Basel vs Sion Prediction, Preview and Stats

Switzerland flag 2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
St. Jakob-Park Sun, 26 Apr - 12:00 PM
Super League
Basel BAS
0 Winner 2
Sion SIO
Full Time Sun, 26 Apr 12:00 PM
Championship Round
|
Goal
Josias Lukembila - 60'
Rilind Nivokazi - 24'

CONTEXT

In the Swiss Super League clash at St. Jakob-Park, FC Basel fell 0-2 to FC Sion in a tightly fought encounter. Sion struck first in the opening half, leading 0-1 at halftime, with Basel unable to find the net despite holding 49% possession overall. The visitors edged possession at 51% and capitalized in the second half to seal the win. No red cards disrupted the flow, keeping the match competitive from start to finish. Pre-identified as the stronger side, Sion delivered a performance with minimal structural deviation, maintaining efficiency in line with projections. Basel pushed hard but couldn't break through Sion's defense, resulting in a straightforward away victory that reflected the balance of play.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Sion's 0-2 win featured minimal structural deviation of 2.2%.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match assessments.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: Result fully aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without available metrics.
  • Event impact: No major events altered the match's progression.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards produced no distortion in game dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Basel S. Lichtsteiner
S. Lichtsteiner
VS
Sion D. Tholot
D. Tholot
1.46
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.61
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Thun Rank: L
Young Boys Rank: D
Winterthur Rank: W
Servette Rank: W
St. Gallen Rank: L
Grasshopper Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lausanne Sport Rank: W
Grasshopper Rank: W
St. Gallen Rank: D
Zürich Rank: W
Winterthur Rank: D
Lugano Rank: L
45
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
45 - 21 - 8
8

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Basel
0.24%
Draw
1.92%
Away Sion
97.84%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.53
26.3
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Basel
Sion
Power Score
23.53
26.3
League Position
4
5
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Basel Opponent-weighted form score
Sion Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Basel Sion

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Basel

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Sion

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Basel ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sion
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Basel Sion
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Basel Sion
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Basel
Sion
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Basel
vs
Sion
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Basel Sion
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Basel Sion
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Basel
Sion
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BAS had peak pressure around 83'.
  • SIO started the game with stronger pressure.
BAS Pressure SIO Pressure
Pressure Index: BAS reached the top pressure at 83' (91.25).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 74 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Basel BAS Home
74 matches
Sion SIO Away
Match Record
45
Wins
8
21
Draws
21
8
Losses
45
Goals
147
Goals Scored
76
76
Goals Conceded
147
+71
Goal Difference
-71

Data last updated: 2026-04-26T11:31:02+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
M. Hitz
Switzerland
1 M. Hitz
K. Rüegg
Switzerland
27 K. Rüegg
B. Omeragic
Substitution
Switzerland
4 B. Omeragic
F. Daniliuc
Austria
24 F. Daniliuc
M. Cisse
Substitution
France
29 M. Cisse
K. Koindredi
Substitution
France
8 K. Koindredi
A. Silu
Brazil
5 A. Silu
J. Duranville
Substitution
Belgium
18 J. Duranville
A. Bačanin
Serbia
14 A. Bačanin
B. Traore
Ivory Coast
11 B. Traore
A. Ajeti
Substitution
Switzerland
23 A. Ajeti
Pitch
A. Racioppi
Switzerland
1 A. Racioppi
N. Hefti
Switzerland
20 N. Hefti
J. Kronig
Switzerland
17 J. Kronig
K. Hajrizi
Kosovo
28 K. Hajrizi
N. Lavanchy
Switzerland
14 N. Lavanchy
B. Costa Rodrigues de Oliveira
Brazil
8 B. Costa Rodrigues de Oliveira
A. Kabacalman
Substitution
Switzerland
88 A. Kabacalman
I. Chouaref
Substitution
France
7 I. Chouaref
J. Lukembila
Substitution
Switzerland
39 J. Lukembila
B. Kololli
Substitution
Kosovo
70 B. Kololli
R. Nivokazi
Substitution
Kosovo
33 R. Nivokazi

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 26, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland · Championship Round
Stadium :
St. Jakob-Park
Capacity :
37994
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Mirco Bürgi
Noël Lötscher
Lukas Fähndrich
Maxime Odiet

Statistics

Possession
BAS
48%
SIO
52%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
1 Big Chances Created 2
4 Shots 5
52 Dangerous attacks 39
49 Possession 51
3 Corners 6
6 Free kicks 13
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

