Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction, Preview and Stats

Germany flag 2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
BayArena Sat, 4 Apr - 1:30 PM
Bundesliga
Bayer 04 Leverkusen B04
6 Winner 3
VfL Wolfsburg WOB
Full Time Sat, 4 Apr 1:30 PM
Round 28 Regular Season
Malik Tillman - 90+6'
Ibrahim Maza - 73'
Edmond Tapsoba - 68'
Patrik Schick - 53' (P)
Alejandro Grimaldo - 44', 30' (P)
Goal
|
Goal
Christian Eriksen - 38' (P)
Joakim Maehle - 31'
Jonas Wind - 16'

CONTEXT

The match has officially finished with a thrilling full-time scoreline of Bayer 04 Leverkusen 6, VfL Wolfsburg 3. The victory for Leverkusen aligned perfectly with the pre-match market, which heavily favored the home side with a 66.3% win probability compared to a 20% chance of a draw and just 13.7% for Wolfsburg. However, the path to victory represented a significant deviation for Bayer 04 Leverkusen, as they shockingly trailed 3-2 at half-time before unleashing a dominant second-half performance to secure the win. Leverkusen dictated the tempo throughout the contest, commanding an overwhelming 69% of the possession while restricting the visitors to just 31% of the ball. Although expected goals (xG) metrics were unavailable for this fixture, making it impossible to mathematically assess if the final score was consistent with underlying chance creation, the overall efficiency shift remained in line with expectations. The nine-goal spectacle was played without major disciplinary incidents, as zero red cards were issued to either side. Ultimately, despite the first-half scare, the stronger home team fulfilled the market's heavy expectations to secure a spectacular, high-scoring victory.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Bayer 04 Leverkusen showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Petersen

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

P. Ittrich

4th Official

A. Osmanagic

2nd Assistant

R. Wessel

1st Assistant

Bayer 04 Leverkusen K. Hjulmand
K. Hjulmand
VS
VfL Wolfsburg D. Hecking
D. Hecking
1.73
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.73
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Heidenheim Rank: 69 D
FC Bayern München Rank: 99 D
SC Freiburg Rank: 81 D
Hamburger SV Rank: 77 W
FSV Mainz 05 Rank: 81 D
FC Union Berlin Rank: 75 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Werder Bremen Rank: 75 L
TSG Hoffenheim Rank: 85 D
Hamburger SV Rank: 77 L
VfB Stuttgart Rank: 85 L
FC Augsburg Rank: 75 L
RB Leipzig Rank: 86 D
19
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
19 - 9 - 13
13

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Bayer 04 Leverkusen
66.28%
Draw
20.03%
Away VfL Wolfsburg
13.69%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
89.69
73.84
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
VfL Wolfsburg
Power Score
89.69
73.84
League Position
6
17
Global Rank
13
121

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Opponent-weighted form score
VfL Wolfsburg — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Bayer 04 Leverkusen VfL Wolfsburg

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

VfL Wolfsburg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Bayer 04 Leverkusen ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy VfL Wolfsburg
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
42.54
39.19
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
39.19
42.54
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen +0.29 Efficiency Index
vs
VfL Wolfsburg -0.29 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
VfL Wolfsburg
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy VfL Wolfsburg
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Bayer 04 Leverkusen VfL Wolfsburg
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
2.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Bayer 04 Leverkusen VfL Wolfsburg
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 2.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
VfL Wolfsburg
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
vs
VfL Wolfsburg
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Bayer 04 Leverkusen VfL Wolfsburg
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0.29
VfL Wolfsburg 0.48
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Bayer 04 Leverkusen VfL Wolfsburg
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0.13
VfL Wolfsburg 0.07
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
VfL Wolfsburg
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 41 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen B04 Home
41 matches
VfL Wolfsburg WOB Away
Match Record
19
Wins
13
9
Draws
9
13
Losses
19
Goals
77
Goals Scored
63
63
Goals Conceded
77
+14
Goal Difference
-14

