Baltika Kaliningrad vs Akron Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Premier League, Russia

Complexe Sportif Jean Bianchi 1 Mon, 27 Apr - 5:00 PM

Premier League

Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad

Akron Akron

Full Time Mon, 27 Apr 5:00 PM

Round 27 Regular Season

Benchimol - 54'

CONTEXT

Baltika Kaliningrad, deemed the stronger team entering the match, dominated possession with 64% control but suffered a narrow 0-1 defeat to Akron. The visitors, holding just 36% of the ball, executed a clinical counter-attack strategy that paid dividends in the second half, following a goalless first period at 0-0 halftime. Baltika pressed relentlessly yet struggled to breach Akron's resolute defense, which absorbed pressure and struck decisively. This outcome highlights Akron's efficiency in limited opportunities against Baltika's profligacy despite territorial superiority. No red cards disrupted proceedings, allowing the game to flow naturally without disciplinary distortions. The result underscores tactical discipline trumping possession stats in this encounter.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Akron's 1-0 win showed a 100% deviation from expectations, rated as significant.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency stayed in line with pre-match assessments for both teams.
xG alignment: xG data unavailable prevented assessment of outcome alignment.
Market alignment: Final result aligned fully with pre-match market positioning.
xG expectations: xG expectations unmeasurable due to absent underlying data.
Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered match dynamics.
Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion from player dismissals.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

I. Tanashev

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

R. Mukhtarov

1st Assistant

A. Khatuev

2nd Assistant

Y. Matveev

4th Official

A. Talalaev

Z. Tedeev

1.69

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

0.92

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

1 - 0 - 0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Baltika Kaliningrad

Draw

Akron

Team Power Ranking

27.61

15.11

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Baltika Kaliningrad

Akron

Power Score

27.61

15.11

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Baltika Kaliningrad — Opponent-weighted form score

Akron — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Baltika Kaliningrad Akron

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Baltika Kaliningrad

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Akron

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Baltika Kaliningrad ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Akron

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

22.66

31.39

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

31.39

22.66

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Baltika Kaliningrad -1.01 Efficiency Index

Akron +1.01 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Baltika Kaliningrad

Akron

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Baltika Kaliningrad ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Akron

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Baltika Kaliningrad Akron

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Baltika Kaliningrad Akron

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Baltika Kaliningrad

Akron

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Baltika Kaliningrad

Akron

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Baltika Kaliningrad Akron

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Baltika Kaliningrad Akron

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Baltika Kaliningrad

Akron

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

Akron had peak pressure around 12'.
Akron started the game with stronger pressure.

Baltika Kaliningrad Pressure Akron Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: Akron reached the top pressure at 12' (64.05).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad Home

1 matches

Akron Akron Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-2

Data last updated: 2026-04-28T00:02:37+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-4-1

Match Formation 4-3-3

81 I. Kukushkin

23 M. Beveev

2 S. Varatynov

16 K. Andrade Murillo

25 A. Filin

4 N. Gassama

22 N. Titkov

26 I. Belikov

15 T. Yenne

73 M. Petrov

18 D. Severino Lacerda

88 V. Gudiev

21 R. Fernández Toro

24 I. Nedelcearu

26 J. Pereira Escoval

71 D. Pestryakov

35 I. Đakovac

80 K. Khosonov

8 K. Maradishvili

91 M. Boldyrev

22 A. Dzyuba

11 G. Benchimol Tavares

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 27, 2026, 05:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 27 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Complexe Sportif Jean Bianchi 1

Capacity :

35212

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Inal Tanashev

Rustam Mukhtarov

Adlan Khatuev

Yuri Matveev

Statistics

Possession

Baltika Kaliningrad

59%

Akron

41%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1

1 Big Chances Created 0

1 Shots 1

70 Dangerous attacks 46

64 Possession 36

3 Corners 0

8 Free kicks 19

1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

0 Assists 1

95 Ball Safe 80

5 Substitutions 4

1 Injuries 2

9 Goal Attempts 4

27 Throwins 27

21 Successful Dribbles Percentage 47

14 Dribble Attempts 15

24 Successful Headers 28

3 Successful Dribbles 7

9 Goal Kicks 11

Attacking

1 Big Chances Missed 0

119 Attacks 76

Possession

32 Successful Long Passes 19

67 Successful Passes Percentage 47

39 Successful Long Passes Percentage 26

403 Passes 233

82 Long Passes 74

271 Successful Passes 110

Defensive

0 Saves 1

8 Interceptions 8

40 Duels Won 72

11 Tackles 18

Build-up

7 Accurate Crosses 2

22 Total Crosses 9

Discipline

1 Offsides 2

19 Fouls 5

Lineup

Referee : Inal Tanashev

Manager ▼

A. Talalaev Coach

Starting XI ▼

I. Kukushkin Goalkeeper

6.5

S. Varatynov Defender

6.85

Nathan Gassama Defender

7.06

K. Andrade Defender

7.1

Mingiyan Beveev Defender

6.88

Andrey Mendel

Midfielder68'

6.8

Aleksandr Filin Defender

7.01

Eduardo Anderson

Defender46'

6.36

T. Yenne Midfielder

6.55

Chinonso Offor

Attacker60'

6.67

Nikolai Titkov Midfielder

6.87

Aymane Mourid

Midfielder68'

6.61

Ivan Belikov Midfielder

6.92

Mikhail Ryadno

Defender68'

6.62

Maksim Petrov Midfielder

7.1

Derik Lacerda Attacker

6.91

Substitutes ▼

Eduardo Anderson

Defender46'

6.36

Chinonso Offor

Attacker60'

6.67

Mikhail Ryadno

Defender68'

6.62

Andrey Mendel

Midfielder68'

6.8

Aymane Mourid

Midfielder68'

6.61

Bench ▼

Andrey Tsitsilin Goalkeeper

Egor Lyubakov Goalkeeper

Yuriy Kovalev Midfielder

6.54

Stefan Kovac Midfielder

6.69

Vladislav Pospelov Midfielder

6.73

I. Manelov Attacker

6.58

Referee : Inal Tanashev