Bari 1908 vs Venezia Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Comunale San Nicola Sat, 18 Apr - 1:00 PM
Serie B
Bari 1908 BAR
0 Winner 3
Venezia VEN
Full Time Sat, 18 Apr 1:00 PM
Round 35 Regular Season
|
Goal
Andrea Adorante - 52'
Ridgeciano Haps - 45+1', 19'

CONTEXT

Venezia delivered a commanding performance, securing a 3-0 away victory against Bari 1908 in a match defined by total dominance. The visitors raced into a 2-0 halftime lead, capitalizing on their staggering 72% possession while Bari languished at 28%. Bari offered little resistance, failing to register a shot of note as Venezia controlled every facet of the game. The second half saw Venezia add a third goal, underlining their superiority as the pre-identified stronger team. This outcome represented a significant 35% structural deviation favoring Venezia, with their efficiency remaining in line with expectations. Market alignments held true, though xG data was unavailable for deeper analysis. No red cards or major events disrupted proceedings, allowing Venezia's quality to shine through unhindered.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Venezia exhibited a significant 35% deviation in performance metrics.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with pre-match expectations for both teams.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable prevented assessment of alignment with actual scoreline.
  • Market alignment: Result fully aligned with pre-match market probabilities.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated due to absent metrics.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or knockout elements influenced the outcome.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant zero distortion from player dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

F. Dionisi

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Rossi

1st Assistant

M. Ceolin

2nd Assistant

C. Allegretta

4th Official

Bari 1908 M. Longo
M. Longo
VS
Venezia G. Stroppa
G. Stroppa
1.04
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.22
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Monza Rank: L
Modena Rank: W
Carrarese Rank: L
Frosinone Rank: L
Reggiana Rank: W
Pescara Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Virtus Entella Rank: D
Juve Stabia Rank: W
Monza Rank: D
Calcio Padova Rank: W
Sampdoria Rank: D
Reggiana Rank: W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 5
5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Bari 1908
13.38%
Draw
21.58%
Away Venezia
65.04%

Movement

Changes since opening
Bari 1908
+12.89%
Draw
+19.67%
Venezia
-32.56%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
17.95
36.78
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Bari 1908
Venezia
Power Score
17.95
36.78
League Position
17
1
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Bari 1908 — Opponent-weighted form score
Venezia — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Bari 1908 Venezia

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Bari 1908

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Venezia

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Bari 1908 ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Venezia
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
28.21
26.60
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
26.60
28.21
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Bari 1908 +0.16 Efficiency Index
vs
Venezia -0.16 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Bari 1908
Venezia
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Bari 1908 ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Venezia
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Bari 1908 Venezia
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Bari 1908 Venezia
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Bari 1908
Venezia
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Bari 1908
vs
Venezia
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Bari 1908 Venezia
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Bari 1908 0.16
Venezia 0.40
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Bari 1908 Venezia
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Bari 1908 0.07
Venezia 0.00
Bari 1908
Venezia
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • VEN had peak pressure around 20'.
  • VEN started the game with stronger pressure.
BAR Pressure VEN Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: VEN reached the top pressure at 20' (93.55).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Bari 1908 BAR Home
7 matches
Venezia VEN Away
Match Record
2
Wins
5
0
Draws
0
5
Losses
2
Goals
6
Goals Scored
14
14
Goals Conceded
6
-8
Goal Difference
+8

Data last updated: 2026-04-19T00:02:48+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch
M. Cerofolini
Italy
31 M. Cerofolini
A. Cistana
Substitution
Italy
51 A. Cistana
C. Odenthal
Netherlands
26 C. Odenthal
V. Mantovani
Italy
13 V. Mantovani
B. Manè
Italy
30 B. Manè
D. Traoré
Substitution
France
66 D. Traoré
G. Maggiore
Substitution
Italy
18 G. Maggiore
M. Braunöder
Austria
27 M. Braunöder
K. Piscopo
Italy
28 K. Piscopo
G. Moncini
Substitution
Italy
11 G. Moncini
E. Rao
Substitution
Italy
17 E. Rao
Pitch
F. Stankovic
Serbia
1 F. Stankovic
M. Sverko
Croatia
33 M. Sverko
M. Svoboda
Austria
30 M. Svoboda
S. Korac
Luxembourg
2 S. Korac
R. Haps
Suriname
5 R. Haps
I. Doumbia
Substitution
Italy
8 I. Doumbia
G. Busio
Substitution
United States
6 G. Busio
E. Pérez Muñoz
Substitution
Spain
71 E. Pérez Muñoz
A. Hainaut
Substitution
France
18 A. Hainaut
A. Adorante
Substitution
Italy
9 A. Adorante
J. Zamora
Ecuador
10 J. Zamora

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 18, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadio Comunale San Nicola
Capacity :
58300
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Federico Dionisi
Marcello Rossi
Marco Ceolin
Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta

Statistics

Possession
BAR
33%
VEN
67%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 3
0 Big Chances Created 3
2 Shots 7
38 Dangerous attacks 43
28 Possession 72
4 Corners 3
12 Free kicks 19
1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