Data last updated: 2026-04-05T00:02:58+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
M. Flekken
Netherlands
1 M. Flekken
R. Andrich
Germany
8 R. Andrich
L. Badé
France
5 L. Badé
E. Tapsoba
Burkina Faso
12 E. Tapsoba
M. Amare Culbreath
Germany
42 M. Amare Culbreath
E. Palacios
Argentina
25 E. Palacios
I. Fernández Carballo
Substitution
Argentina
6 I. Fernández Carballo
A. Grimaldo García
Spain
20 A. Grimaldo García
I. Maza
Algeria
30 I. Maza
N. Tella
Substitution
Nigeria
23 N. Tella
C. Kofane
Substitution
35 C. Kofane
Pitch
K. Grabara
Poland
1 K. Grabara
K. Koulierakis
Greece
4 K. Koulierakis
D. Vavro
Slovakia
3 D. Vavro
J. Belocian
France
6 J. Belocian
J. Mæhle
Denmark
21 J. Mæhle
V. de Souza Costa
Brazil
5 V. de Souza Costa
C. Dannemann Eriksen
Substitution
Denmark
24 C. Dannemann Eriksen
S. Kumbedi Nseke
Substitution
France
26 S. Kumbedi Nseke
M. Amoura
Algeria
9 M. Amoura
P. Wimmer
Substitution
Austria
39 P. Wimmer
J. Older Wind
Substitution
Denmark
23 J. Older Wind

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 04, 2026, 01:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany · Round 28 · Regular Season
Stadium :
BayArena
Capacity :
30210
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Martin Petersen
Patrick Ittrich
Asmir Osmanagic
Robert Edgar Wessel

Statistics

Possession
B04
66%
WOB
34%

Top Statistics

6 Goals 3
5 Big Chances Created 6
8 Shots 4
87 Dangerous attacks 23
69 Possession 31
12 Corners 2
9 Free kicks 7
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

8 Successful Dribbles 2
3 Assists 1
57 Successful Dribbles Percentage 20
6 Goal Kicks 8
1 Hit Woodwork 0
22 Throwins 9
2 Penalties 1
15 Successful Headers 17
8 Dribble Attempts 2
20 Goal Attempts 9
3 Substitutions 4
69 Ball Safe 82
1 Injuries 4

Attacking

131 Attacks 48

Possession

621 Passes 282
87 Successful Passes Percentage 76
543 Successful Passes 214
13 Key Passes 7
19 Long Passes 24

Defensive

2 Saves 9
11 Tackles 20
44 Duels Won 47
3 Interceptions 11

Build-up

24 Total Crosses 4

Discipline

8 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Martin Petersen

Starting XI ▼

1
Mark Flekken
Mark Flekken Goalkeeper
5
Loïc Badé
Loïc Badé Defender
8
Robert Andrich
Robert Andrich Defender
12
Edmond Tapsoba
Edmond Tapsoba Defender
6
Ezequiel Fernández
Ezequiel Fernández Midfielder
14
Patrik Schick
Patrik Schick
Attacker46'
20
Alejandro Grimaldo
Alejandro Grimaldo Midfielder
2
25
Exequiel Palacios
Exequiel Palacios Midfielder
42
Montrell Culbreath
Montrell Culbreath Midfielder
23
Nathan Tella
Nathan Tella Attacker
19
Ernest Poku
Ernest Poku
Attacker81'
30
Ibrahim Maza
Ibrahim Maza Attacker
35
Christian Kofane
Christian Kofane Attacker
10
Malik Tillman
Malik Tillman
Midfielder88'
Referee : Martin Petersen

