attempt
Goal! IR Iran takes the lead 1-0 against Belgium as Mehdi Taremi scores with a left-footed shot from the center of the box after a set piece.
24
Update Update
Ramin Rezaeian from IR Iran wins a free kick in the attacking half.
23
Corner Corner
Attempt missed. Nathan Ngoy from Belgium takes a right-footed shot from the center of the box after a corner.
22
Corner Corner
Belgium wins a corner, conceded by Alireza Beiranvand.
22
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Youri Tielemans' right-footed shot from the right side of the box is saved in the bottom right corner by Alireza Beiranvand. The assist came from Kevin De Bruyne.
19
Attempt Attempt
Leandro Trossard's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Kevin De Bruyne.
15
Update Update
Mehdi Taremi is caught offside for IR Iran.
15
Corner Corner
Saeid Ezatolahi from IR Iran misses a header from the right side of the six-yard box, sending it close but to the right. Ramin Rezaeian provided the assist with a cross after a corner.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to IR Iran after Thibaut Courtois concedes.
14
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Hossein Kanani's right-footed shot from the center of the box is saved in the bottom left corner by Thibaut Courtois. The shot was assisted by Mehdi Taremi with a headed pass.
13
Update Update
Foul committed by Nathan Ngoy of Belgium.
13
Update Update
Mehdi Taremi from IR Iran is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
11
Update Update
Brandon Mechele commits a foul for Belgium.
11
Update Update
Saleh Hardani from Iran wins a free kick in the defensive half.
10
Attempt Attempt
Romelu Lukaku's left-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked.
9
Attempt Attempt
Maxim De Cuyper's right-footed shot from the center of the box is saved by Alireza Beiranvand in the center of the goal.
9
Attempt Attempt
Kevin De Bruyne's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. Leandro Trossard provided the assist.
8
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Kevin De Bruyne from Belgium, who took a right-footed shot from the left side of the box.
6
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
4
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Alireza Beiranvand from IR Iran.
3
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Romelu Lukaku receives a yellow card.
3
Update Update
Romelu Lukaku commits a foul for Belgium.
3
Update Update
Alireza Beiranvand from IR Iran is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
2
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Dario Herrera.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Belgium 0-0 Iran. Structural assessment: Belgium exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

Belgium vs Iran preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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