29 Successful Dribbles Percentage 35
6 Successful Dribbles 6
5 Goal Kicks 11
21 Dribble Attempts 17
23 Throwins 21
0 Assists 2
50 Ball Safe 72
2 Goal Attempts 4
1 Penalties 0
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

88 Attacks 75
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

439 Passes 468
36 Long Passes 75
21 Successful Long Passes 39
58 Successful Long Passes Percentage 52
375 Successful Passes 398
85 Successful Passes Percentage 85
6 Key Passes 7

Defensive

22 Tackles 24
8 Interceptions 15
2 Saves 3

Build-up

19 Total Crosses 19
5 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

13 Fouls 7
4 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Lukas Fähndrich

Starting XI

1
Marwin Hitz
Marwin Hitz Goalkeeper
7.19
4
Becir Omeragic
Becir Omeragic Defender
6.79
3
Nicolas Vouilloz
Nicolas Vouilloz
Defender46'
6.89
24
Flavius Daniliuc
Flavius Daniliuc Defender
7.08
27
Kevin Rüegg
Kevin Rüegg Defender
6.52
29
Moussa Cissé
Moussa Cissé Defender
6.67
31
Dominik Schmid
Dominik Schmid
Defender61'
7.34
5
Metinho
Metinho Midfielder
7.01
8
Koba Koindredi
Koba Koindredi Midfielder
6.67
19
Marin Soticek
Marin Soticek
Midfielder61'
6.75
11
Bénie Traoré
Bénie Traoré Midfielder
7.01
14
Andrej Bacanin
Andrej Bacanin Midfielder
6.77
18
Julien Duranville
Julien Duranville Midfielder
6.66
17
Moritz Broschinski
Moritz Broschinski
Attacker71'
6.48
23
Albian Ajeti
Albian Ajeti Attacker
6.65
37
Giacomo Koloto
Giacomo Koloto
Attacker46'
6.77
Referee : Lukas Fähndrich

Starting XI

1
Anthony Racioppi
Anthony Racioppi Goalkeeper
7.1
14
Numa Lavanchy
Numa Lavanchy Defender
6.94
17
Jan Kronig
Jan Kronig Defender
6.86
20
Nias Hefti
Nias Hefti Defender
6.93
28
Kreshnik Hajrizi
Kreshnik Hajrizi Defender
7.19
7
Ilyas Chouaref
Ilyas Chouaref Midfielder
7.18
21
Liam Chipperfield
Liam Chipperfield
Midfielder80'
6.84
8
Baltazar
Baltazar Midfielder
6.92
39
Josias Lukembila
Josias Lukembila Midfielder
6.74
29
Théo Berdayes
Théo Berdayes
Attacker65'
6.57
70
Benjamin Kololli
Benjamin Kololli Midfielder
6.91
19
Franck Surdez
Franck Surdez
Attacker65'
6.84
88
Ali Kabacalman
Ali Kabacalman Midfielder
7.03
5
Noé Sow
Noé Sow
Defender85'
6.66
33
Rilind Nivokazi
Rilind Nivokazi Attacker
6.94
13
Winsley Boteli
Winsley Boteli
Attacker80'
6.74

Events

2ND-HALF
85'
Event
Noé Sow Ali Kabacalman
10th Substitution
80'
Event
Liam Chipperfield Ilyas Chouaref
9th Substitution
80'
Event
Winsley Boteli Rilind Nivokazi
8th Substitution
Event
Moritz Broschinski 
GoalkeeperSave
74'
73'
Event
Kreshnik Hajrizi
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Moritz Broschinski 
Penalty awarded
72'
Event
Moritz Broschinski  Julien Duranville
7th Substitution
71'
65'
Event
Franck Surdez Benjamin Kololli
6th Substitution
65'
Event
Théo Berdayes Josias Lukembila
5th Substitution
Event
Dominik Schmid Moussa Cissé
3rd Substitution
61'
Event
Marin Soticek Koba Koindredi
4th Substitution
61'
60'
Event
Josias Lukembila
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Nicolas Vouilloz Becir Omeragic
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Giacomo Koloto Albian Ajeti
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
24'
Event
Rilind Nivokazi
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Sion's 0-2 triumph over Basel underscored their status as the stronger team, converting slight possession dominance into clinical finishing. The halftime lead of 0-1 set the tone, and second-half resilience ensured no comeback. With balanced possession and no disciplinary interruptions, the outcome highlighted Sion's superior execution amid minimal deviations. Basel's efforts fell short, exposing vulnerabilities against a well-drilled opponent. This result reinforces Sion's form, providing a solid foundation for upcoming fixtures in the league.

Basel vs Sion preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.