Starting XI ▼

1
Kamil Grabara
Kamil Grabara Goalkeeper
3
Denis Vavro
Denis Vavro Defender
4
Konstantinos Koulierakis
Konstantinos Koulierakis Defender
6
Jeanuël Belocian
Jeanuël Belocian Defender
5
Vinicius de Souza Costa
Vinicius de Souza Costa Midfielder
21
Joakim Maehle
Joakim Maehle Midfielder
24
Christian Eriksen
Christian Eriksen Midfielder
27
Maximilian Arnold
Maximilian Arnold
Midfielder81'
26
Saël Kumbedi
Saël Kumbedi Midfielder
32
Mattias Svanberg
Mattias Svanberg
Midfielder82'
9
Mohamed Amoura
Mohamed Amoura Attacker
23
Jonas Wind
Jonas Wind Attacker
17
Dzenan Pejcinovic
Dzenan Pejcinovic
Attacker81'
39
Patrick Wimmer
Patrick Wimmer Attacker
19
Jesper Lindstrøm
Jesper Lindstrøm
Midfielder66'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Malik Tillman
Right foot shot / 6th Goal
90+6'
Event
Malik Tillman → Christian Kofane
7th Substitution
88'
82'
Event
Mattias Svanberg → Saël Kumbedi
6th Substitution
Event
Ernest Poku → Nathan Tella
5th Substitution
81'
81'
Event
Maximilian Arnold → Christian Eriksen
3rd Substitution
81'
Event
Dzenan Pejcinovic → Jonas Wind
4th Substitution
Event
Ibrahim Maza
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
73'
Event
K. Hjulmand
6th Yellowcard
72'
Event
Kasper Hjulmand
Argument / 8th Yellowcard
72'
71'
Event
Denis Vavro
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
71'
Event
Tripping / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Edmond Tapsoba
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
68'
66'
Event
Jesper Lindstrøm → Patrick Wimmer
2nd Substitution
55'
Event
Konstantinos Koulierakis
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Patrik Schick
Left foot shot / 3rd Penalty
53'
Event
Patrik Schick → Ezequiel Fernández
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Alejandro Grimaldo
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
44'
38'
Event
Christian Eriksen
Right foot shot / 2nd Penalty
38'
Event
Dieter Hecking
Argument / 7th Yellowcard
Event
Edmond Tapsoba
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
37'
36'
Event
Mohamed Amoura
Penalty awarded
31'
Event
Joakim Maehle
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Alejandro Grimaldo
Left foot shot / 1st Penalty
30'
29'
Event
Joakim Maehle
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
16'
Event
Jonas Wind
Left foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
The second half ends with Bayer 04 Leverkusen leading VfL Wolfsburg 6-3.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 6 minutes of added time.
90
Corner Corner
Goal! Bayer 04 Leverkusen leads 6-3 against VfL Wolfsburg. Malik Tillman scores with a right-footed shot from the center of the box into the top left corner, assisted by Ernest Poku.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Jesper Lindstrøm of VfL Wolfsburg.
90
Update Update
Malik Tillman from Bayer 04 Leverkusen won a free kick on the left wing.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Bayer 04 Leverkusen after Kamil Grabara concedes.
90
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Exequiel Palacios from Bayer 04 Leverkusen takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved.
90
Update Update
That's all. The game finishes with Bayer 04 Leverkusen winning 6-3 against VfL Wolfsburg.
88
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Malik Tillman replaces Christian Kofane.
86
Corner Corner
Bayer 04 Leverkusen wins a corner after Jeanuël Belocian concedes.
83
Attempt Attempt
Christian Kofane's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. The assist came from Patrik Schick.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for VfL Wolfsburg: Mattias Svanberg replaces Saël Kumbedi.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for VfL Wolfsburg: Maximilian Arnold replaces Christian Eriksen.
81
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for VfL Wolfsburg: Dzenan Pejcinovic replaces Jonas Wind.
81
Attempt Attempt
Montrell Culbreath from Bayer 04 Leverkusen hits the right post with a right-footed shot from a few meters out.
81
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Ernest Poku replaces Nathan Tella.
80
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Bayer 04 Leverkusen after Kamil Grabara concedes.
80
Corner Corner
Patrik Schick of Bayer 04 Leverkusen attempts an attack with a left-footed shot from the left side of the box, but Kamil Grabara of VfL Wolfsburg saves it in the right corner. The assist comes from Alejandro Grimaldo with a through ball.
77
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Exequiel Palacios of Bayer 04 Leverkusen takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but Kamil Grabara of VfL Wolfsburg saves it in the top center of the goal. The assist was provided by Ibrahim Maza.
76
Corner Corner
Bayer 04 Leverkusen earns a corner after Jeanuël Belocian concedes.
76
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Konstantinos Koulierakis of VfL Wolfsburg shoots with his left foot from close range, but Mark Flekken of Bayer 04 Leverkusen saves it in the right corner. The assist comes from Jesper Lindstrøm with a cross.
75
Corner Corner
VfL Wolfsburg wins a corner after Exequiel Palacios concedes.
73
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Bayer 04 Leverkusen after Kamil Grabara concedes.
73
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Alejandro Grimaldo of Bayer 04 Leverkusen takes a left-footed shot from outside the box, but Kamil Grabara of VfL Wolfsburg saves it in the top center of the goal.
