Auxerre vs Nantes Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Ligue 1
Nantes NANSTANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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CONTEXT
The match between Auxerre and Nantes is now finished, ending in a full-time score of 0-0. This goalless encounter saw both sides locked at 0-0 at halftime as well, with neither team able to create or convert meaningful opportunities across the 90 minutes. Auxerre held a slight territorial advantage with 54 percent possession to Nantes’ 46 percent, though no expected goals data is available to further evaluate chance quality. The draw aligned closely with pre-match expectations, which had anticipated this outcome as highly probable. There was a moderate deviation linked to Auxerre, identified as the stronger side beforehand, yet they could not translate that edge into a victory. The efficiency shift remained in line with projections throughout, and the result ultimately matched the pre-match forecast. No red cards were shown and no major disciplinary events influenced the contest, allowing both teams to finish with an even share of the spoils.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Auxerre showed a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
- Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
- xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
- Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
- xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
- Event impact: No major event distortion.
- Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
W. Delajod
Other match officials
V. Evrard
2nd Assistant
E. Finjean
1st Assistant
A. Ustaritz
4th Official


Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Auxerre
NantesMovement
Changes since opening
Auxerre
NantesTeam Power Ranking
i
17.28
11.93
Auxerre
NantesForm Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.


Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Auxerre
Nantes

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Auxerre ⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency 
Defensive Efficiency 
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)




Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Auxerre ⚠ Proxy
Auxerre Nantes
Auxerre Nantes
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Auxerre
Auxerre Nantes


Auxerre Nantes


PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- NAN had peak pressure around 45'.
- NAN started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.


Match Record 
Goals 
Data last updated: 2026-04-12T03:03:56+00:00
STARTING XI
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General Information
Next Match

Auxerre
vs

Monaco
League: Ligue 1
Kickoff: Sun, 19 Apr - 1:00 PM
Venue: Stade Louis II.

Nantes
vs

Brest
League: Ligue 1
Kickoff: Sun, 19 Apr - 3:15 PM
Venue: Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
AuxerreManager ▼

Starting XI ▼














Substitutes ▼



Bench ▼






NantesManager ▼

Starting XI ▼















Substitutes ▼




Bench ▼





Events
CONCLUSION
Auxerre vs Nantes preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
How We Build This Analysis
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Match Commentary