Basel vs Young Boys Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland

St. Jakob-Park Sat, 4 Apr - 6:30 PM

Super League

Basel BAS

3 – 3

Young Boys YBO

Full Time Sat, 4 Apr 6:30 PM

Round 32 Regular Season

Bénie Traoré - 68'

Xherdan Shaqiri - 41'

Sandro Lauper - 36' (Own Goal)

Ebrima Colley - 90'

Flavius Daniliuc - 64' (Own Goal)

Edimilson Fernandes - 27'

CONTEXT

The match has officially finished, ending in an entertaining 3-3 draw between Basel and Young Boys. Basel took an early advantage, heading into the break with a 2-1 lead, but were ultimately unable to hold on for the victory. Before kickoff, the market favored Basel as the stronger team, giving them a 43.4% probability of winning compared to Young Boys' 31.6% and a slim 25% chance of a draw. Because the match ended in a stalemate, the outcome was not aligned with the pre-match market. This resulted in a significant deviation from expectations, negatively impacting Basel, who failed to capitalize on their favored status. On the pitch, Young Boys controlled the overall tempo, holding 55% possession compared to Basel's 45%. While expected goals (xG) data was unavailable to evaluate whether the final score properly reflected the quality of chances created, the teams' scoring efficiency shift was strictly in line with general expectations. Finally, the match was contested cleanly from start to finish; no red cards were issued to either side, meaning the high-scoring draw was dictated purely by the run of play rather than disciplinary disadvantages.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Basel showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

L. Fähndrich

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Drmic

4th Official

J. Erni

1st Assistant

M. Sbrissa

2nd Assistant

S. Lichtsteiner

G. Seoane

1.67

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.33

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

28 - 22 - 30

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Basel

43.36%

Draw

25.03%

Young Boys

31.61%

Team Power Ranking

63.91

62.51

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Basel

Young Boys

Power Score

63.91

62.51

League Position

Global Rank

344

388

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Basel — Opponent-weighted form score

Young Boys — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Basel Young Boys

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Basel

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Young Boys

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Basel ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Young Boys

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

22.00

26.82

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

26.82

22.00

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Basel -0.43 Efficiency Index

Young Boys +0.43 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Basel

Young Boys

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Basel ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Young Boys

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Basel Young Boys

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Basel Young Boys

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Basel

Young Boys

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Basel

Young Boys

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Basel Young Boys

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Basel Young Boys

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Basel

Young Boys

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 80 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Basel BAS Home

80 matches

Young Boys YBO Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

128

Goals Scored

134

Goals Conceded

128

-6

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-05T00:06:40+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

1 M. Hitz

3 N. Vouilloz

4 B. Omeragic

24 F. Daniliuc

31 D. Schmid

5 A. Silu

22 L. Leroy

21 I. Salah

10 X. Shaqiri

11 B. Traore

23 A. Ajeti

1 M. Keller

23 L. Benito

30 S. Lauper

5 G. Wüthrich

17 S. Janko

6 E. Fernandes

37 A. Gigovic

77 J. Monteiro

10 A. Antonio Sanches

16 C. Fassnacht

99 S. Essende

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 04, 2026, 06:30 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland · Round 32 · Regular Season

Stadium :

St. Jakob-Park

Capacity :

37994

Attendance :

30859

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Marijan Drmic

Lukas Fähndrich

Jonas Erni

Matthias Sbrissa

Statistics

Possession

BAS

48%

YBO

52%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 3

3 Big Chances Created 1

6 Shots 8

38 Dangerous attacks 55

45 Possession 55

3 Corners 7

16 Free kicks 6

1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

21 Throwins 18

5 Goal Kicks 6

54 Successful Dribbles Percentage 36

70 Ball Safe 68

7 Goal Attempts 7

26 Dribble Attempts 11

14 Successful Dribbles 4

1 Assists 2

5 Substitutions 5

1 Injuries 1

Attacking

115 Attacks 87

2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

6 Key Passes 11

34 Long Passes 34

383 Passes 471

326 Successful Passes 414

85 Successful Passes Percentage 88

65 Successful Long Passes Percentage 56

22 Successful Long Passes 19

Defensive

6 Interceptions 18

1 Saves 3

18 Tackles 21

53 Duels Won 36

Build-up

14 Total Crosses 17

2 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

0 Offsides 1

6 Fouls 16

Lineup

Referee : Lukas Fähndrich

Manager ▼

S. Lichtsteiner Coach

Starting XI ▼

Marwin Hitz Goalkeeper

Nicolas Vouilloz Defender

Becir Omeragic Defender

Flavius Daniliuc Defender

Dominik Schmid Defender

Moussa Cissé

Defender90+4'

Metinho Midfielder

Xherdan Shaqiri Midfielder

Koba Koindredi

Midfielder74'

Bénie Traoré Midfielder

Marin Soticek

Midfielder81'

Ibrahim Salah Midfielder

Léo Leroy Midfielder

Andrej Bacanin

Midfielder74'

Albian Ajeti Attacker

Giacomo Koloto

Attacker74'

Substitutes ▼

Giacomo Koloto

Attacker74'

Koba Koindredi

Midfielder74'

Andrej Bacanin

Midfielder74'

Marin Soticek

Midfielder81'

Moussa Cissé

Defender90+4'

Bench ▼

Mirko Salvi Goalkeeper

Kevin Rüegg Defender

Marvin Akahomen Defender

Julien Duranville Attacker

Referee : Lukas Fähndrich