73
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Bayer 04 Leverkusen lead 5-3 against VfL Wolfsburg. Ibrahim Maza scores with a right-footed shot from the left side of the box to the high center of the goal, assisted by Exequiel Palacios after a corner.
72
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Nathan Tella from Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
71
Update Update
Jesper Lindstrøm fouled a player from VfL Wolfsburg.
71
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Denis Vavro of VfL Wolfsburg receives a yellow card for a foul.
71
Update Update
Montrell Culbreath of Bayer 04 Leverkusen won a free kick in defense.
71
Update Update
Denis Vavro fouled a player from VfL Wolfsburg.
71
Update Update
Nathan Tella from Bayer 04 Leverkusen has won a free kick in an attacking position.
69
Update Update
Foul committed by Nathan Tella of Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
69
Update Update
Jeanuël Belocian from VfL Wolfsburg won a free kick in defense.
68
Attempt Attempt
Nathan Tella from Bayer 04 Leverkusen had a missed chance, shooting with his left foot from outside the box.
68
Attempt Attempt
Loïc Badé from Bayer 04 Leverkusen missed a chance, shooting with his left foot from the center of the box and sending the ball to the left.
68
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Edmond Tapsoba scores for Bayer 04 Leverkusen with a right-footed shot from the center of the box into the right corner. The score is now 4-3.
67
Corner Corner
Bayer 04 Leverkusen wins a corner after Mohammed Amoura concedes.
66
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for VfL Wolfsburg: Jesper Lindstrøm replaces Patrick Wimmer.
65
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Patrick Wimmer from VfL Wolfsburg shoots with his right foot from the right side of the box but the ball goes high. Assist by Konstantinos Koulierakis.
62
Attempt Attempt
Alejandro Grimaldo's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Ibrahim Maza provided the assist.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Bayer 04 Leverkusen after Jeanuël Belocian concedes.
61
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Mohammed Amoura from VfL Wolfsburg takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it is saved.
60
Corner Corner
Nathan Tella from Bayer 04 Leverkusen had a missed chance, heading the ball from the center of the box just to the left. The assist came from Ibrahim Maza following a corner.
59
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Bayer 04 Leverkusen after Jeanuël Belocian concedes.
59
Update Update
Christian Kofane's header from the center of the box is blocked. The assist came from Alejandro Grimaldo's cross.
57
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Konstantinos Koulierakis of VfL Wolfsburg.
55
Update Update
Foul committed by Konstantinos Koulierakis of VfL Wolfsburg.
55
Update Update
Montrell Culbreath of Bayer 04 Leverkusen won a free kick in defense.
55
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Konstantinos Koulierakis of VfL Wolfsburg receives a yellow card for a foul.
55
Attempt Attempt
Denis Vavro's right-footed shot from over 35 yards is blocked. Joakim Mæhle provided the assist.
53
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Patrik Schick scores for Bayer 04 Leverkusen with a left-footed shot into the left corner. The match remains 3-3, and Bayer 04 Leverkusen now have 1 penalty scored.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Bayer 04 Leverkusen after Jeanuël Belocian concedes.
52
Update Update
Saël Kumbedi of VfL Wolfsburg conceded a penalty after committing a foul in the penalty area.
49
Update Update
New attacking attempt. Ibrahim Maza of Bayer 04 Leverkusen shoots with his right foot from the right side of the box, but Kamil Grabara of VfL Wolfsburg saves it in the center of the goal. The assist was provided by Montrell Culbreath.
49
Corner Corner
Bayer 04 Leverkusen wins a corner after Vinicius Souza concedes.
49
Attempt Attempt
Robert Andrich from Bayer 04 Leverkusen had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box but missing to the left. Ibrahim Maza provided the assist.
47
Update Update
Fouled by Vinicius Souza of VfL Wolfsburg.
47
Update Update
Patrik Schick from Bayer 04 Leverkusen earned a free kick on the left wing.
46
Update Update
Vinicius Souza of VfL Wolfsburg has been awarded a free kick in defense.
46
Update Update
Foul committed by Nathan Tella of Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
46
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Vinicius Souza from VfL Wolfsburg.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Patrik Schick replaces Ezequiél Fernández.
45
Update Update
The second half starts with Bayer 04 Leverkusen trailing VfL Wolfsburg 2-3.
45
Update Update
Jonas Wind of VfL Wolfsburg won a free kick in defense.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 6 minutes of added time.
45
Update Update
Joakim Mæhle from VfL Wolfsburg won a free kick in defense.
45
Update Update
First half ends with Bayer 04 Leverkusen trailing VfL Wolfsburg 2-3.
45
Update Update
Ezequiél Fernández from Bayer 04 Leverkusen commits a foul.
44
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2, VfL Wolfsburg 3. Alejandro Grimaldo scores for Bayer 04 Leverkusen with a left-footed shot from the center of the box into the right corner, assisted by Ezequiél Fernández.