19 Throwins 12
45 Successful Dribbles Percentage 40
7 Goal Kicks 3
5 Successful Dribbles 4
2 Injuries 1
11 Dribble Attempts 10
52 Ball Safe 65
6 Goal Attempts 14
0 Hit Woodwork 1
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

69 Attacks 98

Possession

150 Successful Passes 563
42 Long Passes 29
24 Successful Long Passes Percentage 52
227 Passes 622
10 Successful Long Passes 15
5 Key Passes 13
66 Successful Passes Percentage 91

Defensive

38 Duels Won 46
4 Saves 2
14 Tackles 9
4 Interceptions 9

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 13
3 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

19 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Federico Dionisi

Starting XI ▼

31
Michele Cerofolini
Michele Cerofolini Goalkeeper
7.08
13
Valerio Mantovani
Valerio Mantovani Defender
6.57
26
Cas Odenthal
Cas Odenthal Defender
6.88
51
Andrea Cistana
Andrea Cistana Defender
6.5
37
Giacomo Stabile
Giacomo Stabile
Defender46'
6.63
18
Giulio Maggiore
Giulio Maggiore Midfielder
6.83
8
Riccardo Pagano
Riccardo Pagano
Midfielder65'
6.67
27
Matthias Braunöder
Matthias Braunöder Midfielder
6.77
28
Kevin Piscopo
Kevin Piscopo Midfielder
6.82
30
Moussa Mané
Moussa Mané Midfielder
6.59
66
Daouda Traore
Daouda Traore Midfielder
6.55
49
Giacomo De Pieri
Giacomo De Pieri
Midfielder66'
6.62
11
Gabriele Moncini
Gabriele Moncini Attacker
6.76
9
Christian Gytkjaer
Christian Gytkjaer
Attacker65'
6.62
17
Emanuele Rao
Emanuele Rao Attacker
6.85
90
Marvin Cuni
Marvin Cuni
Attacker71'
6.66
Referee : Federico Dionisi

Starting XI ▼

1
Filip Stanković
Filip Stanković Goalkeeper
7.05
2
Seid Korac
Seid Korac Defender
6.78
30
Michael Svoboda
Michael Svoboda Defender
7.13
33
Marin Šverko
Marin Šverko Defender
6.84
5
Ridgeciano Haps
Ridgeciano Haps Midfielder
2
6.81
6
Gianluca Busio
Gianluca Busio Midfielder
7.35
32
Alfred Duncan
Alfred Duncan
Midfielder85'
6.85
8
Issa Doumbia
Issa Doumbia Midfielder
6.99
24
Nunzio Lella
Nunzio Lella
Midfielder76'
6.55
18
Antoine Hainaut
Antoine Hainaut Midfielder
7.12
20
Richie Sagrado
Richie Sagrado
Defender64'
6.67
71
Kike Pérez
Kike Pérez Midfielder
7.23
28
Matteo Dagasso
Matteo Dagasso
Midfielder76'
6.83
9
Andrea Adorante
Andrea Adorante Attacker
6.96
29
Lion Lauberbach
Lion Lauberbach
Attacker64'
6.61
10
John Yeboah
John Yeboah Attacker
7.32

Events

2ND-HALF
85'
Event
Alfred Duncan → Gianluca Busio
10th Substitution
76'
Event
Matteo Dagasso → Kike Pérez
8th Substitution
76'
Event
Nunzio Lella → Issa Doumbia
9th Substitution
Event
Marvin Cuni → Emanuele Rao
7th Substitution
71'
Event
Giacomo De Pieri → Daouda Traore
6th Substitution
66'
Event
Christian Gytkjaer → Gabriele Moncini
4th Substitution
65'
Event
Riccardo Pagano → Giulio Maggiore
5th Substitution
65'
64'
Event
Lion Lauberbach → Andrea Adorante
2nd Substitution
64'
Event
Richie Sagrado → Antoine Hainaut
3rd Substitution
52'
Event
Andrea Adorante
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Giacomo Stabile → Andrea Cistana
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
45+1'
Event
Ridgeciano Haps
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Emanuele Rao
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
43'
Event
2nd Yellowcard
43'
19'
Event
Ridgeciano Haps
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Venezia's emphatic 3-0 triumph over Bari 1908 showcased their superiority, turning pre-match favoritism into a routine win through relentless possession and clinical finishing. Bari's inability to compete highlighted defensive frailties, as Venezia dictated terms from start to finish. This significant deviation underscores Venezia's execution beyond baseline projections, with market views validated perfectly. Lacking xG insights limits tactical dissection, yet the clean sheet and goal tally affirm efficiency. Without disruptions like reds, the result stands as a pure reflection of class disparity, boosting Venezia's momentum while exposing Bari's struggles.

Bari 1908 vs Venezia preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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Daniels Zorge

Daniels Zorge covers football fixtures with a focus on tactical matchups, playing styles, and key details that shape each game.