42
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahim Maza from Bayer 04 Leverkusen had a missed chance, heading the ball from a few meters out but it went wide. The assist was provided by Alejandro Grimaldo with a cross.
38
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Christian Eriksen scores for VfL Wolfsburg with a right-footed shot into the right corner. The match remains 1-3, and VfL Wolfsburg now have 3 penalties scored.
37
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Edmond Tapsoba of Bayer 04 Leverkusen receives a yellow card for a foul.
36
Update Update
VAR decision results in a penalty for VfL Wolfsburg.
35
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Mohammed Amoura of VfL Wolfsburg.
33
Update Update
Edmond Tapsoba of Bayer 04 Leverkusen concedes a penalty after a foul in the penalty area.
33
Update Update
VfL Wolfsburg is awarded a penalty after Mohammed Amoura is fouled in the penalty area.
31
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Joakim Mæhle scores for VfL Wolfsburg with a right-footed shot from outside the box into the right corner. The match score is now Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1, VfL Wolfsburg 2.
30
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Alejandro Grimaldo scores for Bayer 04 Leverkusen with a left-footed shot to the center of the goal. The match remains 1-1.
29
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Joakim Mæhle from VfL Wolfsburg receives a yellow card for a foul.
29
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Ibrahim Maza of Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
28
Update Update
Penalty awarded to Bayer 04 Leverkusen as Ibrahim Maza is fouled in the penalty area.
28
Update Update
Joakim Mæhle of VfL Wolfsburg concedes a penalty after committing a foul in the penalty area.
27
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Alejandro Grimaldo of Bayer 04 Leverkusen takes a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it is saved by Kamil Grabara, the goalkeeper for VfL Wolfsburg, positioned in the center of the goal. The assist comes from Christian Kofane.
26
Update Update
Patrick Wimmer from VfL Wolfsburg commits a handball.
25
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Jonas Wind of VfL Wolfsburg.
23
Update Update
Fouled by Jeanuël Belocian of VfL Wolfsburg.
23
Update Update
Nathan Tella from Bayer 04 Leverkusen won a free kick on the left wing.
23
Corner Corner
Missed chance. Mohammed Amoura of VfL Wolfsburg shoots with his right foot from the center of the box, but it goes just wide of the top right corner. The assist was provided by Patrick Wimmer.
22
Corner Corner
Ezequiél Fernández from Bayer 04 Leverkusen misses a chance with a right-footed shot from outside the box after a corner.
21
Update Update
Loïc Badé fouled a Bayer 04 Leverkusen player.
21
Update Update
Jonas Wind of VfL Wolfsburg won a free kick on the left wing.
21
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Bayer 04 Leverkusen after Jeanuël Belocian concedes.
20
Update Update
Montrell Culbreath of Bayer 04 Leverkusen won a free kick on the right wing.
20
Update Update
Montrell Culbreath of Bayer 04 Leverkusen won a free kick on the right wing.
18
Update Update
Offside called against Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Alejandro Grimaldo is offside.
18
Corner Corner
Bayer 04 Leverkusen wins a corner after Saël Kumbedi concedes.
16
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! VfL Wolfsburg takes the lead 1-0 against Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Jonas Wind scores with a left-footed shot from the left side of the box.
15
Corner Corner
VfL Wolfsburg wins a corner after Montrell Culbreath concedes.
14
Update Update
Patrick Wimmer from VfL Wolfsburg won a free kick on the right wing.
14
Update Update
Edmond Tapsoba from Bayer 04 Leverkusen commits a foul.
13
Update Update
Denis Vavro from VfL Wolfsburg misses a chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box, sending the ball high and wide to the left from a free kick.
12
Update Update
Patrick Wimmer from VfL Wolfsburg won a free kick in an attacking position.
9
Corner Corner
Bayer 04 Leverkusen win a corner after Saël Kumbedi concedes.
8
Attempt Attempt
Robert Andrich from Bayer 04 Leverkusen missed a left-footed shot from the right side of the box.
8
Attempt Attempt
Alejandro Grimaldo's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
7
Attempt Attempt
Loïc Badé of Bayer 04 Leverkusen had a missed chance, heading the ball from the right side of the six-yard box but missing to the left. The assist came from Alejandro Grimaldo, who provided the cross.
6
Update Update
Christian Kofane from Bayer 04 Leverkusen was awarded a free kick on the right wing.
6
Update Update
Konstantinos Koulierakis from VfL Wolfsburg won a free kick in defense.
3
Update Update
Mohammed Amoura misses a chance for VfL Wolfsburg, shooting with his right foot from the center of the box, sending it high and wide to the left. Christian Eriksen provided the assist.
2
Attempt Attempt
Nathan Tella from Bayer 04 Leverkusen missed a chance, shooting with his left foot from the left side of the box after a fast break.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Bayer 04 Leverkusen exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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